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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
341

Movement programmes as a means to learning readiness

Krog, Soezin 01 1900 (has links)
Learning readiness is deficient in many first time school-going children. Learning readiness depends on a well-functioning neural network. Research has shown that movement as an early learning experience is necessary for optimal neural development. Presumably it is movement that activates the neural wiring in the brain. It influences neural organisation and stimulates the specific neurological systems required for optimal functioning and development of the brain. Some children are faced with motor proficiency deficits which may influence their learning and their readiness to learn. This study aimed at determining whether movement programmes are a means to promote and achieve learning readiness. A selected group of Grade two learners who participated in a specifically designed movement programme for ten weeks showed improvement in their levels of learning readiness based on their movement proficiency and academic level. Based on these findings, recommendations were made for the inclusion of movement in the school curriculum. / Educational Studies / M Ed. (Guidance and Counselling)
342

Vegetation productivity responds to sub-annual climate conditions across semiarid biomes

Barnes, Mallory L., Moran, M. Susan, Scott, Russell L., Kolb, Thomas E., Ponce-Campos, Guillermo E., Moore, David J. P., Ross, Morgan A., Mitra, Bhaskar, Dore, Sabina 05 1900 (has links)
In the southwest United States, the current prolonged warm drought is similar to the predicted future climate change scenarios for the region. This study aimed to determine patterns in vegetation response to the early 21st century drought across multiple biomes. We hypothesized that different biomes (forests, shrublands, and grasslands) would have different relative sensitivities to both climate drivers (precipitation and temperature) and legacy effects (previous-year's productivity). We tested this hypothesis at eight Ameriflux sites in various Southwest biomes using NASA Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) from 2001 to 2013. All sites experienced prolonged dry conditions during the study period. The impact of combined precipitation and temperature on Southwest ecosystems at both annual and sub-annual timescales was tested using Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). All biomes studied had critical sub-annual climate periods during which precipitation and temperature influenced production. In forests, annual peak greenness (EVImax) was best predicted by 9-month SPEI calculated in July (i.e., January-July). In shrublands and grasslands, EVImax was best predicted by SPEI in July through September, with little effect of the previous year's EVImax. Daily gross ecosystem production (GEP) derived from flux tower data yielded further insights into the complex interplay between precipitation and temperature. In forests, GEP was driven by cool-season precipitation and constrained by warm-season maximum temperature. GEP in both shrublands and grasslands was driven by summer precipitation and constrained by high daily summer maximum temperatures. In grasslands, there was a negative relationship between temperature and GEP in July, but no relationship in August and September. Consideration of sub-annual climate conditions and the inclusion of the effect of temperature on the water balance allowed us to generalize the functional responses of vegetation to predicted future climate conditions. We conclude that across biomes, drought conditions during critical sub-annual climate periods could have a strong negative impact on vegetation production in the southwestern United States.
343

The validation of the Canadian norms for the Alberta Infant Motor Scale within the Cape Metropolitan

Manuel, Alana 03 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MScPhysio (Physiotherapy))--University of Stellenbosch, 2010. / Information on the normal gross motor skills in a healthy population is important since normative data provides a benchmark for health professionals to evaluate deviations from the norm. The Alberta Infant Motor Scale (AIMS) was developed to assist with the motor assessment of young infants from birth through to independent walking. The validation of the Canadian cohort for the AIMS needs to be done with regards to infants in South Africa (Cape Town), before it can be utilised by health professionals working in Paediatric Health Care. To determine if the Canadian norms for the AIMS are valid for infants aged 4 - 18 months within the Cape Metropole, South Africa. A prospective descriptive study was conducted to validate the AIMS. A total of 67 infants from one private and one public institution participated in the study. Infants were assessed at 4, 8, 12 and 18 months of age with the AIMS. Results were analysed using ANOVA and t-tests to determine the relationship between age, ethnicity, gender and clinics.The AIMS gross motor scores of this sample of infants were not significantly different from the Canadian norms, bar at 4 months. Female infants performed significantly (p<0.05) better than males at four months. It was not possible to convert the 18 month old infants‟ raw scores into percentile rankings and therefore it could not be compared to the Canadian norms. The results yielded from this study indicate that the AIMS is a valid assessment tool for healthy infants from 8 - 12 months of age within the Cape Metropole, South Africa, however, care should be taken when infants‟ scores at 4 months are compared to the scores of the normative sample. The AIMS can therefore be used by health care professionals at the Baby Well clinics in the Cape Metropole to assess gross motor development in infants for this age group and can consequently refer infants who may display delays in motor development to appropriate paediatric specialists. The results from this pilot study also make provision for future in-depth research on the AIMS with a larger cohort and with more ethnic diversity.
344

A programme to improve gross motor and selected visual perception skills of children who show signs of developmental coordination disorder

Markgraaff, Christine 03 1900 (has links)
Thesis (M Sport Sc (Sport Science))--University of Stellenbosch, 2010. / ENGLISH ABSTRACT: The purpose of this study was to determine the impact of participation in a small group-based perceptual-motor training programme on the gross motor and visual-motor integration skills of children who show signs of Developmental Coordination Disorder (DCD). Two physical education teachers selected 22 children for assessment as potential participants for this study. The Movement ABC (M-ABC) was then administered to this group and the eight children who scored the lowest were invited to volunteer for this study. These children all volunteered and then completed the assessment of their visual-motor integration skills as measured by the Developmental Test of Visual Perception (DTVP-2). The study followed an evaluative case study design in which changes in the gross motor and visual-motor integration skills of each participant were reported and interpreted individually. The six-week intervention programme was focused on developing the perceptual-motor link between throwing, catching and balancing skills with challenges to visual skills development, especially eye-hand coordination. A comparison of pre-test, post-test and retention test scores in the M-ABC revealed that the programme had a positive effect on six of the children. The results for the seventh child were inconsistent on each test occasion, leading to the conclusion that he may have a co-morbid disorder related to attention. Improvements in static balance were noted and some children also experienced improvements in their ball skills (aiming and coincident timing) which brings the researcher to the conclusion that the programme was effective for gross motor development. DTVP-2 results showed improvements in eye-hand coordination in five of the seven children. According to the VMI quotient score, only one child improved, one deteriorated and the rest showed no change which brings the researcher to the conclusion that the intervention programme was not effective for visual-motor integration. / AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Die doel van die studie was om die impak te bepaal van deelname in „n klein-groep gebaseerde perseptueel-motoriese oefenprogram op die groot motoriese en visueel-motoriese integrasievaardighede van kinders met tekens van die Ontwikkelingskoördinasie-afwyking (DCD). Twee Lewensoriëntering-onderwysers het 22 kinders geïdentifiseer vir assessering as potensiële deelnemers aan die studie. Hierdie groep het die Beweging-ABC toets (M-ABC) ondergaan en die agt deelnemers met die laagste uitslae is uitgenooi om aan die studie deel te neem. Hierdie agt kinders het ingestem en daarna is die assessering voltooi deur hulle visueel-motoriese integrasievaardighede te meet deur middel van die Ontwikkelingstoets vir Visuele Persepsie (DTVP-2). Die studie het „n evaluerende gevallestudie-ontwerp gevolg waarin die veranderings tussen die groot motoriese en visueel-motoriese integrasievaardighede van elke deelnemer individueel geïnterpreteer en gerapporteer is. Die ses week-intervensieprogram het gefokus op die ontwikkeling van die perseptueel-motoriese skakel tussen gooi-, vang- en balans-vaardighede met uitdagings vir die ontwikkeling van visuele vaardighede, veral oog-hand koördinasie. „n Vergelyking tussen die voor-, na- en opvolgtoetse van die M-ABC se toetstellings het getoon dat die program „n positiewe effek op ses van die kinders se groot motoriese vaardighede gehad het. Die uitslag van die sewende kind was teenstrydig tydens elke toetsgeleentheid en dit het gelei tot die gevolgtrekking dat hy moontlik aan „n addisionele afwyking mag ly wat verband hou met „n aandagprobleem. Verbeterings in statiese balans is waargeneem en sommige kinders het ook „n verbetering in balvaardighede getoon (akkuraatheid en reaksietyd). Volgens die DTVP-2 resultate was daar verbeterings in oog-hand koördinasie by vyf van die sewe kinders. Volgens die VMI-kwosiënttelling het slegs een kind verbeter, een het versleg en die ander vyf het geen verandering getoon nie. Die navorser kom dus tot die gevolgtrekking dat die intervensieprogram nie effektief is vir visueel-motoriese integrasie nie.
345

Market Potential Analysis of Producer Services : A Study of Jönköping County

Kantola, Jan January 2007 (has links)
<p>The purpose of this thesis is to investigate the market potential of producer services in Jönköping County. In relation to the main purpose, the idea is to examine which factors that have a positive impact on the development of a long run qualitative producer service industry in the region.</p><p>The favourable location of Jönköping County is one of the main factors for why the county has one of the highest densities of manufacturing firms in Sweden. Moreover, the region has comparative advantages in several products, for an example; wood, rubber, machinery and electronically goods. Earlier research and comparisons with other international manufacturing clusters indicates that these areas tend to contain highly developed producer service industries. The thesis gives a case example of how the beneficial, mutual interaction between the manufacturing and producer service industries works in the car industry in Germany. However, to be able to establish a successful and close relationship between the above mentioned industries, the theoretical framework distinguishes several important factors; for instance, education and infrastructure are assumed to be the two most vital ingredienses. Nonetheless, also the firms’ production milieu and technology affects the successful development of a cluster district. Furthermore,when relating the theoretical assumptions to the descriptive statistics, with the intention to elucidate the industrial structure of Jönköping County, one can differentiate three major producer service sectors, namely; “Transport and mail”, “Consulting, marketing, law” and finally “Rentals of premises, labour and machinery”. Nevertheless, several alarming observations can be noticed concerning the wage level, education intensity, productivity and gross profit percentage within the county’s producer service industry; where all these features are below the domestic average. Nevertheless, the empirical analysis indicates that the region has a varying, but yet a positive market potential in the majority of the county’s municipalities. With correct priorities, Jönköping County has good future prospects to reach a high competitive position, but to accomplish this; the education intensity has to be improved.</p> / <p>Syftet med denna uppsats är att utreda om Jönköpings län besitter marknadspotential inom närindustriella tjänster. I relation till syftet är avsikten också att ta reda på vilka faktorer som kan underlätta utvecklingen av en långsiktig kvalitativ service industri i länet. Den fördelaktiga geografiska positionen är en av faktorerna till varför Jönköpings län har blivit ett av Sveriges industritätaste områden; där regionen har komparativa fördelar i trä, gummi, maskin och elektroniska produkter. Genom tidigare forskning och vid jämförelser med andra internationella tillverkningskluster hävdas det att det finns tydliga tecken på att dessa områden bör innerhålla starkt utvecklade centra för närindustriella tjänster. I uppsatsen nämns framförallt den tyska bilindustrin som ett exempel på hur nära samarbetet mellan tillverkning och service industrin kan bedrivas. För att kunna nå en nära samverkan mellan de nämnda industrierna så pekar teoridelen ut flera viktiga ståndpunkter, där bland annat utbildning och infrastruktur är av allra högsta vikt. Men även företagens produktionsmiljö och teknologi reflekterar hur ett framgångsrikt klusterområde utvecklas. När man därefter relaterar dessa utgångspunkter till den deskriptiva statistiken med syfte att klargöra Jönköpings läns industristruktur, kan man konstatera att den största industritjänsten utgörs av transport och logistik. Därefter följer marknadsföring,redovisning och juridisk rådgivning, medan den tredje och sista tjänsten är uthyrning av lokaler, maskiner och personal. Dock påträffas flera oroväckande iakttagelser gällande lönenivåer, utbildningsintensitet, produktivitet och bruttovinstandelar inom produktionstjänster i länet, då samtliga faktorer hamnar under riksgenomsnittet. Vidare indikerar de empiriska resultaten och analysen på att det finns en varierande men positiv marknadspotential i majoriteten av länets kommuner. Med rätta prioriteringar så finns det således goda framtidsutsikter för att regionen skall kunna skaffa sig en hög konkurrenskraft i framtiden. Men då krävs det framförallt en högre utbildningsgrad bland den arbetsföra befolkningen i länet.</p>
346

Effet d’un entrainement moteur sur le taux de concentration sérique du facteur neurotrophique dérivé du cerveau chez les personnes âgées

St-Onge, Florence 08 1900 (has links)
Introduction: L'exercice physique est l’une des approches les plus prometteuses permettant de ralentir l’affaiblissement des fonctions cognitives relié au vieillissement. Différents programmes d'exercice physique peuvent améliorer la cognition et l'humeur, via leur impact sur certaines voies moléculaires. En effet, différentes interventions d’exercice physique peuvent augmenter la production du facteur neurotrophique dérivé du cerveau (BDNF). Cette protéine est une neurotrophine qui augmente la survie et la croissance des neurones et favorise donc la neuroplasticité. Cependant, peu d'études ont comparé les différents types d’interventions et leur impact sur les niveaux de BDNF, en particulier chez les participants âgés de 60 ans et plus. L’objectif de cette étude était de comparer les effets de deux protocoles d'exercice distincts sur les niveaux sériques de BDNF chez des ainés sains. Méthodologie: Au total, trente-quatre adultes âgés de 65 ans et plus ont participé à un des deux groupes d’intervention. Le premier groupe présentait une combinaison d’entrainements par résistance et d’aérobie (CSA, âge: 70,5 ± 5,3 ans) et le deuxième groupe pratiquait des exercices de motricité avancé et de flexibilité. (GMA, âge: 74,6 ± 5,2 ans). Les deux interventions comprenaient trois séances hebdomadaires de 60 minutes, pour une période de 8 semaines. Les exercices du groupe CSA incluaient des exercices physiques en résistance de force maximale et des intervalles d’aérobies à haute intensité. Le groupe GMA pratiquait des activités de locomotion (manipulation de balle, parcours à obstacles, exercices de coordination et d’équilibre) et des étirements. Une analyse de covariance a été réalisée sur le changement absolu de chaque variable, tout en contrôlant pour l'âge et la valeur de base. Résultats: Seuls les participants CSA ont enregistré une augmentation significative au niveau de leurs performances aérobies (VO2max) due à l’intervention. Toutefois, les niveaux sériques de BDNF ont augmenté de façon significative seulement chez participants du groupe GMA grâce à l’intervention. Conclusion: Les résultats suggèrent que les activités motrices pourraient potentiellement conduire à des améliorations de la cognition par l’augmentation des niveaux de BDNF chez les participants. / Introduction: Physical exercise has been reported as a promising approach to counteract aging-associated decreased cognitive functions. Different exercise training programs have been associated with improvement of cognition and mood potentially by acting on several molecular pathways. Different exercise interventions have been shown to increase the levels of Brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF). This protein is a key neurotrophin, it increases the survival and growth of neurons and consequently favours neuroplasticity. However, few studies have compared different types of physical exercise training protocols and their impact on BDNF levels, especially in participants over 60 years old. The goal of this study was to compare the effects of two different exercise protocols on serum BDNF levels in healthy older adults. Methods: Thirty-four older adults were divided in two groups; combined strength and aerobic group (CSA, age: 70.5±5.3 yrs.) and gross motor activities and flexibility group (GMA, age: 74.6 ± 5.2 yrs.). Both interventions were composed of three weekly 60-minute sessions for a period of 8 weeks. The intervention for the CSA group included maximal strength exercises and high intensity aerobic interval training. GMA involved locomotion activities, ball manipulation (hand-eye coordination), and stretching exercises. One-way ANCOVAs were performed on variable absolute change, while controlling for age and baseline value. Results: As expected, CSA participants showed significant increase in aerobic capacity (VO2max). In contrast, only the GMA group showed significant change in BDNF serum levels following intervention. Conclusion: These results suggest that gross motor activities could potentially lead to improvements in cognition through the enhancement of BDNF production.
347

Performance et réponses ventilatoires lors d'épreuves d'effort à puissance constante ou décrémentée visant à maintenir une consommation d'oxygène maximale

El Hrichi, Mehdi 09 1900 (has links)
L’endurance aérobie est rarement mesurée à des intensités maximales, mais plutôt sous-maximales, principalement via des protocoles à puissance ou à durée constante. Or, les conditions réelles d’une épreuve sportive en compétition sont mieux représentées par le maintien de la plus haute puissance métabolique possible, et ce, le plus longtemps possible. Cela implique une autogestion de la puissance de travail de la part du participant – qui peut donc varier tout le long de l’épreuve – ainsi que l’atteinte des capacités aérobies maximales, dans certains cas. Dans cette étude, nous avons voulu comparer les variations de certains paramètres ventilatoires (ventilation, volume courant, fréquence respiratoire) et systémiques (rendement mécanique externe brut [RMEC], consommation d’oxygène [VO2]) entre deux protocoles d’effort maximal, l’un à puissance constante (100 % PAM), l’autre à puissance décrémentée (> 95 % VO2max). En effet, comparativement à un protocole d’effort classique à puissance constante, un protocole décrémenté implique l’utilisation de VO2 et non de la puissance mécanique comme critère de sélection de l’intensité d’effort, et augmente la durée de l’épreuve. En conséquence, le maintien de la consommation d’oxygène maximale (VO2max), et non de la puissance aérobie maximale (PAM), nous a permis d’observer des réponses physiologiques différentes de celles généralement décrites lors d’efforts incrémentés ou à puissance constante. Ces différences se sont traduites par une fréquence respiratoire plus élevée et un volume courant plus bas, indiquant l’existence d’une réponse tachypnéique plus prononcée lors d’un protocole décrémenté par rapport à un protocole à puissance constante, et reflétant ainsi une respiration plus superficielle, probablement due à une fatigue plus accrue des muscles ventilatoires. Cette fatigue serait caractérisée par un rendement mécanique plus bas et un VO2 plus élevé, et ce, malgré la diminution progressive de la puissance de travail lors de l’atteinte d’une consommation d’oxygène proche de VO2max. / Aerobic endurance is more commonly measured at submaximal rather than maximal work intensities, mainly through constant-power output trials, or time trials. However, real competition conditions are better represented through the ability to sustain the highest power output (PO) for the largest period of time. That implies the use of self-pacing strategies, which leads power output to vary throughout the exercise duration, and can also induce the attainment of maximal oxygen consumption (VO2max), in some cases. The aim of this study was thus to compare the variation of some ventilatory (tidal volume, breathing frequency) and systemic (gross mechanical efficiency, O2 cost) parameters, between two maximal endurance protocols, the first one consisting of a constant-load test (100% MAP) and the second one a decremental test at near-maximal aerobic capacity (> 95 % VO2max). Indeed, compared to a “classical” constant-power output test, a decremental test implies the use of VO2 rather than mechanical PO to control intensity throughout the task, and a higher effort duration. Consequently, we observed that the sustainment of maximal O2 consumption rather than maximal aerobic power (MAP) led to different physiological responses from those usually observed during constant-power output tests. These differences were caracterized by a higher breathing frequency as well as a lower tidal volume during the decremental test, which both reflect a more exagerated tachypneic response, and therefore indicate the existence of a shallower breathing pattern in this type of effort, probably due to a higher ventilatory muscle fatigue. This fatigue could also be expressed through a lower gross mechanical efficiency and a higher O2 cost, despite a progressive decrease of mechanical power as soon as oxygen consumption gets near VO2max.
348

Srovnání zdanění příjmů ze závislé činnosti v České republice a Spolkové republice Německo / A comparison of taxation of income from employment in the Czech Republic and the Federal Republic of Germany

Smetana, Václav January 2012 (has links)
- A comparison of the taxation of income from employment in the Czech Republic and the Federal Republic of Germany The main objective of this thesis is to compare the taxation of income from dependent activities (especially from employment) in the Czech Republic and the Federal Republic of Germany. The thesis consists of an introduction, five chapters and a conclusion. Chapter One is rather theoretical and deals with general terms of the tax theory. The term "dependent activity" is defined in chapter two. Chapter Three compares and contrasts the components of individual income tax in both countries. Chapter Four offers a brief and simplified comparison of the tax burden of an individual in the Czech Republic and the Federal Republic of Germany. The last chapter is concerned with double taxation and its prevention. The tax rate in Germany is higher than in the Czech Republic. Nevertheless, the German tax system takes more into account the individual tax payer's ability to pay taxes as well as his specific social situation. A more complicated tax system like that, however, demands very high standards from the state administration. When an employee is working abroad, it is essential to determine his tax residence - limited or unlimited tax liability - in order to properly calculate his income tax....
349

Essais sur les déterminants des dépenses publiques en France, Allemagne, Italie, et Royaume-Uni (UE-04), du XIXe siècle à nos jours / Essays on the determinants of public expenditure in France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom (UE-04), from the 19th century to the present day

Bonati, Charles 24 October 2013 (has links)
L'objet de ce travail est d'analyser, du XIXe siècle à 2010, les déterminants politico-économiques du niveau des dépenses publiques, exprimé en pourcentage du PIB, pour les quatre principaux pays de l'Union européenne. (la France, l'Allemagne, l'Italie et le Royaume-Uni ; groupe que l'on notera « UE-04 »). Dans le chapitre 1, nous présentons les différentes mesures de la « taille de l'État », et mettons en évidence la croissance des dépenses publiques depuis le début du XIXe siècle. Nous recensons et testons les principaux modèles monofactoriels de détermination du niveau des dépenses publiques : loi de Wagner, modèle de développement de Rostow, effet de déplacement de Peacock et Wiseman, Granger-causalité entre dépenses et recettes, et interactions budgétaires internationales. Ces modèles ne peuvent expliquer que partiellement et superficiellement l'évolution séculaire des dépenses : ils sont trop simples pour appréhender la profonde complexité des processus. Les niveaux de dépenses publiques sont de plus en plus interdépendants, du fait de l'intensification du processus de globalisation. Ils varient de plus en plus de manière similaire : ce co-mouvement (ou cycle international) est probablement lié à l'émergence d'un « fédéralisme budgétaire européen » et à l'amplification de l'intégration. Enfin, ils ne semblent pas converger, du fait de la persistance de fortes et anciennes différences, notamment institutionnelles. Le chapitre 2 propose une première étude systématique des épisodes de baisse des dépenses publiques depuis le XIXe siècle. Après une recension de la littérature, nous procédons à une analyse quantitative. Le nombre d'années de hausse des dépenses est approximativement égal à celui des baisses. En revanche, l'intensité moyenne des hausses est supérieure à celle des baisses. Ces mouvements sont de plus en plus coordonnés entre les économies. La chronique politico-économique atteste que le PIB et les dépenses liées aux guerres constituent des facteurs fondamentaux, et que sur la période contemporaine les configurations institutionnelles et la volonté des dirigeants politiques exercent une influence essentielle. Enfin, les épisodes de baisse durable sont peu nombreux et sont généralement mis en œuvre lorsque la conjoncture économique est favorable, par des réductions opérées dans les trois grandes catégories de dépenses publiques : consommation, investissement et transferts. Dans le chapitre 3, nous effectuons une ample recension de la littérature sur les déterminants des dépenses publiques. Il existe plusieurs dizaines de facteurs potentiels. Les processus de détermination des dépenses publiques étant très complexes, le contenu interprétatif des modèles théoriques est limité. La littérature néglige deux éléments pourtant désormais fondamentaux : les interactions budgétaires entre les pays, et l'influence des institutions de l'Union européenne. Le creusement de la dette et la crise des finances publiques ont conduit à une homogénéisation des gouvernements : les décisions budgétaires sont désormais largement déconnectées du positionnement idéologique des dirigeants ainsi que du niveau de soutien dont ils disposent. Une analyse économétrique en panel des déterminants des catégories de dépenses publiques sur la période 1992-2010 pour l'UE-04 indique que la croissance du PIB agit de manière significativement négative. Les autres variables politico-économiques traditionnelles peinent à expliquer les évolutions des dépenses. Un panel dynamique permet d'apprécier le rôle joué par la variable dépendante retardée. Pour le total des dépenses publiques, il existe une force de rappel, pour laquelle les transferts jouent un rôle prépondérant. / The purpose of this thesis is to analyze, from the 19th century to 2010, the politico-economic determinants of the public expenditures level, expressed in percentage of GDP, of the four major European countries. (France, Germany, Italy, and United Kingdom; group that will be abbreviated "UE-04") In Chapter 1, a presentation of the various measures of the "size of government" is undertaken, and the increase of public expenditures since the 19th century is highlighted. The most important monofactorial models determining public expenditures are reviewed and tested: Wagner's law, Rostow's development model, Peacock and Wiseman's Displacement effect, Granger causality between expenditures and receipts, and international budgetary interactions. These models can only explain partially and superficially the long-term evolution of expenditures: they are too simple to grasp the deep complexity of the determination processes. Public expenditures levels are more and more interdependent, because of the intensification of the globalization process. The levels vary more and more in a similar way: this comovement (or international cycle) is probably linked to the emergence of a "European budgetary federalism" and to the expansion of the integration. Finally, they do not seem to converge, because of the persistence of strong and old differences, especially institutional ones. Chapter 2 is a first systematic analysis of the episodes of the public expenditures' reduction from the 19th century. The literature is reviewed, and a quantitative analysis is carried out. The number of years of increase is approximately equal to the number of years of reduction. Nonetheless, the average intensity of increases is greater than the average intensity of reductions. These movements are more and more coordinated across economies. The politico-economic chronicles establishes that GDP and war-related expenditures are fundamental factors, and that in the contemporary period the institutional configurations and the will of the political leaders exert a major influence. Finally, there are few episodes of sustainable reduction. They are generally implemented when the overall economic situation is favorable, and cuts are then employed in the three major categories of public expenditures: consumption, investment, and transfers. In Chapter 3, the abundant literature related to the determinants of public expenditures is reviewed. There are several dozens of potential factors. The determination process of the public expenditures is very complex, and thus the interpretive content of theoretical models is rather limited. The literature disregards two elements that are henceforth fundamental: the budgetary interactions between countries, and the influence of the institutions of the European Union. The growing public debt and the public finance crisis have led to a homogenization of governments: budgetary decisions are henceforth largely unrelated to the ideological orientation of political leaders, as well as to the level of popularity that these leaders enjoy. An econometric analysis of panel data is performed to study the determinants of the main categories of public expenditures on the period 1992-2010 for the UE-04. GDP growth's impact is significantly negative. The other traditional politico-economic variables barely explain the evolution of public expenditures. The role played by the lagged dependent variable is estimated using a dynamic panel. There is a restoring force for the total of public expenditures, for which the transfers play a paramount role.
350

Nové členské země eurozóny: aktuální vývoj a perspektivy / New euro area member states: actual advancement and pespectives

Pražanová, Pavlína January 2010 (has links)
The aim of this graduation theses is an evaluation of the economic advancement of the last five euro area countries, i.e. Slovenia, Cyprus, Malta, Slovakia and Estonia, in the context of the decaying world's economic crisis and adumbration the possible perspectives of their next economic advancement. The thesis is structured into five chapters (according to countries), whereas the structure is always the same - introductory subchapter evaluates the way to euro area by convergence reports of EC and ECB, the second one predicates current economic advancement by chosen economic indicators from Eurostat and the last one implies expected advancement by EC Autumn forecast 2010.

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