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Främja resiliens i den svenska stadsplaneringen mot urbana värmeöar : En fallstudie av Gävle, Sundsvall och Uppsala stadReuithe, Karin, von Friesendorff, Filip January 2024 (has links)
Klimatförändringarnas påverkan på stadsmiljöer blir alltmer påtagligt med ökande frekvenser av extrema väderfenomen, vilket kräver resilienta städer med förmågan att anpassas till framtida störningar. Urbaniseringen förtätar städerna och leder till mer hårdgjord mark och minskad vegetation som kan resultera i fenomenet urbana värmeöar. Fenomenet koncentrerar och förlänger värmen i städer, vilket hotarmänniskors hälsa, särskilt under extrema värmeböljor. Värmeöar är väldokumenterade globalt men är en förbisedd fråga i Sverige. Examensarbetets syfte var därför att öka förståelsen kring värmeöar för svenska kommuner och myndigheter med exempel från städerna Gävle, Sundsvall och Uppsala. Målen var att föreslå resilienta planeringsåtgärder som både kan förbättra det pågående arbetet mot värmeöar samt nya inslag från internationell forskning.Studiens metoder var litteraturstudie, dokumentstudie av översiktsplaner (ÖP) samtintervjuer. En spatial multikriterieanalys (MKA) användes för att skapa farokartor av var värmeöar kan uppstå. Kriterier valdes genom litteratur, viktades med analytisk hierarkiprocess samt genomgick en känslighetsanalys. Farokartorna valideradessedan med Myndigheten för samhällsskydd och beredskaps (MSB) värmekartering. Resultaten visade att värmeöar behandlades på en övergripande nivå i ÖP. Varierade kunskaper om fenomenet framkom av respondenter från både kommuner och myndigheter. Flera utmaningar, möjligheter och planeringsåtgärder identifierades iarbetet mot värmeöar. Resiliens framhölls som ett nyckelkoncept i stadsplaneringen för att beakta olika klimatrisker där värmeöar är ett exempel. Litteraturstudien gav förslag på resilienta planeringsåtgärder i arbetet mot värmeöar som kan användas i svensk stadsplanering, vilka sedan sammanställdes. För att skapa resilienta städer krävs både reduceringsåtgärder (minska den byggda miljöns påverkan på stadsvärme)samt hanteringsåtgärder (förebyggande arbeten för att minska människors värmeexponering). Farokartorna visade att värmeöar framför allt kan uppstå i bostads-, handels- och industriområden. MKA som metod för kartläggning av värmeöar överensstämdedelvis med marktemperaturer från MSB:s värmekartering. Slutsatsen av studien var att värmeöar behöver uppmärksammas mer i den svenska stadsplaneringen. Utmaningarna inkluderade att inkorporera värmefrågor i befintlig bebyggelse, medan möjligheterna fanns i fler planeringsunderlag och detaljerade kartläggningar. Främjandet av resiliens, särskilt genom reducerings- och hanteringsåtgärder,behöver utvecklas i Sverige för att stärka planeringsarbetet mot värmeöar i både nutida och framtida stadsplanering. / The impact of climate change on urban environments is becoming increasinglyapparent with higher frequencies of extreme weather phenomena, which requires resilient cities with the ability to adapt to future disturbances. Urbanization densifies cities and leads to more hard surfaces and reduced vegetation which can result in urban heat islands (UHI). This phenomenon concentrates and prolongs heat in citieswhich threatens human health, especially during extreme heat waves. UHI are well documented globally but are an overlooked issue in Sweden. The aim of the study was therefore to increase the understanding of UHI for Swedish municipalities and authorities with examples from the cities of Gävle, Sundsvall and Uppsala. The goals were to propose resilient planning measures that can both improve the ongoing work against UHI as well as new elements from international research. The study's methods were a literature study, a document study of comprehensive plans (översiktsplan) and interviews. A spatial multicriteriaanalysis (MCA) was used to create hazard maps of where UHI can occur. Criteria were selected through literature, weighted using analytic hierarchy process and underwent a sensitivity analysis. The hazard maps were validated with the Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency’s (MSB) heat mapping. The results showed that UHI were treated at an overall level in comprehensiveplans. Varied knowledge about the phenomenon emerged from respondents from both municipalities and authorities. Several challenges, opportunities and planning measures were identified in the work against UHI. Resilience was highlighted as a key concept in urban planning to consider various climate risks where UHI are an example. The literature study provided suggestions for resilient planning measures in the work against UHI that can be used in Swedish urban planning, which were then compiled. To create resilient cities, both reduction measures (reducing the built environment's impact on urban heat) and management measures (preventive work to reduce people's heat exposure) are required. The hazard maps showed that UHI mainly occur in residential, commercial and industrial areas. MCA as a method for UHI mapping partially matches ground temperatures from MSB's heat mapping. The conclusion of the study was that UHIneed more attention in Swedish urban planning. Challenges included incorporating heating issues into existing buildings, while the opportunities were in more planning documents and detailed mapping. The promotion of resilience, especially through reduction and management measures, needs to be developed in Sweden to strengthen the planning against UHI in both present-day and future urban planning.
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Sustainable urban agriculture and forestation : the edible connected cityDurant, Valerie A. 12 July 2013 (has links)
Current global agricultural practices are recognized as unsustainable. The increase in overall human population as well as the global trend of rural to urban migration, partially as a result of historically and continual unsustainable agricultural practices, exacerbates the vicious cycle of poverty and hunger in developing countries. Furthermore, cities and regions in developed countries practice unsustainable food production, distribution and consumption patterns, and as a result, exceed their global ecological footprint (Rees 2009). Consequently, the world is facing a global food (FAO 2009) and water crisis (UN Sick Water 2010). Cities and Regions must learn to feed themselves to address local food insecurity as well as protect from the climate effects of increased urbanization, including the Urban Heat Island effect (UHIe) by optimizing and fully integrating the local ecosystem services of food, water and forest within a tightly woven compact urban form through the implementation of strategic urban and regional food system planning. Cities can mitigate climate change and reduce the UHIe, by implementing sustainable intensive urban agriculture approaches through policy and zoning interventions that include concepts such as intensively productive urban agriculture that includes green roofs, vertical farming and greenways as continuously productive and edible urban landscapes, referred to in this paper as continuously productive urban agriculture and forestation (CPUAF) in the private and public realm. A highly participative, adaptive systems approach is explored as the key to sustainability within an economic world order that included corporate social responsibility and social enterprise as the foundation for the integration of multiple synergies. An increasing body of evidence often links urban forestation with urban greenery initiatives, as a carbon sink to reduce UHI effects, to reduce GHG emissions and as a tool for urban beautification and place making (ISDR: 2009,109). Urban agriculture, through the production of local food is increasingly recognized as a means to reduce fossil fuel emissions by reducing transportation and production outputs, to provide a secure local food source, enhance biodiversity and educate the public regarding food source while fostering a sense of community, environmental awareness and stewardship. This thesis explores the links between intensive urban agriculture and forestation, and the relationship between climate change, and the UHI’s as an adaptation and mitigation process in global cities, implemented as a interconnected, integrated, holistic urban management approach that has a further benefit of providing food security and a sustainable and local urban food source. / Dissertation (MTRP)--University of Pretoria, 2012. / Town and Regional Planning / unrestricted
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Identifying enhanced urban heat island convection areas for Indianapolis, Indiana using space-borne thermal remote sensing methodsBoyd, Kelly D. 02 April 2015 (has links)
Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis (IUPUI) / Heat is one of the most important factors in our atmosphere for precipitation (thunderstorm) formation. Thermal energy from local urban land-cover is also a common source of heat in the lower atmosphere. This phenomenon is known as the urban heat island effect (UHI) and is identified as a substantial cause to a changing climate in surface weather modification. The proceeding study investigates this connection between the UHI and surface weather using remote sensing platforms A ten-year analysis of the Indianapolis UHI and thunderstorms were studied from the summer months of May, June, July, August and September (MJJAS) from 2002 until 2011. LANDSAT space borne satellite technology and land-surface based weather radar technology was used in this analysis for thunderstorm investigation. Precipitation areas identified from land-based NEXRAD WSR-88D technology were used to identify convection from non-synoptic forcing and non-normal surface diurnal heating scenarios. Only convection appearing from the UHI were studied and analyzed. Results showed twenty-one events over eighteen days with the year 2005 and 2011 having the largest frequency of events. The month of August had the largest concentration with seven events during the late afternoon hours. UHI results showed July had the largest heat island magnitude with April and September having the lowest magnitude in UHI temperatures. Three events of the twenty-one storm paths did not had a significant mean temperature difference in the heat island below the storm reflectivity. The nineteen storm paths that were significant had a warmer area underneath storm path development by an average 6.2°C than surrounding areas. UHI initiation points showed twelve of the twenty-one events having statistically significant differences between 2 km initiation areas and the rest of the study areas. Land-cover results showed low intensity developed areas had the most land-cover type (48%) in the 2km initiation buffer regions.
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Processus d'acquisition de nouvelles connaissances en urbanisme : le cas de l'îlot de chaleur urbainPerreault, Simon 08 1900 (has links)
Dans le contexte du changement climatique, la chaleur est, depuis le début des années 2000, une préoccupation grandissante, d’abord en tant qu’enjeu sanitaire puis comme problématique affectant la qualité de vie des citoyens. Au Québec, le concept d’îlot de chaleur urbain, issu de la climatologie urbaine, a graduellement émergé dans le discours des autorités et de certains acteurs de l’aménagement. Or, on constate l’existence d’un certain décalage entre les connaissances scientifiques et l’interprétation qu’en font les urbanistes. Dans le cadre de ce mémoire, on a tenté d’identifier les facteurs explicatifs de ce décalage en s’intéressant au processus d’acquisition des connaissances des urbanistes québécois. Par le biais d’entretiens réalisés auprès des principaux acteurs ayant contribué à l’émergence de l’ICU au Québec, on a été en mesure d’identifier les éléments ayant entraîné certaines distorsions des connaissances. L’absence d’interdisciplinarité entre la climatologie urbaine et l’urbanisme tout au long du processus d’acquisition des connaissances ainsi qu’une interprétation tronquée de la carte des températures de surface expliquent principalement la nature du décalage observé. / In the context of current debates on climate change, heat has become a growing concern since the early 2000s, as it impacts people’s health and quality of life. As an element of urban climatology, the concept of urban heat islands emerged as a standard reference used by a number of Quebec scholars and practitioners in environmental management. However, there appears to be certain discrepancies between our current scientific knowledge and its interpretation by urban planners. The objective of this thesis is to better understand the factors that explain this discrepancy, through a study of knowledge acquisition among Quebec urban planners. Using a series of interviews with key actors in the emerging field of UHI’s in Quebec, it has been possible to identify the elements that caused distortions in knowledge transfer. Generally, the lack of interdisciplinarity in the areas of urban climatology and planning throughout the knowledge acquisition process, as well as a partial understanding of the surface temperature maps, help explain the nature of these discrepancies.
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Contribution à l'analyse de la prise en compte du climat urbain dans les différents moyens d'intervention sur la ville / Contribution to the analysis of various means to take into account urban climate in urban planningColombert, Morgane 08 December 2008 (has links)
Le milieu urbain est à l'origine de processus radiatifs, thermiques, dynamiques et hydriques qui modifient le climat de la ville. La couche superficielle du sol, avec la présence plus ou moins importante de surfaces végétales ou d’eau, les activités humaines qui induisent des rejets de chaleur et de polluants, et la structure urbaine, avec des matériaux de construction et une certaine morphologie du cadre bâti, sont les principaux facteurs de cette modification. Le bilan d'énergie thermique permet d'appréhender la majorité des perturbations générées par la ville. A l'aide du schéma Town Energy Balance, développé par Météo-France pour paramétrer les échanges en énergie et en eau entre les surfaces bâties et l'atmosphère, nous avons effectué des tests de sensibilité du bilan d'énergie à différents facteurs. Ces facteurs appartiennent à cinq domaines d'actions : le bâtiment, l'espace public, l'organisation urbaine, les activités industrielles et les transports. Nos différentes simulations ont permis de confirmer le rôle prédominant des paramètres radiatifs dans le bilan d'énergie de la ville en été. Durant l'hiver, ce sont d’autres paramètres thermiques (isolation) qui ont la plus grande influence. Les collectivités territoriales françaises ont à leur disposition plusieurs outils et moyens pour agir en faveur de leur environnement climatique et intégrer des facteurs influant sur le climat urbain : leurs domaines de compétence directe (voirie, bâtiments communaux, espaces verts, etc.), les documents stratégiques d'orientation (SCOT et PLU), les procédures d'aménagement (ZAC et lotissement), l'incitation et l'information de leurs citoyens et de leurs services (Agenda 21 local, Plan Climat Territorial, Approche Environnementale de l'Urbanisme). Elles ne peuvent cependant pas agir avec une liberté suffisante, compte tenu des limites contraignantes entre droit de l’urbanisme et droit de la construction et de l’habitat / Urbanization, with artificial surfaces replacing natural land, more anthropogenic heat and urban geometry, modifies the micro and meso scale climate. Such modifications do alter the radiative, thermal, moisture and aerodynamics properties of the urban environment. The study of energy balance could help understanding most of these changes. In this thesis, we used the urban surface exchange parameterization of Météo-France: Town Energy Balance, which computes water and energy exchanges between urban surfaces and atmosphere. In order to study the significance of different factors, we made a sensivity study. Factors are filed in five fields: building, public space, land use, industrial activities and transports. Our simulations showed that radiative parameters are the most influential during the summer. During winter, other thermal parameters (insulation) are the most influential. French local authorities could use several tools and means to act in favor of their climatic environment: their fields of direct jurisdiction (roads, parks, buildings which are owned by the community, etc.), guidance documents (SCOT and PLU), development procedures (urban development zone and building plotting), and incitement and pieces of information for their citizens and their agencies (local Agenda 21, Plan Climat, Approche Environnementale de l'Urbanisme). They can not work completely freely because of the boundary between urban planning law and building and dwelling law
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A rela??o entre o fator de vis?o do c?u e a temperatura do ar em diferentes zonas clim?ticas locais / The relationship between the sky view factor and air temperature across different local climate zonesSoeira, Marcelo Rezende Cal?a 28 January 2019 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2019-01-28 / Coordena??o de Aperfei?oamento de Pessoal de N?vel Superior - CAPES / The objective of this research was to estimate and compare the Sky View
Factor (SVF) and Urban Heat Island Intensity (UHII) correlation across different
Local Climate Zones (LCZs) situated in the city of Campinas, S?o Paulo, Brazil.
The SVF consists of an non dimensional parameter which describes the ratio of
visible sky from a given point in space. In the urban environment, SVF values are
strongly related to buildings density and height. Also strongly related to the
densification and verticalization of the urban tissue is the Urban Heat Island
phenomenon, which is characterized by the elevation of air temperature in urban
environments as a result of its impact on the surface energy balance. For this
reason, research has been conducted in many countries to investigate the
correlation between SVF and the UHII. To evaluate the effects of urban tissue
composition on these correlations, however, systematic methods for detecting
and reporting such composition are required. Employing the Local Climate Zones
method, which classifies urban areas as climate zones according to their
structural typology and surface cover, this research evaluated SVF-UHII
correlation variations across different built up areas of the same city. Combining
mobile measurements and stationary monitoring devices a map of the nocturnal
UHII at the research site was obtained. According to seven parameters (H/W
ratio; SVF; Built area; Permeable area; Impermeable area; Height of roughness
elements; And roughness class), obtained by geoprocessing, eleven LCZs were
identified at the site. Nocturnal UHII linear regressions were calculated for SVF
values (point and 100m radius average values were used) at eight LCZs classes.
At compact low, low-high, mid-low and high-mid rise LCZs (3, 31, 23 and 12), with
SVF values between 0,20 and 0,45, the approximate air temperature increase
ranged from 1,5 up to 2,2?C. At compact low and mid-low rise LCZs (3 and 23),
with SVF values between 0,45 and 0,7, the approximate air temperature increase
ranged from 0,7 up to 1,2?C. For sparsely built low rise LCZs (6), with SVF
between 0,60 and 0,90, the approximate air temperature variation ranged from -
0,2 up to 0,0?C. From these results it was concluded that the correlation between
SVF and UHII is influenced by the morphological and superficial composition of
the urban tissue. Hence, to effectively utilize SVF in UHI mitigation strategies,
these influences should be considered. / A presente pesquisa teve como objetivo estimar e comparar as
correla??es entre o FVC e a varia??o da temperatura do ar encontradas em
diferentes zonas clim?ticas situadas em um recorte da cidade de Campinas- SP.
O fator de vis?o do c?u (FVC) ? um par?metro adimensional utilizado para
descrever a propor??o de c?u vis?vel, em um determinado local, a partir do n?vel
do solo. No ambiente urbano, seu valor est? fortemente relacionado ao grau de
compacta??o e verticaliza??o da malha construtiva. Outro fen?meno relacionado
ao grau de compacta??o e verticaliza??o da malha urbana ? o fen?meno da Ilha
de Calor Urbana (ICU), caracterizado pela reten??o do calor absorvido no
ambiente constru?do. Por este motivo, ? grande o n?mero de pesquisas que
estudam a correla??o entre o FVC e o fen?meno da Ilha de Calor Urbana em
diversas cidades do mundo. Atrav?s de m?todos sistem?ticos para o
reconhecimento e documenta??o de heterogeneidades da malha urbana, como
o m?todo das Zonas Clim?ticas Locais (LCZs), que classifica ?reas urbanas em
zonas clim?ticas locais de acordo com sua tipologia construtiva e cobertura de
superf?cies, tornou-se poss?vel avaliar a varia??o desta correla??o em um
contexto intramunicipal. Atrav?s de campanhas de medi??es m?veis e de pontos
fixos de monitoramento, a intensidade da ilha de calor urbana na ?rea de estudo
foi avaliada. A ?rea de estudo foi classificada em onze LCZs de acordo com sete
par?metros urban?sticos obtidos por geoprocessamento (rela??o altura-largura,
FVC, ?rea edificada, ?rea imperme?vel, ?rea perme?vel, altura m?dia dos
elementos de rugosidade e classe de rugosidade). Regress?es lineares foram
estabelecidas entre a intensidade da ICU ?s 21:00 e valores de FVC (pontuais e
m?dios para um raio de 100m) em ?reas de an?lise correspondentes a oito LCZs.
Para valores de FVC entre 0,20 e 0,45, a eleva??o aproximada da temperatura
do ar em LCZs de arranjo compacto e verticaliza??o baixa a m?dia-alta ? 1,5 a
2,2 ?C; para valores de FVC entre 0,45 e 0,7 em LCZs de arranjo compacto e
verticaliza??o baixa e m?dia-baixa, a eleva??o aproximada da temperatura do ar
foi de 0,7 a 1,5 ?C; e para valores de FVC entre 0,60 e 0,90 em LCZs de arranjo
esparso e verticaliza??o baixa, a varia??o aproximada da temperatura do ar foi
de 0,0 a -0,2 ?C. Assim, conclui-se que a influ?ncia do FVC na eleva??o da
temperatura do ar em ?reas urbanizadas varia conforme a composi??o
morfol?gica e superficial do tecido urbano. Para que o FVC seja utilizado
efetivamente em estrat?gias de mitiga??o da ICU, essa rela??o deve ser
considerada.
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On the modelling of solar radiation in urban environments – applications of geomatics and climatology towards climate action in VictoriaKrasowski, Christopher B. 04 October 2019 (has links)
Modelling solar radiation data at a high spatiotemporal resolution for an urban environment can inform many different applications related to climate action, such as urban agriculture, forest, building, and renewable energy studies. However, the complexity of urban form, vastness of city-wide coverage, and general dearth of climatological information pose unique challenges doing so. To address some climate action goals related to reducing building emissions in the City of Victoria, British Columbia, Canada, applied geomatics and climatology were used to model solar radiation data suitable for informing renewable energy feasibility studies, including photovoltaic system sizing, costing, carbon offsets, and financial payback.
The research presents a comprehensive review of solar radiation attenuates, as well as methods of accounting for them, specifically in urban environments. A novel methodology is derived from the review and integrates existing models, data, and tools – those typically available to a local government. Using Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR), a solar climatology, Esri’s ArcGIS Solar Analyst tool, and Python scripting, daily insolation (kWh/m2) maps are produced for the city of Victoria.
Particular attention is paid to the derivation of daily diffuse fraction from atmospheric clearness indices, as well as LiDAR classification and generation of a Digital Surface Model (DSM). Novel and significant improvements in computation time are realized through parallel processing. Model results exhibit strong correlation with empirical data and support the use of Solar Analyst for urban solar assessments when great care is taken to accurately and consistently represent model inputs and outputs integrated in a methodological approach. / Graduate
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La isla de calor urbana de superficie y sus factores condicionantes: El caso del área metropolitana de SantiagoSarricolea Espinoza, Pablo 05 October 2012 (has links)
Se ha sintetizado la información de las temperaturas de emisión superficial obtenidas mediante 53 imágenes del satélite Terra MODIS, aplicando para ello promedios anuales y estacionales de las temperaturas estandarizadas, y reducción de las imágenes a factores complejos de los patrones espaciales usando Análisis de Componentes Principales (ACP); finalmente, se han realizado mapas de diferencias térmicas para conocer la intensidad de la isla de calor urbana de superficie (ICUs) estacional y anual. Los resultados muestran que la isla de calor tiende a localizar el máximo térmico en las comunas de Santiago, Providencia, Las Condes, Ñuñoa y Vitacura, conformando un núcleo cálido asociado a la mayor densidad construida; además, las comunas de Huechuraba y Quilicura conforman otro núcleo cálido, el que está asociado a viviendas de alto nivel de ingresos en el primer caso e industrias en el caso de Quilicura. El ACP revela cuatro patrones típicos, que explican el 90,6% de las situaciones, a saber: ICUs consolidada (44,5%), ICUs del piedmont y cuña de altos ingresos (22,3%), un tipo sin isla de calor urbana (20,2%) e ICUs más intensa al sur (3,6%). Finalmente, la intensidad de la isla de calor urbana de superficie es de mayor magnitud durante el otoño (7,4ºC), seguida de verano (5,9ºC), primavera (5,4ºC) e invierno (5,0ºC); incluso en verano y otoño supera los 7ºC en la zona oriente de la ciudad. De las situaciones sin isla de calor, se ha sugerido la hipótesis de efecto sumidero de calor o «urban heat sink», asociado a fuerte brisa de la Cordillera de Los Andes, que barre la ICUs y la desplaza al poniente de la ciudad, lo que en días de contaminación por material particulado (PM10) tendría efectos nocivos sobre la salud de la población de esa parte de la ciudad.
Además, se modela la isla de calor urbana de superficie (ICUs) en función de una serie de variables geográficas y urbanas, con el propósito de plantear alternativas para la mitigación de los efectos negativos que las ICUs provocan a los habitantes de la ciudad de Santiago. Además, se entregan algunas directrices para una planificación territorial más sostenible. En total se utilizaron 42 mapas de isla de calor del año 2010, los cuales se generaron con imágenes satelitales Terra MODIS. Ellos fueron sintetizados en cinco cartografías, un mapa anual y cuatro correspondientes a las estaciones del año. Las variables explicativas para predecir la isla de calor fueron nueve: densidad de población y construida, elevación topográfica, NDVI, albedo, radiación solar y las distancias euclidianas al centro, la costa y los ríos y esteros. Los resultados de los modelos de regresión lineal múltiple por pasos indican coeficientes de determinación entre 47,39% y 80,08% (invierno y verano respectivamente). Las variables explicativas más influyentes son el albedo y el NDVI (relación negativa), y la densidad construida (relación positiva). Al modificar las variables que explican la ICUs se podría variar la intensidad de ella, por ejemplo: al aumentar de 10.000 m2 a 20.000 m2 construidos por hectárea la temperatura deberá aumentar entre 1ºC y 2ºC; implementando de áreas verdes un espacio sin vegetación, la isla de calor se verá reducida entre 1,2ºC y 5,5ºC; y al modificar el albedo de la ciudad desde un 10% a un 20% se consigue una reducción de la ICUs entre 1,1ºC y 2,7ºC.
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以風環境與熱環境觀點模擬社區規劃之適宜性- 台北市健康社區為例 / CFD Simulation of The Suitability of Jian-Kang Community from The Perspective of Thermal and Wind Environment陳建宏, Chen, Chien Hung Unknown Date (has links)
林憲德等人於1999年提出台北夏季午夜之都市熱島強度為4.5℃,至2012年簡子翔等人所提出夏季白天最大熱島強度6.18℃、午夜4.38℃,可以發現台北市的高溫化現象並未有顯著的差異,甚至還新增加了多個新興熱區。
本研究以健康新城為研究對象,以實測方式、CFD電腦模擬方法,釐清社區建築環繞下,社區內的高溫化現象,並與社區外的街道環境比較溫度差異,評估熱舒適性。研究結果顯示,建築環繞下的社區內部(社區中庭),在日落後的確有高溫化現象,白天時則會因為各社區的遮蔽條件、綠化條件不同,而有不同程度的差別。而模擬結果亦顯示,社區開口條件、通風道配置不同,也會影響社區中庭與外部周邊街道環境之舒適性差異。
建議未來社區的建築規劃設計,除了增加綠化措施之外,尚能適度增加開放空間,增加通風性能;而公部門在訂定法定容積時,應考量都市環境因素(增加遮蔽、通風),酌以調整已達優良的都市實質環境。 / According to Urban Heat Island’s studies by Lin et al. (1999) and Chien et al. (2012), urban heat island intensity (UHIs) of Taipei didn’t get an obvious improvement from 1999 to 2012. UHIs of Taipei was 4.5℃ in the midnight in 1999, 4.38℃ in the midnight in 2012 and 6.18℃ in the daytimes in 2012. Obviously, there are several high temperature area appeared in the years.
This study tries to measure the thermal comfort between the area inside Jian-Kang community and the streets’ environment around Jian-Kang community. Furthermore, this study utilize CFD simulation that can help the study knows the reason effects thermal comfort. As the result of the study, the area inside Jian-Kang community has higher temperature after sunset. In the morning, it will have difference due to the shadow and green situation. Also, the simulation results show that the draft condition of the community will influence the thermal comfort.
In the future, this study suggests some strategy to have a better urban environment. First, increase much more greening measures. Second, preserve open spaces to improve the ventilation when deciding the community’s design. Third, consider the urban environmental factors when rule the building’s height.
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Three Essays on Energy Economics and ForecastingShin, Yoon Sung 2011 December 1900 (has links)
This dissertation contains three independent essays relating energy economics. The first essay investigates price asymmetry of diesel in South Korea by using the error correction model. Analyzing weekly market prices in the pass-through of crude oil, this model shows asymmetric price response does not exist at the upstream market but at the downstream market. Since time-variant residuals are found by the specified models for both weekly and daily retail prices at the downstream level, these models are implemented by a Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) process. The estimated results reveal that retail prices increase fast in the rise of crude oil prices but decrease slowly in the fall of those. Surprisingly, retail prices rarely respond to changes of crude oil prices for the first five days. Based on collusive behaviors of retailers, this price asymmetry in Korea diesel market is explained.
The second essay aims to evaluate the new incentive system for biodiesel in South Korea, which keeps the blend mandate but abolishes tax credits for government revenues. To estimate changed welfare from the new policy, a multivariate stochastic simulation method is applied into time-series data for the last five years. From the simulation results, the new biodiesel policy will lead government revenues to increases with the abolishment of tax credit. However, increased prices of blended diesel will cause to decrease demands of both biodiesel and blended diesel, so consumer and producer surplus in the transport fuel market will decrease.
In the third essay, the Regression - Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (REGSARIMA) model is employed to predict the impact of air temperature on daily peak load demand in Houston. Compared with ARIMA and Seasonal Model, a REGARIMA model provides the more accurate prediction for daily peak load demand for the short term. The estimated results reveal air temperature in the Houston areas causes an increase in electricity consumption for cooling but to save that for heating. Since the daily peak electricity consumption is significantly affected by hot air temperature, this study makes a conclusion that it is necessary to establish policies to reduce urban heat island phenomena in Houston.
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