Lorsque la victoire n’est à la portée d’aucun groupe et que la paix se fait par compromis les institutions politiques, les règles et les normes qui régissent l’autorité politique, deviennent les principaux enjeux des débats politiques. Cette thèse cherche à comprendre pourquoi la paix négociée est si chaotique. Elle démontre que la reconstruction politique suit un cycle enchainant des phases de blocage, de débat (transformation) et de crise (contestation). Ce processus est profondément influencé par l’importance des divisions sociopolitiques et la complexité de l’environnement international. Lorsque l’espace politique est fortement divisé et l’environnement international conflictuel, comme dans le cas du Liban et de la Bosnie-et-Herzégovine, ce cycle est accéléré par la multiplicité des connexions transnationales possibles. Ces deux processus de reconstruction ont initialement été bloqués, puis réactivés avec la formation de coalitions transnationales cherchant à renforcer l’État central. Ces initiatives ont connu des succès limités, mais elles ont donné lieu à des démarches de négociations multipartites inédites. Néanmoins, dans le cas du Liban comme dans celui de la Bosnie, le processus de réforme a rapidement cédé la place à une crise politique. Ce changement de climat politique s’explique par la difficulté de maintenir le dialogue politique lorsqu’il y a discordance parmi les acteurs étrangers, par le désengagement international et l’exercice de pressions pour atteindre certains objectifs sans avoir l’appui politique nécessaire. Cette dégradation des conditions de la coopération amène un rééquilibrage politique ainsi qu’un retour des idées radicales. / When war ends with a settlement, political institutions, norms and rules defining authority, are the main topics of conflict. The aim of this thesis is to understand why in this context reconstruction is so messy. It demonstrates that political reconstruction follows a cycle which alternates between phases of status quo, debate (transformation), and crisis (contestation). This process is primarily influenced by the degree of societal division and of complexity of the international environment. When the political space is deeply divided and the international environment conflictual, as it is the cases of Lebanon and Bosnia-and-Herzegovina, the cycle speeds up because of the multiple possibilities of transnational connections. These two processes were at first frozen, and were reactivated a few years later by transnational coalitions. These coalitions promoted state-building reforms which succeeded in pushing reforms forward, and gave way to multilateral negotiations unseen since the end of the war. However, this transformative period soon gave rise to contestation that made way for a political crisis, followed by a return to a new status quo. This change in political climate can be best explained by the disengagement of interveners supporting state-building measures, and by external pressures to speed up reforms. It weakened pro-reform coalitions and supported the return to more radical political objectives.

La République Populaire de Chine, appelée communément Chine, connaît la plus grande croissance économique soutenue des pays en développement (PED) de la dernière décennie. Alors que la plupart des PED peinent à trouver le chemin de la croissance, le modèle de développement économique de la Chine fait de plus en plus des envieux en Afrique. Fort de cette réussite, la Chine se positionne désormais comme un partenaire et un investisseur de premier plan pour les pays africains. La croissance des investissements chinois en Afrique plus que d'actualité est au centre de la politique et de l'économique internationale. L'objectif de ce mémoire est d'expliquer la croissance des investissements directs chinois en Afrique subsaharienne et d'identifier les déterminants économiques et politiques qui influencent les choix de destination de ces investissements. Il sera établi que pour soutenir la croissance économique chinoise, les investissements directs des sociétés d'État chinois sont orientés vers les pays à fortes potentialités en ressources naturelles. En outre, les résultats suggèrent que durant la période de 2003 à 2007, la taille du marché, la stabilité macroéconomique et politique, et la corruption n'ont pas d'influence sur la localisation des IDE chinois dans les pays d'Afrique subsaharienne. Les résultats révèlent enfin que, plus un pays de cette région est ouvert au commerce international, moins les sociétés chinoises s'orientent vers ce pays. Finalement, nos résultats nous laissent croire que l'approche chinoise des IDE sortants défie l'approche traditionnelle qui met de l'avant la stabilité politique et économique des pays récipiendaires, pour affirmer le besoin de changement de paradigme dans ce domaine.

從亞洲金融風暴、美國安隆等事件直到最近所爆發的博達事件，公司治理越來越為投資大眾所依靠，以往研究公司治理越佳，公司績效越好，但是否績效是經由盈餘管理所操縱？本研究以民國九十年及九十一年CLSA(里昂證券)對我國特定公司所做公司治理評分為樣本，探討我國公司治理與盈餘管理間之關聯性，及是否里昂證券所用公司治理指標更具解釋能力。本研究以Modified Jones所計算出裁量性應計原始值與絶對值代表盈餘管理，分別以一般公司治理變數與CLSA公司治理變數為自變數。本研究並用JA－test比較一般公司治理變數與CLSA公司治理變數間對盈餘管理解釋能力之差異。 實證結果顯示： 1.探討盈餘管理原始值與公司治理變數之關係時，盈餘管理原始值與CLSA公司治理加權分數有顯著負相關。但與CLSA分項變數及一般公司治理變數皆不相關。 2.探討盈餘管理程度與公司治理變數之關係時，盈餘管理程度與一般公司治理變數、CLSA公司治理加權分數或分項分數皆不顯著。 3.比較一般公司治理變數與里昂證券公司治理變數時，僅發現對於盈餘管理原始值，CLSA公司治理加權分數確實比一般公司治理變數有更多的解釋能力。

Les plantes ne pouvant pas se déplacer sont continuellement soumises aux stress environnementaux. La blessure, l’un des stress les plus fréquents auxquels la plante est soumise, peut causer d’important dégâts et faciliter l’entrée de pathogène dans les tissus de la plante. Pour répondre efficacement à la blessure, la plante a développé des mécanismes lui permettant de guérir ses tissus endommagés et d’empêcher l’infection pathogène. Les stress environnementaux sont perçus grâce à la présence de récepteurs spécifiques activant des voies de signalisation qui, à terme, conduisent à la mise en place de réponses de défense. Les modules de MAPK, composés de 3 kinases (MAP3K, MAP2K et MAPK) activées en cascades, représentent d’importantes voies de signalisation impliquées en réponse à divers stress biotiques et abiotiques. Grâce aux approches de tests de phosphorylation in vitro très maîtrisées dans le groupe « Stress signaling », j’ai pu identifier un module MAPK impliquant la MAP2K MKK3 et les MAPKs du groupe C (MPK1, 2, 7 et 14) activé par la blessure. Les MAP3Ks du sous-clade III (MAP3K13 à 20) sont transcriptionnellement induites par divers stress ce qui semble être un mécanisme assez conservé. Certains membres du sous-clade III sont induits par la blessure et parmi eux la MAP3K14 semble avoir un rôle majeur en amont du module MKK3/MPK1-2-7-14. Enfin, j’ai pu montrer que l’acide jasmonique (JA), une phytohormone importante produite en réponse à la blessure, tient un rôle important en amont du module. Ce-dernier est également activé en réponse à l’insecte herbivore Spodoptera littoralis et au champignon nécrotrophe Botrytis cinerea. Dans le contexte de blessure par l’insecte herbivore, MKK3 semble réguler la production de deux phytohormones, le JA et l’Acide Salicylique (SA). / Plants are sessile organisms. They have to cope continuously with environmental stresses. Injury, one of the most frequent stress conditions that plants must face may cause harsh damages to the plant tissues and facilitate the entry of pathogens. Therefore, plants have evolved mechanisms to respond efficiently to wounding by healing damaged tissues and preventing further pathogen infection. Wounding is a complex stress which is perceived by specific receptors which activate signaling pathways leading to those responses. Mitogen-Activated Protein Kinases modules are composed of 3 kinases (MAP3K, MAP2K and MAPK) activated in cascade and represent important signaling pathways involved in response to various biotic and abiotic stresses as well as in developmental processes. During my Ph.D I identified a MAPK module activated 30 minutes after wounding and involving the MAP2K MKK3 acting upstream of C-group MAPKs MPK1-2-7-14. In the past, the laboratory has shown that this module is dependent on the transcriptional regulation of sub-clade III MAP3Ks (MAP3K13 to 20). Some were found induced by wounding and among them MAP3K14 seems to have an important role upstream MKK3/C-group MAPKs. Finally I was able to show that Jasmonic Acid (JA), a major phytohormone produced upon wounding and involved in the mediation of defense responses, was shown to have an important role upstream the MKK3/C-group MAPKs module. The module is also activated by the herbivore Spodoptera littoralis and the necrotrophic fungus Botrytis cinerea. Upon insect feeding, MKK3 negatively regulates JA and SA levels. My work helped to better understand stress signaling events occurring upon wounding.

Orientadores: Eduardo Guimarães, Jean-Claude Zancarini / Tese (doutorado) - Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Instituto de Estudos da Linguagem / Made available in DSpace on 2018-08-12T14:01:49Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 GimenesMoralis_Edileusa_D.pdf: 1735406 bytes, checksum: 39f26d9196ab74ad596076174789a5e7 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2008 / Resumo: O homem é visto, por alguns estudiosos, como signo da necessidade e não manifestação da inteligência. Dito de outro modo, o homem deixa de agir pela razão quando a necessidade oprime a sua inteligência. Logo, estaria na apresentação do dissenso como uma reunião conflituosa de dois mundos que encontramos o que lhe é valioso, o denominador comum: o argumento. Por meio do argumento, o homem político vê dois mundos num só, daqueles que falam e daqueles que não falam. Pelo paradoxo das ordens políticas do comando, o comando do igual se sobrepõe ao desigual. Nesta ordem, do domínio de uns sobre os outros, a mudança só ocorre se o homem deixar de ser um agente passivo para se tornar ativo. Têm-se, então, duas ordens heterogêneas que estabelecem relações diferentes, por se vincular a leis diferentes. Inserido na teoria da Semântica Enunciativa, este trabalho teve o objetivo de refletir sobre a prática política de um ator político, Dante de Oliveira, em um momento específico da história do Brasil, que ficou conhecido como Movimento das Diretas Já, ocorrido entre 1983 e meados de 1984. Seu interesse esteve nos desdobramentos e nas conseqüências que este acontecimento produziu sobre as práticas políticas deste político quanto de outros. Buscou-se analisar sua proposta de emenda constitucional (conhecida como emenda Dante de Oliveira ou emenda das diretas) e acompanhar seus desdobramentos. A hipótese fundou-se no dizer de que este acontecimento enunciativo aparece como produtor da ocasião e da oportunidade específica de um ator político específico: o então deputado federal Dante de Oliveira. Foi por um conjunto de discursos políticos, proferidos pelo próprio ator político Dante que se transitou para realizar as análises. Na trajetória de suas práticas discursivas, interessou, em particular, a Emenda Constitucional PEC/5/1983 ou Emenda Dante de Oliveira que objetivava o fim da ditadura no Brasil, por meio da exigência de eleição direta para Presidente da República. Assim, o corpus constitui-se de fragmentos dos discursos proferidos durante o Movimento das Diretas Já!, construídos dentro de um regime militar. As análises procuraram estudar a argumentação de textos do corpus, bem como o funcionamento da designação da expressão "eleições diretas", e mais especificamente "diretas". Como ator político, Dante de Oliveira teve uma boa chance e uma boa oportunidade, na medida em que sua proposta se articulava de modo particular às aspirações do povo, naquele momento, por meio de um projeto audacioso. Como afirma Zancarini e Fournel (2002), é preciso saber avaliar uma conjuntura e traçar objetivos que respondam aos interesses do político e do povo pela ''boa chance e oportunidade''. Foi esta participação política de Dante de Oliveira que refinou sua biografia e a inscreveu na história com seu próprio nome: Emenda Dante de Oliveira. / Abstract: Man is seen by some researchers as a sign of necessity, and not as manifestation of intelligence. In other words, man's action is not oriented by reason when his intelligence is oppressed by necessity. So, it is in the presentation of dissention because of the conflicting meeting of two worlds what is precious to him, a common denominator: the argument. Through the argument, the political man sees two worlds in one, i.e., the world of people who speaks and the world of people who does not speak. In the paradox of political order of command, the command of equal is superposed to the unequal. In this order of domination of one on the others, changes came if man changes his role from active agent to passive agent. Different relations are placed by two heterogeneous orders because they are linked to different laws. Supported by the Enunciative Semantics, this work aims to be an inquiry on the political practices of the political actor Dante de Oliveira in a specific moment of Brazilian history in 1983 and the beginning of 1984: the popular movement Diretas Já!. Our interest is concerned with the unfolding and the consequences this political movement produced in the political practices of this man of politics and others. It was analyzed his Constitution Mending (The Dante de Oliveira Mending or Diretas Já! Mending) and its unfolding. Our hypothesis is founded by the assumption of this enunciative event as generator of the occasion and the specific opportunity of a specific political actor: the then congressman Dante de Oliveira. The analysis is concerned with a sample of political discourses delivered by the proper political actor Dante. In the course of his political practices this work is concerned specially with the Constitution Mending PEC/5/1983 or the Dante de Oliveira Mending. This mending aimed the end of dictatorship in Brazil, and required direct elections for president of the country. Consequently, the corpus of research is composed by analyses of discursive fragments delivered in the course of the military government Diretas Já!. In presenting a daring project the political actor Dante de Oliveira had a good chance and opportunity in that moment while his proposal was articulated in a particular way with people desire. According to Zancarini & Fournel (2002), it is necessary to consider circumstances and establish objectives that answer to the interests of the politician and of people by "good chance of opportunity". It was this political participation of Dante de Oliveira that refined his biography and inscribed him in history with his proper name: The Dante de Oliveira Mending. / Doutorado / Linguistica / Doutor em Linguística

Abstract The horse is one of the most important animals both culturally and historically in Finland. During the last 100 years the use of horses has changed as their roles in agricultural and forestry work and warfare have changed to companion in sport, therapy and recreation. In the 1960s the number of horses collapsed with the mechanization and urbanization. And yet their numbers are now rising with their popularity in recreation and sports. This study seeks to explain how the changing roles of the horse are displayed in the concepts of it, its handling and human-horse relationship in Finland. The time span of the research dates from the 1920s to 2000s but some background knowledge of horses from archaeology, history and ethnology are also used. This PhD study falls under the fields of cultural anthropology and human-animal studies. The main research material consists of interviews conducted by the researcher and written horse stories of Finnish people from the archives of the Finnish Literature Society. The theoretical-methodological framework in this study employs cognitive anthropology and narrative research. Those narratives which included personal experiences were analyzed with the interviews in order to find cultural models of human-horse relationship and to find the most common concepts and meanings given to horses. Furthermore, in the research the meaning of childhood experiences, different concepts of horses by different generations and genders, and the differences due to varying horse keeping traditions, such as trotting and riding, were identified. The analysis according to cultural model theory produced five cultural models based on the different concepts of horses and the ways they were handled such as servant, machine, hero, performer and therapist. Of these the servant and machine models were associated with the working horse, and in the servant model the human-horse relationship was described by trust, matching temperaments, and human leadership. Machine model included a mechanical idea of horses and was based on mistrust, disregard and domination towards the animal. The warhorse was seen as a hero that was anthropomorphized and respected more than other horses in the narratives. Of contemporary horses the sport horses were seen as performers and the human-horse relationship was based on practicality, reading the horse and human ambition. A leisure horse was considered a therapist with which the relationship was based on understanding, nurture and adventurous experience. The horse appears as a friend and an object of affection in all other models except the machine model. / Tiivistelmä Hevonen on yksi merkittävimpiä eläimiä Suomessa niin kulttuurisesti kuin historiallisesti. Sen rooli on kuitenkin muuttunut paljon viimeisen sadan vuoden aikana; kun 1960-luvulla hevosten määrä romahti maatalouden murroksen ja kaupungistumisen myötä, nykyään hevosten määrä nousee sen suosion kasvaessa harraste- ja urheilueläimenä. Tutkimuksessa tarkasteltiin, miten muutos näkyy suomalaisten hevoseen, hevosen käsittelyyn sekä ihmisen ja hevosen suhteeseen liittämissä käsityksissä. Ajallisesti tutkimus keskittyi 1920–2000-lukujen väliseen ajanjaksoon, mutta sitä taustoitettiin arkeologisella, historiallisella ja kansatieteellisellä tiedolla hevosesta. Kulttuuriantropologian sekä yhteiskuntatieteellisen ja humanistisen eläintutkimuksen erityisaloihin kuuluvan tutkimuksen pääaineisto koostui tekijän tekemistä haastatteluista sekä Suomalaisen Kirjallisuuden Seuran Hevostarinakeruu-kilpakeruuaineistosta. Tutkimuksen teoreettis-metodologinen viitekehys koostui kognitiivisen antropologian ja narratiivitutkimuksen näkökulmista. Tutkimusaineistoon valituista kokemuskertomuksista etsittiin kulttuurisia malleja hevosesta eli niissä yleisemmin esiintyviä käsityksiä ja merkityksiä. Tutkimuksessa kävivät lisäksi ilmi lapsuuden hevoskokemusten merkityksellisyys, eri sukupolvien ja sukupuolten erilaiset hevoskäsitykset ja eri hevosenkäsittelyperinteistä juontuvat erot esimerkiksi ravi- ja ratsastuskulttuureissa. Kulttuurimalliteorian mukaisen analyysin tuloksena löytyi viisi kulttuurista mallia hevosesta ja hevosen käsittelystä; palvelija-, kone-, sankari-, suorittaja- ja terapeuttimallit. Näistä palvelija- ja konemallit liittyivät työhevoseen. Palvelijamallin mukaan ihmisen ja hevosen suhdetta kuvasivat luottamus, luonteiden yhteen sopiminen ja ihmisen johtajuus. Konemalli perustui epäluuloon ja välinpitämättömyyteen hevosta kohtaan sekä hevosen alistamiseen. Sankarina näyttäytyi sotahevonen, jota inhimillistettiin ja kunnioitettiin kertomuksissa enemmän kuin muita hevosia. Nykyhevosista urheiluhevoset näyttäytyvät suorittajina ja suhteessa siihen korostuivat käytännöllisyys, hevosen lukeminen ja ihmisen kunnianhimo. Harrastehevonen oli monelle kertojalle terapeutti, jonka kanssa suhde perustui ymmärtämiseen, hoivaamiseen ja elämyksellisyyteen. Ystävänä ja kiintymyksen kohteena hevonen näyttäytyi kaikissa paitsi konemallissa.

Abstract Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) and disruptive behavior disorder (DBD) are two very common and co-occurring psychiatric disorders among children and adolescents. They are among the leading reasons for clinical referrals to child and adolescent mental health facilities worldwide and have many unfavorable consequences with a high cost to society. In this thesis, the potential early risk factors associated with ADHD and/or DBD were examined, the current well-being of the adolescent with ADHD and/or DBD was evaluated and the later education and the psychiatric morbidity of the adolescent were researched. The study population in this thesis is based on a subsample of the Northern Finland Birth Cohort 1986 (NFBC 1986) containing 457 study subjects, of which 91 (19.9%) were diagnosed with ADHD, 44 (9.6%) with DBD, 72 (15.6%) with comorbid ADHD and DBD and 250 (54.7%) with neither of these disorders. Confirmatory factor analysis, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, Kruskal-Wallis one-way analysis of variance and several regression analyses were carried out in the study. This thesis contains four original publications. The results in the first publication indicated that there are different risk factors in childhood associating with different behavioral problems in adolescence. The differences between behavioral problems were also visible in the results of the second publication, where those adolescents who were diagnosed with both ADHD and DBD had more severe conduct disorder symptoms and had increased risks for many psychiatric disorders. The results from the third publication suggested that those adolescents who were diagnosed with both ADHD and DBD fared worse in school at the end of ninth grade and were later less likely to achieve higher than basic education. Finally, the fourth publication showed that the adolescents diagnosed with DBD (both with and without ADHD) seemed to have an increased risk for admittance to the psychiatric inpatient hospital. This thesis underlines the differences between children and adolescents diagnosed with ADHD and/or DBD and emphasizes the role of comorbidity between these disorders as an indicator of poorer outcomes later in life. / Tiivistelmä Tarkkaavaisuus- ja ylivilkkaushäiriö (attention deficit hyperactivity disorder, ADHD) sekä käytös- ja uhmakkuushäiriöt (disruptive behavior disorder, DBD) ovat hyvin yleisiä – ja usein yhtä aikaa ilmeneviä – lasten ja nuorten psyykkisiä häiriöitä. Nämä häiriöt ovat hyvin usein syynä lasten ja nuorten psykiatristen terveyspalveluiden käyttöön. Niillä on myös todettu olevan useita epätoivottuja seurauksia, joiden hoitaminen puolestaan nostaa yhteiskunnan kuluja. Tämä väitöskirjatyö tutkii mahdollisia varhaisia riskitekijöitä, jotka assosioituivat ADHD- ja/tai DBD-häiriöiden kanssa, arvioi näillä häiriöillä diagnosoitujen nuorten sen hetkistä hyvinvointia ja tutkii näiden nuorten kouluttautumista sekä muuta psykiatrista sairastavuutta. Tutkimusaineisto koostuu Pohjois-Suomen syntymäkohortti 1986 (Northern Finland Birth Cohort 1986, NFBC 1986) -aineiston osaotoksesta, johon kuuluu 457 henkilöä. Osaotoksesta 91:llä (19,9 %) oli diagnosoitu ADHD, 44:llä (9,6 %) DBD ja 72:lla (15,6 %) komorbidi ADHD ja DBD. 250 henkilöllä (54,7 %) osaotoksesta ei ollut diagnosoitu kumpaakaan diagnoosia. Aineiston analysoinnissa käytettiin konfirmatorista faktorianalyysiä, Kaplan-Meierin elossaolomenetelmää, Kruskal-Wallisin yksisuuntaista varianssianalyysiä ja useita regressioanalyysejä. Tämä väitöskirja koostuu neljästä osajulkaisusta. Ensimmäisen osajulkaisun tulokset osoittivat, että eri riskitekijät lapsuudessa assosioituivat eri käytösongelmiin nuoruudessa. Eri käytösongelmien eroavaisuudet olivat myös nähtävillä toisessa osajulkaisussa: niillä nuorilla, joilla oli diagnosoitu komorbidi ADHD ja DBD, todettiin olevan vakavampia käytöshäiriöiden oireita sekä kohonnut riski useisiin muihin psykiatrisiin sairauksiin. Kolmannen osajulkaisun tulokset viittasivat näiden nuorien, jotka oli diagnosoitu komorbidillä ADHD:lla ja DBD:llä, pärjäävän huonommin koulussa ja valmistuvan muita todennäköisemmin vain peruskoulusta. Lopuksi neljännessä osajulkaisussa todettiin, että DBD diagnoosin nuorena saaneilla (riippumatta ADHD diagnoosista) näytti olevan kohonnut riski psykiatriseen osastohoitoon joutumiselle. Tämä väitöskirjatyö alleviivaa tarkkaavaisuus- ja ylivilkkaushäiriöllä sekä käytös- ja uhmakkuushäiriöillä diagnosoitujen lasten ja nuorten eroavaisuuksia ja korostaa kyseisten häiriöiden komorbidin ilmenemisen roolia huonon lopputuloksen ennustetekijänä myöhemmin nuoren elämässä.

Abstract During the past few decades in Finland, the growth of wolf (Canis lupus) and wild forest reindeer (Rangifer tarandus fennicus lönnb.) populations has created modern human-wildlife conflicts, of which the wolf conflict has expanded from a local to the EU level. The conflicts have emerged between local people and species but also between different stakeholders concerning methods of management and especially concerning the role of hunting in wolf management. The aim of this thesis is to make such conflicts more transparent and understandable. This thesis also provides suggestions regarding the governance of the conflicts. Wolf conflict data is based on a semi-structured questionnaire distributed among interest groups and open hearings among local people throughout Finland during 2004. The data of the wild forest reindeer conflict is based on a questionnaire answered by farmers in the Suomenselkä area. Methodologically, qualitative as well as quantitative tools are used. The scientific approach of this thesis is animal geography. The conflict in wild forest reindeer management is predicted by biology of species, by damages occurring in farming though also social predictors can be found. However, the conflict is solvable in nature. The wolf conflict is an example of one of the multifaceted human-wildlife conflicts where complex socioeconomical challenges are connected to each other at a local level. The specific biological abilities, the negative image of wolves and fear among people are of concern in this matter. In the society the conflict appears mostly trough stakeholders’ contradictory goals. However, the predictors of conflict between stakeholders became better understood through spatial and cultural contexts. Especially hunting developed by local elements and conservation having a non-local background, have clashed with the wolf being the major bone of contention. The wolf conflict can be defined as insolvable by nature, where the understanding of this is the key of management and mitigation processes. Because no final solution is in sight, despite constant management efforts, adaptive and learning processes are needed. / Tiivistelmä Susi on palannut Suomen eri maakuntiin 1990-luvun aikana ja muodostanut kehittyvän populaation. Sen kannan hoito on muuttunut ristiriitaiseksi kannan kasvun myötä. Konflikti siirtyi 2000-luvun alussa erilaisten intressiryhmien ja myös hallinnollisten tasojen väliseksi kamppailuksi ulottuen Suomen valtion ja EU:n väliseksi. Myös metsäpeura on palannut Suomen luontoon viime vuosikymmenien aikana. Sen kannan hoidossa koettiin ristiriitoja 1990-luvulla lähinnä sen viljelylle aiheuttamien vahinkojen vuoksi. Molemmille lajeille laadittiin 2000-luvun puolivälissä hoitosuunnitelmat, joiden tarkoituksena oli linjata näiden kannan hoitoa ja suojelua. Tämä tutkimus perustuu hoitosuunnitelmien valmistelua varten kerättyyn aineistoon, jossa pääpaino on susikonfliktissa. Metsäpeurakonfliktin roolina on tarjota vertailupohja. Tutkimusotteen voidaan määritellä kuuluvaksi eläinmaantieteen alaan, jossa tarkastellaan ihmisen ja eläinlajin välistä vuorovaikutusta pääasiassa paikallisesta ja sosioekonomisesta kontekstista. Työssä myös verrataan suomalaista susikonfliktia Yellowstonen kansallispuiston suden palautusohjelman toteutuksesta seuranneeseen kamppailuun. Siitä johdetussa teoriassa konflikti kytketään luonnonsuojelun ja sen käytön aate- ja arvopohjaan. Tutkimuksessa käytetyssä aineistossa on sekä laadullisia että määrällisiä osioita, jotka esitellään neljässä erillisessä artikkelissa. Susikonflikti on esimerkki moniulotteisesta luonnonsuojelun ja -hoidon konfliktista, johon kytkeytyy niin historia, lajin biologia, ihmisen paikallisesti kehittyneet traditiot ja kulttuuriset piirteet kuin institutionaaliset rakenteet mukaan lukien EU-jäsenyys. Tästä kokonaisuudesta on rakentunut paikallisten tahojen ja sen ulkopuolisen kokemusmaailman välinen kamppailu, jossa erilaisista intressiryhmistä ovat aktiivisimpina näkyneet metsästäjä- ja luonnonsuojelutahot. Sekä metsästykseen että lajien suojeluun liittyy useita paradoksaalisia piirteitä, jotka tekevät lajien ja suojelun kentän jännitteelliseksi. Metsäpeurakannan hoidossa esiintyneet konfliktit ovat hallittavissa, koska metsäpeuraan liittyy merkittävästi hyödyn tunne, sen ja ihmisen välille ei muodostu paikallisesti ekologista kilpailutilannetta ja myös sen aiheuttamat vahingot ovat hallittavissa. Susi kantaa mukanaan historiallista ja emotionaalista painolastia, eikä siihen liity paikallisesta näkökulmasta hyödyn tunnetta vaan lähinnä haastava asetelma. Nykyisellä suomalaisen maaseudun elinkeinorakenteella ja luonnon käytön kulttuurilla susikonfliktin hoidossa joudutaan sietämään jatkossakin ratkaisemattomia kysymyksiä. Susikonfliktin hallinnassa onkin keskeistä jatkuvasti avoin, sopeutuva ja oppiva toimintapolitiikka.

The three chapters in this thesis consider the role macroprudential policy can play in economic booms and busts. The first two chapters concern the recent housing boom in the United States. Whilst it is popularly thought that a significant easing of credit standards caused the boom, the econometric attempts to establish this are largely inconclusive. The fall in real interest rates also fail to account for the magnitude of the boom, suggesting buyers' irrational exuberance. I approach this problem in a new way using tiered housing data that separately covers the price movements of cheap and expensive houses. During the US boom, the cheapest houses had the largest relative price gains in 51 of 52 metro areas studied. In the first chapter I use a simple model to show that this pattern could not have occurred without an easing of credit standards: without this, buyer exuberance or a fall in interest rates would produce the opposite pattern. Chapter two examines alternative explanations for the tiered pattern, including changes in housing supply, speculation and differential income growth. I show that these variables are not responsible for the pattern, but that, in keeping the theory, there is a statistically and economically significant relationship between credit easing and the relative performance of low and high tier house prices. Taken together, the two chapters conclude that the housing boom would have significantly smaller if policy had prevented credit standards from easing. The third chapter considers credit traps; a situation in which a severe financial crisis gives rise to a prolonged period of low lending to, and stagnation of, the real economy. We introduce a model in which credit traps are possible, then consider what macroprudential policy can do to help the economy escape from a trap, and to reduce the chances of falling into one.

This study aims to comparatively explore how the politicisation of criminal justice would appear in several new democracies with the institutional combination of presidentialism and a civil-law prosecution system, by focusing on the strategic interaction between an incumbent president and prosecutors, in South Korea and Russia, in the new institutionalist perspective. Civil-law prosecutors could damage particular politicians’ moral foundations with specific timing and extent, manipulating criminal proceedings through their broad power within the centralised criminal procedure. This is why they must be cautiously checked by any other body of government, contrary to their common-law counterparts who exercise a limited power due to the decentralised criminal procedure. Fortunately, in most civil-law countries, prosecutors are accountable to democratic bodies, in spite of the global tendency of judicial independence. Also in practice, civil-law prosecutors have not often been involved in the politicisation of criminal justice, despite their extensive influence over criminal procedure, in the continental European countries wherein the tradition of parliamentary supremacy is strong. By contrast, in new democracies with the institutional combination between a civil-law prosecution system and presidentialism, prosecutors have often taken partisan behaviour in favour of or against an incumbent president. For instance, two South Korean Presidents, Young-sam Kim and Dae-jung Kim, and Russian President Boris Yel’tsin, had exploited civil-law prosecutors for the politicisation of criminal justice, but were faced with their defection immediately before their retirement. Unusually, only Vladimir Putin could avoid this unfortunate fate, even at the last phase of his tenure, among the South Korean and Russian Presidents after democratisation. According to this study, high-ranking prosecutors generally pursued their own career advancement, and consequently the prosecution service was loyal to an incumbent president during most of his tenure, but betray him in his last phase, during South Korean President Young-sam Kim’s and Dae-jung Kim’s periods, and in Russian President Yel’tsin’s period. Only in the Russian President Putin period in the two countries after democratisation, prosecutors unusually continued to serve the president even when he left the presidency. This could be because they had no incentive to betray the outgoing president in order to further their career development under the next presidency, given that Putin would undoubtedly maintain a strong political influence over their careers, even after his retirement, according to this research. On the other hand, South Korean President Moo-hyun Roh frequently came into conflict with prosecutors, and had his close allies investigated or even indicted by them, during his entire period, while repeatedly attempting major reform against the civil-law prosecution service, which President Young-sam Kim and Dae-jung Kim had abandoned, in order to maintain the alliance with the power apparatus. According to this study, prosecutors made their organisational resistance based on their far-reaching power over criminal procedure, against President Moo-hyun Roh, for protecting their great prerogative, and therefore he failed in the reform. By contrast, Russian President Putin was exceptionally successful in large-scale reform against civil-law prosecutors, which not only President Yel’tsin but Putin himself in his first term had also suspended, by establishing the new ‘investigative committee’ in June 2007. According to this research, this outcome was possible because the prosecutors could no longer enjoy the political opportunity structure enabling them to effectively defeat the president’s reform against their collective interests, and consequently President Putin could circumvent their organisational resistance, in the absence of political competition under his electoral authoritarian regime. This study provides three important academic implications. Firstly, under the institutional combination of presidentialism and a civil-law prosecution system, prosecutors are not likely to preserve political neutrality, but to display a partisan behaviour either in favour of or against an incumbent government. That is, the institutional factor of combination of a civil-law prosecution system and presidentialism tends to induce the prosecution service, as a judicial body, to behave differently from the expectations of both the democrats and the liberals. Secondly, the variation of political competition can seldom influence judicial officers, who are responsible to the other branches of government, to behave independently of politicians, but can influence them, especially the top rankers, to betray an incumbent government in the last phase of its tenure on specific institutional and political conditions. Thirdly, and most importantly, the variation of political competition can influence judicial officers to take collective action for protecting their collective interests. In particular, if the judicial officers could exercise far-reaching power over criminal procedure, as civil-law prosecutors, their organisational resistance against an incumbent government which pushes for reform encroaching on their collective interests, such as prerogative powers, would be threatening enough to make the incumbent abandon the reform plan.