O Governo federal prioriza seus aliados locais na provisão de recursos públicos? Utilizando dados do Projeto Mais Médicos para o Brasil - programa do Ministério da Saúde que visa a provisão de saúde básica e o aumento da densidade médica nos municípios brasileiros -, esta dissertação estima o impacto do alinhamento partidário entre governos federal e municipal sobre os indicadores de médicos transferidos e de probabilidade de participação dos municípios no programa. São testadas ainda a existência de punição a municípios governados por partidos de oposição e efeitos diferenciados do alinhamento partidário para subamostras de municípios. Os resultados sugerem que não há privilégio aos municípios governados pelo partido do Governo Federal nem punição aos governados pela oposição. As evidências sinalizam também uma má focalização do programa e a existência de efeito do alinhamento partidário sobre a participação municipal no programa entre municípios governados por prefeitos em segundo mandato. / Does the federal government prioritize its local\'s allies on the provision of public resources? Using data of the Projeto Mais Médicos para o Brasil - an ongoing program from the Brazilian Ministry of Health that targets the provision of basic health services and the increase of the physicians per capita rate by transferring professionals to the Brazilian municipalities -, this dissertation assesses the impact of the political alignment between federal and local governments on the number of physicians transferred to municipalities and the municipalities\' probability of participation. The results suggest that the current federal government does not prioritize same-party municipalities nor penalizes the ones governed by the opposition parties. Evidence also indicate poor targeting of the program and the existence of party alignment effect on municipal participation among municipalities governed by second term mayors.

Submitted by Renata Lopes (renatasil82@gmail.com) on 2018-07-23T12:16:47Z No. of bitstreams: 1 leonardonevesluz.pdf: 2626049 bytes, checksum: 7b3d89d05297f5d4bd59df813779e123 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Adriana Oliveira (adriana.oliveira@ufjf.edu.br) on 2018-09-03T16:19:00Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 leonardonevesluz.pdf: 2626049 bytes, checksum: 7b3d89d05297f5d4bd59df813779e123 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2018-09-03T16:19:00Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 leonardonevesluz.pdf: 2626049 bytes, checksum: 7b3d89d05297f5d4bd59df813779e123 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2018-06-18 / Esta tese tem por objetivo investigar os efeitos da exposição a incentivos à reeleição por parte de prefeitos incumbentes sobre a provisão pública de vagas em creches. Com base na teoria da agência política, espera-se que prefeitos aptos a concorrer à reeleição tenham incentivos a sinalizar ao eleitorado que são candidatos preocupados em satisfazer suas preferências. Assumindo que a oferta pública de bens privados é componente das preferências do eleitorado, em especial a oferta pública de creches, foi realizado um quase-experimento para testar se há comportamento oportunista na provisão de vagas públicas em creches pelos prefeitos com incentivos à reeleição. Por meio de informações contidas no Repositório de Dados Eleitorais do Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, para as eleições municipais de 2004 e 2008, foram selecionados municípios cujos prefeitos poderiam concorrer às eleições de 2008, compondo o grupo de tratamento, com municípios em que os prefeitos encontravam-se em segundo mandato, formando o grupo de controle. O exercício empírico foi baseado em uma abordagem de desenho de regressões descontínuas (RDD) para verificar se há uma diferença média entre a taxa de crescimento da provisão de vagas em creches, municipais ou privadas conveniadas às prefeituras municipais. Os resultados indicaram que não há evidências robustas da presença de oportunismo eleitoral na provisão de vagas em creches, considerando as vagas ofertadas em creches públicas e privadas sob regime de parceria com o poder público local. Foi realizado, ainda, um exercício empírico para verificar se há incentivos à provisão pública de creches sob alinhamento partidário entre prefeito incumbente e os partidos da base aliada do Governo Federal no Congresso Nacional e na composição do ministério do Presidente. Novamente, não foram encontradas evidências robustas que indiquem efeitos de alinhamento partidário na provisão pública de creches. / The purpose of this thesis is to investigate the effects of exposure to incentives for re-election by incumbent mayors on the public provision of enrollments in day care centers. Based on political agency theory, mayors apt to run for re-election are expected to have incentives to signalize to the electorate that they are candidates concerned about satisfying their preferences. Assuming that the public offering of private goods is a component of the electorate's preferences, especially the public offer of day-care centers, a quasi-experiment was conducted to test for opportunistic behavior in the provision of public enrollments in day care centers by mayors with re-election incentives. Using information contained in the Repositório de Dados Eleitorais of the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, municipalities whose mayors could run for the 2008 elections were selected as treatment group and the municipalities in which mayors were in second term were selected as control group. The empirical exercise was based on a discontinuous regression design approach (RDD) to verify if there is a mean difference between the growth rate of the provision of enrollments in public or private (subsidized by the municipalities) day care centers. The results indicated that there is no robust evidence of the presence of electoral opportunism in the provision of enrollments in day care centers, considering the vacancies offered in public and private (under a partnership with the local public power) day care centers. In addition, an empirical exercise was carried out to verify if there is an incentive to the public provision of day care centers under partisan alignment between incumbent mayor and the parties of the allied basis of the Federal Government in the National Congress and in the composition of the President's Cabinet. Again, no robust evidence was found to indicate effects of partisan alignment in the public provision of day care centers.

abstract: The interior of Earth is stratified due to gravity. Therefore, the lateral heterogeneities observed as seismic anomalies by seismologists are extremely interesting: they hold the key to understand the composition, thermal status and evolution of the Earth. This work investigates seismic anomalies inside Earth’s lowermost mantle and focuses on patch-like ultra-low velocity zones (ULVZs) found on Earth’s core-mantle boundary (CMB). Firstly, all previous ULVZ studies are compiled and ULVZ locations on the CMB are digitized. The result is a database, which is publicly available online. A key finding is that there is not a simple mapping between the locations of the observed ULVZs and the large low velocities provinces (LLVPs). Instead, ULVZs are more likely to occur near LLVP boundaries. This spatial correlation study supports a compositionally distinct origin for at least some ULVZs. Next, the seismic structure of the basal mantle beneath the Central America is investigated. This region hosts present and past subducted slabs, which could have brought compositionally distinct oceanic basalt all the way down to the CMB. The waveform distortions of a core-reflected seismic phase and a forward modeling method are used to constrain the causes of the CMB structures. In addition to ULVZ structures, isolated patches of thin zones with shear velocity increased by over 10% relative to background mantle are found for the first time. Ultra-high velocity zones (UHVZs) are interspersed with ULVZs and could be caused by subducted mid-ocean ridge basalt (MORB) that undergoes partial melting and melt segregation. Fe-rich partial melt of MORB can form ULVZs, and silica polymorphs (SiO2) and calcium-perovskite (CaPv) rich solid residue can explain the UHVZs. Finally, large-scale heterogeneities in the lowermost mantle are investigated using S waveform broadening observations. Several basal layer models are case-studied via synthetic calculations. S wave arrivals received at a distance larger than 80˚ in a global dataset from large earthquakes between the years 1994 and 2017 are examined and S waveform broadenings are documented. This approach exploits large distance data for the first time, and therefore is complementary to previous studies in terms of sampling locations. One possible explanation of S waveform broadening is velocity discontinuity inside the D″ layer due to the temperature controlled Bm-pPv phase transition. / Dissertation/Thesis / Doctoral Dissertation Geological Sciences 2020

La philosophie a tendance à ne pas concevoir le désir comme une notion historiquement connotée, mais plutôt comme un concept immuable. Le présent travail, au contraire, se propose de fournir des éléments pour l’élaboration philosophique d’une histoire du désir contemporain, s’articulant à travers des dispositifs et des discontinuités, des tendances et des moments de rupture. Notre objectif n’est pas de rédiger l’Histoire du désir et ses récentes transformations. En revanche, on se propose d’un côté de fournir des éléments pour pouvoir penser, philosophiquement, l’existence d’une histoire du désir, pour la fonder théoriquement ; de l’autre, de mettre en évidence, sans aucune prétention d’exhaustivité, certains des caractères définissant le désir de nos jours, certaines parmi les mutations qui, en premier lieu, nous ont suggéré l’existence d’une telle histoire encore toute à explorer. L’élaboration d’une telle histoire a été effectuée à partir d’une convergence entre la pensée de Deleuze, Foucault et Lyotard autour des notions principales structurant les présent travail : le désir, l’histoire, la notion de dispositif et celle de discontinuité. Néanmoins, nous avons croisé la pensée de ces auteurs avec d’autres, dans la tentative de souligner une convergence générationnelle. Dans l’histoire du désir contemporain on a reconnu un privilège à l’écran – à comprendre en tant que dispositif, au sens foucaldien du terme – à partir duquel on élaborera des tentatives de périodisation et on identifiera des discontinuités. Faire une histoire du désir contemporain signifie pour nous se demander comment l’on désire selon les écrans. / Philosophy tends to consider desire not as a historical notion, but rather as an immutable concept. Our work, however, aims to provide some elements for a philosophical elaboration of a history of contemporary desire, alternating dispositifs and discontinuity, tendencies and moments of rupture. Our purpose is absolutely not to define The History of desire and of its recent transformations. On the contrary, on one side we try to provide some theoretical elements in order to start thinking, philosophically, to a historicity of desire. On the other, without any claim of completeness, we try to identify some features defining the status of contemporary desire, by analysing some among the many mutations of desire which characterise our times and inspired this research in the first place. The elaboration of such a history mainly results from a convergence among the thoughts of Deleuze, Foucault and Lyotard, around the fundamental notions structuring this work, such as desire, history, dispositif, discontinuity. Nevertheless, we will often compare the thoughts of those authors with others, in order to highlight a sort of generational convergence. In the history of contemporary desire, we acknowledged a privilege to the screen – that has to be understood as a dispositif, in the large sense that Foucault gave at this notion. Thanks to its privilege, the screen will be the starting point for a periodisation of the history of contemporary desire and the identification of its discontinuities. How do we desire according to screens?

Reading failure in elementary school is highly correlated with future academic and social problems. Schools commonly use Tier 2 reading interventions in Response to Intervention (RtI) frameworks to help close the gap between at-risk readers and their peers who read on grade-level. This dissertation presents the findings of a quasi-experimental research study of the effects of three Tier 2 reading interventions in an urban Title I elementary school's RtI framework. A regression discontinuity design (RDD) with two cutoff points was used to assign 320 students in grades 1-6 to two types of Tier 2 reading interventions administered by paraeducators: direct instruction (DI) and computer-assisted instruction (CAI). Students were assigned using normal curve equivalent reading composite scores on the Kaufman Test of Educational Achievement II, Brief Form (KTEA-II BFR). Students scoring below a lower cutoff were assigned to a DI reading intervention, while students scoring at or below an upper cutoff and above the lower cutoff were assigned to CAI reading interventions. January and May posttest iterations of the KTEA-II BFR served as outcome measures for all students. Results of the analysis indicated that the DI intervention was more effective than the CAI interventions at the lower cutoff (p < .01). Participation in CAI interventions was not any more or less effective than business-as-usual reading activities (p > .10). These findings suggest that that CAI programs may not be as helpful in closing the achievement gap between struggling students and their peers as DI interventions, and should be implemented with deliberation.

京都大学 / 0048 / 新制・課程博士 / 博士(情報学) / 甲第21212号 / 情博第665号 / 新制||情||115(附属図書館) / 京都大学大学院情報学研究科先端数理科学専攻 / (主査)教授 磯 祐介, 教授 木上 淳, 助手 藤原 宏志 / 学位規則第4条第1項該当 / Doctor of Informatics / Kyoto University / DFAM

No description available.

This thesis studies regression discontinuity designs with the use of additional covariates for estimation of the average treatment effect. We prove asymptotic normality of the covariate-adjusted estimator under sufficient regularity conditions. In the case of a high-dimensional setting with a large number of covariates depending on the number of observations, we discuss a Lasso-based selection approach as well as alternatives based on calculated correlation thresholds. We present simulation results on those alternative selection strategies.:1. Introduction 2. Preliminaries 3. Regression Discontinuity Designs 4. Setup and Notation 5. Computing the Bias 6. Asymptotic Behavior 7. Asymptotic Normality of the Estimator 8. Including Potentially Many Covariates 9. Simulations 10. Conclusion

The age-cutoff regression discontinuity design (RDD) has emerged as one of the most rigorous quasi-experimental approaches to determining program effects of prekindergarten on literacy and numeracy outcomes for children at kindergarten entry. However, few pre-K meta-analyses have focused attention on validity threats. The current random-effects meta-regression tests the moderating effects of prominent threats to validity, selection bias and sensitivity, on impact estimates generated from age-cutoff regression discontinuity studies from large-scale programs. Results from averaging dependent standardized mean difference effects suggested small positive moderating effects of total attrition and robust 3-month bandwidths on reading effects, but not on math. However, these results were not statistically significant. In contrast, results generated from robust variance estimation yielded a small statistically significant association between total attrition and math effects. These mixed results may warrant further research on prekindergarten evaluation methodology, evaluation estimation methods, and the totality of evidence used to inform policy.

本論文首先從三個面向討論中文對話中的主題不連續現象。第一、當說話者改變主題的時候，停頓較長、話語的自我修正較多，且很少被打斷。第二、說話者可以直接進入新的主題，或者在談論新主題之前提供一些背景訊息。最常使用來引介新主題的是問句，因為說話者可以藉由提出問題邀請其他人一起討論新話題。第三、說話者在開啟話題時通常會利用各種情境資源，包括周遭的環境、說話者共有的背景知識以及在前文談論過的人、事、時、地、物。目前的語料顯示大多數的新主題都與前文有某種程度的關聯。 研究結果亦指出不同層次的對話主題之差異。當說話者引介最高階的對話主題時，他們傾向使用共有的背景知識，並在主題改變的地方提供背景訊息; 他們的話語有較長的停頓和較多自我修正的情境;。相較之下，在開啟其他階層的對話主題時，說話者較常利用前文出現過的訊息，且不傾向在話題一開始的時候提供背景訊息; 他們的話語也較流暢。然而，不同層次的對話主題也有一些共通點。例如，在各個階層中，說話者普遍使用問句引介新話題，而當他們利用前文的訊息改變話題時，新的主題通常和前一個主題有相同的指示對象。 / The present study aims at investigating topic discontinuity in Chinese daily conversations. This pragmatic phenomenon is discussed from three perspectives. First, since changing topics requires more cognitive effort, the speaker who initiates the change is likely to produce longer pauses and repairing utterances, and is fairly unlikely to be overlapped. Second, the speaker can move to a new topic directly, or orient a new topic in various ways. Questions are the most common backgrounded clauses at the topic-shift boundary because they function to invite other speakers to join the new subject. Third, the speaker most frequently draws on some contextual resource to guide other speakers into conversing about the new topic. The most common way is by recycling the prior text. Speech disfluency, grounding, and contextual resources are also found to distinguish various levels of conversational topics. The highest level of conversational topics are usually grounded in general background knowledge, produced with more disfluency, and tend to begin with background information. The other levels of conversational topics, however, are more likely to arise from prior text, more fluently brought up, and do not use background information more often than foreground information at the topic-initial position. Despite the above-mentioned differences, the various levels of conversational topics are similar in several aspects. For example, backgrounded clauses at the topic-shift boundary are mainly questions; topics grounded in prior text predominantly maintain referential continuity across the topical boundary