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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
21

Accounting for risk in the design of fixed-income benchmarks / La gestion du risque dans la construction d’indices obligataires

Stagnol, Lauren 12 June 2017 (has links)
L’objectif de cette thèse est de proposer des schémas de pondérations alternatives visant à prendre en compte le risque dans la construction d’indices obligataires. Nous partons du constat suivant : les indices obligataires qui existent sur le marché sont pondérés en fonction de la capitalisation des émetteurs. L’implication n’est pas négligeable, dans la mesure où utiliser cette approche implique de sur-pondérer les entités les plus endettées. Sur cette base, nous proposons dans le premier chapitre de pondérer les entreprises au sein de l’indice en fonction de leur solvabilité. Dans le deuxième chapitre, toujours sur l’univers des obligations d’entreprises, nous appliquons le principe du risque en parité. Plus précisément, les secteurs sont pondérés de façon inversement proportionnelle à une mesure du risque de crédit innovante : la Duration Times Spread. Enfin, le dernier chapitre s’intéresse à l’application de cette même technique du risque en parité, mais cette fois-ci à l’univers des obligations souveraines. Nous nous engageons dans la modélisation d’une structure de taux à terme, permettant de mesurer le risque de taux d’intérêt dans un contexte global. Plus généralement, nous démontrons que ces pondérations alternatives, qui intègrent une notion de risque (crédit ou taux) et s’éloignent ainsi du pur aspect “niveau d’endettement”, fournissent une nouvelle grille de lecture pour la compréhension de la dynamique des marchés obligataires ainsi que des améliorations significatives dans le profil rendement-risque. / In this thesis, we are keen to explore alternative weighting schemes that account for risk in the fixed-income indexing market. We start with the following observation: bond indexes that exist on the market are generally cap-weighted. The implication is not trivial: when holding such index, an investor is exposed to the most indebted issuers. From that standpoint, in the first chapter we make the proposal to consider an issuer’s creditworthiness as a weighting metric. Then in the second chapter, still working on the corporate bond market, we decide to turn to risk-parity indexing. More precisely, sectors are weighted inversely proportional to an innovative credit risk measure. Finally, the third chapter is devoted to the transposition of such risk-based philosophy to the sovereign bond universe. Particularly, we examine term structure modeling to appraise interest rate risk in a global framework. On a more general note, we show that these alternative indexing schemes - that do not emanate from pure indebtedness, but that are rather based on more sensible definitions of risk (credit or interest rate) provide a new reading grid for understanding bond market’s dynamics as well as appealing improvements in the indexes’ risk-return profile.
22

Formação de preço de debêntures no Brasil / Pricing of debentures in Brazil

Eduardo Vieira dos Santos Paiva 27 April 2011 (has links)
O objetivo da tese foi analisar a influência do rating, provido por agências independentes na formação dos preços de emissão de debêntures. A base de dados contou com 354 séries de debêntures não conversíveis, emitidas por empresas não financeiras, entre janeiro de 2000 e junho de 2010, em mercado primário público. A metodologia baseia-se no modelo fatorial de precificação aplicado a uma estrutura de dados pooled cross-section. Os modelos desenvolvidos ao longo do trabalho apontaram a relevância do rating na explicação do spread de emissão primária de debêntures no Brasil. Isoladamente, no entanto, explica cerca de 10% da variabilidade do spread. O estudo demonstrou serem significativas variáveis de crédito, maturidade, relação entre o volume emitido e o estoque de debêntures do mercado, a evolução do PIB e a alteração futura de rating (direção e a magnitude). Constatou-se também que emissões em percentual do DI tendem a ter menor spread que aquelas remuneradas por inflação mais taxa. Não se pode afirmar que o mercado diferencie, por meio do preço, a origem das agências ou as emissões com mais de um rating. As variáveis idiossincráticas da firma, na forma de índices econômico-financeiros extraídos de demonstrações financeiras publicadas, explicam diferenças de rating. Finalmente, constatou-se a utilidade da variável de escala linear de rating nos modelos de regressão desenvolvidos. / The overall objective of this dissertation was to analyze the influence of the rating provided by independent agencies in the spread of corporate bonds. The database was comprised of 354 series of non-convertible debentures issued by non-financial companies between January 2000 and June 2010 in public primary market. The study approach is based on the pricing factor model applied to a pooled cross-section data structure. The developed models suggested that the rating is significant in explaining the spread of primary issuance of debentures in Brazil. However, the rating explains no more than 10% of the spread variability. The study revealed that other factors were also significant during the analyzed period along with the credit variables: maturity, the ratio between the volume issued and total market outstanding of debentures, GDP growth, and future rating changes. It was also noted that series linked daily floating rates tend to have lower spread than those linked to inflation. When price is taken into account, the market does not seem to differentiate local agencies from international ones, or series with two or more ratings. Financial ratios obtained from financial statements, do explain the differences in rating. Finally, other important findings indicate the usefulness of the rating variable based in linear scale in the regression models developed in this work
23

Dívidas corporativas brasileiras: emitir no mercado interno ou no externo?

Souza, Luciana de 29 January 2013 (has links)
Submitted by Luciana Souza (souza.luciana@gmail.com) on 2013-02-07T18:24:12Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Dissertação_Final_Luciana.pdf: 274100 bytes, checksum: fb79e489d38d3648dde8b34b71135274 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Suzinei Teles Garcia Garcia (suzinei.garcia@fgv.br) on 2013-02-07T19:18:57Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 Dissertação_Final_Luciana.pdf: 274100 bytes, checksum: fb79e489d38d3648dde8b34b71135274 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2013-02-07T19:19:37Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Dissertação_Final_Luciana.pdf: 274100 bytes, checksum: fb79e489d38d3648dde8b34b71135274 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2013-01-29 / This study tries to find the key drivers and/or influences for the issuance of corporate bonds by Brazilian companies offshore. 1.298 fixed income issues were analyzed, from January 1995 to July 2012, in the domestic market and abroad. From a biprobit model, it was found that main determinants for issuing offshore were greater liquidity for large volumes of funding, longer terms for their debts (if compared to the domestic market), and a larger interest rate differential (if comparing the internal rate with the American Treasury Bill rate). What made a company attractive to foreign investors were factors such as getting a rating grade by an internationally recognized agency, the fixed exchange rate period (before 1999) and a growing interest from foreign capital to invest in Brazilian companies (foreign liquidity). The economic crisis that started in 2008 had a negative influence on this type of issue. / Esse trabalho tem como objetivo encontrar os principais motivadores e/ou influenciadores para a emissão de bonds corporativos de empresas brasileiras fora do País. Foram analisadas 1.298 lançamentos de títulos de renda fixa, de janeiro de 1995 a julho de 2012, no mercado nacional e no exterior. A partir de uma análise biprobit, verificou-se que os principais determinantes para a recorrência ao exterior foram: busca de maior liquidez para grandes volumes de captações, maiores prazos para suas dívidas (comparados aos obtidos no mercado interno) e maior diferencial da taxa de juros (comparando a taxa praticada internamente com o exterior). Ademais, os fatores que tornam uma empresa atraente aos olhos dos investidores estrangeiros são a obtenção de rating de uma agência internacionalmente reconhecida, o período de câmbio fixo (anterior a 1999) e maior interesse do mercado externo em realizar investimentos em empresas brasileiras (liquidez externa). A crise econômica iniciada em 2008 apresentou influência negativa para esse tipo de emissão.
24

[pt] AVALIAÇÃO DE DESEMPENHO DE FUNDOS DE PREVIDÊNCIA RENDA FIXA / [en] PERFORMANCE EVALUATION OF FIXED INCOME PENSION FUNDS

CRISTIANO MAROJA DE MEDEIROS 24 September 2015 (has links)
[pt] Esse trabalho procura verificar como se comportaram os fundos de Previdência Renda Fixa no Brasil, no período de 2003 a 2014. A amostra utilizada nesta pesquisa corresponde a 382 fundos, que representam aproximadamente 99 por cento do total de recursos investidos em fundos de previdência de renda fixa. O intuito da pesquisa foi (i) analisar o comportamento dos fundos da categoria e observar se possuem capacidade satisfatória de desempenho, (ii) ampliar tal análise para um grupo segregado de fundos selecionados pela característica de isenção de cobrança de taxas, nomeados como Fundos Master, (iii) avaliar se existe diferença de gestão entre gestores nacionais e estrangeiros e, (iv) investigar a possibilidade de criação de um índice benchmark para o setor, com o intuito de facilitar a avaliação por parte do investidor ao longo do investimento. Os resultados indicaram, através do estudo do Índice de Sharpe Histórico, que os fundos de Previdência Renda Fixa, no período analisado, não conseguiram atingir um resultado satisfatório. Entretanto, o grupo de Fundos Master conseguiu uma performance superior aos da categoria, obtendo também um excesso de retorno com significância estatística de 5 por cento. Em relação ao comparativo entre gestores nacionais e estrangeiros, não se pode afirmar que existe diferença significativa entre eles. Os resultados ainda concluíram que o coeficiente relativo ao CDI é extremamente relevante, demonstrando o seu uso como único benchmark. / [en] This dissertation analyses the performance of the Brazilian Fixed Income Pension funds, from 2003 to 2014. The sample used in this study corresponds to 382 funds, representing approximately 99 percent of total assets in fixed income pension funds industry. The aim of the study was (i) to analyze the behavior of such category of funds and observe if they have satisfactory performance capacity, (ii) extend this analysis to a segregated group of selected funds by the characteristic of charging fees exemption, named Master Funds (iii) assess whether there are differences in management between brazilian and foreign managers, and (iv) investigate the possibility of creating a benchmark index for the sector in order to facilitate the assessment by the investor during the investment decision. The results indicated, considering Historical Sharpe ratio, that the Fixed Income Pension funds failed to achieve a satisfactory result. However, the Master Fund group achieved a superior performance to the category, also getting an excess return with statistical significance of 5 percent. Regarding the comparison between domestic and foreign managers, we cannot say that there is significant difference between them. The results also found that the relative ratio to CDI is highly relevant, demonstrating its use as a unique benchmark.
25

Pricing and risk management of fixed income securities and their derivatives. / CUHK electronic theses & dissertations collection / Digital dissertation consortium / ProQuest dissertations and theses

January 2001 (has links)
In the first essay, this thesis provides a new methodology for pricing the fixed income derivatives using the arbitrage-free Heath-Jarrow-Morton model (hereafter HJM model). While, most previous empirical implementations of HJM model like that by Amin and Morton (1994) are focused on one-factor model only, the essay attempts to extend the test to a two-factor model that could further capture the subtleties of the forward rate process. The two-factor Poisson-Gaussian version of HJM model derived by Das (1999) that incorporates a jump component as the second state variables is used to value the actively traded Eurodollar futures call option under the jump diffusion lattice. The one-factor and two-factor models are compared with five volatility functions to evaluate the degree of pricing improvement by the inclusion of one more state variable. / The essay also addresses the critical issues on the volatility structure of forward rates that affect the pricing performance of option under the HJM framework. Three new volatility specifications are constructed to estimate the traded options. The first volatility function is the humped & curvature adjusted model that allows for humped shape in volatility structure and better adjustment to the curvature of the term structure. The second is the humped & proportional model that exhibits humped volatility feature and is proportional to the forward rate. The third function is the linear exponential model that is extended from Vasicek's exponential model. They are compared with two other volatility structures developed by previous researchers on their pricing performances. The alternative models are examined from the perspectives of in-sample fit, out-of-sample pricing and hedging. / The second essay develops an approach for estimating the Value-at-Risk (hereafter VaR) with jumps using the Monte Carlo simulation method. It is by far the first paper to estimate VaR using the HJM model. The paper takes the framework of the Poisson Gaussian version of HJM model (hereafter, HJM jump-diffusion model) from Das (1999). The model is incorporated with a jump component to capture the kurtosis effect in the daily price changes. As a result, the HJM jump-diffusion model allows for the fat tailed and skewed distribution of return in most financial markets. The simulation process is expedited by using variance reduction method. The model is used for calculating the VaR of a portfolio consisting of the fixed income derivatives. The accuracy of the VaR estimates is examined statistically at the VaR at confidence level of both 95 and 99 percent. / This thesis is a collection of two essays that explore issues related to the pricing and the risk management of fixed income securities and derivatives in US markets. In the context of the pricing of derivatives, the arbitrage-free pricing approach is adopted. For the issue of risk management, the estimation of Value-at-Risk is presented. / by Ze-To Yau Man. / Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 62-09, Section: A, page: 3138. / Supervisors: Jia He; Ying-foon Chow. / Thesis (Ph.D.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2001. / Includes bibliographical references (p. 145-151). / Electronic reproduction. Hong Kong : Chinese University of Hong Kong, [2012] System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader. Available via World Wide Web. / Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, MI : ProQuest dissertations and theses, [200-] System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader. Available via World Wide Web. / Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, MI : ProQuest Information and Learning Company, [200-] System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader. Available via World Wide Web. / Abstracts in English and Chinese. / School code: 1307.
26

Análise de desempenho das maiores administradoras de fundos de investimentos de renda fixa no Brasil

Braga, Alexandre Xavier Vieira 21 December 2005 (has links)
Made available in DSpace on 2015-03-05T19:11:30Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 0 Previous issue date: 21 / Nenhuma / A indústria de fundos de investimento no Brasil está concentrada no segmento de renda fixa. Dos cerca de R$ 220 bilhões depositados em fundos, hoje, R$ 200 bilhões aproximadamente estão nesse segmento e R$ 20 bilhões em carteiras de renda variável. Observou-se que no primeiro semestre de 2002, os fundos de investimento em geral tiveram alguns problemas que diminuíram bastante os seus retornos. A mudança da métrica de avaliação dos fundos, da chamada Curva de Juros para a Marcação a Mercado, provocou profundas transformações em termos de mensuração de valor dos fundos de renda fixa. Neste contexto, verificou-se a performance das 17 maiores administradoras de fundos no período 1997-2003 com dados diários. O método empregado foi a Análise de Dados em Painel. A hipótese de que as administradoras de fundos nacionais privadas obtêm igual relação risco-retorno em suas carteiras do que as administradoras de fundos nacionais estatais e as administradoras de fundos estrangeiras não foi comprovada. As administradoras es / The industry of investment fund in Brazil is concentrated in the segment of fixed income. About R$ 220 billion are deposited in funds nowadays, from which R$ 200 billion approximately are in the fixed income segment and R$ 20 billion in variable income portfolios. In the first semester of 2002 it was observed that investment funds in general had substantially reduced their returns. In the wake of the change of the evaluation metrics of funds from yield curves to mark-to-market, caused profound transformation in the value of fixed income funds. In this context, the performance of the 17 biggest asset management firms in the period 1997-2000 in a daily basis has been assessed. The hypothesis that private Brazilian asset management firms have a similar risk-return performance in their portfolios as state and foreign firms has been rejected. Foreign asset management firms had a superior performance with respect to Brazilian private firms, while private firms sustained a superior performance vis-à-vis state firms
27

Estratégias de imunização de carteira de renda fixa no Brasil

Meirelles, Sofia Kusiak de Sousa 23 January 2015 (has links)
Submitted by Sofia Meirelles (sofiaksm@gmail.com) on 2015-02-11T16:47:40Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Estratégias de imunização de carteiras de renda fixa no Brasil - Sofia Meirelles.pdf: 1823249 bytes, checksum: c9dbdd216cfecbe8d0f18ca7f411d3cd (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Renata de Souza Nascimento (renata.souza@fgv.br) on 2015-02-11T17:06:46Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 Estratégias de imunização de carteiras de renda fixa no Brasil - Sofia Meirelles.pdf: 1823249 bytes, checksum: c9dbdd216cfecbe8d0f18ca7f411d3cd (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2015-02-11T17:07:50Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Estratégias de imunização de carteiras de renda fixa no Brasil - Sofia Meirelles.pdf: 1823249 bytes, checksum: c9dbdd216cfecbe8d0f18ca7f411d3cd (MD5) Previous issue date: 2015-01-23 / This paper aims to statistically compare the performance of two hedging strategies for Brazilian fixed income portfolios, with discrete rebalancing. The first hedging strategy matches duration, and hence it considers only small parallel changes in the yield curve. The alternative methodology ponders level, curvature and convexity shifts through a factor model. We first estimate the yield curve using the polynomial model of Nelson & Siegel (1987) and Diebold & Li (2006) and then immunize the fixed income portfolio using Litterman & Scheinkman’s (1991) hedging procedure. The alternative strategy for portfolio immunization outperforms duration matching in the empirical exercise we contemplate. Additionally, we show that rebalancing the hedging portfolio every month is more efficient than at other frequencies. / Este trabalho visa comparar, estatisticamente, o desempenho de duas estratégias de imunização de carteiras de renda fixa, que são recalibradas periodicamente. A primeira estratégia, duração, considera alterações no nível da estrutura a termo da taxa de juros brasileira, enquanto a abordagem alternativa tem como objetivo imunizar o portfólio contra oscilações em nível, inclinação e curvatura. Primeiro, estimamos a curva de juros a partir do modelo polinomial de Nelson & Siegel (1987) e Diebold & Li (2006). Segundo, imunizamos a carteira de renda fixa adotando o conceito de construção de hedge de Litterman & Scheinkman (1991), porém assumindo que as taxas de juros não são observadas. O portfólio imunizado pela estratégia alternativa apresenta empiricamente um desempenho estatisticamente superior ao procedimento de duração. Mostramos também que a frequência ótima de recalibragem é mensal na análise empírica.
28

Análise do alongamento das carteiras dos fundos de previdência complementar aberta

Vianna Junior, Paulo Roberto M. F. 17 December 2015 (has links)
Submitted by Paulo Roberto Miller Fernandes Vianna Junior (pauloviannajr@hotmail.com) on 2016-01-07T16:41:00Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Texto Final.pdf: 1424875 bytes, checksum: fc03c3ccd501f50f7ddbaf1b73fed3c9 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by GILSON ROCHA MIRANDA (gilson.miranda@fgv.br) on 2016-01-07T17:28:47Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 Texto Final.pdf: 1424875 bytes, checksum: fc03c3ccd501f50f7ddbaf1b73fed3c9 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Marcia Bacha (marcia.bacha@fgv.br) on 2016-01-07T18:04:56Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 Texto Final.pdf: 1424875 bytes, checksum: fc03c3ccd501f50f7ddbaf1b73fed3c9 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2016-01-07T18:05:15Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Texto Final.pdf: 1424875 bytes, checksum: fc03c3ccd501f50f7ddbaf1b73fed3c9 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2015-12-17 / This study aims at analyzing the retirement funds fixed income portfolios’ duration, which are paradoxically short considering the long-term objectives inherent to retirement savings, and the effects of the existing incentives to persistence on the employer sponsored collective plans, such as the contribution from the sponsor and vesting clauses, on the portfolios’ duration. In order to overcome the difficulties in directly observing the analyzed funds portfolios’ durations, it is proposed a duration index built upon the Return Based Style Analysis developed by SHARPE (1992) using the principal components of the Anbima’s Constant Duration Indexes (IDkA) to evaluate the retirement funds monthly returns sensibility to the nominal and real interest rates curves. The obtained results do not show evidences that the funds exclusively linked to employer sponsored collective plans present longer durations than those linked to individual plans or notsponsored collective plans. On the other hand, funds classified as 'Target Date' stand out for presenting longer duration indexes when compared to funds classified as 'Fixed Income' or 'Balanced Portfolios' and show positive correlation with the target year of the fund. This suggest that policies aiming at treating the information set of the agent’s, both investors and portfolio managers, are able to modify the investments allocation. Information is sufficient to improve allocation / O objetivo deste estudo é analisar as durações das carteiras de renda fixa dos fundos previdenciários, que são paradoxalmente curtas em relação aos objetivos de longo prazo inerentes à previdência, e os eventuais efeitos dos incentivos de permanência existentes nos planos coletivos instituídos, como o custeio do instituidor e regras de desligamento – vesting – no alongamento dessas carteiras. Como forma de sobrepujar as dificuldades da observação direta dos prazos de alongamento das carteiras dos fundos analisados, foi proposto um índice de alongamento calcado na Análise de Estilo Baseada nos Retornos desenvolvida por SHARPE (1992) empregando-se as componentes principais dos Índices de Duração Constante da Anbima (IDkA) para a avaliação da sensibilidade dos retornos mensais dos fundos analisados às curvas de juros real e nominal. Os resultados obtidos não mostram evidências de que os fundos que recebem recursos exclusivamente de planos instituídos apresentem duração maior do que daqueles que recebem recursos de planos individuais e coletivos averbados. Por outro lado, os fundos classificados como 'Previdência Data Alvo' pela Anbima destacam-se por apresentar índices de alongamento maiores frente à média dos fundos classificados como 'Previdência Renda Fixa' ou 'Previdência Balanceado' e correlação positiva entre seus índices de alongamento e Ano Alvo do fundo, o que sugere que políticas que trabalhem o conjunto de informação dos agentes, investidores e gestores, são capazes de modificar a alocação dos investimentos. Basta informação para melhorar a alocação.
29

Como investidores do segmento Private do Banco do Brasil se comportam em ciclos econômicos “instáveis”, em relação ao seu portfólio de investimentos?

Madureira Junior, Aldo 08 January 2018 (has links)
Submitted by ALDO MADUREIRA JUNIOR (aldomadureira@outlook.com) on 2018-01-15T14:06:25Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Dissertação_Aldo_FGV_FINAL_15_01_18.pdf: 293461 bytes, checksum: 2c052bcfcf7c6d0529a4f576836b9a64 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Thais Oliveira (thais.oliveira@fgv.br) on 2018-01-15T15:39:31Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 Dissertação_Aldo_FGV_FINAL_15_01_18.pdf: 293461 bytes, checksum: 2c052bcfcf7c6d0529a4f576836b9a64 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2018-01-15T17:20:03Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Dissertação_Aldo_FGV_FINAL_15_01_18.pdf: 293461 bytes, checksum: 2c052bcfcf7c6d0529a4f576836b9a64 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2018-01-08 / Este trabalho tem como propósito contribuir com a literatura por meio de uma pesquisa voltada ao estudo das relações entre os mercados de renda fixa e renda variável no Brasil. Sob essa ótica, o objetivo dessa pesquisa é realizar uma análise por meio de modelos econométricos para explorar a relação entre investimento de renda fixa e renda variável, e como estes são alocados em determinados momentos da economia, seja em tempos de instabilidade econômica ou em tempos relativamente estáveis. Para isso será utilizado um banco de dados, contendo informações com índices, informações financeiras que contribuam na construção deste trabalho, bem como a utilização de modelagem econométrica para a construção de parâmetros que sirvam de apoio para evidenciar os principais resultados deste estudo que, por sua vez, visa afirmar que em tempos de crise os investidores tendem a ter comportamentos mais conservadores em comparação a períodos de certo equilíbrio econômico. Os principais resultados da pesquisa foi a transferência dos ativos de renda variável para renda fixa, demonstrando que em situação de tensão na economia os investidores de fato se tornam mais avesso ao risco. / The purpose of this paper is to contribute to the literature through a research focused on the study of the relationships between fixed income and variable income markets in Brazil. From this perspective, the objective of this research is to perform an analysis through econometric models to explore the relationship between fixed income investment and variable income, and how these are allocated at certain moments of the economy, either in times of economic instability or in times relatively stable. For this purpose, a database will be used, containing information with indexes, financial information that contribute to the construction of this work, as well as the use of econometric modeling for the construction of parameters that serve as evidence to support the main results of this research that, due to its time, it aims to affirm that in times of crisis investors tend to have more conservative behavior compared to periods of certain economic equilibrium. The main results of the research were the transfer of assets from variable income to fixed income, demonstrating that in a situation of tension in the economy, investors do indeed become more risk averse.
30

Determinantes de spread de fundos de investimento em direitos creditórios

Zacchello, Daniel 13 December 2010 (has links)
Submitted by Cristiane Shirayama (cristiane.shirayama@fgv.br) on 2011-06-02T19:26:02Z No. of bitstreams: 1 66080100240.pdf: 531933 bytes, checksum: 1949b5f6328018b30890063d38b4c352 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Vera Lúcia Mourão(vera.mourao@fgv.br) on 2011-06-02T20:13:10Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 66080100240.pdf: 531933 bytes, checksum: 1949b5f6328018b30890063d38b4c352 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Vera Lúcia Mourão(vera.mourao@fgv.br) on 2011-06-02T20:37:11Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 66080100240.pdf: 531933 bytes, checksum: 1949b5f6328018b30890063d38b4c352 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2011-06-03T17:31:45Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 66080100240.pdf: 531933 bytes, checksum: 1949b5f6328018b30890063d38b4c352 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2010-12-13 / The main purpose of this study is to identify the determinants of a Receivables Fund (FIDCs) spread. As the previously published papers were about debentures, this one is pioneer in terms of FIDCs. Indeed, understanding the determinants of a FIDCs’ issuance is mandatory for companies which access capital markets to obtain funds. Between 2002 and 2009, the study analyzed 113 public issuances indexed to CDI that had a pre-defined maturity and at least two investors. Those issuances were subject to four Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regressions. The first regression focused on the variables that affected the rating. The second one excluded all rating related variables and had spread as the dependent variable, while all the others were independent variables. The third one tested a potential non-linearity relation between spread and rating, while the fourth regression tested the spread against all other variables, including those ones related to the rating. The results pointed out that rating is indeed a good determinant for the spread, as well as the issuance volume, the financial institution responsible for the FIDCs’ custody and the macroeconomic environment. These three variables also contributes to determine the rating, along with the number of investors and issuers and if the underlying assets were eventually delivered. The study also concluded that there is no evidence of linearity between spread and rating in FIDCs. The major contribution of this study is to present on first hand a thorough analysis on variables that affect a new type of fixed income investment, the FIDCs, such as the asset nature, credit risk diversification levels and quantity of issuers. The main purpose of this study is to identify the determinants of a Receivables Fund (FIDCs) spread. As the previously published papers were about debentures, this one is pioneer in terms of FIDCs. Indeed, understanding the determinants of a FIDCs’ issuance is mandatory for companies which access capital markets to obtain funds. Between 2002 and 2009, the study analyzed 113 public issuances indexed to CDI that had a pre-defined maturity and at least two investors. Those issuances were subject to four Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regressions. The first regression focused on the variables that affected the rating. The second one excluded all rating related variables and had spread as the dependent variable, while all the others were independent variables. The third one tested a potential non-linearity relation between spread and rating, while the fourth regression tested the spread against all other variables, including those ones related to the rating. The results pointed out that rating is indeed a good determinant for the spread, as well as the issuance volume, the financial institution responsible for the FIDCs’ custody and the macroeconomic environment. These three variables also contributes to determine the rating, along with the number of investors and issuers and if the underlying assets were eventually delivered. The study also concluded that there is no evidence of linearity between spread and rating in FIDCs. The major contribution of this study is to present on first hand a thorough analysis on variables that affect a new type of fixed income investment, the FIDCs, such as the asset nature, credit risk diversification levels and quantity of issuers. / Este trabalho tem por objetivo identificar fatores que influenciam o spread de cotas seniores de Fundos de Investimento em Direitos Creditórios (FIDC). Trata-se de um estudo pioneiro no segmento de renda fixa, uma vez que os anteriores focaram o spread para debêntures. Entender componentes do spread em FIDCs é muito importante para as empresas que captam recursos no mercado de capitais por meio deste novo instrumento. A análise contemplou 113 ofertas públicas indexadas ao CDI entre 2002 e 2009 que tinham prazo determinado e pelo menos 02 investidores adquirentes das cotas. Foram elaboradas quatro regressões múltiplas pelo método dos Mínimos Quadrados Ordinários (MQO). A primeira visava identificar quais variáveis afetavam o rating. A segunda tinha como variável dependente o spread e as independentes eram todas, excluindo as que afetavam o rating. A terceira equação testou uma possível relação de não-linearidade entre spread e rating, enquanto a quarta testou o spread contra todas as demais variáveis, incluindo as que afetavam o rating. Os resultados apontaram que o rating é sim um bom determinante para o spread, assim como o volume da emissão, ambiente econômico e instituição financeira que faz a custódia do fundo. Da mesma forma, são fatores que explicam o rating: ambiente econômico, quem são o administrador e o custodiante do fundo, o número de investidores, volume, se o fundo é multi ou mono-cedente e se os ativos são performados ou não. Não há linearidade entre spread e rating em FIDCs. A maior contribuição deste estudo foi apresentar pela primeira vez variáveis que afetam um novo tipo de investimento em renda fixa, os FIDCs, tais como tipo de ativo, níveis de concentração e fundos mono e multi-cedentes. Tudo isto por meio de um cuidadoso tratamento da base de dados.

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