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Showing 41 to 42 of 42 (0.11 seconds)Spelling suggestions: "subject:"comparative case study"" "subject:"comparative base study""
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Assessing foresight to advance management of complex global problemsBerze, Ottilia E. 15 April 2019 (has links)
Many people do not like thinking about the future. If they do, over 50% of Canadians think “our way of life” (p. 7) will end within 100 years and over 80% of Canadians think “we need to change our worldview and way of life if we are to create a better future for the world” (Randle & Eckersley, 2015, p. 9). There is a good reason for this. Alarms have sounded over global urgent complex problems with potential for catastrophic consequences such as the development of artificial intelligence, climate change, mass extinction, nuclear war and pandemics (Marien & Halal, 2011). Society is also increasingly fragmenting as imminent crises build on lack of understanding, the sense of incapacity to act, fear, distrust, blame and a lack of hope. This struggle for humanity’s survival is complicated by the turbulent global environment in which institutions continue to follow path-dependent trajectories set forth in a different time and context. Governments at various levels face a problem of “fit” between current structures and processes, that have not progressed sufficiently to meet changing needs of a global society mired in complexity and governance challenges.
However, hope exists. Incremental progress on many fronts and a massive amount of efforts and resources are being engaged worldwide. There are emerging fields, lenses and tools that can potentially alleviate complex problems and address this emergency. The purpose of this dissertation is to understand and assess dialogue-based foresight practices being applied towards complex problems in Canada to provide insights into how these practices can assist society to alleviate global urgent complex problems and their impacts, within this backdrop of looming crises.
Foresight, alternatively known as future studies or scenario-building, is a forward-looking practice recognized and used globally with over 100 research organizations focused on foresight, widespread usage by firms and over 18 countries involved in foresight activities (Berze, 2014b). Overall literature findings suggest foresight is widely and at least incrementally effective with a number of impacts in various areas (Calof, Miller, & Jackson, 2012; March, Therond, & Leenhardt, 2012; Meissner, Gokhberg, & Sokolov, 2013) but the extent of this effectiveness, the mechanisms involved, and the specific foresight benefits per type of project needs further research and evidence. For instance, limited literature exists on whether foresight can transform complex situations and if so, under what conditions. Thus, opportunities exist for assessing and increasing foresight’s impact.
This dissertation is a contextualized, systematic empirical study that taps into transdisciplinary literature and practice, case studies of how foresight has been used to address specific types of complex problems in Canada, as well as surveys and interviews with foresight experts and participants. This dissertation uses a foresight community scan and a comparative case study approach to provide practical and theoretical benefits to foresight and complex problem area stakeholders. The research focuses on studying the broad interactions of foresight and identifying the impacts of dialogue-based foresight projects on people and the outcomes of complex problems.
The dissertation concludes that dialogue-based foresight is a valuable and unique practice for ameliorating complex problems and their consequences. Insights are offered towards dialogue-based foresight’s potential contributions within the context of other efforts directed at humanity’s struggle for survival and global complex problems. These insights can then foster the further development and application of dialogue-based foresight on a global scale to alleviate complex problems and their effects. The dissertation outlines recommendations on key next steps to realize these potential contributions. / Graduate
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Värmland levande skogar : En jämförande fallstudie om hur kommunerna Sunne och Karlstad implementerar det svenska miljömålet Levande skogar i deras samhällsplanering. / Värmlands living forests : A comparative case study of how the municipalities Sunne and Karlstad implement the Swedish climate goal Living forests in their urban planningEnqvist, Patricia January 2022 (has links)
Genom Agenda 2030 skapades Sveriges 16 miljömål och ett av dessa miljömål uppnås inte i dagsläget är målet Levande skogar. Trots befintliga åtgärder har miljömålet en fortsatt negativ utveckling, för att bevara skogens biologiska och kulturella värden krävs förstärkta åtgärder och styrmedel. En kommunal nivå är viktig för implementeringen av miljömålet genom samhällsplanering. Syftet med studien är att skapa förståelse för hur Sunne och Karlstad kommun prioriterar och värderar skogen i deras samhällsplanering genom att genomföra en jämförande fallstudie och analysera utifrån en syntetisk top-down/bottom-up teoretisk implementeringsmodell och även granska likheter och skillnader mellan detaljplanerna. Uppsatsens frågeställningar följer: • Reflekteras de politiska argumenten angående miljömålet levande skogar genom implementeringsprocessen inom stadsplanering? • Finns ett tydligt arbete i planeringsprocessen i Sunne och Karlstad kommun som strävar efter att uppnå miljömålet levande skogar? • Vilka prioriteringar inom samhällsplanering görs i förmån till skogen i Sunne och Karlstad kommun? Studiens resultat visar att implementeringsprocessen inom stadsplanering påverkas av de politiska argumenten angående miljömålet Levande skogar. Samarbetet mellan olika nivåer inom implementeringen som involverar organisationer och aktörer från ett beslutande av en policy till genomförandet på lokal nivå är viktigt för hur det sedan implementeras i samhällsplaneringen. Policyn för Levande skogar diskuteras inte specifikt i någon av detaljplanerna, men flera delar av planerna berör ändå detta policyområde. Det finns flera likheter och skillnader mellan detaljplanerna i Sunne och Karlstad kommun när det gäller arbetet med frågor kopplade till natur och skog. I Sunne kommun finns det en tydlig prioritering av att bevara skogen och dess naturvärden. I Karlstad kommun genomförs skogliga åtgärder för att utveckla trygghet, upplevelse, funktion och trivsel för människor, djur och växtlighet i tätortsnära skog enligt kommunen. / Through Agenda 2030, Sweden developed 16 environmental goals. One of these environmental goals that are currently not reached is the Living Forests goal. Despite existing measures, the goal has continued negative development. To preserve the forest's biological and cultural values, strengthened measures and instruments are required. The municipal level is essential for implementing the environmental objective through community planning. The case study's intent is to develop a deeper understanding of how the municipalities of Sunne and Karlstad prioritize and value the forest in their urban planning. Conducting a comparative case study and analysing based on a synthetic top-down/bottom-up theoretical implementation model and reviewing similarities and differences between the detailed plans. The case study's questions follow: • Are the political arguments regarding the environmental goal of living forests reflected through the implementation process in urban planning? • Is the work evident in the planning process in Sunne and Karlstad municipalities that strive to achieve the environmental goal of living forests? • What priorities in urban planning are made in favour of the forest in Sunne and Karlstad municipalities? The results show that the implementation process in urban planning is influenced by the political arguments regarding the environmental goal of Living Forests. The cooperation between different levels within the implementation that involves organizations and actors, from the decision of a policy to the implementation at the local level, is essential for how it implements in community planning. The Living Forests policy is not addressed in any of the detailed plans, but several parts of both plans still touch on this policy area. There are several similarities and differences between the detailed planning documents in both municipalities regarding the work with topics connected to nature and forests. Sunne municipality has a clear priority to preserve the forest and its natural values. In Karlstad municipality, forestry measures are carried out to develop safety, experience, function, and well-being for people, animals, and vegetation in forests close to urban areas, according to the municipality.
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