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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
191

Ein integriertes Verkehrsnachfrage- und Bewertungsmodell: Ansatz einer Synthese von Mikroökonomie und Verkehrsplanung

Winkler, Christian 24 November 2011 (has links)
In dieser Arbeit wird ein Modell zur integrierten Verkehrsnachfrage- und Nutzenberechnung für den privaten Personenverkehr entwickelt, mit dem eine harmonisierte Bewertung der entscheidungsrelevanten Aufwände der Verkehrsteilnehmer in der Verkehrsnachfragemodellierung und der Nutzen-Kosten-Analyse ermöglicht wird. Notwendig ist die Modellentwicklung und die damit verbundene Zusammenführung, da die derzeit praktizierte methodische Trennung zum einen nicht theoriekonform mit der Nutzen-Kosten-Analyse ist, zum anderen daraus fehlerhafte Ergebnisse im Rahmen der ökonomischen Gesamtbewertung einer Verkehrsinvestition resultieren können. Das entwickelte Modell liefert als Ergebnis einerseits die Verkehrsnachfrage für den Ohne- und Mitfall (ohne und mit zu bewertender Verkehrsinvestition), andererseits wird die Änderung der Konsumentenrente der Verkehrsteilnehmer ausgegeben, die unmittelbar in die Nutzen-Kosten-Analyse einfließt. Das zugrundegelegte Verkehrsnachfragemodell ist das EVA-Logit-Modell, das dem EVA-Grundmodell in Form eines Logit-Modells entspricht und damit mikroökonomisch interpretierbar und integrierbar ist. Die Nutzenänderung der Verkehrsteilnehmer wird durch das Integral des EVA-Logit-Modells bestimmt und mit Hilfe der in der Verkehrsnachfrage modellierten Bewertungspräferenzen der Verkehrsteilnehmer gegenüber den Reisekosten monetarisiert. Das Ergebnis stellt die konsistent bestimmte Änderung der Konsumentenrente dar. Die Funktionsfähigkeit und Verwendbarkeit des entwickelten Modells wird anhand einer Beispielanwendung getestet.
192

Évaluation des pratiques d’élevage des fermes laitières au Québec qui sont des facteurs de risque associés au prix des veaux laitiers lors de la vente à l’encan

Ferraro, Salvatore 12 1900 (has links)
Le terme veaux laitiers se réfère aux veaux mâles et femelles non retenus pour le remplacement et vendus en jeune âge. L’objectif de cette étude était d’évaluer l’association entre les caractéristiques et les pratiques de la ferme et le prix final de veaux laitiers lors de leurs mises en marche dans deux encans québécois. Les éleveurs des fermes d’origine des veaux ont été contactés pour répondre à un questionnaire sur les caractéristiques et les pratiques de leur ferme. L’association entre les caractéristiques et les pratiques de la ferme et le percentile de la médiane du prix des veaux a été évaluée via un modèle multivariable de régression linéaire. Un total de 509 éleveurs a été contacté, 433 ont accepté de participer et 409 questionnaires ont été retenus pour les analyses statistiques. Les fermes ont vendu en médiane deux veaux (entre 1 et 19) et la majorité (82%) était de race Holstein. Leur prix était positivement associé à une production moyenne par vache/an supérieure à 11 000 litres et à la présence sur la ferme de trois travailleurs et plus s’occupant des veaux. Leur prix était négativement associé à la vaccination des vaches pour la diarrhée néonatale, l’absence de désinfection du cordon ombilical des veaux, l’interdiction aux transporteurs d’entrer dans les bâtiments de la ferme et à l’utilisation de ripe de bois comme litière des veaux. Les résultats démontrent que les caractéristiques et les pratiques de la ferme d’origine sont associées au prix des veaux laitiers / The term surplus calf defines the male calves and heifers culled within two weeks of life. The objective of this study was to evaluate the associations between the characteristics and the practice of the dairy farms and the price of surplus calves. Their selling price (CAD/kg) were recorded in two-auction markets between 2019 and 2020. The farms who sold calves during the study were contacted to answer the survey. The possible association between the characteristics and the practices of the farms and the median percentile of surplus calves’ selling price per farm was assessed using a multivariable linear regression model. A total of 509 farmers were contacted, 433 of them have accepted to be enrolled and 409 questionnaires were retained for statistical analysis. The median of the surplus calves sold by the farm was two (between 1 and 19) and the majority were Holstein (82%). The covariates that were positively associated with the median percentile of surplus calves’ selling price per farm were an average milk production per cow/year superior to 11,000 liters and the presence of the farm of three or more workers available to take care of calves. Their selling price was negatively associated with vaccination of cows for neonatal calf diarrhea, no disinfection of the navel of newborn calves, no forbid transporters to entry in the farm’s buildings and use of wood shaving as bedding for surplus calves. The results show the association between the characteristics and practices of farms and the price of surplus calves.
193

Forecast Modelling of Future Events that Affect the Repayment Capacity of Mortgages / Prognosmodellering för framtida händelser som påverkar återbetalningsförmågan för bolån

Nordlund, Alexander, Ålander, Niklas January 2019 (has links)
The Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority introduced new guidelines and regulations on March 1, 2019. These regulations induced Swedish banks and other creditors to consider future events as a mean to improve their ability to determine the risk of debtors. A forecast generator was created as a tool to accomplish this. The constraints of this thesis limited the forecast generator to mortgages with four parameters: loss of income, pension, foreign currency and depreciation. The forecast generator was created by combining components of Vitec Capitex's existing mortgage calculator as well as by adding new components. The new components were utilized in advancing loans and budgets in time, as well as calculating a suitable income insurance in the case of a loss of income. Furthermore, the forecast generator could approximate the pension a debtor would receive when retired. The forecast generator could calculate the economic situation of debtors after a future event took place such as a loss of income or an early or late retirement. A suitable income insurance would prevent a debtor from insolvency in the case of an income loss. / Finansinspektionen införde nya riktlinjer och föreskrifter den 1 mars 2019. Dessa föreskrifter anvisade banker och andra borgenärer att ha ett framåtblickande perspektiv för att förbättra deras förmåga att bedöma gäldenärers risk. En beräkningsmotor skapades som ett verktyg för att genomföra detta. Avgränsningarna för denna avhandling begränsar beräkningsmotorn till konsumenter som köper bostadskrediter med fyra parametrar: inkomstbortfall, pension, utländsk valuta och värdeminskning. Beräkningsmotorn skapades genom att kombinera komponenter från Vitec Capitex's existerande beräkningsmotor samt genom att lägga till nya komponenter. De nya komponenterna användes för att beräkna lån och budget för gäldenärer över tid, samt beräkna en passande inkomstförsäkring utifrån ett inkomstbortfall. Vidare kunde beräkningsmotorn approximera en pensionsinkomst efter gäldenären gått i pension. Beräkningsmotorn kunde även beräkna den ekonomiska situationen för gäldenärer efter en framtida händelse inträffat som inkomstbortfall eller en tidig pension. En lämplig inkomstförsäkring skulle skydda en gäldenär från obestånd ifall ett inkomstbortfall inträffat.
194

Analysis of South African pension fund conversions: 1980-2006; developing a model for dealing with environmental change

George, Dion Travers 31 March 2006 (has links)
Between 1980-2006, thousands of South African pension funds converted members from defined benefit to defined contribution structures. This research set out to answer the questions of why this phenomenon occurred and whether peculiar environmental circumstances influenced the outcome. The research framework identified various stakeholders in the retirement fund industry - government; regulator; pension fund adjudicator; ombudsman for long term insurance; trade unions; members; trustees; business; employers and service providers - and isolated the elements to be considered in the research. Industry experts were interviewed to obtain a macro view of the phenomenon and specific manifestations of the phenomenon were also considered in case studies. The purpose of the research was to develop a model for managers to assist them in dealing with environmental change. Qualitative research methodology was utilised and feedback from semi-structured interviews was categorised into several emergent themes. Within-case and cross-case analyses were conducted. Research results indicate that the conversion phenomenon occurred in two waves - one initiated in the 1980s and driven by the trade unions and a second in the 1990s, driven by employers, often at the advice of their consultants. Evidence of the start of a third wave also emerged. Results indicate that an environmental shock exerted a substantial influence on the course of events. Under these:  Various factors combined to drive organisational evolution (i.e. adaptation to the environment).  Adaptation speed was inappropriate and exceeded that which was required for sufficient thought.  Uncertainty and vacuum circumstances arose leading to consequences that require redress.  The power of the relative stakeholders changed and influenced the strategic outcome.  An imbalance in stakeholder interests arose and ethical factors became consequential.  Business acted to restore certainty for itself. Existing literature explained organisational behaviour in environments of competitive shock and high turbulence, but not in circumstances of environmental shock. A model emerged to assist managers to deal with environmental change, which was applied to an analysis of pension fund reform. It was also applied to the pension fund perspective on Broad-Based Black Economic Empowerment. This model may also be applied in analysis of land redistribution, sanctions and constitutional development. / Business Management / DBL
195

Sälj det nu eller aldrig : En studie om hotellbranschens kraftiga priskurvor

Polonis, Vanessa, Björklund, Per, Panek, Nathalie January 2017 (has links)
The hotel industry is characterized by perishability, which means that its services cannot be stored and saved to a later sales opportunity. In that world, a room that is not booked is lost forever. Another thing that also characterizes the industry is that it is seasonally controlled, thus the demand varies between different periods of time and occasions. As hotels tend to have high fixed costs, companies often choose to price their services higher when the opportunity that consumers pay a higher price appears. This can lead to a situation when the consumers feel fooled by the fact that the hotel itself does not create the new conditions that makes the demand rise. As a support for the interviews conducted, a research focused on the real prices has also been conducted where the prices of fifteen hotels in Stockholm were checked for three months on three occasions. To investigate the relationship between these two phenomena, seven hotel employees have been interviewed and shared their experiences of the reality and strategies within hotel industry. In order to get an overall picture, fifty consumers having profiles of potential hotel guests, have been interviewed where they answer questions about different scenarios and estimated prices for hotels of three different classes in Stockholm. The research made it possible to determine some conclusions. It appeared to be important for hotel industry to optimize prices in a way that they reflect the demand. An important tool to achieve this optimization is yield management and it confirms by the driving forces that identifies most often. The result of this reality is that the hotels experience fluctuations of prices over time, with rarely occurring stable pricing curves. Price awareness of customers tend to be raised when their experience of similar purchases is high. It has also been found that high prices do not necessarily have to lower the consumer value and that hotel guests may be willing to pay a higher price due to certain external factors. The relation between pricing and customer value was found to be complex and as there are some factors preventing the customer value to get lowered by price increase, it might be beneficial for hotels to take these factors into account. / Hotellbranschen kännetecknas av förgänglighet, vilket innebär att dess tjänster inte går att spara till ett senare försäljningstillfälle. I den världen går ett rum som inte bokas för alltid förlorad. Något som också kännetecknar branschen är att den är säsongsstyrd och därmed varierar efterfrågan mellan olika tidsperioder och tillfällen. I och med att hotell tenderar att ha höga fasta kostnader, väljer företagen ofta att prissätta sina tjänster högre när möjligheten för att konsumenter betalar ett högre pris uppstår. Detta kan leda till att konsumenterna känner sig lurade i och med att hotellet inte självt skapar de nya förutsättningarna som gör att efterfrågan stiger. Som ett stöd för de genomförda intervjuerna har även en prisundersökning genomförts där priserna på femton hotell i Stockholm under fyra månaders tid kontrollerades vid tre tillfällen. För att utreda hur relationen mellan dessa två fenomen ser ut har sju hotellmedarbetare intervjuats och beskrivit den verkligheten och de strategierna som finns. För att kunna få en helhetsbild har även femtio konsumenter, alltså potentiella hotellgäster, intervjuats där de svarar på frågor om olika scenarier samt uppskatta priser på hotell av olika klasser i Stockholm. Slutsatserna till undersökningen förblev att hotell till en övervägande majoritet använder sig av verktyg som yield management för att hantera dessa fluktuationer i efterfrågan och därmed ser också ett hotells priskurva väldigt sällan stabil ut. De potentiella hotellgästerna ställer sig kluvna i frågan om hur priset på ett hotellrum påverkar det upplevda värdet, vilket också delvis ställer det teoretiska ramverket och det empiriska resultatet emot varandra. Slutsatsen av det är att det finns en komplexitet i detta fenomen, där det finns ett flertal faktorer som erfordras att undersökas vidare för att nå en djupare och bredare förståelse.
196

N use efficiency in field vegetable production systems

Nett, Leif 15 February 2012 (has links)
In der vorliegenden Studie wurden zwei Fragestellungen bearbeitet, die beide das Ziel verfolgen, die Stickstoff(N)-Ausnutzungseffizienz in landwirtschaftlichen Systemen zu steigern: 1) Hat die langjährige organische Düngung einen Einfluss auf den Abbau kürzlich applizierter organischer Dünger? Die Hypothese war, dass relevante Effekte nur bei schwer abbaubaren organischen Düngern auftreten während bei leicht abbaubaren organischen Düngern die Düngungshistorie keine Rolle spielt. 2) Können die hohen N-Bilanzüberschüsse im intensiven Freilandgemüsebau durch den Einsatz von Winterzwischenfrüchten (ZF) deutlich reduziert werden? Die Hypothese war, dass ZF die Bilanzüberschüsse der betrachteten zweijährigen Fruchtfolgen um mindestens 30 kg N / ha reduzieren. Die erste Hypothese wurde überprüft, indem der Abbau organischer Dünger in Böden, die sich in ihrer organischen Düngungshistorie unterschieden, gemessen wurde. Es wurden ein Topfversuch im Gewächshaus sowie ein Inkubationsversuch im Labor durchgeführt. Die Ergebnisse deuteten darauf hin, dass es Effekte der Historie auf den Abbau von Stallmist und Kiefernrinde gab, während es keine Effekte bei leicht abbaubarem Kohlmaterial gab. Daher wurde die Hypothese angenommen. Allerdings ergaben die beobachteten Effekte kein konsistentes Bild in Hinblick auf die Richtung der Effekte auf die Kohlenstoff(C)- und N-Mineralisierung und Effekte auf die Netto-N-Mineralisation waren generell sehr klein. Zur Überprüfung der zweiten Hypothese wurden an drei Standorten in Deutschland Feldversuche mit Gemüsefruchtfolgen und unterschiedlichen ZF durchgeführt. Die Ergebnisse ergaben, dass trotz der die mittleren Bilanzüberschüsse der Kontrollen (ohne ZF) von 217 kg N / ha die ZF die N-Bilanz im Mittel um nur 13 kg N / ha reduzierten. Daher wurde die Hypothese abgelehnt. Die Ergebnisse zeigten weiterhin, dass der verlustfreie Transfer der von der ZF aufgenommenen N-Menge an die Folgefrucht ein kritischer Schritt bei dieser Technik ist. / The current study dealt with two questions that target potential options to increase the nitrogen (N) use efficiency of agricultural systems: 1) Does long-term organic fertilization affect the decomposition of recently added organic fertilizers? The hypothesis was that effects only occur for recalcitrant organic fertilizers while for readily decomposable organic fertilizers, the fertilization history does not play a role. 2) Can the N balance surpluses in intensive field vegetable production systems be substantially reduced by cultivation of winter catch crops (CC)? The hypothesis was that the N balance surpluses of the investigated two-year crop rotations can be reduced by more than 30 kg N / ha. The first hypothesis was tested by applying organic fertilizers to soils that only differed in organic fertilization history. A greenhouse pot experiment and a laboratory incubation experiment were conducted. The results indicated that fertilization history had effects on the decomposition of farmyard manure and pine bark, not however on the decomposition of readily decomposable cabbage material. Hence, the hypothesis was accepted in that fertilization history effects depended on the type of fertilizer. However, fertilization history effects showed no consistent trend with respect to increase or decrease in carbon (C) and N mineralization and the effects on net N mineralization were minor in magnitude. The second hypothesis was tested by performing field experiments at three sites in Germany. Vegetable crop rotations were set up, testing different types of CC. The results suggested that in spite of high N surpluses in the control treatments (no CC) of 217 kg N / ha, CC reduced the N balance surplus on average by only 13 kg N / ha. Hence, the hypothesis was rejected. The findings further indicated that the transfer of N taken up by the CC to the succeeding crop is a critical step when adopting this technique.
197

Analysis of South African pension fund conversions: 1980-2006; developing a model for dealing with environmental change

George, Dion Travers 31 March 2006 (has links)
Between 1980-2006, thousands of South African pension funds converted members from defined benefit to defined contribution structures. This research set out to answer the questions of why this phenomenon occurred and whether peculiar environmental circumstances influenced the outcome. The research framework identified various stakeholders in the retirement fund industry - government; regulator; pension fund adjudicator; ombudsman for long term insurance; trade unions; members; trustees; business; employers and service providers - and isolated the elements to be considered in the research. Industry experts were interviewed to obtain a macro view of the phenomenon and specific manifestations of the phenomenon were also considered in case studies. The purpose of the research was to develop a model for managers to assist them in dealing with environmental change. Qualitative research methodology was utilised and feedback from semi-structured interviews was categorised into several emergent themes. Within-case and cross-case analyses were conducted. Research results indicate that the conversion phenomenon occurred in two waves - one initiated in the 1980s and driven by the trade unions and a second in the 1990s, driven by employers, often at the advice of their consultants. Evidence of the start of a third wave also emerged. Results indicate that an environmental shock exerted a substantial influence on the course of events. Under these:  Various factors combined to drive organisational evolution (i.e. adaptation to the environment).  Adaptation speed was inappropriate and exceeded that which was required for sufficient thought.  Uncertainty and vacuum circumstances arose leading to consequences that require redress.  The power of the relative stakeholders changed and influenced the strategic outcome.  An imbalance in stakeholder interests arose and ethical factors became consequential.  Business acted to restore certainty for itself. Existing literature explained organisational behaviour in environments of competitive shock and high turbulence, but not in circumstances of environmental shock. A model emerged to assist managers to deal with environmental change, which was applied to an analysis of pension fund reform. It was also applied to the pension fund perspective on Broad-Based Black Economic Empowerment. This model may also be applied in analysis of land redistribution, sanctions and constitutional development. / Business Management / DBL
198

La déduction en matière de taxe sur la valeur ajoutée : étude en droit franco-lituanien

Grambaite, Gintare 29 January 2016 (has links)
La comparaison entre des systèmes civilistes et, plus particulièrement, la France et la Lituanie, permet de confronter des expériences diverses au service de la construction de l’Union européenne. La méthode comparatiste peut, dans une approche régulatrice, permettre de réaliser une véritable intégration commune pour une matière comme le droit fiscal et d’appréhender les modalités du droit à déduction de la TVA relatives à l’exercice régulier et abusif d’un tel droit. Depuis la création de la TVA, comme instrument majeur pour financer le budget des États, le moment est venu de porter un regard critique sur le système de la TVA. Le droit à déduction de la TVA est fondamental pour le système de la TVA et sa neutralité. La taxe sur la valeur ajoutée a une incidence considérable sur chaque citoyen de l'Union européenne et il faut se donner les moyens en vue d’améliorer le mécanisme d’application de la déduction et créer des méthodes supplémentaires de lutte contre la fraude / The comparison between civil law systems and, more particularly, between France and Lithuania, allows to confront diverse experiences in favour of the European Union’s construction. The comparative method allows, in a regulating approach, to realize a real common integration of a subject like tax law and better understand the conditions of VAT deduction related to the deduction practise in the regular or abusive way. Since the establishment of VAT, as a major instrument to fund the State’s budget, it is the time to take a critical look on the VAT system. The right to deduct VAT is fundamental composant of VAT system and of its neutrality. The value added tax has a significant impact on each citizen of the European Union and we must give ourselves the means to improve the application of the deduction mechanism and develop the additional methods to fight against fraud
199

International standards for statistics on the government sector / Mezinárodní statistické standardy pro sektor vládních institucí

Valentová Půlpánová, Lenka January 2006 (has links)
The analysis of the government sector gained prominence after the World War II as the Keynesian theory attributed the government sector key importance in battling economic cycle and the post-war reconstruction and development involved state interventions on a large scale. In 1990s a strength-ened interest in the government sector was triggered by the need to coordinate fiscal policies and closely monitor fiscal health in the countries forming the Economic and Monetary Union. Finally, in the context of the recent global economic crisis, the government sector returned to the centre of the economic policy debate as fiscal policy was used as a main tool to fight the economic recession and subsequently sustainability of government finances became a pressing issue for many countries around the Globe. Increasing importance of the fiscal analysis and fiscal policymaking always generated and continues to generate demand for appropriate statistical data. The international statistical standards played a key role in meeting these requirements. This dissertation offers a comprehensive historical overview, a comparative analysis and evaluation of main internationally recognised statistical standards dealing with the government sector produced by the United Nations, the OECD, the European Communities (Eurostat), the IMF and the European Central Bank. It covers a period since the first international guidelines in late 1940s up to present. It analyses evolution of the statistical treatment of the government sector including its historical roots and gradual revisions and extensions to reflect changing needs and shifts in economic environment. The study compares individual standards with each other and across time and points out differences in basic definitions, concepts and classifications, the institutional coverage of the government sector, structure of government accounts and balancing items, integration of flow accounts with balance sheets and consolidation of transactions or stocks. The dissertation shows that the international statistical standards were successful in offering common statistical guidance, recommendations and best practices. The international organizations have proven to be well suited to deliver widely acknowledged standards. Their cooperation with national statistical agencies and engagement of the most competent experts in the field contributed to building credibility of these statistical systems, if properly applied. The comparative analysis also demonstrates a clear long-term effort of the international statistical community to enhance international harmonization. The application of the international statistical standards also improved quality and availability of government statistics as individual countries are in principle bound -- through their memberships in the international organizations -- to compile agreed data on the basis of a common methodology. This was in particular the case for EU countries for which provision of statistical data according to a given standard is legally binding, as the data are relevant for budgetary and surveillance procedures. As a special case, the history since early 1990s and current situation of statistics on the government sector in the Czech Republic is presented.
200

台電需求面管理之經濟分析--用戶計劃性減少用電措施案例 / The economic analysis of Taipower’s demand-side management--The case of incentive plan for load curtailment program

謝嘉豪 Unknown Date (has links)
過去電力事業為了滿足電力用戶之需求,對於新電源之開發不遺餘力。然而由於電力事業近年來在供給面規劃屢遭當地居民抗爭而受阻,因而晚近轉而強調用戶需求面之管理。 本文針對台電公司現行需求面管理之「用戶計劃性減少用電措施」四種方案進行研析。首先設定簡化條件,將四種方案予以模型化,利用經濟剩餘模型,進行邊際分析,探討台電公司提供優惠之折扣比例及電力的價格需求彈性如何參與用戶抑低容量以及消費者剩餘、生產者剩餘分配之效果。分析結果顯示:「計劃性(二)」抑低用戶負載容量最高,且參與用戶之消費者剩餘最多;「計劃性(一)」抑低用戶負載容量最低,且參與用戶之消費者剩餘最少。另一方面,若從電力公司之視角觀之,「計劃性(二)」之生產者剩餘最低,而「計劃性(一)」之生產者剩餘最高。 經濟剩餘模型分析中,由於未能充分考慮供需雙方之潛在成本與效益,因此實務上之解釋能力有其侷限之處。基於上述緣由,本文接著藉由成本效益分析,將方案實施之潛在成本與效益納入考量,分別從參與用戶之角度進行參與者檢定(Participant Cost Test, PCT)以及從電力公司之角度進行公用事業成本檢定(Utility Cost Test, UCT),以檢視不同方案在不同觀點下之績效表現。成本效益分析結果顯示:在PCT檢定下,「計劃性(四)」參與用戶之益本比最高,「計劃性(二)」參與用戶之益本比最低。而在UCT檢定下,「計劃性(一)」電力公司益本比最高,「計劃性(四)」電力公司益本比最低。將成本效益分析與經濟剩餘模型比較後可發現,用戶抑低容量高的方案對於電力公司而言未必最有利。 最後,為進一步探討關鍵變數變動造成不同方案間成本效益值之影響,因此進行敏感度分析。敏感度分析的結果顯示:若電力公司為吸引用戶而提高誘因,增加各方案給予用戶優惠折扣之比例,以參與用戶角度而言,「計劃性(四)」參與者檢定之益本比提高幅度最大;以電力公司角度而言,「計劃性(四)」公用事業成本檢定之益本比降低幅度最大。若電力公司提高參與用戶每次抑低用電負載之時數,以參與用戶角度而言,「計劃性(四)」參與者檢定之益本比降低幅度最大;以電力公司角度而言,「計劃性(四)」之公用事業成本檢定益本比提高幅度最大。 / In order to meet the users’ demand of electricity, the electric power utility spared no effort to develop the new power plant in the past. However, in recent years, the electric power utility have been hampered by local residents on supply-side planning, thus more emphasize is being put on users’ demand-side management(DSM). This paper aims to analyze four projects of Taipower’s existing demand-side management of “incentive plan for customers’ scheduled load curtailment program”. First, we set several simplified conditions for modeling the projects. By using the economic surplus model and conducting the marginal analysis, the impact from the discount incentive provided by the utility and the elasticity of electricity price demand is explored-on participants’ load capacity reduction and the distribution of consumer surplus and producer surplus. The results of economic surplus model showed "project 2" curtails the maximum load capacity and with the highest consumer surplus; "project 1" curtails the minimum load capacity and with the lowest consumer surplus. On the other hand, in the Taipower's point of view, "project 2" provides with the lowest producer surplus while "project 1" gives the highest producer surplus. In the economic surplus model, since the potential costs and benefit were not fully considered in both supply and demand sides, several limitations exist on this model. Based on the above reasons, we utilize the cost benefit analysis, taking the potential cost and benefit into account and conducting Participant Cost Test(PCT) from the participants’ perspective and Utility Cost Test(UCT)from the utility’s perspective to examine the performance under different 4 DSM projects in different point of view. The results of cost benefit analysis showed that in the PCT test, the "project 4" comes up with the highest benefit cost ratio while "project 2" has the lowest cost benefit ratio. In the UCT test, the "project 1" has the highest cost benefit ratio while "project 4" came with the lowest cost benefit ratio. Comparing the cost benefit analysis with the economic surplus model, we could find that the project with the most load capacity reduction may not be the most favorable project for the utility. Finally, in order to further explore the key variables affecting the cost and benefit value in different projects, we simulated several scenarios for sensitivity analysis. The results of the sensitivity analysis showed that if the utility increases incentives to increase four projects’ ratio of discount for attracting participant, in the participants’ perspective, "project 4" would have the most changed rate of cost benefit ratio(increase); in the utility's perspective, "project 4" would have the highest adjusted rate of cost benefit ratio(decrease). If the utility increases the load curtailment duration each time, in the participants’ perspective, "project4" would have the highest adjusted rate of cost benefit ratio(decrease) ; in the utility’s perspective, " project4 " would have the highest adjusted rate of cost benefit ratio(increase).

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