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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
121

Börspsykologiska bias & Diversifiering : En kvantitativ studie om privatinvesterares beteende under Covid-19 / Psychological biases & Diversification : A quantitative study about private investors'behavior during Covid-19

Lindström, Anton, Sara-Joyce, Jonsson January 2022 (has links)
Bakgrund: Coronapandemin präglade under lång tid människors vardag såväl som de finansiella marknaderna. Den kraftiga nedgången i februari - mars år 2020 och den rekordsnabba återhämtningen påverkade privatinvesterare. Dessa investerare stod inför tuffa beslut, och präglades av stress och oro. Under volatila tider sker inte alltid rationella beslut, och denna typ av beslutsmiljö kan påverka investerare att vara mer mottagliga av psykologiska bias. För att undvika att gå i samma fällor, är det av intresse att kartlägga börspsykologiska faktorers påverkan på privatinvesterares agerande och vilken effekt det har på deras diversifiering i aktieportföljen. Eventuella skillnader i agerande under börsnedgångarna visar även om investerarna själva lärde sig någonting från den första börsnedgången och ändrade sitt beteende till den andra börsnedgången. Syfte: Syftet med studien är att kartlägga privatinvesterares agerande på aktiemarknaden under Coronapandemin. Detta för att kunna uttala sig om, privatinvesterares beteende under börsnedgången i februari - mars 2020, samt den andra börsnedgången i oktober samma år. Genom att undersöka två tidsperioder går det att observera skillnader i beteende. Metod: Studien använde sig av en enkätstudie med tvärsnittsdesign för att på generell nivå ha möjlighet till att uttala sig om privatinvesterares agerande under börsnedgångarna. Slutsats: Studien har visat att samtliga undersökta börspsykologiska bias har påverkat privatinvesterare under båda börsnedgångarna men det finns dock skillnader mellan perioderna. Om respondenterna själva får beskriva deras agerande har många angett att de har agerat rationellt under krisen, något som tidigare forskning också konstaterat. Diversifieringen har ökat i aktieportföljen efter börsnedgångarna, jämfört med hur det såg ut vid slutet av 2019. Det är dock inte säkerställt att detta är en effekt av nedgångarna. Slutligen finns det även skillnader i börspsykologiska faktorer och diversifiering mellan demografiska faktorer och erfarenhet från tidigare kriser. / Background: The Corona pandemic has affected people’s everyday life as well as the financial markets. The big decline in the stock market that happened in February-March 2020 and the record fast recovery impacted private investors in a big way. Investors had difficult decisions to make during times of stress and worry, which does not always lead to optimal decisions. The investors could be more affected by biases during times of crisis. To avoid walking into the same traps again it is of investor’s interest to map psychological biases and how they affect the diversification in their stock portfolios. Eventual differences in behavior between the stock market decline in February-Mars and the one in October could be spotted by comparing the two periods. This would show if the respondents themselves learned from the first stock market decline to the second one, hence changing their behavior. Purpose: The purpose of this study is to map private investors’ behavior in the stock market during the Corona pandemic. This will make it possible to discuss private investors’ behavior during the stock market declines in February-March 2020 as well as the one in October the same year. This will make it possible to see differences in behavior. Method: The study used a survey study with cross-sectional design to be able to discuss private investors’ behavior at a general level. Conclusion: The study has shown that all studied psychological biases to affect private investors during the stock market declines, showing there are differences between these periods. If the respondents describe their own actions, then many of say themselves that they acted rational during the crisis, something that previous studies have shown. The diversification has also increased after the stock market declines compared to how it was at the end of 2019, but it is not certain that it is an effect of the stock market declines. There are also differences between demographic factors and experience from previous crises with regards to psychological biases and diversification.
122

Om jag hjälper andra, kan jag hjälpa mig själv? : En kvalitativ studie om finansiella rådgivares privata investeringsbeslut och sparande under 2022 / If I can help others, can I help myself? : A qualitative study about financial advisors' private investment decisions and savings during 2022

Fagerström, Milla, Kempe, Hanna January 2023 (has links)
Bakgrund: År 2022 kantades av Rysslands invasion av Ukraina, börsnedgång, stigande inflation och styrräntor. Det bidrog till att allt fler sökte hjälp av finansiella rådgivare för att utifrån livssituationen få hjälp med att nå sina sparmål och maximera sin avkastning. I tidigare forskning råder det delade meningar kring om den finansiella rådgivaren faktiskt bidrar till positiva ekonomiska utfall hos kunden. Å andra sidan får den finansiella rådgivaren, åtminstone privat, kunskap till sig via sitt arbete som torde leda till en hög finansiell bildning. Huruvida det faktiskt bidrar till positiva ekonomiska utfall i den finansiella rådgivarens egna investeringsbeslut och sparande under 2022 leder således till frågan, om de kan hjälpa andra, kan de även hjälpa sig själva? Syfte: Studien syftar till att skapa en förståelse för hur finansiella rådgivares privata sparande och investeringsbeslut samvarierar med olika faktorer såsom livssituation, psykologiska bias och erfarenheter under 2022. Vidare ämnar studien utforska hur finansiella rådgivare ställer sig till ytterligare utbildning inom beteendeekonomi och huruvida de tror att det kan bidra till bättre finansiellt beslutsfattande. Metod: En kvalitativ metod har använts för att uppfylla studiens syfte. Tio finansiella rådgivare intervjuades genom semistrukturerade djupintervjuer. Slutsats: Studien finner att placering i livscykeln, psykologiska bias samt erfarenhet samvarierar med den finansiella rådgivarens privata investeringsbeslut och sparande under 2022. Placeringen i livscykeln samvarierar främst med riskaversionen, därutöver har de finansiella rådgivarna inte kunnat motstå fall av samtliga undersökta bias i studien. Erfarenheten samvarierar med en minskad benägenhet att falla offer för vissa psykologiska bias, förutom överkonfidens, där effekten snarare är den motsatta. Vidare anser de finansiella rådgivarna att ytterligare utbildning inom beteendeekonomi inte skulle vara värdeskapande för deras privata investeringsbeslut, samtidigt som de anser sig ha behov av det i sitt arbete. / Background: The year 2022 was characterized by the invasion of Ukraine, the downturn of the stock market, rising inflation and increases in the benchmark interest rate. This led to the increasing search for financial advisors who, using life circumstances, could assist the individual in reaching personal saving goals and maximizing returns on investments. In prior research, there are divided opinions about whether financial advisors contribute to positive financial outcomes for the client. The financial advisors, at least privately, gain knowledge through their work which should lead to a high level of financial literacy. Whether it contributes to positive financial outcomes in the financial advisor's own investment decisions and savings in 2022 thus leads to the question, if they can help others, can they also help themselves? Aim: The study aims to create an understanding of how financial advisers' private investments decisions and savings in 2022 have been affected by various factors such as life situation, psychological bias, and experiences. Furthermore, the study intends to explore financial advisers' perception of how further education in behavioral economics could have contributed to better financial decision-making. Method: A qualitative method has been used to fulfill the purpose of the study. Ten financial advisors were interviewed through semi-structured in-depth interviews. Conclusion: The study finds that placement in the life cycle, psychological bias, and experience had an impact on financial advisors’ private investment decisions and savings during 2022. The placement in the lifecycle primarily influences the risk aversion, while the financial advisors have not been able to withstand cases of all investigated biases in the study. Experience has contributed to mitigating the impact of psychological biases to some extent while also creating overconfidence. The financial advisors believe that additional education in behavioral economics would not add value to their private investment decisions, while they consider themselves to need it in their work.
123

Insynshandel - Vad är den kortsiktiga marknadsreaktionen? : En kvantitativ studie gällande insynspersoners möjlighet till att generera abnormal avkastning på First North Growth Market

Issa, Gabriel January 2021 (has links)
Insider trading has long been a controversial phenomenon in the financial world. Several studies have been conducted in the area where the studies have shown ambiguous results. In 2016, Finansipektionen amended the Insider Trading Act, namely that insiders need to report an insider transction within three days. Insiders ability to generate abnormal returns is considered to be in conflict with market efficiency.  This study examines insiders ability to generate abnormal returns on the First North Growth Market during the year 2020, where the sample consists of 47 observations. An eventstudy has been used to investigate the market reaction from the publication of insider trading. Multiple regression analysis has been applied to examine whether there is any difference in the abnormal return based on the position of the insider, the transactionsize of the insider tradingsize and the gender. The hypothesis tests have been answered with the help of a one-sided t-test and multiple regression analysis. A quantitative method and deductive approach have been used in the study where the researcher derived hypotheses based on previous research as well as theories such as the effective markethypothesis, the random-walk theory, the signalinghypothesis, behaviorbased financing and herdbehavior. This study shows that insiders generate abnormal returns during a short-term event window, but that there is no significant difference in the abnormal returns based on the insider’s position, transactionsize and gender. / Insynshandel har länge varit ett omdiskuterat fenomen inom finansvärlden. Flera studier har avlagts inom området som visat på tvetydiga resultat. År 2016 ändrade Finansinspektionen lagen om insynshandel, nämligen att insynspersoner behöver rapportera en insynstransaktion inom tre dagar. Insynspersoners möjlighet till att generera abnormal avkastning anses gå i strid mot marknadseffektiviteten. Denna studie undersöker insynspersoners möjlighet till att generera abnormal avkastning på First North Growth Market under året 2020 där urvalet består av 47 observationer. En eventstudie har använts för att undersöka marknadsreaktionen vid publiceringen av insynshandel. Multipel regressionsanalys har tillämpats för att undersöka ifall det finns någon skillnad i den abnormala avkastningen baserad på befattningen på insynspersonen, transaktionsstorleken av insynshandeln och kön. Hypotesprövningarna har besvarats med hjälp av ett ensidigt t-test samt multipel regressionsanalys. En kvantitativ metod och deduktiv ansats har använts i studien där forskaren härlett hypoteser utifrån tidigare forskning samt teorier som den effektiva marknadshypotesen, random-walk teorin, signaleringshypotesen, beteendebaserad finansiering och flockbeteende. Denna studie visar att insynspersoner genererar abnormal avkastning under ett kortsiktigt eventfönster men att det inte existerar någon signifikant skillnad på den abnormala avkastningen baserat på befattningen av insynspersonen, transaktionsstorleken och kön.
124

Rollen av informationsutbyte vid investeringar : En empirisk studie om informationsutbytet och investeringsbeslut / The role of information exchange in investments : An empirical study on information exchange and investment decisions

Ezzaher, Sami January 2024 (has links)
Bakgrund: Intresset för att engagera sig inom investeringar och aktiemarknaden har sett en betydlig ökning genom den senaste årtionden, särskilt bland allt fler yngre individer. Inom dagens samhälle är det allt vanligare att människor inte enbart kommunicerar ansikte mot ansikte, utan också på den digitala arenan via internet och sociala medier. Detta är något som även kommit att förändra hur aktiemarknaden ser ut idag och hur informationsutbytet genomförs bland investerare på marknaden. Syfte: Analysera och beskriva betydelsen av informationsutbyte för unga aktieinvesterare. Teori: Studien tillämpar sig av teorier såsom beteendemässiga finansteorin, heuristik, inramningseffekten, flockbeteende, överdriven självförtroende, effektiva marknadshypotesen, mun-till-mun metoden och elektronisk mun-till-mun metoden. Metod: Studien använde sig av en kvalitativ metod i form av semistrukturerade intervjuer. Urvalet riktade sig mot unga investerare som var från 18 till 29 år gamla och sammanlagt deltog åtta respondenter.  Slutsats: Studiens resultatet kom fram till att informationsutbytet hade en betydelsefull roll för unga aktieinvesterares beslutsfattande och att de hade en större tilltro till information som härstammade från deras närmaste omkrets än från digitala medier. Dessutom framkom det att individer med högre finansiell kunskap och erfarenhet var mindre påverkade av snedvridningar och informationsutbytet. Det gick även att observera att respondenter som påverkades i mindre utsträckning av yttre påverkan, också hade en större nivå av medvetenheten om dessa snedvridningar och heuristik. / Background: Interest in investing and the stock market has seen a significant increase over the past decade, especially among an increasing number of younger individuals. In today's society, it is becoming increasingly more common for people to not only communicate face-to-face but also in the digital arena through the internet and social media. This is something that has also come to change how the stock market looks today and how information is exchanged among investors in the market. Purpose: Analyze and describe the importance of information exchange for young equity investors. Theory: The study applies theories such as the behavioral finance theory, heuristics, the framing effect, herd behavior, overconfidence, the efficient market hypothesis, word-of-mouth communication and electronic word-of-mouth communication. Method: The study used a qualitative method in the form of semi-structured interviews. The sample was aimed at young investors who were from 18 to 29 years old and a total of eight respondents participated. Conclusion: The results of the study concluded that the exchange of information played a significant role in the decision-making of young stock investors and that they had greater trust in information that originated from their immediate circle than from digital media. In addition, it emerged that individuals with higher financial knowledge and experience were less affected by biases and the exchange of information. It was also possible to observe that respondents who were influenced to a lesser extent by external influences also had a greater level of awareness of these biases and heuristics.
125

Condicionantes sociais na delimitação de espaços endêmicos de hanseníase / Social conditions in the delimitation of areas endemic for leprosy

Souza, Luis Roberto de 21 September 2012 (has links)
INTRODUÇÃO: A hanseníase é uma doença infecciosa crônica granulomatosa, cujo agente etiológico é uma bactéria de vida intracelular obrigatória, o Mycobacterium leprae, que tem no homem seu principal reservatório. A doença possui distribuição universal, predominando atualmente, em latitudes tropicais e tem sido enquadrada entre as enfermidades negligenciadas, atingindo desproporcionalmente populações pobres e marginalizadas. O bacilo é altamente contagioso, de baixa patogenicidade e acomete primordialmente pele e nervos, com grande potencial incapacitante. A doença grassou no Velho Mundo durante a Idade Média e praticamente desapareceu da Europa ainda no início do século XX, antes que qualquer recurso terapêutico eficaz estivesse disponível. Introduzida com os primeiros colonizadores europeus, a hanseníase é doença endêmica no Brasil e um problema de saúde pública. A hanseníase é hiperendêmica em muitos municípios, notadamente nos estados das regiões Norte e Centro-Oeste, que abrangem biomas de cerrado, pântano e floresta amazônica, em vastas áreas de baixa densidade demográfica; estas áreas vêm sofrendo enorme pressão antrópica relacionada ao incremento de atividades agropecuárias e extrativistas, gerando preocupações em relação ao impacto ambiental sobre a saúde humana, decorrente de transformações na dinâmica territorial. OBJETIVO: O propósito desta pesquisa foi conhecer o efeito ecológico de fatores sociodemográficos na delimitação de espaços endêmicos de hanseníase e gerar hipóteses sobre a relação entre a constituição do território e a exposição ambiental ao agente biológico da doença. MATERIAL E MÉTODOS: Supondo que a variação dos fatores de risco para contrair hanseníase pudesse ser maior entre grupos populacionais do que entre indivíduos, foi empreendido um estudo epidemiológico de delineamento ecológico do tipo grupo múltiplo, envolvendo 203 municípios dos estados do Mato Grosso e Mato Grosso do Sul, que estão localizados na região Centro-Oeste do Brasil. Foram constituídas variáveis sociodemográficas de exposição e a variável de efeito foi representada pela taxa de detecção média anual de hanseníase entre os anos de 2000 e 2006. Foram aproveitados dados secundários provenientes do Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística e do Ministério da Saúde. Para compor um modelo multivariado, 14 variáveis foram analisadas por regressão linear simples e selecionadas sete variáveis com probabilidade de p < 0,2 para o coeficiente de inclinação da reta de regressão. As variáveis independentes selecionadas foram passo a passo testadas, simultaneamente e analisada a associação da variável dependente, visando o ajuste de um modelo singular da variabilidade da taxa de detecção de hanseníase. RESULTADOS: As variáveis que restaram no modelo após o processo de ajuste foram: Proporção da população moradora em domicílios com seis ou mais pessoas; Proporção da população não natural do estado; e, Cobertura populacional da estratégia de Atenção Saúde da Família. Estas variáveis juntas explicam 24,1% da variação nas taxas de detecção de hanseníase. CONCLUSÕES: Fatores sociodemográficos representam um importante domínio na epidemiologia da doença. A associação positiva do desfecho com a cobertura da estratégia de Atenção Saúde da Família indica que deve haver melhora no acesso ao diagnóstico mediante a implantação de modelos de Atenção Primária à Saúde baseados em racionalidades preventivas. Doentes poderiam ter sua contagiosidade interrompida mais precocemente, uma vez melhorada a capacidade diagnóstica dos serviços de saúde. Como recomendação para melhorar o acesso ao diagnóstico nas áreas endêmicas, a adoção da estratégia de Atenção Saúde da Família deve ser encorajada. Aglomeração domiciliar como variável ecológica foi interpretada como sendo um indicador socioeconômico indireto, mais do que propriamente relacionada às condições de contato. A qualidade da moradia, talvez seja mais importante para controle da endemia, tanto quanto possa vir acompanhada de melhorias gerais no padrão de vida. Reservatórios do M. leprae constituídos por indivíduos que eliminam bacilos cronicamente são os que perpetuam a endemia, embora possam, em tese, serem suplementados por fontes secundárias representadas por portadores transitórios. Fatores ligados à formação da fronteira agrícola e à urbanização brasileira podem ter fomentado a endemia de hanseníase, ao predisporem a renovação de susceptíveis pelas migrações, que modificam a composição populacional quanto à experiência de contato com o bacilo. Migrações poderiam romper os focos de hanseníase que estivessem saturados de indivíduos resistentes ao redistribuir espacialmente a população susceptível, levar infectantes para áreas indenes ou instalar as premissas biológicas e territoriais para tornar o contágio recorrente na população, mesmo que o contingente demográfico proveniente de imigrações não seja predominantemente mais vulnerável à doença. Tecnicização rural e constrições na esfera do trabalho têm movimentado populações que procuram refúgio nas periferias das cidades, caracterizadas por escassa infraestrutura urbana e rápido crescimento demográfico, supostamente continentes de grupos humanos dotados de diferentes perfis de resistência ao M. leprae. O circuito inferior da economia, uma resposta social à escassez de meios de vida e um traço da territorialização brasileira, tem oferecido os predicados espaciais para a persistência da endemia de hanseníase nos bolsões de pobreza urbana, ao gerar uma multiplicidade de contatos em proximidade e alimentar suas relações sociais de uma massa de recém-chegados do campo e da cidade, sua principal e mais abundante variável. Se a geografia estuda as condições de vida sobre a terra, estes resultados sugerem que a topografia médica, para além da descrição dos aspectos demográficos e socioeconômicos dos lugares de surgimento de doenças, pode contribuir em muito ao conhecimento em saúde, ao considerar analisar tais fatores enquanto potenciais condicionantes de endemias / BACKGROUND: Leprosy is a chronic granulomatous infectious disease whose causative agent is an obligate intracellular bacterium of life, Mycobacterium leprae, which has its main reservoir in man. The disease has a worldwide distribution, currently prevailing in tropical latitudes and has been framed between neglected diseases, disproportionately affecting poor and marginalized populations. The bacillus is highly contagious, and low pathogenic primarily affects the skin and nerves, with great potential crippling. The disease raged in the Old World during the Middle Ages and still practically disappeared from Europe in the early twentieth century, before any effective therapeutic resource was available. Introduced with the first European settlers, leprosy is endemic in Brazil and a public health problem. Leprosy is hyperendemic in many cities, especially in the states of North and Midwest, covering biomes savannah, swamp and rainforest, in vast areas of low population density; these areas have suffered huge human pressure related to increased activity agricultural and extractive, generating concerns about the environmental impact on human health, due to dynamic changes in territorial. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this research was to understand the ecological effect of sociodemographic factors in the delimitation of leprosy-endemic areas and generating concerns about the relationship between the constitution of the territory and environmental exposure to the biological agent of the disease. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Assuming that the variation of the risk factors for contracting leprosy could be higher among population groups than between individuals, an epidemiological study was undertaken to design ecological type group multiple, involving 203 municipalities in the states of Mato Grosso and Mato Grosso do Sul, which are located in the Midwest region of Brazil. Sociodemographic variables were recorded for exposure and effect was variable represented by annual average detection rate of leprosy between 2000 and 2006. We utilized secondary data from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics and the Ministry of Health to compose a multivariate model, 14 variables were analyzed by linear regression and seven variables selected with probability p<0.2 for the slope coefficient of regression line. The independent variables were tested step by step, and simultaneously analyzed the association of the dependent variable in order to fit a model of the variability of the detection rate of leprosy. The variables that remained in the model after adjustment process were: \"Proportion of population living in households with six or more people,\" \"Proportion of population unnatural state,\" and \"Coverage of Population Health Care Strategy Family \". These variables together explain 24.1% of the variation in detection rates of leprosy. CONCLUSIONS: Sociodemographic factors represent an important area in the epidemiology of the disease. The positive association with the outcome of the strategic coverage of Family Health Care indicates that there must be improved access to diagnosis by implementing models of primary care-based preventive rationales. Patients could have their contagiousness interrupted earlier, once improved the diagnostic capacity of health services. As a recommendation to improve access to diagnosis in endemic areas, the adoption of the strategy of the Family Health Care should be encouraged. Household crowding as ecological variable was interpreted as an indirect socioeconomic indicator, rather than strictly related to contact conditions. The quality of housing, perhaps most important for disease control, as far as can be accompanied by general improvements in living standards. Reservoirs of M. leprae consist of individuals who are chronically eliminate bacilli that perpetuate endemic, although, in theory, be supplemented by secondary sources represented by transient carriers. Factors related to the formation of the agricultural frontier and the Brazilian urbanization may have fostered endemic leprosy, predispose to the renewal of the likely migration, which modify the composition of the population as to the experience of contact with the bacillus. Migration could break outbreaks of leprosy that were saturated with individuals resistant to spatially redistribute the population likely lead to infective areas unaffected or install the territorial and biological assumptions to make the recurring infection in the population, even though the population from immigration quota is not predominantly more vulnerable to disease. Technicisation rural and constrictions in the sphere of labor are busy people seeking refuge on the outskirts of cities, characterized by poor urban infrastructure and rapid population growth, supposedly continents groups of humans with different resistance profiles to M. leprae. The lower circuit of the economy, a social response to the scarcity of livelihood and a dash of Brazilian territorialization, has offered the spatial predicates for the persistence of endemic leprosy in pockets of urban poverty, to generate a plurality of contacts in proximity and feed their social relationships from a mass of newcomers from the countryside and the city, its main and most abundant variable. If geography studies the conditions of life on earth, these results suggest that medical topography, beyond the description of the demographic and socioeconomic aspects of the places outbreaks of diseases, can contribute greatly to health knowledge, to consider examining such factors as potential determinants of diseases
126

Condicionantes sociais na delimitação de espaços endêmicos de hanseníase / Social conditions in the delimitation of areas endemic for leprosy

Luis Roberto de Souza 21 September 2012 (has links)
INTRODUÇÃO: A hanseníase é uma doença infecciosa crônica granulomatosa, cujo agente etiológico é uma bactéria de vida intracelular obrigatória, o Mycobacterium leprae, que tem no homem seu principal reservatório. A doença possui distribuição universal, predominando atualmente, em latitudes tropicais e tem sido enquadrada entre as enfermidades negligenciadas, atingindo desproporcionalmente populações pobres e marginalizadas. O bacilo é altamente contagioso, de baixa patogenicidade e acomete primordialmente pele e nervos, com grande potencial incapacitante. A doença grassou no Velho Mundo durante a Idade Média e praticamente desapareceu da Europa ainda no início do século XX, antes que qualquer recurso terapêutico eficaz estivesse disponível. Introduzida com os primeiros colonizadores europeus, a hanseníase é doença endêmica no Brasil e um problema de saúde pública. A hanseníase é hiperendêmica em muitos municípios, notadamente nos estados das regiões Norte e Centro-Oeste, que abrangem biomas de cerrado, pântano e floresta amazônica, em vastas áreas de baixa densidade demográfica; estas áreas vêm sofrendo enorme pressão antrópica relacionada ao incremento de atividades agropecuárias e extrativistas, gerando preocupações em relação ao impacto ambiental sobre a saúde humana, decorrente de transformações na dinâmica territorial. OBJETIVO: O propósito desta pesquisa foi conhecer o efeito ecológico de fatores sociodemográficos na delimitação de espaços endêmicos de hanseníase e gerar hipóteses sobre a relação entre a constituição do território e a exposição ambiental ao agente biológico da doença. MATERIAL E MÉTODOS: Supondo que a variação dos fatores de risco para contrair hanseníase pudesse ser maior entre grupos populacionais do que entre indivíduos, foi empreendido um estudo epidemiológico de delineamento ecológico do tipo grupo múltiplo, envolvendo 203 municípios dos estados do Mato Grosso e Mato Grosso do Sul, que estão localizados na região Centro-Oeste do Brasil. Foram constituídas variáveis sociodemográficas de exposição e a variável de efeito foi representada pela taxa de detecção média anual de hanseníase entre os anos de 2000 e 2006. Foram aproveitados dados secundários provenientes do Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística e do Ministério da Saúde. Para compor um modelo multivariado, 14 variáveis foram analisadas por regressão linear simples e selecionadas sete variáveis com probabilidade de p < 0,2 para o coeficiente de inclinação da reta de regressão. As variáveis independentes selecionadas foram passo a passo testadas, simultaneamente e analisada a associação da variável dependente, visando o ajuste de um modelo singular da variabilidade da taxa de detecção de hanseníase. RESULTADOS: As variáveis que restaram no modelo após o processo de ajuste foram: Proporção da população moradora em domicílios com seis ou mais pessoas; Proporção da população não natural do estado; e, Cobertura populacional da estratégia de Atenção Saúde da Família. Estas variáveis juntas explicam 24,1% da variação nas taxas de detecção de hanseníase. CONCLUSÕES: Fatores sociodemográficos representam um importante domínio na epidemiologia da doença. A associação positiva do desfecho com a cobertura da estratégia de Atenção Saúde da Família indica que deve haver melhora no acesso ao diagnóstico mediante a implantação de modelos de Atenção Primária à Saúde baseados em racionalidades preventivas. Doentes poderiam ter sua contagiosidade interrompida mais precocemente, uma vez melhorada a capacidade diagnóstica dos serviços de saúde. Como recomendação para melhorar o acesso ao diagnóstico nas áreas endêmicas, a adoção da estratégia de Atenção Saúde da Família deve ser encorajada. Aglomeração domiciliar como variável ecológica foi interpretada como sendo um indicador socioeconômico indireto, mais do que propriamente relacionada às condições de contato. A qualidade da moradia, talvez seja mais importante para controle da endemia, tanto quanto possa vir acompanhada de melhorias gerais no padrão de vida. Reservatórios do M. leprae constituídos por indivíduos que eliminam bacilos cronicamente são os que perpetuam a endemia, embora possam, em tese, serem suplementados por fontes secundárias representadas por portadores transitórios. Fatores ligados à formação da fronteira agrícola e à urbanização brasileira podem ter fomentado a endemia de hanseníase, ao predisporem a renovação de susceptíveis pelas migrações, que modificam a composição populacional quanto à experiência de contato com o bacilo. Migrações poderiam romper os focos de hanseníase que estivessem saturados de indivíduos resistentes ao redistribuir espacialmente a população susceptível, levar infectantes para áreas indenes ou instalar as premissas biológicas e territoriais para tornar o contágio recorrente na população, mesmo que o contingente demográfico proveniente de imigrações não seja predominantemente mais vulnerável à doença. Tecnicização rural e constrições na esfera do trabalho têm movimentado populações que procuram refúgio nas periferias das cidades, caracterizadas por escassa infraestrutura urbana e rápido crescimento demográfico, supostamente continentes de grupos humanos dotados de diferentes perfis de resistência ao M. leprae. O circuito inferior da economia, uma resposta social à escassez de meios de vida e um traço da territorialização brasileira, tem oferecido os predicados espaciais para a persistência da endemia de hanseníase nos bolsões de pobreza urbana, ao gerar uma multiplicidade de contatos em proximidade e alimentar suas relações sociais de uma massa de recém-chegados do campo e da cidade, sua principal e mais abundante variável. Se a geografia estuda as condições de vida sobre a terra, estes resultados sugerem que a topografia médica, para além da descrição dos aspectos demográficos e socioeconômicos dos lugares de surgimento de doenças, pode contribuir em muito ao conhecimento em saúde, ao considerar analisar tais fatores enquanto potenciais condicionantes de endemias / BACKGROUND: Leprosy is a chronic granulomatous infectious disease whose causative agent is an obligate intracellular bacterium of life, Mycobacterium leprae, which has its main reservoir in man. The disease has a worldwide distribution, currently prevailing in tropical latitudes and has been framed between neglected diseases, disproportionately affecting poor and marginalized populations. The bacillus is highly contagious, and low pathogenic primarily affects the skin and nerves, with great potential crippling. The disease raged in the Old World during the Middle Ages and still practically disappeared from Europe in the early twentieth century, before any effective therapeutic resource was available. Introduced with the first European settlers, leprosy is endemic in Brazil and a public health problem. Leprosy is hyperendemic in many cities, especially in the states of North and Midwest, covering biomes savannah, swamp and rainforest, in vast areas of low population density; these areas have suffered huge human pressure related to increased activity agricultural and extractive, generating concerns about the environmental impact on human health, due to dynamic changes in territorial. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this research was to understand the ecological effect of sociodemographic factors in the delimitation of leprosy-endemic areas and generating concerns about the relationship between the constitution of the territory and environmental exposure to the biological agent of the disease. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Assuming that the variation of the risk factors for contracting leprosy could be higher among population groups than between individuals, an epidemiological study was undertaken to design ecological type group multiple, involving 203 municipalities in the states of Mato Grosso and Mato Grosso do Sul, which are located in the Midwest region of Brazil. Sociodemographic variables were recorded for exposure and effect was variable represented by annual average detection rate of leprosy between 2000 and 2006. We utilized secondary data from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics and the Ministry of Health to compose a multivariate model, 14 variables were analyzed by linear regression and seven variables selected with probability p<0.2 for the slope coefficient of regression line. The independent variables were tested step by step, and simultaneously analyzed the association of the dependent variable in order to fit a model of the variability of the detection rate of leprosy. The variables that remained in the model after adjustment process were: \"Proportion of population living in households with six or more people,\" \"Proportion of population unnatural state,\" and \"Coverage of Population Health Care Strategy Family \". These variables together explain 24.1% of the variation in detection rates of leprosy. CONCLUSIONS: Sociodemographic factors represent an important area in the epidemiology of the disease. The positive association with the outcome of the strategic coverage of Family Health Care indicates that there must be improved access to diagnosis by implementing models of primary care-based preventive rationales. Patients could have their contagiousness interrupted earlier, once improved the diagnostic capacity of health services. As a recommendation to improve access to diagnosis in endemic areas, the adoption of the strategy of the Family Health Care should be encouraged. Household crowding as ecological variable was interpreted as an indirect socioeconomic indicator, rather than strictly related to contact conditions. The quality of housing, perhaps most important for disease control, as far as can be accompanied by general improvements in living standards. Reservoirs of M. leprae consist of individuals who are chronically eliminate bacilli that perpetuate endemic, although, in theory, be supplemented by secondary sources represented by transient carriers. Factors related to the formation of the agricultural frontier and the Brazilian urbanization may have fostered endemic leprosy, predispose to the renewal of the likely migration, which modify the composition of the population as to the experience of contact with the bacillus. Migration could break outbreaks of leprosy that were saturated with individuals resistant to spatially redistribute the population likely lead to infective areas unaffected or install the territorial and biological assumptions to make the recurring infection in the population, even though the population from immigration quota is not predominantly more vulnerable to disease. Technicisation rural and constrictions in the sphere of labor are busy people seeking refuge on the outskirts of cities, characterized by poor urban infrastructure and rapid population growth, supposedly continents groups of humans with different resistance profiles to M. leprae. The lower circuit of the economy, a social response to the scarcity of livelihood and a dash of Brazilian territorialization, has offered the spatial predicates for the persistence of endemic leprosy in pockets of urban poverty, to generate a plurality of contacts in proximity and feed their social relationships from a mass of newcomers from the countryside and the city, its main and most abundant variable. If geography studies the conditions of life on earth, these results suggest that medical topography, beyond the description of the demographic and socioeconomic aspects of the places outbreaks of diseases, can contribute greatly to health knowledge, to consider examining such factors as potential determinants of diseases
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An Empirical Analysis of Herd Behavior in Sweden's First North Growth Market on NASDAQ Nordic

Singh, Bavneet, Maslarov, Boris January 2024 (has links)
In this paper, market participants’ tendency to form investor herds in the stocks listed on Nasdaq First North Growth Market of Sweden is examined for the period from 2018 to 2023. The models used in this study to detect herd behavior in stocks consist of two measures of dispersions, Cross-Sectional Standard Deviation of returns (CSSD) and Cross-Sectional Absolute Deviation of returns (CSAD), which were proposed by Christie and Huang (1995) and Chang, et al. (2000), respectively. An equally-weighted index consisting of all of the stocks that have traded on this market during the period is created and a quantitative analysis is conducted. Evidence showed absence of herd behavior when using both models, as well as when accounting for robustness tests consisting of small, mid-and large cap portfolios. Our results also support the prediction of rational asset pricing models, which suggest that stock return dispersions around the market returns increase during periods of market stress.

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