Megaprojects are commonly known as large-scale projects which costs at least 1 billion USD. Megaprojects are implemented internationally, they impact millions of people, and take many years to be completed. Generally, megaprojects are infrastructural projects and they, for instance, can contribute to the country’s development, boost some infrastructural sectors, connect different regions by construction of roads, provide the opportunity for new businesses.Due to their scale and scope, megaprojects involve both primary and secondary stakeholders which have different interests, and therefore, different perception of success. Hence, project manager should identify each stakeholder and consider their interests from the very beginning of the project.As a case study for the current research it was decided to explore the Silk Road Economic Belt (SREB), which is a part of One Belt One Road (OBOR) initiative by China. SREB road has a very significant meaning than the previous historic Silk Way, and it will connect Asia with Europe. The old trade Silk way will be updated till huge international infrastructural megaproject. This research focuses on Kazakhstan, which one of the key actors in that project, and which is world 9th biggest country.The main purpose of the current research is to increase the understanding about how secondary stakeholders perceive the success of megaprojects. We limited the research by stakeholders in local communities, so we can explore that topic more comprehensively. In order to find the answer on research question, seven semi-structured interviews were conducted. It was decided to follow the Business-Government-Society (BGS) model (Steiner & Steiner, 1980) and focus on stakeholders from three different sectors (business, government, society). Furthermore, through analysis of secondary data we got more holistic picture about research area.The research findings show that depending on communities’ sector the success perception differs. Furthermore, it was concluded from the findings that different local communities have different techniques and tools to evaluate the success, and therefore some of them perceive and estimate success in qualitative way, but others in quantitative way. In addition, the research showed that it is important to consider local communities’ interests during the project planning phase because it influences the projects’ success.The theoretical contribution of the current research is realized during the analysis of empirical findings and during the review of existing literature. The practical implication of the work is to provide the guidance on local community management in megaprojects and on how these communities perceive the success of projects.

Megaprojects are commonly known as large-scale projects which costs at least 1 billion USD. Megaprojects are implemented internationally, they impact millions of people, and take many years to be completed. Generally, megaprojects are infrastructural projects and they, for instance, can contribute to the country’s development, boost some infrastructural sectors, connect different regions by construction of roads, provide the opportunity for new businesses.Due to their scale and scope, megaprojects involve both primary and secondary stakeholders which have different interests, and therefore, different perception of success. Hence, project manager should identify each stakeholder and consider their interests from the very beginning of the project.As a case study for the current research it was decided to explore the Silk Road Economic Belt (SREB), which is a part of One Belt One Road (OBOR) initiative by China. SREB road has a very significant meaning than the previous historic Silk Way, and it will connect Asia with Europe. The old trade Silk way will be updated till huge international infrastructural megaproject. This research focuses on Kazakhstan, which one of the key actors in that project, and which is world 9th biggest country.The main purpose of the current research is to increase the understanding about how secondary stakeholders perceive the success of megaprojects. We limited the research by stakeholders in local communities, so we can explore that topic more comprehensively. In order to find the answer on research question, seven semi-structured interviews were conducted. It was decided to follow the Business-Government-Society (BGS) model (Steiner & Steiner, 1980) and focus on stakeholders from three different sectors (business, government, society). Furthermore, through analysis of secondary data we got more holistic picture about research area.The research findings show that depending on communities’ sector the success perception differs. Furthermore, it was concluded from the findings that different local communities have different techniques and tools to evaluate the success, and therefore some of them perceive and estimate success in qualitative way, but others in quantitative way. In addition, the research showed that it is important to consider local communities’ interests during the project planning phase because it influences the projects’ success.The theoretical contribution of the current research is realized during the analysis of empirical findings and during the review of existing literature. The practical implication of the work is to provide the guidance on local community management in megaprojects and on how these communities perceive the success of projects.

Herman Sörgel devised a plan, beginning in 1927, to usher in a new era of peace and prosperity for the whole of Europe. Atlantropa was his answer to the perceived threats that the European people faced from international competition, overpopulation, and lack of resources. The plan would have resulted in the lowering of the Mediterranean Sea and the ultimate creation of one continent comprised of the former Europe and Africa. Though the plan was never implemented, it poses a fascinating model through which historians may reconsider the time period between the end of the First and Second World Wars. This thesis examines some historical socio-political movements through the lens of Sörgel’s megaproject. Original publications from Herman Sörgel himself as well as those of two notable Atlantropa scholars, Alexander Gall and Wolfgang Voigt, explain in great detail the technical and sociological aspects of the plan. Additionally, theories from Jeffrey Herf, Richard von Coudenhove-Kalergi, and Dina Brandt aid in the understanding of the man who attempted to engineer Europe out of crisis. The following analysis reveals the difficulty in placing Herman Sörgel into any singular political or social movement in his time. Though he espoused some of the same rhetoric as that of the National Socialists and pan-European movements alike, he failed to conform to any particular group. The unwavering obsession with his project consumed all of Sörgel’s energies until his death in 1952. Though all-but-forgotten, the project offers an uncommon means by which to view a tumultuous time in Europe.

Bakgrund och problem: Investeringar inom offentliga verksamheter skiljer sig mot privata verksamheter vilket grundar sig i dess icke-vinstdrivande karaktär. Detta påverkar även investeringsbedömningen. Tidigare forskning har visat att offentliga verksamheter inte använder företagsekonomiska investeringskalkyler. Istället prioriteras kvalitativa aspekter vid beslutsfattandet, trots att investeringskalkyler benämns som viktiga för välgrundade beslut. Vidare finns det inte heller några specifika kvalitativa faktorer som är särskilt framträdande i offentliga verksamheter.  Syfte: Syftet studien är undersöka och få förståelse för investeringsbedömning i offentliga verksamheter. Studien syftar därtill att identifiera vilka beslutsunderlag som användes vid beslutet av att investera i megaprojekt.  Metodval: Studien är av ett kvalitativ slag med en abduktiv forskningsansats. Vidare är det en enfallsstudie av Region Kronoberg där den empiriska insamlingen framförallt baseras på semistrukturerade intervjuer men även dokumentgranskning.  Slutsatser: Investeringskalkyler används inte som ett beslutsunderlag i offentliga verksamheter. Istället anses icke-finansiella aspekter viktigare där kvalitativa beslutsunderlag som omfattar säkerhetsaspekter, tillväxtrelaterade behov och förbättring av service visat sig vara avgörande. / Background and problem: Investments in the public sector are different from the private sector because of their nonprofitable character. This further affects the evaluation of capital investments. Previous research has proved that public organizations do not use traditional investment calculations. Instead they prioritize qualitative aspects in decision-making, despite the methods being considered essential for making good decisions. However there are no specific qualitative factors that are particularly prominent. Purpose: The purpose of the study is to understand the use of capital budgeting techniques in the public sector. Moreover, the study aims to identify what the decision of investing in megaprojects is based on.   Method: The study is of a qualitative nature, with an abductive research approach. Furthermore it is a case study of Region Kronoberg where the empirical material primarily is based on semi-structured interview but also from document review. Conclusions: Traditional capital budgeting methods proved not to be used in the public sector. Insted, simple calculations where used in order to evaluate if it was possible to finance the investment. Additionally, the study proved that the public sector prioritized qualitative aspects such as healthy and safety issues, growth-related needs and service enhancement.

Our society is more dependent on global problem-solving than ever before. Megaprojects are one way of solving this challenge. Even though some of them are supposed to give answers to the direst problems of our time, our knowledge about them is paradoxically poor that leads to economic losses. The areas that especially demand attention are the project architecture, relationships, and innovative governance solutions that promote collaboration. The purpose of the thesis is to explore how megaprojects are governed in regard to collaboration through the case of a science-focused intergovernmental megaproject. The report builds an understanding of megaprojects, governance, and collaboration. Then it attempts to identify how governance affects collaboration over the paradox of control and flexibility within the case of the International Space Station (ISS) as one of the most recognized examples of megaprojects. It has been found that contractual and relational governance should be both present within megaproject governance. Because historically contractual arrangements are dominating governance, additional focus is required on the relational counterpart. The five main parts of the ISS governance, legal framework, organizational structure, goals, roles, and funding system, are mainly related to contractual governance, facilitating control. However, they also feature mechanisms that promote flexibility, thus providing a platform for collaborative practices to be formed. The top tier of the legal framework provides stability but the lower tiers offer opportunities to implement changes in the program. The goals of the ISS serve as a strong motivator that puts the common goals in front of the individual agendas of the partner countries. Furthermore, concerning funding, the in-kind contributions system provides a different set of incentives through bartering, compared to the traditionally used financing, and supports the collaborative environment by building closer relationships with industry partners. The example of the ISS revealed valuable lessons to better understand intergovernmental megaprojects and solve the challenges of the future affecting us. / Vårt samhälle är mer beroende av problemlösning på en globalnivå där specifikt Megaprojekt är en form för att lösa denna utmaning. Även om vissa av dem ska ge svar på de allvarligaste problemen i vår tid, är vår kunskap om dem paradoxalt dålig vilket leder till ekonomiska förluster. De områden som särskilt kräver uppmärksamhet är projektarkitekturen, relationer och innovativa styrningslösningar som främjar samarbete. Syftet med denna masteruppsats är att undersöka hur megaprojekt styrs gällande samarbetet mellan vetenskapligt fokuserat mellanstatliga projekt. Uppsatsen skapar en ökad förståelse av megaprojekt, styrning och samarbete. Därefter identifieras hur styrning påverkar samarbetet över motsägelserna mellan kontroll och flexibilitet inom den International Space Station (ISS). ISS är ett av de mest erkända exemplen på megaprojekt. Man har funnit att både avtals- och relationell styrning bör vara närvarande inom megaprojektstyrning. Eftersom historiskt avtalsmässiga arrangemang är dominansstyrning krävs mer fokus på den relationella motsvarigheten. Den fem huvuddelarna av ISS styrning, rättsligt ramverk, organisationsstruktur, mål, roller och finansieringssystem är huvudsakligen relaterade till avtalsstyrning vilket underlättar kontroll. Delarna visas även ha mekanismer som främjar flexibilitet vilket skapar en plattform för kommande samarbetsmetoder. Den högsta nivån i den rättsliga ramen ger stabilitet medan de lägre nivåerna främjar möjligheter att genomföra förändringar i programmet. Målen med ISS fungerar som en stark motivator som sätter de gemensamma målen framför partnerländernas individuella dagordningar. Gällande finansiering tillhandahåller systemet med naturbidrag genom byteshandel en annan uppsättning incitament jämfört med den traditionellt använda finansieringen och stöder vidare samarbetsmiljön genom att bygga närmare relationer med industripartners. Exemplet på ISS avslöjade värdefulla lärdomar för att bättre förstå mellanstatliga megaprojekt och lösa framtidens utmaningar som påverkar oss.

Submitted by Allan Teixeira (allteixeira@globo.com) on 2018-04-25T06:00:08Z No. of bitstreams: 1 180405_Dissertacao_Allan_Teixeira_Vfinal.docx: 4731462 bytes, checksum: 8ea98f5d50a9000c356a5548665321f0 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Janete de Oliveira Feitosa (janete.feitosa@fgv.br) on 2018-05-03T12:27:00Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 180405_Dissertacao_Allan_Teixeira_Vfinal.docx: 4731462 bytes, checksum: 8ea98f5d50a9000c356a5548665321f0 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2018-05-08T17:50:34Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 180405_Dissertacao_Allan_Teixeira_Vfinal.docx: 4731462 bytes, checksum: 8ea98f5d50a9000c356a5548665321f0 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2017-12-21 / Objetivo – Este é um estudo de caso sobre a participação da incorporadora brasileira Carvalho Hosken no megaprojeto da Olimpíada do Rio de Janeiro (Rio2016). Diante da complexidade deste tipo de megaprojeto, buscou-se compreender os motivos que levaram a empresa a assumir a responsabilidade pela construção da Vila dos Atletas, estudando como essa empresa mobilizou ativos intangíveis no decorrer do processo, para criar valor. Metodologia – Foi utilizado o método de estudo de caso único, recuperando as principais decisões do histórico da inserção da Carvalho Hosken no megaprojeto Rio2016. Para coleta de dados conduzimos entrevistas e análise documental em documentos oficiais, extraídos de fontes como Diário Oficial, Comitê Olímpico Internacional, Governo Municipal do Rio de Janeiro, além de informações coletadas em periódicos de grande circulação. As entrevistas ocorreram de forma semiestruturada com oito executivos e gestores alocados em posições estratégicas nos principais stakeholders do megaprojeto. Em termos teóricos, a análise foi apoiada pela Teoria de Stakeholders, Gestão Estratégica e Ativos intangíveis. Resultados – Identificou-se que a Carvalho Hosken apresentava inicialmente a posição de stakeholder de alta relevância e definiu sua estratégia com base nesta posição, que se modificou ao longo do percurso da Rio2016 para a de stakeholder dependente com impactos nos resultados de vendas. Mas, despeito do desafio de vender 3,374 imóveis da Vila dos Atletas, houve acertos na estratégia adotada e que explicam a participação da Carvalho Hosken num projeto com o nível de risco da Rio2016, especialmente a questão de elevação do gabarito de construção e aceleração do processo de implantação de infraestrutura na região do empreendimento. Limitações - Questões associadas a investigações sobre corrupção envolvendo stakeholders do megaprojeto (COB e Odebrecht) e também alguns aspectos da crise política e econômica brasileiras iniciadas em 2013 não foram consideradas neste estudo. Contribuições Práticas – Combinar a análise dos ativos intangíveis e da teoria de stakeholder permitiu expandir a avaliação do percurso que definiu a estratégia da empresa no megaprojeto e suportou as conclusões do caso. Originalidade – Este estudo usou como caso um megaprojeto inédito na América Latina e no Brasil, que foi a Rio2016. / Objective – This is a case study on the participation of Brazilian developer Carvalho Hosken in the megaproject of the Rio de Janeiro Olympics (Rio2016). Given the complexity of this type of megaproject, we sought to understand the reasons that led the company to assume responsibility for the construction of the Athletes' Village, studying how this company mobilized intangible assets in the process to create value. Methodology – The single case study method was used, recovering the main decisions of the history of Carvalho Hosken’s insertion in the Rio2016 megaproject. For data collection, we conducted interviews and documentary analysis in official documents, extracted from sources such as Diário Oficial, International Olympic Committee, Rio de Janeiro Municipal Government, as well as information collected in major circulation periodicals. The semi-structured interviews took place with eight executives and managers assigned to strategic positions at the main stakeholders of the megaproject. In theoretical terms, the analysis was supported by the Stakeholder Theory, Strategic Management and Intangible Assets. Results – It was identified that Carvalho Hosken initially had the position of highly relevant stakeholder and defined its strategy based on this position, which changed over the course of Rio2016 to that of dependent stakeholder with impacts on sales results. However, despite the challenge of selling 3,374 properties of Vila dos Atletas, there were some achievements in the strategy adopted, which explain the participation of Carvalho Hosken in a project with the risk level of Rio2016, especially the question of raising the construction model and accelerating the infrastructure implementation in the region of the enterprise. Limitations - We kept out of the scope ongoing issues regarding corruption investigations involving megaproject stakeholders (COB and Odebrecht) as well as some aspects of the Brazilian political and economic crisis that began in 2013. Practical Contributions – Combining the analysis of intangible assets and stakeholder theory allowed to expand the assessment of the course that defined the company's strategy in the megaproject and in support the case conclusions. Originality - This study used as a case an unprecedented megaproject in Latin America and Brazil, which was Rio2016.

This Master's thesis utilizes random forest and leave-one-out cross-validation to predict the success of megaprojects involving infrastructure. The goal was to enhance the efficiency of the design and engineering phase of the infrastructure and construction industries. Due to the small sample size of megaprojects and limitated data sharing, the lack of data poses significant challenges for implementing artificial intelligence for the evaluation and prediction of megaprojects. This thesis explore how megaprojects can benefit from data collection and machine learning despite small sample sizes. The focus of the research was on analyzing data from thirteen megaprojects and identifying the most influential data for machine learning analysis. The results prove that the incorporation of expert data, representing critical success factors for megaprojects, significantly enhanced the accuracy of the predictive model. The superior performance of expert data over economic data, experience data, and documentation data demonstrates the significance of domain expertise. In addition, the results demonstrate the significance of the planning phase by implementing feature selection techniques and feature importance scores. In the planning phase, a small, devoted, and highly experienced team of project planners has proven to be a crucial factor for project success. The thesis concludes that in order for companies to maximize the utility of machine learning, they must identify their critical success factors and collect the corresponding data. / Denna magisteruppsats undersöker följande forskningsfråga: Hur kan maskininlärning och insiktsfull dataanalys användas för att öka effektiviteten i infrastruktursektorns plannerings- och designfas? Denna utmaning löses genom att analysera data från verkliga megaprojekt och tillämpa avancerade maskininlärningsalgoritmer för att förutspå projektframgång och ta reda på framgångsfaktorerna. Vår forskning är särskilt intresserad av megaprojekt på grund av deras komplicerade natur, unika egenskaper och enorma inverkan på samhället. Dessa projekt slutförs sällan, vilket gör att det är svårt att få tillgång till stora mängder verklig data. Det är uppenbart att AI har potential att vara ett ovärderligt verktyg för att förstå och hantera megaprojekts komplexitet, trots de problem vi står inför. Artificiell intelligens gör det möjligt att fatta beslut som är datadrivna och mer informerade. Uppsatsen lyckas med att hanterard det stora problemet som är bristen på data från megaprojekt. Uppsatsen motiveras även av denna brist på data, vilket gör forskningen relevant för andra områden som präglas av litet dataurval. Resultaten från uppsatsen visar att evalueringen av megaprojekt går att förbättra genom smart användning av specifika dataattribut. Uppsatsen inspirerar även företag att börja samla in viktig data för att möjliggöra användningen av artificiell intelligens och maskinginlärning till sin fördel.