本研究旨在討探投資型保險之最適退休資產配置，資產配置是決定一個投資組合的報酬與風險的最重要因素。本研究採取五種資產配置策略，包含了BH策略、CM策略、LCF、LCR策略及TRR策略，利用模擬四項投資標的之未來的投資報酬率，在給定之個案設計下進行投資期間分別20、25、30、35年模擬分析，研究結果發現： 1. 當風險性資產所佔之比重愈高對達成目標所得替代率之影響愈明顯， 2. 當投資期間愈長，其愈少投資在風險性資產之策略，在期末終值遠低於於持續持有較高風險資產。 3. 不同投資期間其不同策略在表現各有所不同，LC策略至少投資25年以上會有比較高的所得替代率，保守且投資期間較短的投資人可選擇TRR策略，較積極或投資期間較長的投資人可選擇BH或CM策略以達到較高的所得替代率。 4. CM策略跟BM策略不同之處僅在於有無調整機制，在風險乘數較高的情況下，調整機制對於風險降低有明顯幫助，但對風險乘數為0.1時，其調整機制反而增加了投資組合之波動性。 5. 隨著投資期間的拉長，除了TRR策略外，各策略之結果對所得替代率均有大幅成長。 另就費用與稅賦對投資型保險與「買定期險，差額直接投資在共同基金(Buy Term and Invest the Difference，BTID)」之影響並模擬分析。實證結果發現到只是轉換同基金公司之基金，則必須在投資標的數目較多下，投資型保險才有利基；但若是要轉換不同基金公司之基金，則只要每年轉換一次以上，投資型保險比起BTID策略較有優勢，隨著轉換次數增多及投資金額較大時，此優勢更加明顯；在正常課稅下，隨著投資金額增加，投資型保險帳戶的價值大於BTID策略之年度將遞減。 / This research aims to examine the most appropriate retiring asset allocation of the Variable product. Asset allocation is one of the most important factors to determine the return and risk of a portfolio. This research adopts five asset allocation strategies, including BH strategy, CM strategy, LCF strategy, LCR strategy and TRR strategy. With a given future return on four assets in four different investing durations, which are 20, 25, 30 and 35 years, the results of this current project demonstrates: 1. The likelihood to achieve replacement rate increases with higher risky asset. 2. The longer the period of one’s intended holding period, the less the value of the ending wealth for not pursuing the risky investment. 3. The pattern of these various strategies depends on the investing duration: For the LC strategy, one needs to invest 25 years at least in order to have higher replacement rate. For shorter investing duration, one is advised to choose the TRR strategy whereas the BH or the CM strategy is suitable for longer investing duration in order to attain higher replacement rate. 4. The only difference between the CM and the BM strategies lies in rebalancing. Rebalancing reduces the risk in the higher multiple situation but increases the risk in the lower multiple situation. 5. Except the TRR strategy, the replacement rates of other strategies significantly increased with the investing duration. The result of the analysis on the effects of cost and tax on Variable product and Buy Term and Invest the Difference (BTID) showed that, with more mutual funds, there are advantages when the transferring is within the same company. However, the advantages of Variable product are greater than the BTID strategy if the transferring is under different mutual fund companies. Further, with the increases of the transferring frequencies and the amount of the investing money, the advantages are greater. Under normal taxing and with the increase of the amount of the investing money, the duration of the value on the Variable product which is greater than that of BTID will decrease. That is, the value of the Variable product will be greater than that of the BTID within shorter investing period.

The aim of this diploma thesis is to create two composite indicators which will provide an informative value about the standard of living of seniors in selected countries of OECD. Using these indicators it will be possible to make a comparison of standards of living on the international level. First of the indicators is Consolidated replacement rate (CRR) which measures income conditions of seniors, which from the economical point of view is considered as the source of standard of living. The construction of CRR is built on theoretical basics from an OECD publication - Pension at Glance 2013. The main component of CRR indicator is a replacement rate which compares income of seniors before and after the retirement. CRR is also composed of two other indicators influencing disposable pension of seniors - imputed rents and services provided by the public sector. The highest values of CRR were reached by Netherlands, Hungary, Iceland and Denmark. On the opposite side the lowest values had countries like Great Britain, Germany and Poland. The reason of this low score for Great Britain and Germany was unavailability of data of private incomes of seniors and therefore it could not be included into CRR. The second constructed indicator is Standard of living of seniors (SLS) which provides a more complex view on the standard of living of seniors using variations of different indicators selected by the author. It includes for example the income situation, risk of poverty and social exclusion or happiness of seniors. Countries with the best values of SLS were Denmark, Netherlands, Iceland and Luxembourg. By far the lowest score was gained by Portugal followed by Estonia, Poland and Greece. In comparison with other countries the Czech Republic was below average among the observed OECD countries with the fifth lowest score of CRR and slightly below average in SLS.

This thesis focuses on the development of pension formula and its detailed analysis for the 1996 -- 2012 time period. The theoretical part describes pension system in general and places the Czech pension system within the systems of other OECD members. In the practical part I analyze specific criteria of the formula and I estimate the impact of these criteria on the size of pension, and which of the criteria add to the solidariy of the pension system.

隨著人口結構變遷(高齡化)，我國老年退休後的所得維持保障已日趨重要 ，各國對於工業化所產生的職業傷害、疾病、失業和老年等社會風險，大 都建立社會安全制度加以保障，目前我國尚未有全民性的退休制度，但對 於既存的退休維持體系，本文認為有必要加以全面性的探討，根據 Esping-Andersen對福利國家階層化的分析，指出社會安全制度本身已成 為社會階層化的體系，即不平等的根源，因此，本文企圖從平等和階層化 的觀點來分析我國老年退休所得維持體系。本文主要探討對象著重在公務 人員和勞工之退休所得維持體系，至於軍人和私立學校等退休所得維持體 系，因資料取得困難，則不加以探討。本文之分析架構分為二部分，第一 、退休所得維持體系之制度建構分析，第二、分別探討目前公務人員(狹 義的依公務人員任用法任用之公務人員)和勞工所得維持體系制度面設計 最高法定給付之所得替代率，及執行面之實際所得替代率進行統計分析及 推估。本研究結果重點如下：一、公務人員退休所得維持體系之立法特性 與階層化由歷史分析得知，公保之建制強調其為官吏人事制度，立法定位 不同於一般保險，在第二層相關退休辦法和第三層優惠存款所得保障出現 階層化現象。二、公務人員(狹義的)退休所得維持方案在制度設計上，三 層所得保障下，最高法定給付之所得替代率已達98.79\%(一次退休 金)90.70\%(月退休金)，實際給付面已相當落實，所得替代率達86.75\% ，而新制公務人員退休法施行後，公務人員所得替代率將大幅提高，所得 替率高達128. 32\%(一次退休金)或108.70\%，將加深其不平等的程度。 三、勞工退休所得維持方案之階層化一般勞工只有勞保老年給付，僅有部 分勞工可享有第二層退休所得保障，即適用勞基法的勞工，因此出現勞工 間的階層化。實際執行上，因薪資以多報少問題嚴重，平均所得替代率只 有14.31\%；而有雙重保障部分的勞工，平均所得替代率43.85\%。四 、 勞基法退休給付執行面之階層化效果根據本研究發現企業別與退休給付之 間產生了一階層化效果，除公營事業單位和大型民營企業外，大多數勞工 無法領到勞基法所規定之退休金，不論在給付件數上(詳見表6.3)，或給 付額度上(詳見表6.4)，小規模的企業都無法落實。性別與退休給付間亦 產生了階層化效果，在給付件數上，女性只佔15\%左右，其餘高達85\%皆 為男性。 /

本文主要在探討確定提撥退休金計劃下，投資決策對所得替代率之影響，以提供員工退休規劃及政府政策擬定之參考。首先，我們建構退休金累積模型及所得替代率模型，其中所得替代率之計算是以含通貨膨脹率因子的年金方式給付退休金。然後，將影響退休金累積模型的精算因子：累積期間的投資報酬率，依據過去的月資料配適出其母體分配，以模擬員工未來退休時，使用年金方式給付退休金的所得替代率。本文進一步，提供員工在不同投資報酬下應相對提撥多少百分比，以達到適當的所得替代率水準的參考標準，以滿足員工未來退休時的生活所需。我們以民國87年「勞工退休金條例草案」及台灣投資市場的實証資料進行研究，本研究結果如右：當僱主提撥6%月薪資時，(一)若員工可選擇投資標的，女性、男性員工所得替代率分均值分別介於48%~70%、52%~75%，而且選擇高度風險基金之所得替代率平均值皆較低度風險基金高出45 %，但為了使所得替代率小於60%的機率低於10%，女性、男性員工選擇高度風險基金需較低度風險基金分別多提撥3 %、2 %。(二)若退休基金由勞委會統籌管理，以過去實証平均報酬率8%，計算女性、男性員工所得替代率分別為50%、54%，但為達到60%所得替代率，女性、男性員工需分別相對提撥2%、1%。(三)比較「員工可選擇投資標的」與「勞委會統籌分配管理」兩種退休基金管理方式，若員工可選擇投資標的亦有最低保証收益，結果發現員工可選擇投資標的之投資績效及所得替代率皆優於勞委會統籌分配管理。 / The thesis investigates the impacts of the employee’s investment decision making on income replacement rate for defined contribution plan. We first construct the pension accumulation model to compute the final retirement benefit under defined contribution plan. Furthermore, the empirical data of the investment returns from mutual fund market and that from Labor Insurance Bureau are utilized to simulate the possible investment returns distribution for employee before retirement. The replacement rate is then calculated by assuming the employee will use his/her final retirement benefit to buy a single premium annuity with inflation index adjustment from the insurance company. Finally, based on simulation results from different scenarios, we suggest a relative employee contribution rate in order for employee to reach his/her objective replacement rate under different risk aversion levels. Our results show: 1. If the employee can make investment decision by investing in the mutual fund market, in average, female employee can have 48~70% replacement rate, while male employee can have 52~75%. We also find the replacement rate for employee selecting the high-risk mutual fund is 45% higher than those for selecting the low-risk mutual fund. 2. If the employee can not make investment decision and Labor Insurance Bureau allocate the pension asset, female employee can have 50% replacement rate, while male employee can have 54%. 3. Comparing the above two alternatives under the assumption that the employee has minimum guarantee return in both case, we find the first option can generate higher replacement rate for employee.

隨著醫療技術進步及生活水準的提高，使得人類平均壽命延長，人口結構有逐漸高齡化的趨勢，促使人們開始關切未來老年生活的財源。因此，本研究以金錢價值比率及所得替代率，來建構退休金所得規劃模型，探討在台灣各種不同的退休金制度及商業年金保險下，個人所擁有的金錢價值及所得替代率到底為何？利用過去25年的實證資料，採用66年到90年的各項實證資料，以模擬分析的方式，分析退休金制度及商業年金保險之現金流量，求算其金錢價值比率及所得替代率，並與澳洲、加拿大等國家的年金商品金錢價值比率，及退休金所得替代率相比較，分析造成其中差異的因素。 　　研究結果發現：(1)台灣退休金制度之金錢價值比率遠高於商業年金保險之比率；(2)在商業年金保險中，男性的金錢價值比率比女性的金錢價值比率高；(3)附加費用的多寡，使得即期年金之金錢價值比率高於遞延年金之比率約10%左右；(4)國內外的大多數年金商品金錢價值比率，大約都在90%到98%之間，表示其附加費用率大致相同；(5)在台灣退休金制度中，公務人員擁有較充足的退休金，而勞工退休金卻遠遠的不足；且相較於其他國家的退休金所得替代率，台灣除了公務人員退撫基金較為充足外，勞工退休金及社會福利支出方面是相當不夠的。 / Owing to the improvement of medical technology and living standard, the average life of human is extending and the structure of population is aging. It makes people to worry about the financial soundness of future life. This paper has following two objectives. First, we construct a evaluation model of pension value by using money's worth ratio and replacement rate. Second, we compare the money's worth ratio and replacement rates of different pension plans and annuities between different individuals. We use the empirical data from 1977 to 2001 in Taiwan for this study. We calculate the money's worth ratio and replacement rate of different pension plans and annuities and analyze the cash flow of them by using the simulated method. We also compare the money's worth ratio of annuities and replacement rate of pension plans between Taiwan, and the other countries, such as Australia, and Canada, and analyze the reasons causing these differences. 　　The empirical results are as follow. First, the money's worth ratio of pension plan is higher than that of the commercial annuity in Taiwan. Second, in commercial annuity, the money's worth ratio of male is higher than that of the female. Third, the money's worth ratio of immediate annuity is higher than that of the deferred annuity about 10% because of the expense loading. Fourth, the money's worth ratio of domestic or overseas annuities is between 90% and 98%. It means the loadings of them are not much difference. Fifth, the public officers have sufficient pension annuity, whereas the laborers have insufficient pension annuity. Finally, from the comparison of replacement rates of between Taiwan and other countries, we find that replacement rate of laborers in both private pension and public pension are insufficient except for the public officers.

依據國際研究機構之預測，人口老化與少子化是本(21)世紀人類最重大的挑戰，我國在近年生育率下滑的情況下，社會人口老化問題尤其嚴重。本研究基於關切現行社會保險制度與退休金準備，能否支應個人在未來老年時期之醫護照顧與經濟負擔等議題，先敘述國人將面臨日趨嚴重之長壽風險，再引述美國、香港運用兼具財產隔離與專業服務基本功能的信託制度經營管理退休金市場的成功模式，導論政府與企業建立退休金管理制度、個人及早儲備退休金之重要性，希冀喚起國人對儲備個人退休金帳戶準備之重視。 本研究架構共分一、緒論；二、基礎理論與文獻探討，涵蓋信託制度、退休金信託計畫與資金運用、國外退休制度探討等；三、我國信託制度退休商品之運用；四、台灣勞工族群退休需求與不足度分析；五、信託制度退休商品之實務運作個案探討；六、結論與建議共六章。藉由闡述信託制度的特質、功能，與退休金於累積期間資金運用、清償期資金規劃之基礎理論；引申先進國家退休金制度以信託制度結合退休金計畫的成熟實施經驗，本研究以三個實際個案研究，分析我國勞工族群之退休需求與不足度；並就勞工族群潛在之退休金財務缺口所提出之相關建議。 在探討個案之退休需求與不足度分析部分，研究之限制有二：一為計算模組係以目前實施之退休金制度為基礎，並假設一單純之通貨膨脹率與排除社會經濟可能之變動因素，如未考慮政府可能進行社會保險政策變革因素。二為在計算過程中，投資報酬率之假設係依照過往之投資報酬率推估，並採用資產單一投資報酬率之方式計算分析，未能符合現實狀況中，資產投資組合有其各自之風險係數與不同之報酬率情形。 本研究報告除提出結論外，並提出以下建議： 一、勞工消費大眾在目前之社會保險、企業退休金給付制度無法完全滿足退休需求下，個人應及早另行儲備退休金。 二、企業雇主照顧員工、留住優秀人才，可採行額外之勞工退休福利制度。 三、主管機關可就退休金稅賦優惠措施、勞保、新舊制勞退三大退休基金經營管理方式適度調整及勞退新制開放勞工自選投資標的等。 / It has been foreseen by international research institutions that both problems, the aging of population and the trend towards fewer children, are the most significant challenges which the mankind is facing in the 21st century. In Taiwan, the trend of decreasing birth rate, as shown in recent years, indicates that the aging of population is particularly severe in Taiwan. Based on concerns about whether the present social insurance system and the pension provision are sufficient to meet personal retiring needs such as health care and living expenditure and so on, the research begins with the narration of the rising longevity risk faced by people in Taiwan, then illustrating the successful mode set up by the US and Hong Kong that utilizes the trust system incorporating both the property isolation and the basic professional services to operate and manage the pension market, and eventually concludes that it is of significance for both the government and the enterprise to establish the pension management system as well as for the individual to prepare for the retiring funds as early as possible, looking forward to drawing high attention to the importance of provision for personal pension account. This research is constructed in six parts, Part I: Introduction; Part II: Basic Theory and Literature Review, covering trust system, pension trust plan and funds utilization, foreign retirement system review and so on; Part III: Application of Retirement Products in Taiwan’s Trust System; Part IV: Analysis of Taiwan’s Labor Group’s Retiring Demand and Insufficiency of Funds; Part V: Case Study on Practical Operation for Retirement Products in Taiwan’s Trust System; Part VI: Conclusion and Suggestion. By means of elaborating trust system's characteristic and function and the basic theories on both utilization of pension in the accumulation period and funds planning in the disbursement period, and further introducing the advanced countries’ sound experience in integrating the trust system with the pension schemes, the research, by three case studies, analyzes Taiwan’s labor group’s retiring demand and insufficiency of funds and presents some suggestions relative to improvement on the latent financial gap. The case study for retiring demand and insufficiency of funds is subject to two factors. One is that the computing module is based on the pension system being run currently, a fixed inflation rate and excluding any potential factors in changing the society and economy, such as the updated social insurance policy by the government. The other is that the Return on Investment (ROI) is computed by using past data and only one simple ROI is applied, not in line with the actual situation that the assets in investment portfolio have individual risk coefficient and varied ROI. In addition to the conclusions, the research presents the following suggestions: 1.Given the present situation in Taiwan that both the social insurance system and enterprise’s pension schemes are unable to meet personal retiring needs, the individual is supposed to prepare for the funds as early as possible. 2.To take care of the staff and preserve the talent, the employer can set up extra program of retirement and welfare for the employee. 3.The regulator can take preferential measures to lessen the tax burden on pension, modestly adjust the operation and management of three material pension funds comprising Labor Insurance, Old and New Labor Pension Funds as well as offer the option for the laborer to invest the self-choosing target pursuit the New Labor Pension Fund and so on.

為探討臺灣民眾退休不足度，本研究不同以往問卷式詢問臺灣民眾準備狀況，使用所得替代率(replacement rate)為工具，建構估算模型，透過宏利人壽委託政大民調中心進行的民調數據，實際估算勞工與軍公教民眾退休不足度，其中發現台灣有24%勞工民眾在退休後無法達到60%所得替代率，且低估死亡時間與高估報酬率都會對勞工退休不足度造成影響。而對軍公教民眾而言，以80%所得替代率進行估算，才會有退休不足的問題，而低估死亡時間與高估報酬率對退休不足影響較小。此外探討退休信心與實際估算不一致的情況，主要發現高所得的勞工民眾，較可能發生有信心但準備不足60%所得替代率的情況，而低所得的勞工民眾，較可能發生沒有信心但可以準備80%所得替代率的情況，本研究認為是因為臺灣現行退休金制度下，高所得的勞工民眾若要達到相同所得替代率，所需儲蓄率高於低所得的勞工民眾。 / The purpose of this paper is to examine the Retirement Shortfall in Taiwan by using replacement rate. Building model with the poll data which is commissioned by Manulife Life Insurance and conducted by Market Survey Research Center of National Chengchi University, we found that the populations of the civil servants can achieve 60% replacement rate after retirement, but 24 percent of labors can’t reach the 60% income replacement rate. Besides, the retirement shortfall of labors become worse after adjusting by the overestimate of rate of return and underestimate of longevity risk. In short, labor people should contribute more to their pension in case they may have inadequate retirement situation. Using logistic regression, we found that people of high-income have tendency to feel overly optimistic of their retirement shortfall, vice versa. Social security and pension benefit provide less replacement rate for people of high-income, so rich people need highly save rate.

論文摘要: 本研究以現金餘額計劃（Cash Balance Plan）及確定提撥退休金計劃（Defined Contribution Pension Plan）建構出公務人員退撫基金之建議機制，建構之主要目的在於透過第一層現金餘額計劃之利息給付機制降低退休基金利率風險，同時由第二層確定提撥計劃獲取額外退休所得，使雇主與員工在双層式退休金計劃下，同時承擔投資風險，以降低基金利率風險並同時滿足適當退休所得保障。本文在現金餘額計劃不同控管年限及利息給付假設下，模擬超額積蓄（Overfunded）基金與不足額積蓄（Underfunded）基金執行資產負債管理（Asset Liability Management）所需存續期間，同時模擬双層式退休金計劃提供員工之退休所得替代率，研究結果發現： 1、超額積蓄基金及不足額積蓄基金均可以在目前資本市場中找到符合所需存續期間之資產投資。在控管20年限內，超額積蓄基金所需存續期間在-1.71年到0.39年之間；不足額積蓄基金所需存續期間在4.68年到8.31年之間。 2、退休基金越接近超額狀態越有利於資產負債管理。當基金積蓄狀態越接近超額積蓄時，基金負債與資產的比例較不足額積蓄基金低，故資產負債管理所需存續期間較短，對於基金能夠控管的年限也越長。 3、雇主可透過現金餘額計劃利息給付機制執行百分之百免疫策略。雇主可利用現金餘額計劃利息給付依據外部債券利率為參考依據的特性，鎖定債券利率，達到資產負債管理百分之百免疫效果。 4、現金餘額計劃執行百分之百免疫策略情況下，45歲以下公務人員採行自動選擇投資基金（Default Fund）為高風險投資基金，自動選擇提撥率（Default Rate）為每月薪資5.08﹪，可使員工達到適當所得替代率保障水準。 / Abstract This thesis proposes an new alternative two-tier pension composed of Cash Balance Plan (CBP ) and defined contribution pension plan to the traditional defined benefit pension plan of Taiwan Public Employee Retirement System(TPERS). In order to decrease the interest-rate risk of the pension fund and to provide additional retirement income protection, we utilize the credit rate mechanism of CBP and supplement CBP with additional defined contribution plan. We investigate the Asset-Liability Management (ALM) for TPERS and calculate the liability duration under different time horizons, interest credits of CBP. We also simulate the replacement rate of the two-tier pension plan under different contribution rates, and investment returns. The results are as follows: 1、Given the twenty-year time horizons, the asset duration of overfunded plan ranges between –1.71 years and 0.39 years, whereas that of underfunded plan varies from 4.68 years to 8.31 years. In this case, the requirements of asset duration can be satisfied in the Taiwan Capital Market. 2、The overfunded pension plan has higher probabilities to meet the requirements of asset duration. Therefore, we suggest that the fund manager can increase the asset allocation percentage of external fund management in order to improve the long-term returns. 3、Perfect matching of pension fund can be achieved by matching the yield of securities to interest credit under CBP . In addition, we suggest that the interest credit of the new labor contracts should take the trend of the current interest rate into consideration. 4、Replacement rates provided by CBP for woman range from 19.05﹪ to 45.70﹪and from 20.86﹪to 50.05﹪for man assuming the interest credit rate is 5.2%. To increase the retirement income, the defined contribution plan provide additional replacement rate between 13.56﹪and 162.96﹪for woman and between 14.85﹪and 178.42﹪for man assuming the employee can contribute 3.08 percent to 13.37 percent of regular salaries and investment returns are from 4 percent to 8 percent .

為使台灣公部門能利用確定提撥的概念及妥善運用投資資源，以期在減少政府負擔的情況下獲得足夠的退休所得，故本研究以所得替代率、金錢價值比及平均數-變異數比等指標來針對公務人員退撫基金附加節約儲蓄制度採行之可能與投資策略彼此運用之模擬結果加以分析，結果如下： 1. 各情境下以BH策略所得出之期末個人帳戶平均累積值表現最佳，然其具相當大的波動變異程度，投資人需承受相當大的風險。而TIPP策略之表現則與前述完全相反。 2. 若投資者採用BH策略或是採用CPPI與TIPP策略(CM策略)且欲追求較高的所得替代率，則建議採用Lifecycle(平衡型)的投資比例配置方式，加計DB制下之給付則平均可提供男(女)性約70.204%-75.204% (65.49%-70.49%)的所得替代率，而金錢價值比則為2.399(2.95)。 3. 無論投資者採用何種策略進行投資，若欲追求最小的可能變異風險，則建議採取平衡型的投資比例配置方式，加計確定給付制下之給付則平均可提供男(女)性約67.924%-72.924%(65.318%-70.318%)的所得替代率，金錢價值比則為2.6835。 本文模擬結果所得出之所得替代率平均維持於70%上下，代表若政府將可藉此制度減輕政府負擔外亦可使員工擁有一定水平的退休生活，故可採用。至於投資策略與配置方式如何取捨須依不同的投資者而定。 　 關鍵詞：公務人員退撫基金、確定提撥制、所得替代率、金錢價值比、Lifecycle / Abstract Because the improvement of medical technology and the structure of population is aging. It makes human worry about the living in the future. In order to enable the public servants of Taiwan to utilize the system of the Defined Contribution and to relief the pressure of fiscal, so we simulate in this article and analysis the results of simulation by using replacement rate, money’s worth ratio, and mean-variance ratio. The result is as follows: 1.When investor adopt the BH strategy in the process of investment, it will create the best replacement rate and money’s worth ratio under every situation, but it can be anticipated more uncertainty. Investors need to think thrice before they act. The TIPP strategy is opposite. 2.If investors adopt BH strategy or CPPI and TIPP strategy (CM strategy) and wanting to pursue the substituting rate of the higher income , the best selection is proposed adopting the Lifecycle (balanced) scenario, and it can offer replacement ratio about 70.204% - 75.204% (65.49% - 70.49% ) for the man (the woman ) under adding the DB system. Besides, the money’s worth rate is 2.399 (2.95). 3. If the investors want to pursue the least influence in the process of investment whatever investors adopt which strategies, the best scenario is the balanced type, and it can offer replacement ratio about 67.924%-72.924%(65.318%-70.318%) for the man (the woman) under adding the DB system. Besides, the money’s worth rate is 2.6835. The outcome of the simulation in this article is keep the replacement rate maintain about 70% equally, What is the best selection for investor that must be contingent upon different characteristics of investors. Keywords: public servants, Defined Contribution, Replacement rate, The money’s worth ratio, Lifecycle hypothesis.