• Refine Query
  • Source
  • Publication year
  • to
  • Language
  • 8
  • 8
  • Tagged with
  • 8
  • 8
  • 8
  • 8
  • 4
  • 4
  • 4
  • 3
  • 3
  • 3
  • 3
  • 3
  • 3
  • 3
  • 3
  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

臺灣農會信用部的發展與改革 / The development and reforms of the credit departments of farmers’ associations in Taiwan

李聰勇, Lee, Chung Yung Unknown Date (has links)
臺灣農會信用部發展已超過百年歷史,歷經日據時代與臺灣光復後多次的改組及改革,見證臺灣經濟發展與經濟結構的轉變,並扮演政府與農民間的溝通橋樑。本研究除了探討臺灣農會信用部的演變外,另介紹美國、日本等先進國家的農業金融體系運作情形,歸納分析農會信用部面臨的問題、經營績效的變化、及歷次改革的過程。 農會信用部在臺灣118個無銀行且無信用合作社的鄉鎮,設立325個營業據點,顯示農會信用部是基層農村地區不可或缺的金融機構。雖然無股金制及金融專業相對缺乏等制度性問題,降低農會信用部的競爭力,但農業金融法施行後,農會信用部的財務及業務已有顯著改善。農會信用部不僅是金融體系中的一環,更涉及農業發展與整體地方政治運作的複雜課題,對於農會信用部的改革必須正視現實及政經環境。34家農會信用部讓與商業銀行的改革方案,在最短期限及最低社會成本下,處理經營不善農會信用部,堪稱成功的改革。 對於未來農業金融的長遠發展,應從組織制度與結構面進行農會信用部改革,包括恢復股金制及引進外部專業理事與監事;強化農業金融安全網的功能,如推動立即糾正措施、建立多元退場機制與農業金融存款保險機制;透過合併及資訊整合提升競爭力,包括建置完善合併法規及提供誘因,鼓勵農會合併,並推動農會信用部資訊整合,發揮農會信用部通路優勢;金融監理制度應適度調整,如修正強制一律轉存全國農業金庫制度、主管機關自行辦理金融檢查;及強化農會信用部自律功能與發揮經營利基,包括提升金融專業程度,落實內部控制與內部稽核,並透過農會綜合經營體制及地緣與人脈的優勢,發揮其經營利基。 / Credit Departments of Farmers' Associations(CDFAs)have provided farmers with the required capital in agriculture industry for a hundred year and played an important role between the government and farmers. The purpose of this paper is to research the evolution, role, function and changes of CDFAs. Besides, we introduce the agricultural financial system in the United States and Japan. Furthermore, we induct the challenges CDFAs face and analyze the performances of CDFAs after the Agricultural Finance Act implementation. At last, with a view on the process of reform, we present suggestions to the agricultural financial policy. There are 325 CDFAs in 118 villages and towns where are no financial institutions. The results also show that system and structure issues reduce CDFAs competitiveness, however, after the Agricultural Finance Act execution, the performances improve remarkably. In addition, reform must face the reality and politics and the policy that mismanaged CDFAs taken over by banks is a successful example. For the development of agricultural finance, accelerate reform on CDFAs by restoring capital stock system and introducing specialized directors and supervisors, moreover, strengthen functions of agricultural financial safety net, such as implementation of prompt corrective actions, establishment of multi-dimensional mechanism to withdraw mismanaged CDFAs from the market and establishing the agricultural finance deposit insurance. Besides, promote competitiveness by legislating on regulations of the merge laws and constructing information networks for agricultural finance. Furthermore, make revision of regulations upon the surplus in funds of CDFAs should all be transferred to the Agricultural Bank of Taiwan and implement financial inspection by the central authorities itself. At last, cultivate professionals in agricultural finance and strengthen the internal controls and auditing systems.
2

中國農村金融之研究 / The study of agricultural finance in China

吳鴻志 Unknown Date (has links)
中國農村金融隨著政經情勢的改變,組織與功能歷經建政初期、大躍進、及改革開放年代。不同的背景而有所變革,見證中國經濟發展與經濟結構的轉變。本研究除了探討中國農村金融的發展歷程外,另介紹美國、日本、及臺灣等國家的農業金融體系運作情形,以作為中國農村融改革的借鏡。 改革開放後,中國的經濟快速成長,但卻造成城鄉部門生活水準差距的逐漸擴大,農村青壯年勞動力大量流失,農民在經濟上愈趨弱勢,造成國有商業銀行大規模撤離農村,金融機構審慎辦理農村貸款,導致農民貸款難及農村資金外流嚴重,加上農村信用社產權制度不完善、管理體制不健全、及多元目標衝突,而致資產品質差,歷史包袱沉重,凡此均是農村金融所需面對嚴肅課題。自2003年以來,中國對農村金融進行一連串改革措施,使得農村金融體系在營業規模及資產品質改善等方面均朝正向發展,自2006年放寬農村地區金融機構准入政策,也有效解決農村地區金融服務供給不足的問題。 中國農村金融未來的發展,本文建議應整合農村金融體系資源,發揮經濟規模的功效;建立完善農村金融法律制度,使農村金融體系的成員,均有法可循,並受其保障;規範農村資金回流最低比例,並運用財政政策將資金引導回農村地區,避免資金外流使農村經濟陷於惡性循環中;及利用中國郵政儲蓄銀行於農村地區營業據點最多的優勢,推展符合農村地區的金融商品,有效解決農民貸款難的問題。
3

台灣農貸之分析

李育志, Li, Yu-Zhi Unknown Date (has links)
首章緒論,扼要說明研究之目的與方法,並詳述農貸之意義,特性與原則,在基本上,可以了解農貸的目的,功能與特性: 在理論上,得以確知農貸方式應遵循的原則。 第二章就目前台灣農業經濟情勢予以探討,並分析農家經濟能力。從分析中可以發現,台灣農家所得低,淨利少,尤其對於資金的需要,極為迫切。在負債方面,農家借款情況日趨普遍,借款金額亦逐漸增加,農民除了生產費用需借款外心生活費及清償舊債亦需告貸,從而推知,農家資金是非常缺乏的。在償債能力方面,本省農家的償債能力,無論長期或短期的都很小,尤其在耕地一公頃以下的小農,其債務負擔能力更為薄弱。目前台灣農家以小農為多,問題嚴重,自不待言。 第三章簡介農貸機構與其業務概況,主要在於分析本省農貸機構資金的供給,經營及其業務概況。台灣農貸機構可分為三大類: 第一類為農業金融機構,第二類為政府機關及公營事業機構,第三類為其他金融機構。五十九年七月中央正式成立「農業金融策劃委員會」,統籌策劃全國農業金融事宜。是年年底,全體農貨機構貨款餘額為一七○億元,其中第一類機構貨款餘額佔七九。五七% ,第二類佔一六。七一% 。第三類佔三.七一% 。農貨機構貨款資金以吸收存款為主,資金籌措不易,中長期資金尤感缺乏,再以農貨成本偏高,農貨機構經營較為困難,這些問題必須設法解決,則農貨業務始能順利推展。 第四章分析本省農貨方式,對貨款之程序、用途、利率、限限、擔保又償還方式、借款人違約之處置等問題逐一的探討。貨款乃屬契約行為,在法律上有必須遵循之規定,本省的農貸方式,尚稱簡便,惟農貨利率,極須降低,貨款期限與擔保方式,有待放寬,期能符合農民的經濟負擔能力。 第五章論農業現代化與農貨政策,旨在闡釋農業發展與農貨在政日本政府的「制度金融」,農業近代化資金制度及新資金制度等,在農業金融發展史上。大放異彩,實值得吾人效法者。再者農貸欲促使農業生產增加,及解決農家資金的問題。則農貸制度必須與產銷制度密切的配合。並建立農場經營計劃貸款制度,徹底實施輔導農貸、預算貸款及根抵押等方法。 第六章對於農貸制度提出若干的建議,這些建議乃針對分析的結果,提出最主要的意見。農貸應做通盤性的計劃貸放,故與其有關的問題,必須一併考慮。如建立有系統的農貸組織與制度,設立固定性農貸基金,發行債券、廣籌財源,再輔以農貸服務。使成為適合農民需要之農貸制度。 第七章結論: 說明農業發展的問題,極為複雜,農業金融是不可忽視的一環,政府應負起策劃之責,並作大量的投資或貼補利息。農貸機構應善盡扶助農業生產之使命,以求增加農民收入,繁榮農村經濟。
4

健全我國農業金融體制與監理之探討--兼論差異化管理措施 / An investigation to agricultural finance system and supervision -Differential supervision scheme

林重境, Lin, Chung Ching Unknown Date (has links)
農漁會組織長久以來於農業發展扮演重要角色,其促進農業生產,增進農民福祉與繁榮農村經濟,對台灣早期之經濟發展貢獻許多。隨著經濟結構的變動,農會信用部面對產業結構的轉變及其他金融機構的激烈競爭,致使其經營陷入困境,經過金融重建基金處理了36家經營不善信用部,宣佈分級管理措施,及12萬農民大遊行,政府為徹底解決信用部諸多問題,於93年1月實施農業金融法,建立由行政院農業委員會一元化管理之農業金融體系,經過一連串之改革,相關財務指標顯示信用部之經營已逐漸改善中。 本研究主要探討我國農業金融體制與信用部面臨的問題,並參考日本農業金融改革之經驗,提出健全我國農業金融體制與監理之建議。 研究發現,農業金融改革後信用部之經營確實在改善中。然而,在80年代農業金融危機下遺留的問題尚未完全克服。對於我國農業金融發展,本研究從組織面、業務面與監理面進行探討,提出改革建議包括:全面檢討修訂農會法與漁會法、儘速恢復股金制、建置合併法規鼓勵合併、儘速處理經營不善之信用部並建構多元退場機制、加強農業金融體系連結與加速資訊共用平台之整合、強化對全國農業金庫與信用部之監理、落實金融監理加強實地檢查與場外監控措施、導入差異化管理與立即糾正措施等,農業金融機構有必要繼續改革,以健全農業金融體系,保障存款人權益,促進農漁村經濟發展。 / The Farmers’ and Fishermen’s Associations played an important role in the field of agricultural production. They helped agriculture develop, increased farmers’ and fishermen’s welfare, flourished the countryside and contributed a lot to the early progress of Taiwan economy. With the transition of economic structure, the whole environment became quite disadvantageous to credit departments of farmers’ and fishermens’ associations, which face the changes of the industrial structure and fierce competition from other financial institutions. With the experiences of the settlement of 36 problem credit departments by the Financial Restructuring Fund, announcement of differential supervision scheme and demonstration of 120,000 agriculturists, the government implemented the Agricultural Finance Act on 30th January 2004 and built an integrated agricultural finance system governed by the Council of Agriculture (COA) to solve many problems of credit departments. Through those reformations, the financial index showed that the condition of these credit departments has improved gradually. This study aimed to discuss those difficulties that our agricultural finance system and credit departments encountered and bring up suggestions to complete this system and the government’s supervision referring to the reformation of agricultural finance system in Japan. What our study found is that the operation of credit departments has undoubtedly improved after taking reformations to agricultural finance system in Taiwan. However, problems that the agricultural finance crisis left behind in 1980s have not been completely conquered yet. As to the prospect of our agricultural finance system, from the aspects of organizational structures, business activities and government’s supervision, we suggest the reforms include to examine and amend both the Farmers’ Association Law and the Fishermen’s Association Law from stem to stern, re-enforce paid-in capital system with all speed, draw up laws to encourage mergers, deal with problem credit departments and build up plenty selections to help them exit as soon as possible, strengthen the connection of agricultural finance system and the integration of information sharing stations, intensify our supervision towards the Agricultural Bank of Taiwan and credit departments, reinforce on-the-spot examination and off-site monitoring, bring differential supervision scheme and prompt-corrective action into practice and so on. Hence, we may achieve the goal to complete the agricultural finance system, protect the rights of depositors and prosper the rural villages’ and fishing villages’ economy.
5

民間集體行動的機會、動員及對政策的影響:以「一一二三與農共生」運動為例

林御翔, Lin ,Yu Hsiang Unknown Date (has links)
當代社會運動研究有三大途徑,「政治過程理論」探討運動所鑲嵌的政治機會和限制,「資源動員理論」強調正式與非正式組織匯集、轉化資源的能力,「新社會運動理論」關注行動者的理念與文化因素對運動的形塑過程。二○○二年十一月廿三日,超過十二萬名農漁民走上台北街頭,抗議政府企圖消滅農漁會,使民進黨政府面臨執政後最大的統治危機。本文企圖結合政治過程理論與資源動員理論,探討農民抗爭背後的政治機會結構,農漁會與「農漁會自救會」所扮演的角色,及其對農金政策的影響。 從政治機會結構觀察,以農會及以在野黨為主的政治聯盟利用政府不同部門的利益矛盾,迫使行政院放棄原有的政策;由財政部主導的金融改革小組一開始便未考量農會代表的意見,在正常溝通管道被封閉的情況下,農會自然只能透過體制外的抗爭企圖影響政策。從動員結構來看,農漁會既有的組織網絡降低了抗爭的組織成本,但其獨特的人脈化特質,很難成為其他集體行動仿效的對象。面對來自農會體系的反彈,民進黨政府迅速以農業金融法的制定釋出善意,但在相關制度未改變的基礎上,將設置的全國農業金庫與農會體系間其實存有嚴重的制度衝突。而「一一二三與農共生」運動的事過境遷,也代表重新檢討農村福利體系機會的再次喪失。
6

太陽能產業對於農業發展之融資影響-以F租賃公司為例 / The Impact of Energy Industries on Agricultural Development Financing

呂政衛 Unknown Date (has links)
近年來極端氣候發生之頻率與強度愈趨激烈,溫室效應對全球各地氣候變化的影響日益明顯,未來因氣候變遷衍生的問題將嚴重衝擊全球經濟、糧食供應、生態平衡以及區域安全。然而,全球暖化係人類長期排放所累積結果,已非單靠人為減少溫室氣體排放量就可以避免,故如何藉由預測未來可能面臨之衝擊與改變,世界各國莫不將 「節能減碳」或納為施政新思維,進行能源戰略布局、施行綠色新政、發展綠能產業,以營造永續之低碳社會與發展低碳經濟。 聯合國環境署(United Nations Environment Program)於2009年發表(全球綠色新政),綠色新政重點之一即推廣再生能源,降低對石化燃料過多的依賴,使能源來源能夠更多元,同時,降低碳排放量,除營造低碳生活外,更可促進產業轉型,創新新型態能源結構,增加產業與國家競爭力。再生能源之中,太陽能的特質除了取之不盡、用之不竭外,並具有潔淨與安全的特質對於改善未來人類生活及環境有相當助益。 臺灣地區為海島型能源供給系統,自產能源相當匱乏,能源供給98%以上仰賴進口,且石化能源依存度高,面對傳統能源日益耗竭、國際能源情勢動盪、能源價格波動劇烈、全球氣候變遷衝擊,以及國內能源需求持續成長、能源開發計畫推動不易與能源價格調整爭議等挑戰,我國之能源發展首重確保能源安全及滿足民生基本需求,兼顧環境保護與經濟發展,並考量社會正義與跨世代公平原則下,促進能源永續發展。 因此,政府的引導下,發展替代能源及節能相關產業,企業亦在能源價格節節高升情況下不得不尋求節能技術支援以降低生產成本(例如 PV-ESCO 太陽能發電後售電予台灣電力公司)以獲取報酬,新的商業型態-「能源技術服務業,ESCO」應孕而生。然而,在新的產業發展過程中必然產生重重阻力以妨礙產業的發展,尤其是融資問題最為嚴重,目前 ESCO 產業除銀行予以有限的融資外,租賃公司亦為其融資主要來源之一,然而租賃產業傳統的設備租賃與分期付款業務已漸趨成熟,其性質幾乎與一般銀行融資無異,並且受限於租賃公司本身的資源有限,導致價格競爭力遠遠落後於銀行,在這樣的情況下,租賃產業需思考價格以外競爭力的方法式以區隔市場。 本論文在探討太陽能產業對於農業的融資影響,首先針對台灣農業土地使用現況,並分析農業就業人口與生產力,了解農業所得與土地使用困境。再者,說明分析太陽能產業全球發展概況與未來市場規模,透過融資市場分析ESCO產業融資方式與困境,最後,針對租賃產業的現況分析瞭解租賃產業的發展與競爭狀況,再對個案公司在 ESCO 產業各階段經營模式作說明,探討租賃公司如何在ESCO 產業從資源、核心能力建立而取得競爭優勢,進而尋求傳統租賃產業的新的發展契機。 本研究中亦發現租賃公司在經營模式的創新使得產品利潤增加,創新並不侷限於租賃架構的創新,而在於審核流程及利潤架構的改變,利用增加的報酬可以承擔更多風險,再加上個案提供之成交個案中各型態經營模式之 IRR & NPV 模擬數據分析佐證,呈現出新的經營模式具體的營運成果;而利潤增加可以提升F公司對風險的承受能力,進而促動經營模式的改變。但因應新型態的營運模式,除產品本身利潤以外,更需考量租賃產業在籌資的能力,以創造資金使用效能極大化,同時善盡企業社會責任。
7

我國農業貸款證券化的可行性研究 / A Feasibility Study on the Securitization of Agricultural Loans in Taiwan

楊淑清, Yang, Shu Ching Unknown Date (has links)
當前我國農業金融施政目標將配合農業加值政策,多元化推動政策性專案農貸,農貸對象將由個別農漁民推廣至農企業,是以,資金用途亦將由農業生產擴及農漁業運銷、加工與技術研發;穩健持續的發展農業將需要充分的資金,如何為農業發展自金融市場引入資金,融資是我國金融施政的當務之急。   我國農漁會組織結構脆弱,規模小且欠缺增資機制,本論文鑑於美國資產證券化發展至今已半個世紀,其對直接融資環境的建樹及國家經濟的繁榮功不可沒;直接融資的優點有三:降低借款者的融資成本、提高貸款者的營運效率、增加投資者的投資標的,本論文冀望借鏡美國資產證券化發展經驗及運作模式,創新我國融資思維,以「農業貸款證券化」的方式自金融市場直接取得資金,消弭農業金融當前的瓶頸,為農業發展提供有效的融資,全力發展農業貸款證券化尚能促進國內證券化及信託業務的健康發展。   本論文參考美國資產支持證券與小型企業署證券化的運作模式,規劃我國農業貸款支持證券的發行程序,包括創始資產、資產群組化、現金流結構、信用增強機制、發行架構、風險分析、信用評等及訂價策略八個構面,並探討發行之可行性,獲得適法性無疑、市場供給面與需求面具有發行正當性之結論。   在促進次級市場流動性議題上,本論文建議以「指定集合管理運用金錢信託」平台,透過投資人的多元性參與以及投資商品的多樣性選擇,在金錢信託架構下促進交易市場的活絡,進而帶動流動性的增強;最後,本論文建議信託業運用信託機制發揮投資銀行之功能,於兼顧企業融資與客戶投資之同時,實踐扶持中小企業、促進地方經濟繁榮的責任與願景。   國內如能順利推動農業貸款證券化業務,對市場各個參與者之利基臚列於下,此亦為本論文衷心冀盼的: 一、對政府、農委會等中央主管機關而言:   (一)得以建立我國農業資本市場、擴大我國債券之發行。   (二)得以解決農地閒置休耕問題、增進農企業規模發展。   (三)得以樽節政府農業發展支出、普及全民投資農漁業。 二、對全國農業金庫而言:   (一)得以差異化的營運方式有別於農漁會之經營。   (二)得以超然的立場貫徹執行金融監督管理之責。 三、對農漁會而言:   (一)得以縮減資本計提的需求、提升ROA與ROE。   (二)得以提升金融資產流動性、增進資金使用效率。   (三)得以提高自有資本的比率、改善經營的績效。   (四)得以開創資金調度的渠道、降低資金取得成本。   (五)得以分散金融資產的區域性風險與集中性風險。 四、對農、林、漁、牧業者而言:   (一)得以取得貸款資金。   (二)得以降低融資成本。 五、對投資人而言:   (一)得以直接參與本土農業投資。   (二)得以享有多樣化的投資選擇。 / The current Agriculture-Finance policy of R.O.C. is to cope with Agriculture Value-up policy, so as to promote diversified project loans from individuals to corporates. Consequently, the purpose of finance will be extended to agricultural and fishing logistics, process and technic inventions. Constant and stable development of agriculture needs sufficient capital; however, the main and urgent issue of agricultural development is to direct financing from capital market. The construction of farmers’ and fishermen’s association of R.O.C. is relevantly fragile, in miniature and in lack of the mechanism of capital injection. The securitization of the U.S.A. has been developed through half century, which flourishes economy and direct finance. There are three advantages of direct finance; the first is to lower the cost of borrowers, the second is to level-up the business efficiency of debtors, and the third is to increase the objects of investors. The essay is about to refer to the experiences of US securitization and its models, so as to innovate our financing thinking with direct financing from Agriculture-Loan-Securitization; where the bottleneck of agriculture financing can be breached and provide more sufficient and efficient capital to boost Agriculture-Loan-Securitization with advantageous growth of domestic business of securitization and trust. This essay consults the methods of US ABS and SME construction to plan the issuance of Agriculture-Loan-Securitization, including aspects of original assets, assets sectors, financing construction, credit enhancing mechanism, issuance construction, risk analysis, credit rating and pricing; that leads to the justification of feasibility, legality, supply and demand of issuance. As to the issue of increase liquidity of secondary market, this essay suggests that the building of Semi-discretionary collectively managed money trust platform can provide a varieties of diversified participation and investing products to investors under the construction of money trust to activate vivid market transaction and empower liquidity. This essay also suggests that the business of trust shall use the function of investment banking, with the balance between corporate financing and client investment, to support SME and improve local economy as a liability and vision. In the event of the succession of domestic Agriculture-Loan-Securitization, the niches of each participant are suggested as followed with sincerely: 1. To Council of Agriculture and government at large, (1) Building up agriculture financing market, expanding the issuance of bonds. (2) Sorting out farmland fallow, increasing the scale of agriculture business. (3) Saving the cost of governmental agriculture cost, promoting the investment to agriculture and fishing. 2. To Agricultural Bank of Taiwan, (1) Setting up the differentiation of management from farmers’ and fishermen’s association. (2) Supervising independently. 3. To farmers’ and fishermen’s association, (1) Minimizing the demand of capital adequacy, increasing ROA and ROE. (2) Increasing capital liquidity and efficiency. (3) Level up tier 1 capital, improve return. (4) Developing new capital channel, lowering the risk of financing. (5) Spreading finance area risk and concentric risk. 4. To agriculture, forestry, fishing and animal husbandry business, (1) Acquiring finance (2) Lower the cost of financing 5. To investors, (1) Participating local agriculture investments directly. (2) Have diversified options of investment.
8

金融預警、合併監理與分級管理制度之研究 / A Study on Early Warning System, Unified Financial Supervision, and Classified Regulatory Principle.

鄭璟紘, Cheng, Ching Hung Unknown Date (has links)
本研究分析我國49家本國銀行、55家信用合作社、287家農會信用部及27家漁會信用部等四類金融機構之經營現況,並參照各國金融預警制度運作方式,選取適合的財務比率,運用SAS統計軟體及Z-score、Logistic等模型,分別找出造成各類金融機構經營失敗之顯著相關財務比率,評估各類金融機構之經營效率、失敗機率與模型之正確區別率,以建立預測金融機構失敗機率之預警模型。研究之樣本資料分別為:本國銀行49家、2001年第2季~2003年底共計11季25項財務比率,信用合作社55家、1998年底~2003年底共計21季26項財務比率,農會信用部287家1998年底~2003年底共計21季25項財務比率,漁會信用部27家1998年底~2003年底共計21季25項財務比率。 本研究之結論為: 一、彙整Z-Score模型對各類金融機構具有顯著性之財務變數,本國銀行有6項、信用合作社有7項、農會信用部有6項,漁會信用部有4項。 二、彙整Logistic模型對各類金融機構具有顯著性之財務變數,本國銀行、信用合作社各有6項,農會信用部有5項,漁會信用部有4項。 三、金融預警模型中,Logistic模型較Z-Score模型有較高的正確區別率。 / This research analyzes 49 domestic banks, 55 credit cooperative unions, 287 credit department of farmer associations and 27 credit department of fisherman associations above four kind of financial institution´s management situation, and refers the operation ways of various countries financial early warning system, selects suitable financial ratios , utilizes SAS statistics software and Z-score, Logistic models, it identifies the root cause of bankruptcy thus reveals finance of ratio the correlation, appraises management efficiency, the defeat probability each kind of financial institution if the correct difference rate. It appraises each kind of financial institution´s management efficiency, defeats probability and correct difference rate. It establishes early warning model that forecasts financial institutions failure rate. The research model and period: used 49 domestic banks from 2001 in 2nd season to the end of 2003 total 11 seasons and 25 items of finance ratio、55 credit cooperative associations from the end of 1998 to the end of 2003 total 21 seasons and 26 items of finance ratio、287 credit department of farmer associations and 27 credit department of fisherman associations from the end of 1998 to the end of 2003 total 21 seasons which used respectively 25 items of finance ratio. The conclusion of this research are: Firstly, it collects the entire Z-Score model to have significant financial indicator to each kind of financial institution, the domestic banks have 6 items, the credit cooperative associations have 7 items, the credit department of farmer associations have 6 items, and the credit department of fisherman associations have 4 items. Secondly, it collects the entire Logistic model to have significant financial indicator to each kind of financial institution, the domestic banks and the credit cooperative associations have 6 items respectively, the credit department of farmer associations have 5 items, and the credit department of fisherman associations have 4 items. Thirdly, in the financial early warning model, when comparing Z-Score with Logistic model , the latter appears to have a higher correct difference rate.

Page generated in 0.4102 seconds