Det övergripande transportpolitiska målet i Sverige har sedan 1998 varit att säkerställa en samhällsekonomiskt effektiv och långsiktigt hållbar transportförsörjning för medborgarna och näringslivet i hela landet. Under perioden fram till 2010 har samhällsekonomiska underlag fått en allt tyngre roll i den formulerade transportpolitiken och den statliga styrningen av den långsiktiga planeringen som ett verktyg för att prioritera mellan investeringar i nya vägar och järnvägslänkar. I studien utforskades den samhällsekonomiska analysens roll i den formulerade transportpolitiken och dess styrning av den regionala infrastrukturplaneringen. Studien utgår ifrån ett konstruktivistiskt angreppssätt och en syn på relationen mellan vetenskap/expertis och politik som samproducerad. Det empiriska material som ligger till grund för analysen består av dokument och intervjutranskriptioner. De dokument som har analyserats är publikationer om den samhällsekonomiska analysmetoden, utgivna av myndigheten Statens institut för kommunikationsanalys (SIKA) och dels olika typer av transportpolitiska dokument. Intervjuerna genomfördes med tretton regionala beslutsfattare och en tjänsteman, vilka varit delaktiga i upprättandet av en regional infrastrukturplan i Västra Götaland. Studien visar att samhällsekonomisk analys är en värderingsmetod med stort inflytande i den formulerade transportpolitiken. Trots att den framställs som ett objektivt sätt att utvärdera den samhällsekonomiska effektiviteten hos väg- och järnvägsobjekt, och i förlängningen deras bidrag till det övergripande målet, utgör metodens grunder till stor del en svart låda i den transportpolitiska diskussionen. Detta gäller även hos de intervjuade beslutsfattarna, men de konstruerar den enskilde politikerns omdöme som den viktigaste grunden för beslut. / The study deals with applied cost-benefit analysis (CBA) and the significant role this method has acquired in transport policy in Sweden since 1998. It is a study of a valuation method at the intersection between neoclassical economics, expertise, Swedish transport policy, long term planning and regional decision makers. Specifically, it focuses on the co-production of expertise and politics and how boundaries are drawn between them in relation to valuation. Departing from a constructionist approach to science and expertise, the study is concerned with how CBA and valuation is depicted in various contexts. The empirical foundation of the study concists of documents dealing with CBA, several kinds of transport policy documents and interview transcripts resulting from interviews with thirteen regional decision makers and one regional official. The analysis shows the significant influence of CBA on transport policy. While this valuation method is depicted as an objective valuation tool in planning, its conceptual foundation tends to be black-boxed outside the domain of expertise. This applies also to the interviewed regional decision makers. However, they delimit the space for CBA as a sufficient decision support. In addition, they construct judgment as the most important basis for decisions on infrastructure. Still, it is argued, the black-boxing of CBA in transport policy affect the political landscape negatively: it entails a risk that important political issues are made more inaccessible for public debate.

Minerals are important natural resources and their development is a historically old, yet new, idea for creating economic prosperity in developing countries. Various researchers have evolved several arguments regarding the impact of mineral resources on development and growth, but they have yet to furnish a practical method of economic evaluation of mineral resources development. This thesis focuses on the economic impact of mineral resource development in a small developing country in the South Pacific Region, namely Fiji. Fiji has expectations and faces challenges in its natural resources development. The Namosi project, a large copper-gold mine development, has been proposed and is under consideration by the Fijian government, who is deliberating on whether mining resources should be developed as a means to add to its prosperity and economic growth or alternatively conserved from the standpoint of the environment and stability. In this study, four significant issues are analyzed viz.: 1) Whether the Namosi mine development project gives a positive net private return. 2) Whether the predicted amount of revenue flowing to the Fijian government from the Namosi mine development exceeds the estimated external cost (in this case, environmental cost) from its development. 3) The impacts of the project on various levels of the Fijian economy, and whether the mine development in Fiji results in an enclave industry; and whether mining has strong or weak backward and forward production linkages with the rest of the Fijian economy. 4) Whether “Dutch disease” will ensue from mining development in Fiji and its level of severity. Regarding issue 1) above, Private Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) is conducted by applying the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method to evaluate the Namosi mining project based on financial projections. Furthermore, sensitivity analysis is conducted in order to allow for possible variations in copper and gold prices. This analysis indicates that given the anticipated metal prices, private returns from this mining development are likely to be positive. Indeed, the current high metal prices would lead to high private returns. Regarding issue 2) above, Social Cost-Benefit Analyses are attempted. Under the given circumstances, the results show that the benefits of the mine project, as a whole for its 29-year life, substantially outweigh the environmental costs of the project to Fiji. However, due to a lack of available data on the economic magnitude of environmental spillovers, only estimates of environmental costs of the Namosi mining development could be made. Regarding issue 3) above, Input-Output model analysis is performed. Fiji’s total output (without production from the Namosi mine) is found to be F$5,529.917 million. It is estimated that the Namosi project will increase the output of Fiji directly by F$465.574 million (which includes the production inducement effect) and will result in an increase of F$543.788 million in overall Fijian output (GDP). This increase will also be followed by an increased output of about F$10-30 million in related industries, such as in the commerce, transport, and insurance sectors. Based on this Input-Output analysis, it is found that Fiji’s mining sector is an export-oriented enclave industry and that the mining industry itself has very little influence on economic activity in other sectors of the economy. Regarding issue 4) above, the Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model analysis is applied. Evidence of the likely occurrence of Dutch disease can be detected from output indicators of each industry, consumer prices and exports. Examples of Dutch disease are as follows: a decrease in output of agricultural industries and in export-oriented domestic industries; an increase in consumer prices (inflation); a decrease of exports both in exportable agricultural products and in manufactured products oriented to exports. However, several macro-variables improve, such as employees’ income, trade (exports and imports), tax revenue, tariff revenue, VAT revenue, government account (savings and expenditure) and GDP etc. These results suggest that there could be a major increase in national welfare. Thus, from an economics point of view, it has been found (by comparing gains in Fijian government revenue with potential Fijian environmental costs) that it is very likely that development of the Namosi mine will result in a net social gain to Fiji. These results are based on the application of principles of social cost-benefit analysis and indicate that a Kaldor-Hicks improvement (a potential Pareto improvement) is likely for Fiji as a result of the mining development. This means that from the predicted net revenue gains of the Fijian government from mining, those who suffer environmental losses would be compensated and the government would still have some extra revenue left over. An actual Paretian improvement is also possible.

The objective of this thesis is to develop an ecological economic framework for the assessment and establishment of protected areas (PAs) that are aimed at conserving forests and biodiversity. The framework is intended to be both rigorous and relevant to the decision-making process. Constructivism is adopted as the paradigm guiding the research process of the thesis, after firstly examining also positivist philosophy and ???post-normal??? scientific methodology. The tenets of both ecological and environmental economics are then discussed. An expanded model of human behaviour, which includes facets derived from institutional economics and socioeconomics as well as aspects of neoclassical economics, is outlined. The framework is further developed by considering, from a contractarian view point, the implications of intergenerational equity for biodiversity conservation policies. The issues of intragenerational distribution and allocation are then considered. In this regard, cost-benefit analysis (CBA), as applied to the valuation of forests, PAs, and biodiversity, is critically reviewed. A participatory approach to decision-making, which may also include CBA, is then proposed. The resulting ecological economic framework may be thus summarised: (a) ecosystem use patterns should be chosen on the basis of their sustainability, distributional, and efficiency aspects; (b) systems of PAs should be established in order to achieve minimal intergenerational equity; (c) intragenerational equity requires the correction of the asymmetrical distribution of the costs and benefits arising from the establishment of PAs; (d) the institutional features relevant to the environmental-economic issues being analysed should be considered; and (e) the decision-making process should be participatory and action oriented. The framework is applied to two case studies in Vanuatu. These applications detail (a) stakeholders??? views and trade-offs faced in relation to forest management (b) modes of participatory research and decision-making, (c) forms of compensation that may be adopted in correcting asymmetrical distributions of the costs and benefits of PAs, and (d) institutional influences on ecosystems use and implications for conservation projects. The institutional arrangements developed for the establishment of the PAs are presented. The application of this ecological economic framework has resulted in the formal establishment of one PA and the identification and assessment of five other PAs.

Diss. (sammanfattning) Stockholm : Karolinska institutet, 2005. / Härtill 4 uppsatser.

No description available.

Weserdomen 2015 resulterade i en strängare tolkning av EU:s ramdirektiv för vatten vilket bland annat innefattade att inga exploateringar får tillåtas om dessa medför att minst en kvalitetsfaktor i vattnet får en sämre statusklass, oavsett hur övriga kvalitetsfaktorer påverkas. Den strängare tolkningen, i kombination med en ökad urbaniseringsgrad, ställer högre krav på samhällets hantering av spill- och dagvatten. Ett vanligt sätt att säkerställa ovanstående krav är att tillämpa olika lösningar för lokalt omhändertagande av dagvatten (LOD). Syftet med dessa lösningar är att hantera dagvattnet så nära uppkomstkällan som möjligt. I vissa fall kan det dock tänkas att det finns mer effektiva åtgärder för att säkerställa god vattenstatus.   En åtgärd som syftar till att kompensera för frånvarandet av en annan åtgärd kallas för kompensationsåtgärd. I det här examensarbetet har fallet med att spåra och åtgärda felkopplingar i ledningsnätet (spillvatten kopplat på dagvattennätet) undersökts som kompensationsåtgärd för LOD. Den specifika LOD-lösning som använts i arbetet har varit dagvattendammar. Examensarbetet har utrett rådande lagstiftning vad gäller kompensationsåtgärder samt gjort en fallstudie för Bällstaån med en kostnads-nyttoanalys där åtgärdandet av felkopplingar jämförts med anläggandet av dagvattendammar.   Resultatet av undersökningarna visade att kompensationsåtgärder idag är ett begrepp som kan tolkas olika, där det även i domstolen genom åren har tolkats olika. Nuvarande praxis är dock att en kompensationsåtgärd inte kan åberopas för att tillåta en exploatering som annars hade funnit avslag. Att kunna nyttja åtgärdandet av felkopplingar som kompensationsåtgärd för LOD är således, med dagens regelverk, väldigt osannolikt.   Fallstudien visade att åtgärdandet av felkopplingar, med avseende på vattenkvalitet är en betydligt mer kostnads-nyttoeffektiv åtgärd i jämförelse med anläggandet av dagvattendammar. Bristen på studier och utredningar på felkopplingar av denna typ är, mot bakgrund av fallstudien, förmodligen en indikator på att mer resurser bör läggas inom detta område. / In 2015 the Weser Case resulted in a more stringent interpretation of the EU Water Framework Directive. For instance, the ruling stated that no projects should be given permission if even as little as one quality factor ends up with a lower status, regardless of how the other quality factors are affected. The stricter interpretation, combined with an increasing grade of urbanization, places higher demands on society’s management of wastewater and stormwater. One common way of ensuring the above requirements is to apply different solutions of best management practices for stormwater (BMP). The purpose of these solutions is to process the water as close to the source of origin as possible. However, in some cases it may be that there are more effective measures to ensure good water quality.   A measure taken with the purpose of compensating for the absence of a different action is called a compensatory measure. In this thesis, the case of fixing incorrect connection of sewage pipes (where wastewater pipes have been incorrectly connected to stormwater pipes) was investigated as a compensatory measure for stormwater ponds (a common BMP). The prevailing legislation regarding compensatory measures was analysed and a case study has been conducted for Bällstaån. The case study included a cost-benefit analysis where the fixing of incorrectly-connected sewage pipes was compared with the implementation of stormwater ponds.   The investigation regarding the legislative aspect showed that compensatory measures are a concept that can be interpreted somewhat differently. This has also been the case in the court over the years. However, current practice shows that a compensatory measure cannot be invoked to allow a project that otherwise would have been refused. Being able to use the fixing of incorrect connections as a compensation for BMP is thus, with today’s regulation, very unlikely.   The case study showed that fixing incorrect connections in sewage pipes is, with regard to water quality, a far more cost-beneficial measure compared to the construction of stormwater ponds. Furthermore, the lack of studies regarding this kind of incorrect connections is, in the light of the results from the case study, probably an indication that this is a problem that fairly few people work with and where more resources could be a good investment for future water quality.

Text in English / This study investigated practices, motivations, perceived benefits and barriers to outsourcing of support services by general hospitals in Uganda. The aim was to contribute to the evidence base to increase adoption and effectiveness of outsourcing by hospitals in Uganda. An explanatory sequential mixed methods design was used. Quantitative data was collected from hospital managers in 32 randomly selected hospitals using a self-administered questionnaire. Qualitative data was collected through in-depth interviews from 8 purposively selected hospital managers using an interview guide. Quantitative data was statistical analysed (frequencies, contingency tables and Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney tests) using SAS 9.3. Qualitative data was managed using ATLAS ti 7, coded manually and content analysis conducted to identify emerging themes, subthemes and categories. A cost benefit analysis was conducted for outsourcing cleaning services in a selected hospital using financial data provided by the managers. Quantitative findings indicate that many (72%) hospitals were outsourcing some of their support services; many were satisfied with their outsourcing (>60%). The key motivation for outsourcing was to gain access to quality service (68%). Most hospitals have a system for monitoring outsourcing (71%). Managers perceive improved productivity and better services as the main benefit from outsourcing (90%). The main barrier to outsourcing is limited financing. A key challenge encountered during outsourcing was limited number of service providers (57%). Managers perceive regulatory violations as a key risk during outsourcing (87%). Hospital location is a determinant of outsourcing (p=0.0033). Managers’ perceptions towards outsourcing have no impact on outsourcing (p>0.05). These findings were confirmed and explained by the qualitative data. Qualitative findings reveal masquerading, impersonation and extortion of patients by outsourced staff as an outsourcing risk. They reveal a concern that outsourcing may lead to job loss for community members. The cost benefit analysis indicates that outsourcing in the studied hospital for the year considered was cheaper than insourcing by UGX 669,575.00. The savings increase to UGX 48,753,689.94 when adjusted for quality differences between insourced and outsourced services. Sensitivity analysis shows that the assumptions used in the analysis were robust. Recommendations, interventions and guidelines are proposed for increasing outsourcing and its effectiveness. / Health Studies / D. Litt. et Phil. (Health Studies)

The subject of this dissertation is the analysis of possibilities for financing business projects in the tourism sphere. Partial aims are study and comparison of program documentations and also monitoring of procedure leading to acquisition of financial support and actual project proposal. I´ve developed the project according to the rules for regional operation program Jihozápad and according to the directions from the applicant´s handbook, which I´ve used for examining the study of performability, the Cost - Benefit Analysis, Cash flow, time schedule and other necessary analyses. The project focuses on the services development in water tourism sphere of given locality. A concrete task is set to establish a refreshment store with employees´ background. On the ground floor of the building there will be a new restroom, connected to a newly built sewage station. Last planned action is a drilled well with supplements. The specific task of the project is edulcorating and extending the time spent by the visitors in our camp and providing better conditions for the employees. The project is based on the presumption of enhancing the quality of services will attract both water sportsmen and local citizens, cyclotourists and other interest groups.

Introdução O Transtorno de Déficit de Atenção/hiperatividade (TDAH) tem sido muito estudado, mas informações econômicas referentes ao seu tratamento com o metilfenidato de liberação imediata (MFD-LI) ainda necessitam ser exploradas. Grande parte da população mundial, principalmente aqueles que vivem em países em desenvolvimento, utiliza essa formulação como principal escolha para o tratamento do TDAH. Esses países, por sua condição financeira, necessitam informações de análises econômicas para administrar de forma eficiente os recursos públicos destinados aos setores da saúde. Objetivos Avaliar a eficácia do MFD-LI através de estudos com tempo superior a 12 semanas, e realizar uma análise econômica para o tratamento do TDAH com MFD-LI para crianças e adolescentes brasileiros. Método O estudo foi planejado em cinco etapas: 1) estimativa de custo do não tratamento do TDAH para o Brasil, e estimativa de economia com tratamento com MFD-LI; 2) revisão sistemática da literatura nas principais bases de dados internacionais onde se buscaram estudos abertos com tratamento do TDAH com MFD-LI por tempo igual ou superior a 12 semanas; também foram feitas metanálises e uma metaregressão 3) estudo naturalístico para obterem-se dados de uma amostra brasileira referentes a probabilidades de uso e sucesso com tratamento com MFD-LI por 12 semanas, e estimar os utilities desses indivíduos; 4) painel Delphi com especialistas em TDAH no Brasil; 5) estudo de custo-efetividade para o tratamento do TDAH com MFD-LI no Brasil, utilizando um Modelo de Markov. A perspectiva adotada será a do sistema público de saúde brasileiro como pagador. Resultados Os resultados principais encontrados para cada uma das etapas foram: 1) a estimativa de custos anuais com o TDAH não tratado no Brasil foi de R$ 1.594 bilhões/ano, e da quantia que poderia ser economizada se tratado, R$ 1 bilhão/ano. 2) na revisão sistemática da literatura, de 4.498 resumos, sete foram incluídos para compor a metanálise. O tempo de tratamento variou entre 13 e 104 semanas. O efeito agregado para desatenção e hiperatividade medida pelos pais, respectivamente, foi 0.96 (95%CI 0.60 - 1.32) e 1.12 (95%CI 0.85 - 1.39), e pelos professores 0.98 (95%CI 0.09 - 1.86) e 1.25 (95% CI 0.7 - 1.81). A metaregressão não mostrou associação entre as variáveis idade, qualidade do artigo e tempo de tratamento com heterogeneidade. 3) no estudo naturalístico, de 171 pacientes avaliados, 73 forneceram informações para o baseline, e 56 para a 12a semana de tratamento com MFD-LI. Os utilities para um paciente com TDAH não tratado (baseline) foram 0.69 (crianças) e 0.66 (adolescentes), e estimaram-se ganhos entre 0.09 a 0.10 utilities/mês, se tratados adequadamente. 4) no painel Delphi, de 26 especialistas, 14 responderam o questionário online, e foi estimado que a probabilidade dos pacientes não tratados se manterem sintomáticos na 12a semana seria de 91%, e 9% a probabilidade de melhora espontânea; 5) no estudo de custo-efetividade, para o caso base, estimou-se que o Incremental Cost Effectiveness Ratio (ICER) seja I$9,103/QALY (Quality Adjusted Life Years) para crianças e I$11,883/QALY para adolescentes em um horizonte temporal de 06 anos. Para os cenários mais desfavoráveis, os ICERS mais elevados foram I$95,164/QALY para 50% de sucesso com o tratamento, e I$15,000/QALY para 70% de adesão em um horizonte temporal de 06 anos. Conclusões O MFD-LI é um tratamento eficaz para crianças e adolescentes, por um período superior a 12 semanas. Entretanto, o Brasil pode estar aumentando os custos referentes à saúde por não estar fornecendo um tratamento eficaz e economicamente acessível para o TDAH. O tratamento mostrou ser uma opção custo-efetiva para crianças e adolescentes brasileiros, mesmo em cenários desfavoráveis para o tratamento. / Introduction Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) is a well-known psychiatric disorder, but some economical aspects of the treatment with Methylphenidate Immediate-release (MPH -IR) still need to be explored. A large number of people around the world, most living in Low-Middle Income Countries (LMIC), use this formulation as the first choice for ADHD treatment. These countries, due to their financial condition, need information from health economic analyzes to efficiently manage the public resources allocated to the health sector. Objective To study the efficacy of MPH-IR reviewing studies conducted for more than 12 weeks long, and to perform an economic analysis for the treatment of ADHD with MPH-IR for Brazilian children. Method The study was planned in a five stages process: 1) to estimate the cost of untreated ADHD for Brazil, and to estimate the savings if MPH-IR were adequately provided; 2) systematic review of the literature to identify papers published where young patients with ADHD were treated with MPH-IR for more than 12 weeks, and to perform a meta-analysis and a meta-regression; 3) to conduct a naturalistic study with a Brazilian sample to collect the probabilities of use and success with the MPH-IR treatment for 12 weeks, and to estimate the utilities; 4) to perform a Delphi panel with ADHD Brazilian experts; 5) to conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis for the treatment of ADHD with MPH-IR in Brazil, using a Markov model. The perspective is the one of the Brazilian public health system as the payer. Results The main findings for each step were: 1) the estimated annual expenditures with untreated ADHD in Brazil were R$1.594billon/year, and the estimated amount that could be saved was R$1billion/year; 2) in the systematic review, from 4,498 abstracts, 7 studies were selected. The length of treatment ranged from 13 to 104 weeks. The aggregate effects for inattention and hyperactivity, according to parents evaluations were respectively 0.96 (95%CI 0.60 - 1.32) and 1.12 (95%CI 0.85 - 1.39), and for teachers 0.98 (95%CI 0.09 - 1.86) e 1.25 (95% CI 0.7 - 1.81). There was no evidence of association between heterogeneity and the variables, age, paper quality and length of treatment; 3) in the naturalistic study, from 171 patients assessed, 73 provided information in the baseline, and 56 in the 12th week of MPH-IR treatment. Utilities for an untreated ADHD patient (baseline) were 0.69 (children) and 0.66 (adolescents), and it was estimated a gain ranging from 0.09 to 0.10 utilities/month if subjects were properly treated; 4) in the Delphi Panel, 26 experts were addressed and 14 filled in the online questionnaire. It was estimated the probability of untreated patients to remain symptomatic on the 12th week to be 91%, and the probability of spontaneous improvement, 9%; 5) in the cost-effectiveness analysis, for the base case, it was estimated an Incremental Cost Effectiveness Ratio (ICER) of I$9,103/QALY (Quality Adjusted Life Years) for children and I$11,883/QALY for adolescents, in a time horizon of 6 years. The worst case scenarios were also tested, and the highest ICER were I$95,164/QALY when patient reached 50 % of success with the treatment, and I$15,000/QALY if only 70% of use was observed in a time horizon of 6 years. Conclusions MPH-IR is an efficacious treatment for ADHD children and adolescents for periods longer than 12 weeks. However, Brazil may be probably wasting money due to not provide an efficient and affordable treatment for ADHD such as the MPH-IR. The treatment proved to be cost-effective for children and adolescents living in Brazil, even when the worst case scenarios were tested.

Esta dissertação busca analisar a eficiência econômica da forma de classificação das usinas geradoras nos leilões de contratação de energia elétrica por disponibilidade. Historicamente, o Brasil tem apresentado uma matriz de geração de energia elétrica predominantemente hídrica, que, embora mais econômica do que as matrizes de geração prevalentemente térmicas, pode resultar em déficits de geração em períodos de escassez hidrológica. O ano de 2001 evidenciou tal perigo. Nele, uma série de baixas afluências hidrológicas, sem o prévio incremento adequado do parque gerador, resultou no Programa de Redução do Consumo e, através desse, num decréscimo de 20% na demanda por energia elétrica à época, acentuando a preocupação pela incorporação de empreendimentos termelétricos para diversificar a matriz de geração do País. Entre as modificações realizadas, destaca-se a alteração da estrutura de comercialização de energia elétrica no Brasil visando a favorecer à expansão da oferta termelétrica, concebendo-se a modalidade de contratação por disponibilidade. Tal modalidade transfere o risco da operação e do preço do combustível dos ombros do gerador para os do consumidor. Contudo, fez-se necessário, para viabilizar tal modalidade de contratação, o uso de ferramental diferenciado para classificação dessa nova oferta de energia nos leilões, e a ferramenta adotada foi o Índice de Custo Benefício (ICB). Nesse contexto, o objetivo deste trabalho é analisar os resultados econômicos decorrentes do uso do ICB na contratação de usinas termelétricas por disponibilidade, verificando se ele se mostrou ou não adequado a tal fim. Para isso, analisam-se os resultados dos leilões para a contratação da energia de novos empreendimentos, destacando a participação de cada fonte energia e os valores financeiros exercidos por meio dos preços, das receitas fixas e dos respectivos ICBs. Além disso, é feita uma análise das operações das usinas termelétricas após a contratação. Dessa forma, são utilizados os anos operativos de 2014 e 2015, nos quais foi registrada uma profunda escassez hidrológica, como base na comparação de cenários de geração de energia elétrica com diferentes participações entre empreendimentos termelétricos a óleos derivados do petróleo e a gás natural. Os cenários utilizados são quatro: dois com composição real entre as dessas duas fontes termelétricas (óleos derivados do petróleo e a gás natural) para os anos de 2014 e 2015; e dois simulados, com 100% da geração termelétrica sendo realizada apenas a gás natural para os mesmos anos. Os resultados financeiros encontrados indicam que a potencial economia no custo da energia elétrica gerada no cenário simulado comparado ao cenário real seria da ordem de 6 bilhões de reais nos anos de 2014 e 2015. Assim, considerando as 59 usinas que integraram o universo da análise, o resultado que indica ineficiência no uso ICB, o qual apontou vantagem econômica de certos empreendimentos no momento de suas contratações que não se concretizaram nos cenários testados de baixa hidrologia. Ademais, fica clara a necessidade de aprimorar a metodologia de classificação de empreendimentos de geração de modo que tal metodologia leve em conta os efeitos de eventuais anos de baixa hidrologia, buscando tornar a contratação de energia elétrica no Brasil mais econômica e mais aderente à volatilidade hidrológica do País. / This thesis seeks to analyze the economic efficiency of the classification method for power plants in power availability contracts. Historically Brazil has presented a predominantly hydroelectric power generation matrix, which, though more economical than predominantly thermal generation matrix, can result in the generation deficits in hydrological scarcity periods. The year 2001 showed such danger. In it a number of low hydrological inflows, without adequate prior increase in generating capacity, resulted in rationing of 20% in demand for electricity at the time, stressing the concern by incorporating thermal power projects to diversify the country generation matrix. Among the changes made, it altered the electricity market structure in Brazil in order to favor the expansion of the thermoelectric supply, creating the availability contracts modality. This mode transfers the risk of the operation and the price of fuel from generator to the consumer. However, it was necessary to enable this type of contract, the use of different tools for classification in the auctions, and the tool adopted was the Cost Benefit Index (CBI). The objective of this study is to analyze the economic results from the use of CBI in hiring thermoelectric plants using availability contracts, checking if was or not suitable for this purpose. In this sense, we analyze the results of the auctions for new energy projects, highlighting the contribution of each energy source and the financial figures exercised through prices, the fixed income and ICBS. Moreover, it is also made an analysis of the operations of power plants after hiring. Thus, operating years used were 2014 and 2015, in which it was registered a profound hydrological shortage, based on the comparison of electricity generation scenarios with different interests between thermal power projects to petroleum oils and natural gas. The scenarios used were four: two with real composition between these two thermal sources for the years 2014 and 2015, petroleum oils and natural gas; and two simulated, with 100% of thermal generation with natural gas for the same years. The financial results indicate that the potential savings in the cost of the electricity generated in the simulated scenario compared to the real scenario would be around 6,1 billion reais in the years 2014 and 2015. Thus, considering the 59 plants that integrated the universe of analysis, the result indicates the inefficiency of the use ICB, which pointed out the economic advantage contracts that were not hired in low hydrology scenario tested. In addition, it is a clear the need to improve the classification methodology for generation projects in a way that takes into account the effects low hydrology year, trying to make the electricity contracts more economical to Brazil and more adherent to hydrological volatility of the country.