El uso del Project Finance (PF) se ha incrementado en las últimas dos décadas, lo que ha servido como economía de escala y fuente de crecimiento para países desarrollados. Por otro lado, para los países en vías de desarrollo, el PF ha tenido mayor protagonismo en proyectos para el desarrollo de infraestructura pública en colaboración con empresas privadas, lo que se conoce como asociación público-privada. Así, aunque el PF parece ser una solución para financiar proyectos de gran envergadura, algunos autores creen que es posible aplicar este concepto para proyectos más pequeños o menos complejos, por ello, existe una controversia entre la limitación y el alcance que puede tener esta herramienta. De este modo, el presente trabajo analiza los estudios realizados por distintos autores y compara las diferentes perspectivas de estos en cuanto al alcance y el uso del PF, específicamente, si la aplicación de la herramienta es solo para megaproyectos o también para proyectos de menor escala. Así, el trabajo concluye que todo dependería de qué tan altos sean los costos de estructuración, análisis, estudios, etc., para el proyecto, la capacidad del proyecto para asumir estos gastos y si el resultado todavía es bastante atractivo para los inversionistas. / The use of Project Finance has increased in the last two decades, serving as an economy of scale and a source of growth for developed countries. While, for developing countries, Project Finance has had a greater role in projects for the development of public infrastructure in collaboration with private companies, which is known as Public-Private Partnership. However, although Project Finance seems to be a solution to finance large-scale projects, some authors believe that it is possible to apply this concept for smaller or less complex projects, so there is a controversy between the limitation and scope that this may have. tool. This paper analyzes the studies carried out by different authors and compares the different perspectives that these have regarding the scope and use of Project Finance, specifically if the application of Project Finance is only for megaprojects or it could also occur for smaller-scale projects. Thus, the research concludes that everything would depend on how high the costs of structuring, analysis, studies, etc. are. for the project, the ability of the project to bear these expenses, and whether the result is still quite attractive to investors. / Trabajo de Suficiencia Profesional

[pt] O Índice de Desenvolvimento Humano (IDH) foi criado pela Organização das Nações Unidas (ONU) em 1975, sendo um índice composto que mede a obtenção da média do país em três aspectos básicos que são a expectativa de vida, a educação e a renda familiar. O IDH é um indicador alternativo ao Produto Nacional Bruto (PNB), que mede a riqueza de uma nação, acrescentando a este dois indicadores sociais abrangentes, a saber: a educação e a saúde. O IDH torna-se útil na medida em que chama a atenção das pessoas responsáveis politicamente pelo país, no sentido de se aterem mais à área social, ou seja, de verificarem como está o desenvolvimento integral do país permitindo inclusive a comparação com outros. Além do IDH, o estudo descreve índices que medem a condição humana, HPI-1 e HPI- 2, para medirem índices de pobreza em países em desenvolvimento e em países selecionados, o GDI e GEM, que são índices relacionados ao sexo, tanto para desenvolvimento como participação e o IDH-M que é um índice apropriado para municípios. O estudo faz também um diagnóstico da situação do Brasil e de sua evolução, desde a criação do índice. Serão propostos modelos em pesquisa operacional para otimização do IDH, o que facilitará e agilizará a tomada de decisões por parte dos governantes, que poderão tomar suas decisões baseadas agora num modelo matemático que certamente trará mais retornos de investimento sobre o capital empregado. As variáveis principais do problema serão a saúde, educação e a renda da população. As soluções e sugestões a serem apresentadas terão como meta básica o menor custo e de mais rápida implementação. / [en] The Human Development Index (HDI) is a compound index that measures the levels of a country in three basic aspects: life expectancy, education level and the family income. The HDI indicates an alternative to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which measures the overall wealth of a country, adding two social indexes: the education pattern and the health level. The HDI is a useful index because it shows the social area to people who have political responsabilities in a country, suggesting them the evaluation of the country development including social aspects, and permitting the comparison with the other countries. Besides the HDI, the study describes indexes which measure the human condition, HPI-1 and HPI-2, of poverty in development and in selected countries, the GDI and GEM, which are gender related indexes to check development and participation, and the HDI-M which is an appropriate index to measure the human condition in an urban environment. The study makes a diagnosys of the Brazilian situation and evolution, since the creation of these indexes. The dissertation proposes HDI optimization models. Such proposal might simplify and improve the efficiency of the decision making process. In this way, public officials may take their decisions based on a mathematical model which will increase the ratio benefits and investment costs.

This study will examine a strategy for evaluating energy storage projects by integrating valuation metrics from finance and the energy sector. Uncertainty is one of the key barriers to investment in the energy sector (Shimbar & Ebrahimi, 2017, p. 349) and therefore financial modeling that allows comprehensive valuation of energy investment is necessary (Berrada, 2022, p. 407). The purpose of the study is to propose a strategy for evaluating energy storage projects that applies to investors and decision makers.  LCOS is a necessary component of energy storage project valuation, as it considers both the financial and technical performance of energy storage systems (ESS). Existing research in the field has contradictory opinions regarding the usefulness of LCOS and traditional financial valuation models for investment decisions in the energy storage sector. Few studies have combined modeling from the financial and energy sector. The authors have identified a need to introduce an investor perspective to business research in the energy storage sector. The authors conduct an explorative mixed-method study with an underlying non-positivist philosophical position. The case study design includes creation of five hypothetical energy storage projects to simulate an investment scenario. The authors utilize a point-base system to integrate valuation models from the energy and financial sectors, which include NPV, IRR, payback period, LCOS and technological maturity. Experts in the field provide input for which metrics are emphasized by practitioners. The projects are ranked based on stand-alone metrics, an integrated model and expert opinion. The results indicate that integrating numerous valuation metrics is necessary for analyzing and comparing energy storage investments. The financial viability of projects change based on individual metrics and integrated financial models. Furthermore, the results indicate that LCOS should be reinforced by financial indicators when making investment decisions. The expert input shows that investors emphasize valuation metrics differently, which indicates that the economic attractiveness of energy storage projects varies among investors. IRR is used by practitioners as a primary indicator for profitability. Future research should investigate a method for including sustainability indicators in the valuation process. Furthermore, as data accessibility is an issue in the field of study, future studies should collaborate with practitioners to generate more secondary data sources. Lastly, the impact of discount rates, risk premiums and investor preferences should be researched to better understand investment in the sector.

摘要 此論文主旨在研究大型營造等工程計劃包括公私合併基建工程之計劃融資的架構，及其計劃融資方法的成長趨向。 計劃融資為一創新及有時效性的融資技術。有別於傳統基建工程的融資方法，因此愈來愈多在採用。此研究主要是集中於計劃融資的益處，風險管理及保險要求。 由於全球的私有化現象，政府的資助計劃，有移轉至私人融資計劃的趨向。本金現在往往以計劃的資產作為抵押，而以計劃的收入基礎以返還之。因此計劃的收益為大型投資計劃的主要融資因素。計劃的完工時程往往加之於計劃融資團體及業主的合約內，因此保障股東權益使延遲完工保險的需求大增。 延遲完工保險又名預期利潤損失險，為以保障業主的收益以償還債務及實現利益而設計。在開發市場中為減免利益風險，以收益保證保險方式以填補預期收益與實際收益間的差異。此論文亦以討論常用於大型計劃的計劃融資方式的兩種保險產品，延遲完工保險及收益保證保險及其核保的挑戰性，理賠處理的特性。 以瞭解延遲完工保險的理賠複雜性，以一個興建、營運及移轉（BOT）的鐵路工程項目的理賠個案作為例子討論。並以訪談保險業界的專家為主以討論相關論點。除延遲完工保險外，乘客量保證保險亦作介紹其保障預期及實際乘客量差異所引起的收益短缺的運作方式。 / This thesis aims to study the framework of project finance and the growing trend for project financing methods in today’s large construction projects involving public-private infrastructure partnerships. Project financing is an innovative and timely financing technique that is increasingly emerging as the preferred alternative to conventional methods of financing infrastructure and other large-scale projects worldwide. Research is conducted on the benefits, risk management and insurance requirements of project finance. Due to global privatization where government funding programs have shifted towards private financing, principals now often collateralize loans with project assets and repay them purely on the basis of projected earnings. Thus, the revenue generating capability of a project has become a critical financing factor in large investment projects. Rigorous conditions on delays in scheduled project completion added to project contracts between financiers and principals and the need to protect shareholders’ interests have created demand for DSU insurance. DSU insurance, also known as advance loss of profits (ALOP) insurance, is designed to secure the portion of revenue which the principal requires to service debt and realize anticipated profit. To mitigate revenue risk in emerging markets, public-private partnership provides a revenue guarantee to protect for the insured’s financial loss due to shortfall between actual and projected revenue. The ‘pledged’ revenues may include sales revenue, rental, interest income, and other sources of funds that are generally recurring. The thesis further discusses two types of insurance commonly applied in project financing of large projects – the delay in start-up (DSU) insurance and revenue guarantee insurance. The features, underwriting challenges and claim handling of these two types of insurance will be investigated. In order to understand the complexity in claims handling involving DSU cover, a build-operate-transfer (BOT) railway construction project claim case study is created. Interviews are conducted with three selected experts from the insurance industry on the various issues related to DSU claim. The findings gathered from these experts are reported in this thesis. In addition to the DSU insurance, a ridership guarantee is also introduced for protecting the revenue shortfall between the actual and forecast ridership when project is put into commercial operations.

Engagée à l’occasion de l’introduction en France de contrats de commande publique de type "partenariat public-privé" [PPP] – elle fut initiée peu après la promulgation de l’Ordonnance du 17 juin 2004 créant les « Contrats de Partenariat » – notre recherche explore les PPP, modalités de commande publique complexe à caractéristiques financières, en tant qu’ils constituent un marché émergent pour des acteurs financiers, fournisseurs de capitaux et de techniques de financement, potentiellement porteurs de valeurs, modes de raisonnement, et logiques économiques, exogènes au monde de la commande publique. Aiguillonné par notre désir de participer aux débats disciplinaires des mondes de la sociologie économique, des études sociales de la finance, et d’autres approches hétérodoxes des phénomènes économiques, par notre souci de contribuer à la compréhension des formes d’organisation des services publics et des infrastructures urbaines, stimulé également par notre curiosité à l’égard des mutations des économies occidentales, interpellé évidemment par l’actualité incontournable de la grande crise financière, puis économique, entamée en 2007-08, notre travail prend prétexte de ce "phénomène" – l’immixtion, par l’entremise des PPP, de nouveaux acteurs financiers dans une partie de la commande publique de grands équipements – pour nous inscrire dans le programme de recherche qui vise à caractériser le mouvement socio-économique plus large parfois qualifié de "financiarisation". Ce terme recouvre, sans grande précision ni définition consacrée et indiscutable, un ensemble d’évolutions liées à l’extension du domaine de la finance, que ce soit au niveau macroéconomique, sectoriel, ou cognitif, dans l’ordre de la connexion de pans entiers de la vie économique et sociale aux "marchés" financiers et à leurs exigences. Notre ambition est donc, à partir d’un sujet particulier et technique, non réductible à sa seule dimension financière4, de considérer la valeur heuristique du cas des PPP pour interroger plusieurs dimensions caractéristiques de ce mouvement de "financiarisation" – voire essayer d’en identifier les principaux éléments constitutifs. Ce dessein passe par une analyse en termes de sociologie économique menée à plusieurs niveaux / Committed (Hired) on the occasion of the introduction in France of contracts of state commission of type(chap) "Public Private Partnership" [ PPP] - She (it) was introduced shortly after the promulgation of the Prescription of June 17th, 2004 creating "Partnership agreements" - our search (research) explores the PPP, the modalities(methods) of complex state commission with financial characteristics, as they establish (constitute) an emerging market for financial actors, suppliers of capital and techniques of financing, potentially valuable carriers, ways of reasoning, and economic, exogenous logics to the world of the state commission

以前在台灣房地產開發市場上主要的房屋銷售模式是預售制度，這是受限於當時政治、經濟的環境條件下，所形成的特殊制度，主要的原因就是需要從市場中，獲得足夠的營運週轉資金；但是台灣的房地產市場在這幾年來逐漸轉變，已經出現為數不少的成屋銷售個案，主要著眼於當房地產市場景氣上揚時，延遲銷售能夠使專案獲得更大的報酬，而且當房地產專案融資的取得逐漸放寬，資金來源不在成為限制條件時，預售房屋可能已不再是唯一的銷售模式，且可能不再是最適銷售模式，但市場上房地產業者仍延續以前的思考模式，以融資比例的大小（有錢沒錢），作為判斷銷售時機的決策依據。本研究所想要研究的方向是最適銷售時機的選擇與融資決策是否會影響銷售時機的選擇，在各種不同市場條件下最適銷售時機與選擇權價值的變化。 本研究以實質選擇權（Real Options）模式探討新建房屋最適銷售時機，但以應用以前學者所推導的模式並不做模式的推導；首先以建立市場中專案營收的模式與建立實質選擇權決策模式，模擬房地產業者營運情境，並以隨機亂數帶入房價與融資利率模擬模式中，以模擬房地產市場中房價與融資利率，將模擬結果帶入所建立的模式中，模擬不同房地產市場條件下專案的營收，並藉由不同的決策值所模擬的專案營收，探討房地產市場中新建房屋的最適銷售時機的選擇與選擇權的價值。並且將模式中所應用的各變數予以獨立（在其他條件不變下，僅改變該變數）做敏感性分析，探討各模式中變數對於選擇最適銷售時機與實質選擇價值變化所產生的影響，以瞭解房地產市場中各外生變數，對於房地產市場新建房屋最適銷售時機與實質選擇權價值所可能造成的影響，與所應該注意的涵義。 第壹章 緒論 第壹節 研究動機與目的 1 第貳節 研究範圍與限制 5 第參節 研究架構 7 第貳章 產業分析與個案訪談 第壹節 銷售時機 11 第貳節 不動產金融 25 第參節 文獻探討與個案研究對本研究的涵意 28 第參章 文獻探討 第壹節 最適銷售時機模式 32 第貳節 文獻探討與個案研究對本研究的涵意 51 第肆章 模式建構與模式設計 第壹節 最適銷售時機 56 第貳節 研究設計 67 第伍章 實證結果分析 第壹節 融資決策與最適銷售時機 75 第貳節 實質選擇權價值敏感性分析 81 第參節 最適銷售時機選擇敏感性分析 90 第陸章 結論與建議 第壹節 研究結果涵義 104 第貳節 建議 110 參考文獻 中文部份 114 英文部份 115

Submitted by Rickie Viana Costa (rickieviana@gmail.com) on 2016-12-28T19:02:12Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Dissertacao Rickie Costa_v. Final FGV (1).pdf: 2153965 bytes, checksum: 22fb7ed5dbf1929ddec7d091c3dedebe (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Janete de Oliveira Feitosa (janete.feitosa@fgv.br) on 2017-01-02T12:05:50Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 Dissertacao Rickie Costa_v. Final FGV (1).pdf: 2153965 bytes, checksum: 22fb7ed5dbf1929ddec7d091c3dedebe (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2017-01-03T16:53:30Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Dissertacao Rickie Costa_v. Final FGV (1).pdf: 2153965 bytes, checksum: 22fb7ed5dbf1929ddec7d091c3dedebe (MD5) Previous issue date: 2016-12-02 / Existe no Brasil uma dificuldade para se conseguir financiamento para um projeto de infraestrutura junto a bancos comerciais. Essa dificuldade está relacionada a fatores micro, como o desconhecimento de investidores sobre os processos de análise de projeto e risco em um banco brasileiro, até a fatores macro, relacionados à conjuntura econômica brasileira e setorial de infraestrutura. Cada banco possui um modelo de análise de crédito e risco particular para decidir se concede ou não um financiamento. Dado o grande volume de recursos que é necessário para se fazer uma obra de infraestrutura, sem o financiamento bancário, além de incentivos do governo, investidores não enxergam viabilidade e retorno suficientes para fazer esse investimento. Como forma de diminuir e diluir o risco entre bancos, investidores e outras contrapartes envolvidas em um projeto de infraestrutura, tende-se a adotar mundialmente a estrutura do Project Finance, que se tornou chave também no Brasil para se obter sucesso de financiamento junto ao BNDES e a bancos comerciais. O papel do BNDES é fundamental na estrutura de financiamento no Brasil, uma vez que este concede empréstimos a juros subsidiados, reduzindo o custo de capital médio ponderado (WACC) dos projetos, fator decisivo para torná-los atrativos à investidores. O Project Finance é importante não só por diluir os riscos entre as partes, mas principalmente por esta estrutura permitir aos bancos preverem e anteciparem diversos riscos que podem ocorrer naquele projeto. Esse maior conhecimento os permite criar mecanismos contratuais específicos para aquele financiamento e os protege desses riscos prováveis. Covenants, obrigações e garantias podem, então, se tornar um dos principais pontos de discussão entre os Sponsors e Lenders processo de estruturação de um financiamento, ponto este que será estudado neste trabalho por meio de dois estudos de caso reais de financiamento a portos marítimos em um banco brasileiro.

There has been a rapid growth of private participation in infrastructure projects throughout the world in the last three decades. China as the largest developing country in the world has a huge amount of demands for high quality infrastructure projects and public services. The government has actively developed and used the Build-Operation-Transfer (BOT) model to deliver public facilities and services, particularly after 2002. Certain benefits have been brought by the adoption of the BOT model in China's motorway and water sectors. However, issues were also found in the processes behind BOT applications. International organisations as well as scholars suggested that China should learn experiences and lessons from the UK and its PFI scheme. The UK has been the leading country to use private finance in developing public buildings and services. However, very little has been written addressing how lessons from British PFIs can be learnt by China to improve its BOT practice. This study is an attempt to address this vacuum in the existed literature. It was designed to explore the current problems of using BOTs in Chinese motorway and water sectors and looks at what needs to be improved, based upon the PFI lessons in the UK. A mixture of qualitative and quantitative methods has been employed and various methods of data collection used in this study. These included: 21 interviews, 2 observations and one focus group and the analysis on 14 government reports about BOTs in China. The governments' decision-makers, directors, project managers and contractors were involved in the research to explore the results and emerging issues involving the implementation of BOT models in 87 Chinese motorway and water projects in 10 cities covering six provinces. As a result of its findings, the research is able to discuss and identify the relevant experiences and lessons from PFIs in the UK to improve further application of China's BOTs. This study fills the gap in knowledge regarding comparisons between PFIs and BOTs. It also gives recommendations for good practice in relation to Chinese BOT policy decision making, development and evaluation. Finally, the study hopes to give recommendations that enable the implementation of BOT model in Chinese motorway and water sectors to be more successful in the future.

El presente trabajo de investigación tiene como objetivo principal establecer mecanismos contractuales de cobertura jurídica ante los riesgos en los Project Finance. Es importante indicar, que en todo negocio sin importar su magnitud y objeto social existen distintos tipos de riesgos, los mismos que se deben identificar, aislar y mitigar su impacto dentro de la organización empresarial. En concordancia con lo anterior, el presente trabajo académico se divide en tres capítulos. En el primer capítulo, se desarrolla el marco teórico sobre los riesgos empresariales, tales como, tipos de riesgos empresariales y la administración de los mismos. Asimismo, nos centramos en analizar el Project Finance y sus características. En el segundo capítulo, se desarrolla y analiza la problemática en torno a los riesgos en los Project Finance, es decir, los problemas que comúnmente se presentan desde el estudio del proyecto, en la construcción y operación del mismo. En el tercer capítulo, desarrollamos las propuestas como mecanismos contractuales de cobertura jurídica intra y extra-empresa ante los riesgos en los Project Finance, en consecuencia, buscando identificar, aislar y mitigar los riesgos correspondientes. En virtud de los tres capítulos indicados líneas arriba, la presente tesis establece una estructura de referencia ordenada y coherente; aportando mayores luces de los temas a considerar en el desarrollo de un Project Finance. / The main objective of this research assignment is establishing contractual mechanisms for legal coverage against Finance Projects Risks. It is important to specify that in every business, regardless of its magnitude and corporate purpose, there are different types of risks, which must be identified, isolated, and their impact mitigated within the business organization. In keeping with the foregoing, this academic paper is divided into three chapters. In the first chapter, the theoretical framework on business risks is developed, such as the classification of business hazards and their proper management. Likewise, we focus on analyzing Finance Projects and its characteristics. In the second chapter, the problem around risks in Finance Projects is developed and analyzed, that is, the difficulties that commonly arise from the study of the project, in its construction and operation. In the third chapter, Approaches as contractual legal coverage mechanisms intra and extra-business are developed against risks in Finance Projects, consequently, seeking to identify, isolate and mitigate the corresponding risks. In accordance with the three chapters mentioned above, this thesis establishes an organized and coherent structure for further reference; by providing greater insight into the topics to be considered in the development of a Finance Project. / Tesis

This thesis disserts on real estate development projects. The main targets are analysis of current situation in the field of real estate development and suitable ways of financing such projects. As a result this text should bring a detailed insight into how real estate development projects are managed and evaluated.