臺灣婦女生育率下降快速，近年來屢創新低，堪稱全球生育率最低的國家，總生育率自民國89年1.68、降為民國98年1.03，民國99年甚至降至0.90以下，提升生育率成為政府施政的重要課題。因為資料限制，生育率大多以總生育率(Total Fertility Rate)表示，而非較能反映婦女一生生育總數的世代完成生育率(Completed Cohort Fertility Rate)。這兩者間存有不少差異，以生育率下降的臺灣為例，總生育率會因生育時機遞延而低估世代生育率，以總生育率詮釋生育率可能有瑕疵。有鑒於此，本文以比較「世代」及「年代」兩者的差異，以生育率及死亡率為研究對象，探討較適宜描述臺灣特性的模型。 由於世代生育率會有資料不足的問題，本文使用外推法(Extrapolation)補足年齡較高（如35歲以上）的婦女生育率，並以四種模型估計年代生育率與世代生育率，包括Gamma模型、Gompertz模型、主成份分析(Principle Component Analysis)與單一年齡組個別估計法，希望找出適合預測臺灣世代完成生育率的模型。除了台灣資料，也用日本、法國與美國的世代生育率資料，比較各國世代生育率模型的異同。另外，本文也以世代及年代兩種觀點，類似生育率的探討方式，比較常用死亡率模型的優劣。 不論是生育率或是死亡率資料，配適模型結果皆以世代資料可得到較好的估計結果，生育率以單一年齡組個別估計法為最佳的模型，死亡率則以Gamma模型、主成份分析、單一年齡組個別估計法為較佳的模型。 / Taiwan’s fertility rates have been declining radically in recent years, much faster than most countries in the world. For example, the total fertility rate (TFR) is 1.68 in 2000, 1.03 in 2009, and even reduces to 0.90 in 2010. Therefore, one of the top priorities for Taiwan government policies is to enhance the willingness of having children. Due to the data availability, the TFR is used more often, although the completed cohort fertility rate (CFR) is a more reasonable measurement. However, previous studies showed that the TFR is likely to be influenced by the deferring (i.e., tempo effect) of childbearing and produces misleading results. In order to measure the effect of deferring childbearing, this study focuses on exploring the difference of measures in the view of cohort and period (especially the CFR vs. TFR) and evaluates which fertility and mortality model is more appropriate for Taiwan. Because there are fewer complete cohort fertility data, we use extrapolation to make up the higher age-group fertility data (such as aged 35 and above). We consider four fertility models in this study, including Gamma model, Gompertz model, principal component analysis, and individual group estimation. We use the data from Taiwan, Japan, France and United State data to evaluate these fertility models. The results indicate that the parametric models (Gamma and Gompertz) have the worst performance, probably due to the rapid change of fertility behaviors. In addition, similar to evaluating the fertility models, we compare the performance of frequently used mortality models using the cohort and period mortality data. The result shows that using cohort data to estimate fertility and mortality is better than period data. Also individual group estimation is the best model to fit fertility; the better models to fit mortality are Gamma model, principle component analysis and individual group estimation.

本研究針對台灣熟年世代的旅遊需求，援引美國、紐西蘭等國外熟年旅遊產品之案例，再針對台灣熟年世代的生活型態、旅遊消費習慣等行為，企圖將熟年志工旅遊、熟年深度旅遊的旅遊產品透過社會企業商業模式的形式於台灣做在地化發展。以「喜大人愛旅遊」之提案為例，做熟年世代商業旅遊產品之社會企業商業模式之闡述，該商業模式架構是以Alex Osterwalder等人之商業模式九宮格為基礎，包括目標客層、價值主張、通路、顧客關係、收益流、關鍵活動、核心資源、關鍵合作夥伴、成本結構九大構面。 / This paper focus on the social business model for traveling needs of senior citizens in Taiwan. Based on the reference from senior travel service in foreign country such like America and Australia and research of the lifestyle and the traveling consumption behavior of Taiwanese senior citizens, this paper will discuss about the social business model of localization of senior volunteer-travel and in-depth travel in Taiwan. Take the proposal of “The Senior’s Travelstyle” as an example, this paper will describe the social business model for fulfilling the senior citizens’ traveling needs. The structure of the business model is based on Alex Osterwalder’s the business model canvas, including customer segments, value propositions, customer relationships, channels, revenue streams, key activities, key resources, key partners and cost structure.

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在2014年，向日葵運動是一個轉折點，台灣的政治發展。這是第一次在台灣的立法院被學生佔領的歷史。匈牙利社會學家卡爾·曼海姆的理論認為，不穩定的事件可能會導致新的政治世代的出現。本文試圖探討的向日葵運動是否能夠被視為一個政治產生的催化劑。報告還分析了政治價值觀和態度對那些參與研究的學生無論是否成為一個政治一代的宗旨兩岸關係。如果我們知道這些學生的政治行為，可以預見兩岸關係的未來。 / In 2014, the Sunflower Movement was a turning point for the political development of Taiwan. It was the first time in the history of Taiwan that the Legislative Yuan was occupied by students. The Hungarian sociologist Karl Mannheim theorized that destabilizing events can lead to the emergence of new political generations. This thesis attempts to examine whether or not the Sunflower Movement can be considered as a catalyst of a political generation. It also analyzes the political values and attitudes towards Cross-Strait relations of those involved with the aim of studying whether or not those students became a political generation. If we know the political behavior of these students, it is possible to foresee the future of Cross-Strait relations.

建立線上教學服務平台，使年長者學習，打破世代藩籬。 / According to the United Nations, one in every ten persons is over the age of sixty and about two thirds of the world’s older populations live in developing countries. These same persons are our grandfathers and grandmothers. Unfortunately, the concept of ageing is often associated with a negative connotation of decline. This initiated our interest to create an online community that engages people of all ages in order to change these warped perceptions. This idea later evolved into Golden Tutor, an online learning community that helps in the development of its registered students and pre-approved tutors in their academic, professional and personal growth. Our aim of “Building a better society for all ages” along with our online learning platform seeks to instill a lifelong love for academic performance, to trigger more discussions on ageism and to spark a curiosity for inter-generational programs as its remedy. Golden Tutor is a socially minded venture that expects both financial and social gains for the benefit of the local communities in which it operates. Funds will first be reinvested and then later used to establish programs that foster offline social interaction. Our overall purpose is to engage older adults with youths in order to lessen the gap between generations; a new transformation fostered by community based solutions.

以出生年份所定義的七年級生，因其富庶卻又嚴苛的生存條件而與草莓族形象疊合，形成獨一無二的「草莓世代」。筆者身為七年級生的一員，關注此世代從無到有、經由比較與召喚所被建構的過程。首先將勾勒出七年級生的成長背景，討論他們何以繼釣魚台世代之後被指認，並試圖指出其歷史意義；其次蒐集七年級生在財經企管雜誌中的相關表述，並置於時空脈絡中探討其形象如何被建構，及背後的論述形構。世代的建構與定義方式，從曼海姆與蕭阿勤的自我定義與實踐，消費社會中以行銷為本、針對年輕族群所貼的標籤，到「草莓世代」的勞動主體建構，反映不同的命名邏輯與社會脈絡。本研究發現，草莓世代中的「生產力論述」中出現了工作倫理轉向，從生產者社會的全景敞視規訓，轉化為消費者社會中具備彈性與動能、隨時召喚認同的生命治理模式：由內而外進行勞動主體的調理與改造，使之內化此規訓法則，進而成為個體化社會中自負盈虧、高度彈性的理想勞動力。 / Youths born in 1980s (The Post-80s) were raised rich yet faced relatively crucial living status when grown up, and thus were defined as unique "strawberry generation." As part of the youths, I concern the process that how the generation emerged by comparison and interpellation. First of all, the article illustrates social background in the 1980s, discussing why the Post-80s were identified as “strawberry generation” after the Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands generation, and then points out the historical meaning behind. Secondly, I collected essays about the Post-80s in business magazines, analyzing how their images were constructed and the discursive formulation in temporal context. The ways that generations were constructed and defined were shifting from the self-definition/practice that Mannheim and A-chin Hsiau have discussed, labels on youths in terms of marketing strategy of consumer society, to the construction of labor subjectivity among "strawberry generation." Furthermore, the evolution reflects different naming logic as well as social context. In this research, I discover that there has been a work ethic turn in the "productivity discourses" of strawberry generation. It turns from the panoptical discipline of producer society to the flexible/dynamic biopolitics that may call for identification in consumer society. In terms of the biopolitics, it manages to convert labor subjects from the inside out, making them internalize the discipline rules and thus become ideal labor force who takes his/her own responsibility with higher mobility.

隨著經濟發展與所得水準提升，臺灣地區就業人口由早期的第一級產業－農林漁牧業逐漸移向第二級產業－工業，再由第二級產業轉移至第三級產業－服務業。為瞭解臺灣地區服務業就業之趨勢，國內多數研究僅就蒐集資料以年齡、年代或世代三方面分別作探討，本文則改採流行病學領域中所廣泛使用之年齡－年代－世代模型（Age-Period-Cohort Model），就行政院主計處「人力資源調查」資料來作分析。但年齡、年代與世代三者間存在共線性問題（即世代＝年代－年齡），導致迴歸模型產生無限多組解，為了自其中選出一組較適當之參數估計值，文獻中提供了許多不同形式的解決方法。本文則採用Fu（2000）所提出之本質估計量（Intrinsic Estimator，簡稱IE），這是一種不受參數限制式影響的估計方式。我們除了藉以取得惟一的參數估計值，進而分析年齡、年代及世代效應對服務業就業比率之影響外，並與傳統之受限廣義線性模型估計量（Constrained Generalized Linear Models Estimator，簡稱CGLIME）作一比較，來說明採用本質估計量之優點及方便之處。 / Along with economical development and higher income level, Taiwan area employed population has gradually been switching from farming, forestry, fishing and animal husbandry to goods-producing industries, and then onto services-producing industries. In order to understand the trend of employment in service-producing industries in Taiwan, most domestic studies focus on the aspects of age, period or cohort separately. We, instead, adopt the Age-Period-Cohort (APC) model, which is well recognized in the epidemiology, to analyze the data from “Manpower Surveys” conducted by the Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics, Executive Yuan, R.O.C. in this study. However, due to the collinearity among the age, period, and cohort effects, the APC model suffers from the identifiability problem. Some possible solutions have been provided in the literature. Among them, the Constrained Generalized Linear Models Estimator (CGIME) is undoubtedly the most popular choice, while the Intrinsic Estimator (IE) (Fu (2000)), which is invariant to the constraint selected to obtain the parameter estimates, is less well-known. We compare the results obtained from IE with that of CGIME in this study, and discuss the advantages of using the Intrinsic Estimator.

本論文題旨為：「論代間正義：一個羅爾斯式的觀點」。代間正義是晚近三十年來新興且益愈受到重視的倫理學議題之一，其主要關切的核心問題，乃在於追問「當代之於後代所應擔負的責任」。本文透過當代政治哲學與倫理學家羅爾斯（John Rawls）有關社會正義理論的設計與主張，分兩部分處理此問題。 / 第一部份所處理的問題為由帕菲特（Derek Parfit）所深化之「後代人格不同一問題」（The Non-Identity Problem），旨在探究「代間正義是否可能」。帕菲特指出，前代不同的行為選擇，將造成不同後代的存在，而這使得現存既有之各種權利與責任相對應的理論，無法合理地適用於代間關係。帕菲特主張，可以採取「忽略特定人格的比較（品質）原則」以解決此後代人格不同一問題。然而，帕菲特此舉卻陷入「不特定人格的後代無法追究前代之行為責任」的理論困境。本文主張，透過羅爾斯原初位置（original position）的理論設計啟發，即便在代間存在著「前代不同的行為選擇，將造成不同後代的存在」的後代人格不同一疑慮，當代仍可採納原初位置的理論啟示，區分人的屬性（properties）與獨特性（particular）的差異，在後代存有人格不同一問題（獨特性）的情形下，針對「屬性」而確立追問當代之於後代所應擔負責任之正當性。 / 第二部分主要處理羅爾斯有關代間正義觀點的內部論證問題，並進一步藉此說明「代間正義如何可能」。羅爾斯以「正義的儲蓄原則」（just savings principle）說明代間的分配正義問題，並《正義論》（A Theory of Justice）中將它納入正義二原則之中，成為建構社會基本體制的基本原則之一。然而，羅爾斯早期解釋與證成儲蓄原則的相關理據如動機假定（motivation assumption）與家族模式等，卻可能與其他理論假定如締約者的理性等相衝突、衍生解釋融貫上的困難，而遭到眾多學者們的質疑。羅爾斯在一九九三年的《政治自由主義》（Political Liberalism）中對此做出回應，並將關切下一代的動機假定，修正為「要求前代也承諾遵守他們所遵守的儲蓄原則，無論向前或向後追溯多遠」。除此之外，羅爾斯於《正義論》以外的其他著作，在提及正義二原則時，皆不再表述「正義的儲蓄原則」。本文認為羅爾斯後期所提出的證立主張，不僅整合了代內分配正義（差異原則）與代間分配正義（儲蓄原則）的論證理據（小中取大規則的應用），更與其主張「社會作為一世代相繼之公平的合作體系」時所標舉之「相互性理念」（the idea of reciprocity）的核心概念相符應。本文認為，在論證理據得到順利整合的前提下，羅爾斯仍可在後期表述正義二原則時，將「正義的儲蓄原則」放回其中，並可據此呼應當代永續發展理念「既滿足當代人的需求，又不對後代人滿足其需求的能力造成危害」的核心主張。 / The topic “Intergenerational Justice” is one of the newest but getting more important ethics problems to contemporaries. One of the key points of this issue is how to make sense of our obligations to the posterity (include future people) if possible. In this dissertation, I intend to clarify this problem by Rawls’s theory of justice into two parts. / The first part is “The Non-Identity Problem” held by Derek Parfit. This problem shows that “in the different outcomes, different people would be born”, and it seems inactive the traditional theories of rights. Parfit suggests that we can through it by the priinciple Q: “if in either of two outcomes the same number of people would ever live, it would be bad if those who live are worse off, or have a lower quality of life, than those who would have lived.” But this principle makes new difficulties about this problem. According Reiman, I argue that we can adjust this non-identity problem by the theory hypothesis “Original Position” of Rawls’s theory of justice, and that there are obligations from contemporaries to the future people. / The second part is about the arguments of Rawls’s theory of justice between generations. According to early Rawls in 1971, the theory of justice between generations represented by the “just savings principle” and was one part of the Two Principles of Justice in A Theory of Justice. But there are some argument troubles about the assumptions that makes the theory of justice between generations difficultly, especially on the “motivation assumption” and the family mode and so on. In 1993, Rawls changed his arguments about the theory of justice between generations, but he also take off the just savings principle from the Two Principles of Justice in other books or articles besides A Theory of Justice. I argue that latter arguments seem more reasonable to the theory of justice between generations, and they also makes the whole theory of social justice comprehensive. Then I argue that Rawls can still presents the just savings principle when he says about the Two Principles of Justice.

本研究的主要目的有二，首先，探討新世代工作者與非新世代工作者在工作價值觀及期望的報酬類型上有何差異，其次，則進一步針對新世代工作者探討其個人與組織在工作價值觀上的契合程度以及對組織現行報酬狀況的滿意程度兩者與其組織承諾是否有關。 　　基本上，「新世代工作者」是新人類（於民國54年至64年間出生的一代）與新新人類（於民國64年以後出生的一代）中已在職者的合稱，而「非新世代工作者」則是泛指於民國54年以前出生的已在職者。參與本研究的受試為服務於大台北地區、且公司人數達百人以上之民營企業的新世代工作者230名與非新世代工作者160名，研究工具則包括「工作價值觀量表」、「期望報酬類型暨報酬滿意度量表」、「組織承諾量表」以及「個人基本資料」等四個量表。 　　研究結果發現：(一) 在目的性工作價值觀方面，新世代工作者較非新世代工作者重視內在酬賞，包括較重視工作是否符合個人興趣、能否帶來成就感與自我成長，而非新世代工作者則較新世代工作者重視集體利益，也就是較為重視工作在服務社會以及國家民族發展上的影響。 (二)在手段性工作價值觀方面，非新世代工作者普遍較新世代工作者重視能力與理智、寬容雅量以及尊重傳統等工作行為規範，且除了謹慎一項是新世代工作者較為重視外，其餘知恥、毅力、尊卑有序、寬容雅量、忠誠、謙虛、自我約束、尊重傳統以及節儉等均是非新世代工作者的重視程度高於新世代工作者。(三)在期望報酬類型方面，新世代工作者對直接財務性報酬與間接財務性報酬的重視(期望)程度高於非新世代工作者，且在40種不同的報酬類型中，非新世代工作者除了在「提供助手，協助處理工作上的事務」一項上的需要程度高於新世代工作者外，其餘在加薪、協助進行生涯規劃、充裕的工作經費、可以選擇自己感興趣的工作、短期績效工作獎金、提供進修與訓練機會、可自由的安排工作時間、各種補助津貼、提供國內(外)旅遊以及運動休閒設施等11項上，均是新世代工作者的需求程度較高。(四) 整體而言，新世代工作者個人與組織在工作價值觀上的契合程度、對組織現行報酬狀況的滿意程度分別與組織承諾間存有正相關，且其在內在非財務性報酬、直接財務性報酬上的滿意與否，以及在內在酬賞上的契合程度是預測其組織承諾時的重要變項。 　　最後，本研究根據研究所得的結果，討論研究結果的意義並對企業界、新世代工作者與後續研究提出一些建議。