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亞洲央行干預外匯市場的有效性及對美國存託憑證價差的影響 / 無張美菁, Chang, Mei Ching Unknown Date (has links)
【第一篇論文中文摘要】
本文使用路透社央行干預匯市的新聞報導,探討哪些因素可以提高亞洲央行成功干預匯市的機率,研究期間為2005年1月至2011年4月。此研究期間涵蓋全球金融風暴和美國採行量化寬鬆政策,因此,亞洲貨幣在逐步對美元升值後發生大幅度的貶值。研究結果顯示印尼、馬來西亞、菲律賓、新加坡、台灣及泰國的央行採取逆風而行的策略是有效的干預方式,而且多個國家在同日干預匯市及第一日的干預會有較高成功的機率。
【第二篇論文中文摘要】
本文透過不同的研究方法針對亞洲國家央行干預匯率市場的有效性再次驗證,研究期間為2005年1月至2011年4月,實證結果顯示亞洲國家在次貸風暴期間面臨美元升值的壓力,央行會採取賣美元的方式來干預匯市,但是這種干預匯市的方式卻僅能減緩美元升值的趨勢,其中以印尼盾、新加坡元、新台幣紛紛對美元貶值較為明顯,而在次貸風暴發生之後,美國實施量化寬鬆政策造成亞洲國家卻面臨美元貶值的壓力,各國央行改採買美元的方式來干預匯市,但是此種干預匯市的方式也只造成美元緩慢貶值的趨勢,其中印尼盾、馬來西亞令吉、新加坡元、韓圜、泰銖分別對美元升值的趨勢較為明顯,此現象反應亞洲央行干預匯市是採取逆風而行的策略,雖然能降低匯率的波動,但無法改變匯率的升貶值趨勢。
【第三篇論文中文摘要】
本研究是在探討印度、印尼、南韓、馬來西亞、新加坡、泰國及台灣央行透過干預匯率市場,對其國家的公司在美國發行存託憑證折溢價的影響,研究期間為2005年1月至2011年4月。研究結果顯示央行對匯市干預造成的變動,確實會影響到該國公司在美國發行的存託憑證產生折價的情形。另外,亞洲央行使用買美元干預匯市的作法會對該國公司在美國發行的存託憑證產生溢價,而央行透過賣美元干預匯市的作法會對該國公司在美國發行的存託憑證產生折價的影響,但是由於樣本資料的限制,其效果在統計上並不顯著。由公司層面的分析可以看出央行透過賣美元來干預匯市對其國家的公司在美國發行的存託憑證會有明顯產生折價的影響。 / 【第一篇論文英文摘要】
Using Reuters’ news reports on central bank interventions, we investigate the factors that increase the odds of intervention success by Asian central banks in the foreign exchange market from January 2005 to April 2011. This period coincides with the global credit crisis and quantitative easing policy, which have engendered a sharp depreciation followed by a gradual appreciation of Asian currencies. The results show that leaning-against-the-wind intervention strategies are effective in Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Taiwan, and Thailand. We also find that joint and first day interventions are associated with higher odds of effective intervention.
【第二篇論文英文摘要】
This paper examines the effectiveness of central bank interventions in the foreign exchange market from January 2005 to April 2011 in Asia. The results show that the central banks in Asia intervene in the foreign exchange markets by selling U.S. dollars to prevent severe depreciation of local currencies during the global credit crisis. However, central bankers can only slow down the trend of depreciation of local currencies against U.S. dollar. The currencies apparently depreciate against U.S. dollar in Indonesia, Singapore, and Taiwan. After the global credit crisis, Asian countries confront appreciations of local currencies due to the US quantitative easing policy. The central banks in Asia intervene by purchasing U.S. dollars in the foreign exchange market. Nevertheless, intervention strategies slowly reduce U.S. dollar depreciations. The foreign exchange rate apparently appreciate against U.S. dollar in India, Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea, and Thailand. Results show that Asian central banks adopt leaning-against-the-wind intervention strategies during the sample period. Their interventions in the foreign exchange market can only reduce fluctuations in the foreign exchange rate, but fail to reverse the trend of Asian exchange rates.
【第三篇論文英文摘要】
This paper examines whether Asian central bank interventions in the foreign exchange market affect the discount or premium of American Depositary Receipt (ADR) of Asian companies from January 2005 to April 2011. The sample consists of companies from Indian, Indonesia, South Korea, Malaysia, Singapore. Empirical results show that central bank interventions increase ADR discounts of companies in Asian countries. In addition, interventions by purchasing U.S. dollars result in higher ADR premiums, and the strategies of selling U.S. dollars affect ADR discounts. Though some of the empirical results are not statistically significant due to limited sample size, results based on individual firms show that selling USD interventions by Asian central banks have a significant impact on their ADR discounts.
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Nekonvenční měnové politiky v teorii a empirii / Unconventional monetary policy in theory and empirical evidenceLEXA, David January 2014 (has links)
The Diploma thesis deals with unconventional monetary policies,that important central banks used in order to cope with global financial and economic crisis in recent years. Goals of the paper is to introduce the most significant unconventional monetary policies, analyze their effectivity in selected countries (Japan, USA, Great Britain, eurozone and Czech republic), and statistically test impact of these nonstandard approaches on international trade.
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Rychlost vstupu do EMU z pohledu národohospodářských nákladů / Macro-economic costs analysis and time determination of joining European Monetary UnionZámečník, Michal January 2008 (has links)
The main aim of this thesis is to discover a suitable instant of time for the Czech Republic to join European Monetary Union. I am analyzing dependence between monetary policies of the Czech National Bank (CNB) and the European Central Bank (ECB) themselves as well as in relation to essential Czech macroeconomic indicators. My observation is focused on interest rate policies represented by operative interest rates, on monetary policies represented by indices of nominal effective exchange rates and on convergence monitoring. The analytical instruments I used in the thesis are correlation analyses, linear trends, the Granger causality test and the Impulse-Reaction test. Besides, my thesis examines fulfillment of the Convergence (Maastricht) criteria in the Czech Republic and other central European countries. This thesis also examines impact of the European monetary policy on some Eurozone member countries.
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Akciové cenové bubliny / Stock Price BubblesLi, Xiaokun January 2010 (has links)
Economic bubbles are playing an increasingly significant role in the current global economy. We believe these bubbles are to a certain extent dominating the real economy, and, therefore, research based on this specific economic phenomenon is becoming increasingly popular and important. The focus of this master's thesis is based upon analysis of stock price bubbles. This thesis contains author analyzed historical cases representative of stock price bubbles; summarizations of their traditional features; common factors causing their formation; and reasons leading to their bursting. Solutions to the dilemma of stock price bubbles are discussed in depth, and emphasis is placed upon clearly deciphering different theoretical approaches regarding this phenomenon-not only from the efficient market hypothesis viewpoint but also from the perspective of behavioral finance. The research contains testing and measuring methodologies of stock price bubbles, and the author's view concerning them is strongly supported by the results within the empirical data-testing chapter. Upon reading, one can expect to achieve a basic overview of this forefront science.
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Bankovní unie / Banking unionKonupková, Lenka January 2014 (has links)
The aim of the thesis "Banking union" is to analyze and describe the concept of banking union, with respect to development and harmonization of rules before crisis. In addition to description of 4 pillars of Banking union the thesis tries to reveal the risks connected with rules harmonization and power centralization in hands of ECB. The obligatory membership is conditioned by common currency Euro, therefore there is an opportunity to analyze the potential benefits for states with own currency. This will be done in separate chapter 4th using Czech Republic as example. Thesis will be also enriched with opinion of politics and economist to which own authors comment will be added.
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E-kronan och bankerna : En kvalitativ studie om e-kronans påverkan på den svenska banksektorn / The e-krona and the banks : A qualitative study on the impact of the e-krona on the Swedish banking sectorLeidehall, Kim, Aronsson, Magnus, Nyrén, Oscar January 2024 (has links)
Uppsatsens språk är svenska. Idag är det svenska samhället nästintill kontantlöst och utvecklingen hit har gått fort. Med anledning av digitaliseringen och statens potentiellt förändrade ställning på betalningsmarknaden har Riksbanken undersökt möjligheter samt påbörjat utvecklingen av en egen centralbanksutgiven digital valuta kallad e-krona. Syftet med studien är att undersöka om och hur ett införande av e-krona som betalmedel främjar hållbar finansiell utveckling baserat på vilka möjligheter samt risker som kan uppstå utifrån ett banksektorperspektiv. Studien är kvalitativ och består av finansiell teori tillsammans med nio semistrukturerade intervjuer som genomförts för att nå syftet. Dessa har gjorts med utvalda experter som är eller har varit verksamma inom affärsbanker, Riksbanken, Finansinspektionen och Fintech-bolag. Studien finner att e-kronan kan stärka den finansiella stabiliteten och bibehålla värdeförhållandet mellan pengar. Dessutom identifieras risker med e-kronan där höga kostnader ses som en väsentlig del tillsammans med spekulation och informationsasymmetri. Studien har också visat på resultat att e-kronan kan bidra med innovation och teknikutveckling vilket ses som betydande möjligheter. En central slutats är att e-kronan kan främja hållbar utveckling om utformningen tillåter den att beakta de fyra grundpelarna till hållbar finansiell utveckling, men att det beror på ur den kan komma att utformas. / This study is written in Swedish. Today, the Swedish society is nearly cashless and the progression towards this has been rapid. Due to digitization and the state's potentially changed position on the payment market, the Riksbanken has investigated possibilities and initiated the development of its own central bank-issued digital currency called e-krona. The aim of the study is to investigate whether and how the introduction of the e-krona as a means of payment, promotes sustainable financial development based on the opportunities and risks that may arise from the perspective of the banking sector. The study is qualitative and consists of financial theory together with nine semi-structured interviews that have been conducted to achieve its purpose. The interviewees consist of selected experts who are or have been active in commercial banks, the Riksbanken, the Finansinspektionen and Fintech organizations. The study finds that the e-krona can strengthen financial stability and maintain the value ratio between money. In addition, risks are identified with the e-krona where large costs are seen as an essential part together with speculation and information asymmetry. The study has also resulted in the e-krona being able to contribute with innovation and technology development, which are seen as significant opportunities. A central conclusion is that the e-krona can promote sustainable development if the design allows it to take into account the four pillars of sustainable financial development, but that this depends on how it will be designed.
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Country size, growth and the economic and monetary unionAlouini, Olfa 12 June 2012 (has links)
Der Zweck dieser Arbeit ist es, die Beziehung zwischen die Größe des Landes und das Wachstum auf internationaler Ebene und vergleichsweise in der Wirtschafts-und Währungsunion zu untersuchen und erarbeiten ihre Folgen für das Verhalten der wachstumsorientierte Finanzpolitik. Um ein globales Verständnis des Zusammenhangs zwischen Größe des Landes und das Wachstum in der EWU weiter verfolgen wir einen interdisziplinären Ansatz, einschließlich der makroökonomischen Modellierung (DSGE), Ökonometrie und Analyse der politischen Ökonomie. Die Kombination dieser Untersuchungen schließen wir, dass die Größe des Landes einen Einfluss auf die wirtschaftlichen Strukturen der Nationen, die Auswirkungen ihrer Politik und damit auf ihre Wachstumsdynamik hat. Aus diesem Grund ist es notwendig, die Bedeutung der Größe des Landes und ihre Folgen für die WWU wieder. / The purpose of this dissertation is to investigate the relationship between country size and growth at the international level and comparatively in the Economic and Monetary Union, and to draw up its consequences for the conduct of growth-orientated fiscal policies. To further a global understanding of the link between country size and growth in the EMU, we follow an interdisciplinary approach, including macro-economic modelling (DSGE), econometrics and political economy analysis. Combining these analyses, we conclude that country size has an incidence on the economic structures of nations, the effects of their policies and therefore on their pace of growth. For this reason there is a need to reinstate the importance of country size and its consequences for the EMU.
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The effects of financial liberalisation in emerging market economiesChauhan, Shobha 01 1900 (has links)
The aim of this research is to show the effects of financial liberalisation on emerging market economies, how these economies removed restrictions on financial institutions so that they can be globally integrated, and to show the flow of international finance in and out of a country. This research also illustrates how the financial system in these economies moved from being government-led to being market-led. The main finding of this research is that many countries failed to reap the benefits of liberalisation because of weaknesses in the regulatory structure, undercapitalised banks, volatile markets and contagion effects. The research concludes that the long-term gains of liberalisation certainly supersede short-term instability of liberalisation. Thus, for financial liberalisation to have predominantly positive effects, attention should be drawn to the importance of a more prudent regulatory and supervisory environment. Furthermore, financial liberalisation must be accompanied by a sound institutional infrastructure, proper conduct of monetary and fiscal policies, a reduction in corruption, and an increase in transparency. In addition, liberalisation should be a gradual process whereby the right measures are taken in the right sequence. / Economics / M. Comm. (Economics)
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Les stratégies de l'euro-syndicalisme sectoriel. Etude de la coordination salariale et du dialogue social / Euro-trade union sectoral strategies. Study of wage coordination and social dialogueDufresne, Anne 13 December 2006 (has links)
The main contribution of my thesis is the analysis of substantial empirical material that I have collected from Community trade union actors. My analysis focuses on the institutional strategies of the sectoral European trade union federations and their implications for the Europeanisation of wages policy. I have demonstrated that the development of European coordination processes of national collective bargaining, particularly at sectoral level, has contributed to reviving the concept of collective bargaining and professional relations in the European Area, which until then had been covered in the literature by the social dialogue. I have identified three obstacles to collective negociations at a European level: the “depoliticised” wage in the economic partnership, employers identified as the “lobby partner” in the sectoral social dialogue, and the difficulties encountered in the Europeanisation of trade unions.
L’apport majeur de notre thèse est l’analyse d’un matériel empirique conséquent que nous avons collecté auprès des acteurs syndicaux communautaires. Notre analyse se concentre sur les stratégies institutionnelles des fédérations syndicales sectorielles européennes et sur leurs implications en matière d’européanisation de la politique salariale. Nous avons démontré que le développement des processus de coordination européenne des négociations collectives nationales, en particulier au niveau sectoriel, peut contribuer à renouveler la conception de la négociation collective et des relations professionnelles dans l’espace européen jusqu’alors appréhendée dans la littérature par le dialogue social. Nous avons identifié trois obstacles à la négociation collective européenne : le salaire « dépolitisé » dans le partenariat économique, le patronat devenu « partenaire-lobby » dans le dialogue social sectoriel, et la difficile européanisation syndicale.
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Diskurs und Nachhaltigkeit / Zur Dematerialisierung in den industrialisierten Demokratien / Discourse and Sustainability / Towards a Dematerialisation in the Industrialised DemocraciesSchiller, Frank 08 December 2003 (has links)
No description available.
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