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我國上市公司會計盈餘、成長機會與股價變動關聯性之研究 / The relationship between accounting earnings, growth opportunities and variance of stock price in Taiwan's stock-listed companies許淑蕙, Sheu, Shwu-Huey Unknown Date (has links)
本研究主要是在探討成長機會與股價變動的關係,並檢視考慮各公司間成長機會差異與盈餘特續性變數後,是否會增加盈餘資訊內涵之解釋能力。一般而言,盈餘資訊確具資訊內涵,唯解釋能力不高(Lev, 1989)。本研究首先分析成長機會與股票報酬的關聯性;同時透過分析成長機會與盈餘間關係的推演,亦可進一步確定盈餘與成長機會對股票報酬真正的影響程度。
本研究分析民國 81 年至 85 年股票上市公司資料(排除金融、保險、百貨、觀光及變更交易方式的公司),經由模式建立與假說驗證,得到下列幾項發現:
一、由二種不同會計盈餘衡量的實證結果來看,“以期股價平減的會計報酬率”是股票報酬的解釋變數,且其 t 值檢定均達 0.01 的顯著水準。
二、代表成長機會的權益市價淨值比、營收成長率及經常淨利成長率是股票報酬的解釋變數,且其 t 值檢定達 0.05 或 0.01 的顯著水準。
三、關於成長機會與盈餘關係之測試,結果顯示,代表會計盈餘的每股稅後經常淨利與成長機會具有顯著正相關;代表會計盈餘的每股營運現金流量與成長機會的關係不顯著或是呈現負相關。
四、另外,關於成長機會與盈餘兩者對股票報酬關係之測試,結果顯示,代表交互作用變數之係數時而為顯著負相關,時而不顯著,故成長機會與盈餘兩者對股票報酬具有正向關聯的假設,未獲實證資料的支持。 / The major purpose of this study is to examine the relationship between growth opportunities and variance of stock price. and to indicate that the inclusion of impact of different growth opportunities in addition to earnings persistence among firms, whether the results can improve the explanatory power of information content. Lev(1989) demonstrated that accounting earnings is an useful information but its usefulness is quite unstable. First of all, this study is to analysize the association between growth opportunities and stock returns, and through the deduction of analysizing the reationship between growth opportunities and earnings, the true effect of growth oppotunities in addition to earnings on stock rate of returns can be identified further.
To test the hypotheses, this study uses the data of Twiwanese listed companies covering the period from 1992 to 1996. The empirical fingings can be summarized as follows:
一、With regard to the empirical results for two different accounting earnings measures, including taxs adjusted operating profit and cash flow from operation, which we can find that the factor related to stock price deflated accounting earnings has significant association with stock returns.
二、The growth opportunities regression coefficients are 0.05 or 0.01 in the regression of proxies for growth oppotunities, including book-to-market equity, sales growth ratio, and operating profit growth rate on stock rate of returns.
三、The tests regarding the relationship between growth opportunities and earnings show that the coefficients based on the stock price deflated operating profit are positive significance; and those based on the stock price deflated cash flows from operation are insignificant or negative significance.
四、The tests regarding the relationship between the interaction of growth opportunities in addition to earnings and stock rate of returns show that the coefficients of the variable proxies for interaction are unstable. The hypothesis that the interaction response coefficients of growth opportunities in addition to earnings and stock rate of returns are positive relations is not supported by empirical evidence.
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Relationship between REIT returns and payout ratioGodinho, Nicholas 01 January 2010 (has links)
No description available.
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An Empirical Examination of Physical Asset Expenditure Announcements in Australia: Growth Opportunities, Free Cash Flow and Capital Market MonitoringYeoh, Daniel Ghee Chong, danielyeoh@cimb.com.my January 2001 (has links)
This thesis examines the stock market price variations associated with physical asset expenditure announcements in Australia. With the exception of the study of Chen and Ho (1997) in Singapore, most capital expenditure studies in other markets investigate the announcement effects associated with changes in budgeted capital expenditures. The fact that there is almost never any firm level capital budget announcement in Australia presents a unique opportunity to examine individual physical asset expenditure announcements.
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Three primary hypotheses pertaining to growth opportunities, free cash flow theory, and the capital market monitoring argument are developed and tested. These arguments are formulated to explain the abnormal return variations associated with physical asset expenditure announcements. The growth opportunities hypothesis posits that the abnormal returns at physical asset expenditure announcements are positively related to a firm's growth opportunities. Both free cash flow theory and capital market monitoring hypothesis postulate that the abnormal returns at physical asset expenditure announcements are negatively related to a firm's free cash flow, and cash flow respectively. Other control explanators are incorporated from the merger and takeovers literature.
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Event study methodology is used to examine the abnormal returns associated with physical asset expenditure announcements. Two sets of data, intraday and daily, are used to investigate the market reaction. Intraday returns are calculated on a time-weighted approach and two methods are used to calculate intraday abnormal returns. The first method defines abnormal returns as the difference between actual returns and market returns. The second method defines abnormal returns as the difference between market-adjusted returns and market-adjusted returns on a control portfolio. Daily abnormal returns are calculated using the market model.
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Both univariate and multivariate analyses provide strong support for the growth opportunities hypothesis. The results suggest the quality of firms' growth opportunities is the key variable determining the direction and magnitude of the abnormal returns at announcement. Support for the capital monitoring argument and the free cash flow theory is mixed, generally with a lack of support. The free cash flow variable is found to be significantly negatively related to abnormal returns, only when a finer dummy is used in the multivariate regression. All other control variables are found to be insignificant in explaining the stock market variations once the growth opportunities variable is included in the regression.
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This thesis makes the following contributions. First, this thesis presents the initial empirical evidence concerning physical asset expenditure announcements in Australia. Second, the thesis shows that the quality of a firm's growth opportunities is the key factor in determining the direction and magnitude of abnormal returns around physical asset expenditure announcements. These results also suggest that the equity market in Australia reacts to physical asset expenditure announcements which contain information pertaining to growth opportunities rather than the relative size of the physical asset expenditure transactions to firm value. Third, support for the capital monitoring argument and the free cash flow theory is not strong. Fourth, all other control variables are found to be insignificant in explaining the stock market variations once market to book ratio is included in the regression. Fifth, the results suggest that prior research which fails to segregate market to book ratio and free cash flow proxy into finer partitions may have possibly underestimated the market to book and the free cash flow effects.
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The Barriers to, and Incidence of, Islamic Banking and Finance in CanadaTahmina, Tanita Noor 16 October 2013 (has links)
The non-interest and profit-loss sharing schemes of Islamic finance (IF) are attracting increasing global attention. Despite exposure to the similar opportunities as other Western countries that have adopted the financial business model there is little evidence of Islamic finance windows operating in the conventional institutions in Canada. This thesis takes a qualitative approach to bring the issue forward in Canadian social science literature by exploring the perceived challenges to, and the potential of, the development of IF offerings with a focus on factors affecting the supply and management decisions in the industry. The study used an inductive approach with archival data and critical survey of literature to arrive at the hypotheses surrounding the challenges. These were tested deductively by semi-structured interviews and panel discussions both in Canada and the US on a sample of senior officials involved in both IF and conventional financial institutions. Using a thematic analysis the study arrived at findings supporting the hypotheses related to awareness, regulation, management intent and internal resources. In the external environment, factors affecting strategic decision on offering IF services are mainly due to regulation, lack of awareness, even among Muslim communities, or misgivings about Sha’riah authenticity. Internally, highly customized IT infrastructures, lack of funds and foreign investment make it unfeasible. Management interest when proposed with the concept is high but not in a top-down manner and there is an overall uncertainty avoidance culture and little proactivity with market research. Access to specific Sha’riah knowledge is not considered a hurdle anymore. It is apparent that investments in Sha’riah compliant stocks would be easiest to set up. Mortgage structures can be affected by the capital market structure, even if not tax structures. Knowledge on this can have implications for banks seeking to expand their investment portfolios and aid government policies.
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The Barriers to, and Incidence of, Islamic Banking and Finance in CanadaTahmina, Tanita Noor January 2013 (has links)
The non-interest and profit-loss sharing schemes of Islamic finance (IF) are attracting increasing global attention. Despite exposure to the similar opportunities as other Western countries that have adopted the financial business model there is little evidence of Islamic finance windows operating in the conventional institutions in Canada. This thesis takes a qualitative approach to bring the issue forward in Canadian social science literature by exploring the perceived challenges to, and the potential of, the development of IF offerings with a focus on factors affecting the supply and management decisions in the industry. The study used an inductive approach with archival data and critical survey of literature to arrive at the hypotheses surrounding the challenges. These were tested deductively by semi-structured interviews and panel discussions both in Canada and the US on a sample of senior officials involved in both IF and conventional financial institutions. Using a thematic analysis the study arrived at findings supporting the hypotheses related to awareness, regulation, management intent and internal resources. In the external environment, factors affecting strategic decision on offering IF services are mainly due to regulation, lack of awareness, even among Muslim communities, or misgivings about Sha’riah authenticity. Internally, highly customized IT infrastructures, lack of funds and foreign investment make it unfeasible. Management interest when proposed with the concept is high but not in a top-down manner and there is an overall uncertainty avoidance culture and little proactivity with market research. Access to specific Sha’riah knowledge is not considered a hurdle anymore. It is apparent that investments in Sha’riah compliant stocks would be easiest to set up. Mortgage structures can be affected by the capital market structure, even if not tax structures. Knowledge on this can have implications for banks seeking to expand their investment portfolios and aid government policies.
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Mapping the Gap: Using Growth Opportunity Items and Principles as well as Design Thinking to Eliminate the Creative Achievement GapBurns, Mikaila Marie January 2014 (has links)
No description available.
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Comportamiento supervisor y beneficios privados de la propiedad accionarial: un análisis empírico para el caso españolDíaz Díaz, Belén 04 December 2000 (has links)
El objetivo de la presente tesis doctoral consiste, en primer lugar, en investigar si la influencia de los accionistas principales sobre el valor de la empresa se encuentra condicionada por la existencia de conflicto de intereses entre accionistas y directivos, de manera que cuanto más alto sea el beneficio público esperado mayor será la disposición del accionista a asumir los costes derivados de la supervisión. Nuestro segundo objetivo consiste en analizar si en el mercado de capitales español la adquisición de bloques accionariales se encuentra condicionada por el beneficio público que puede derivarse de la supervisión o por la ventaja informativa que poseen los adquirentes, que pondría de manifiesto la necesidad de la aplicación estricta de los códigos de conducta y de un seguimiento más exhaustivo de las empresas con mayor asimetría informativa. El análisis empírico realizado, utilizando la metodología de datos de panel y la regresión logística, nos permite establecer las siguientes conclusiones. En primer lugar, el carácter supervisor de la propiedad accionarial es más intenso en aquellas empresas en las que el potencial conflicto de intereses entre accionistas y directivos es mayor. Asimismo, la existencia de mecanismos de gobierno alternativos en la empresa, que garanticen la supervisión de las decisiones directivas, resta significatividad a la función de vigilancia que ejercen determinados inversores. Por último, los inversores principales de la empresa tratan de compensar los costes de supervisión mediante transacciones en el mercado de control parcial, de manera que se observa un comportamiento comprador cuando se anticipa una mejora en la gestión empresarial derivada de un incremento en la supervisión y cuando existe una mayor asimetría informativa de manera que pueden beneficiarse de su posición de inversores mejor informados. / The aim of this thesis is, firstly, to analyse if the influence of majority shareholders over company value depends on the existence of conflict of interests between managers and shareholders. Therefore, the higher the expected social benefit is, the higher interest of shareholders to assume the costs derived form monitoring. The second aim of this study is to analyse if the purchase of share blocks in the Spanish capital market is motivated by the value creation derived from monitoring, or by the informative advantage of the acquirers and insider trading, which would highlight the need of an strict application of Governance Codes and vigilance of firms with asymmetric information. The empirical analysis is accomplished using panel data methodology and a logistic regression. Our empirical analysis allow us to conclude that the supervisory role of ownership is more intense in firms where the potential conflict of interest between shareholders and managers is greater, and therefore the value of the firm can be increased through a specific composition of its shareholders. Moreover, the existence of alternative governance mechanisms, that guarantee managerial decisions monitoring, reduce the importance of the investor's supervision role. Lastly, we observe a purchase behaviour when an improvement in managerial running is foreseen as a consequence of the supervision, and when there is more asymmetric information and therefore the acquirers can benefit from their position of better informed investors.
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由評價誤差與成長機會比較可轉債與現金增資發行動機、宣告效果及資金運用 / The Issuance Motivation, Announcement Effect and Use of Funds of Convertible Bond and SEO: Evidence from the Perspective of Mispricing and Growth Opportunity顧哲維, Ku, Che Wei Unknown Date (has links)
本研究探討台灣上市櫃公司發行可轉債及現金增資的決策議題。從發行公司的角度來看,利用錯誤評價及成長機會,同時輔以一些公司特徵變數以了解發行動機。後續並追蹤發行公司發行後資金運用情形,以了解發行公司發行動機及目的是否一致。另一方面,從投資人角度來看,觀察可轉債及現金增資公司宣告效果,並由後續資金配置驗證宣告效果之可靠性。
本研究採用Rhodes-Kropf, Robinson and Viswanathan(2005)提出的方法,將市值帳面比(M/B)拆解成錯誤評價與成長機會。以2001年至2011年台灣上市上櫃公司發行可轉債或現金增資為研究對象,發現無論是可轉債或現金增資,發行公司發行前錯誤評價及成長機會皆顯著較未發行公司高。接著,利用logit模型,發現可轉債發行公司之成長機會及代理問題為其主要發行動機,而現金增資公司則利用資訊不對稱擇時與調整資本結構為發行考量。本文進一步檢視發行後資金配置情況,發現成長機會越高之可轉債,後續資金用途顯著投資於資本支出與研發費用上,符合實質投資理論之觀點。另一方面,錯誤評價越高之現金增資,在前兩年有累積現金之現象,但不用於償還長期負債,且顯著運用於資本支出與研發費用上,僅部分符合行為理論之解釋。因此,本研究歸納現金增資公司發行動機除擇時外,亦有投資需求。最後,在宣告效果上,可轉債與現金增資均呈現負向宣告效果,且投資人給予現金增資較為負向的宣告效果,本文認為此乃投資人意識到公司利用資訊不對稱擇時,且後續資金配置不完全符合行為理論的預期造成的結果。 / This study examines the issuance of convertible bonds (CBs) and seasoned equity offerings (SEOs) for listed companies in TSE and OTC market in Taiwan. From the aspects of issuers, we use mispricing and growth opportunities along with other firm characteristics to understand the motivation of the issuance. We also track the use of post-issue proceeds and relate to the motivations of issuers. From the aspects of investors, we look at the announcement effects to examine appropriateness.
We decompose market-to-book ratios into mispricing and growth option components through a methodology proposed by Rhodes-Kropf, Robinson and Viswanathan (2005). By using the samples of CB and SEO issuance between 2001 and 2011, we find that issuing firms of both types are overvalued and have greater growth opportunities relative to non-issuers. Next, we find that CB issuers show greater pre-issue growth opportunities and agency problems, while SEO issuers have greater pre-issue mispricing and tend to adjust capital structure implied by logit model. Furthermore, we examine the post-issue use of proceeds. For CB, firms with greater growth opportunities invest more in capital expenditures and R&D, consistent with real investment explanations. On the other hand, for SEO, firms with greater mispricing stockpile cash in the first two years but don’t pay down long-term debt. They also invest in capital expenditures and R&D. Thus, we conclude that the motivation of SEO firms might be timing and investment needs, partly consistent with behavioral explanations. Finally, the announcement effect of SEO is more negative than CB. Judging from the evidence above, it seems that investors know something.
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Rörelsekapitalhantering för svenska små och medelstora företagBroman, Fredrik, Nordin, Johan January 2018 (has links)
Rörelsekapitalhantering (WCM) är en viktig del i små och medelstora företags (SMF) i syfte att generera nytt kapital samt effektivisera verksamheten. Företagen i Sverige består till större delen av SMF vilket gör det viktigt att undersöka hur företagen hanterar sitt kapital. Syftet för studien var att studera WCM i form av CCC och WCR med företagsspecifika, branschspecifikaoch makrospecifika faktorer. Detta testades i en OLS-modell med studiens beroende variabler CCC och WCR mot de oberoende variablerna lönsamhet, tillväxtmöjligheter, storlek, kassaflöde och branschtillhörighet. Studien undersökte även hur en finanskris påverkar rörelsekapitalet i form av ett t2-test. Denna studie innefattade 4240 företag under perioden 2008 till 2015 där 2008 till 2009 beskrivs som krisperiod. Resultatet för studien visar ett positivt signifikant samband mellan CCC och kassaflöde samt ett negativt signifikant samband medlönsamhet, storlek och branschtillhörighet. Vidare påvisar studien ett positivt signifikant samband mellan WCR och lönsamhet samt storlek medans tillväxtmöjligheter, kassaflöde och branschtillhörighet har negativt signifikant samband med WCR. Företagen har en längre CCC samt en högre WCR under krisperioder. / Working capital management (WCM) is an important part of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in order to generate new capital and streamline operations. The companies that consist in Sweden is to the majority SMEs, which makes it important to investigate how companies handle their capital. The purpose of the study was to analyse WCM thru CCC and WCR with company-specific, industry-specific and macro-specific factors. This was tested in an OLS model with this studies dependent variables CCC and WCR against the independent variables profitability, growth opportunities, size, cash flow and industry affiliation. The study also examined how a financial crisis affects working capital with a t2 test. This study included 4240 companies in the period 2008 to 2015, where 2008 to 2009 is described as a crisis period. The result for the study shows a positive significant correlation between CCC and cash flow, as well as a negatively significant correlation with profitability, size and industry affiliation. Furthermore, the study shows a positive significant correlation between WCR and profitability, and the size of the growth potential, cash flow and industry affiliationare negatively significant in relation to the WCR. The companies have a longer CCC and a higher WCR during crisis periods.
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Små och medelstora företags val av kapitalstruktur under ekonomisk krisNyström, Alexander, Strandlund, Fredrik January 2017 (has links)
Kapitalstrukturen betyder hur ett företag väljer sin sammansättning av skuldsättning och eget kapital, och de finansiella teorierna är framtagna ur de större företagens perspektiv. Små och medelstora företag (SME) utgör ungefär 99 % av alla företag i Sverige, och det är därför viktigt att förstå hur dessa företag väljer sin kapitalstruktur. I perioder av ekonomisk recession kan tillgången på kapital bli problematisk för företag av olika anledningar. Generellt sparar landets befolkning på sina pengar, vilket implicerar en lägre tillförsel av kapital till företagen. Långivarna tenderar också att vara mer återhållsam gällande kreditgivning. SME kommer därmed att ha en lägre tillgång till externt kapital, och detta är mer problematiskt för dessa företag eftersom deras relation med långivarna tenderar att involvera högre grader av agentkostnader och informationsasymmetri. Hur dessa mindre företags kapitalstruktur påverkas av en ekonomisk krisperiod är ett forskningsområde som är relativt outforskat. Således är denna studies fokus att undersöka hur SME:s kapitalstruktur i Sverige påverkas av en ekonomisk krisperiod.Studien innefattade 79 916 SME i Sverige under perioden 2007 till 2015, och den analyserade krisperioden är finanskrisen som varade åren 2008 och 2009. För att kunna utröna krisens påverkan på företagens kapitalstruktur problematiserades olika faktorer som hade en relation till denna. Kapitalstrukturen omfattade företagens totala skulder och en uppdelning av dessa i kort- respektive långfristiga skulder. Faktorernas relation till de kort- och långfristiga skulderna var grunden för att studera eventuella förändringar under ekonomisk recession. De totala skulderna användes för att ge ytterligare stöd i analysen. De faktorer som inkluderades i denna studie var: likviditet, lönsamhet, tillgångsstruktur, tillväxtmöjligheter, storlek, den alternativa skatteskölden, räntespread och slutligen den faktor som var av primärt intresse – ekonomisk kris. För att testa detta empiriskt skapades modeller utifrån två olika linjära regressionsmetoder, varav den ena hade fixerade effekter. Modellerna med fixerade effekter var de bestämmande för studiens utfall. Studien visade empiriskt att krisens påverkan på SME:s kapitalstruktur var att företagen hade en högre skuldsättningsgrad under krisperioden. Mer specifikt indikerade resultaten på att företagen hade en högre grad av kortfristiga skulder under den ekonomiska recessionen. Vidare visade studien att flera av faktorerna hade en effekt på både kort- och långfristiga skulder. / Capital structure is how a business selects their mixture of debt and equity, and the financial theories that touches upon this subject is mostly developed from the larger corporations point of view. Small and medium sized enterprises (SME) constitutes approximately 99 % of all enterprises in Sweden, and therefore it’s important to understand how these businesses selects their capital structure. A period of economic crisis is problematic for enterprises to achieve capital in several aspects. The population in that said country is likely to be restrictive with their transactions, which implies a lesser flow of capital to the businesses. The lenders of capital tend to be more conservative in regards to the lending of credit. To this extent, SMEs will have less access to capital, and this is more problematic for small firms due to their relationship with lenders are often connected to larger agency costs and information asymmetry. How the capital structure for these small and medium sized firms affects during a period of economic crisis is a research area that is relatively uncharted – specially in the context of Sweden. Thus, the focus of this study is to examine how a period of crisis affects the capital structure of these small and medium sized enterprises during a period of crisis.The study involved 79 916 SMEs in Sweden during the period 2007 to 2015, and the examined period of crisis was the financial crisis that lasted through 2008 and 2009. To be able to determine how the crisis affected the capital structure several determinants that has a relationship with capital structure was problematized. The capital structure contains the firms total debt, which was divided into short- and long term debt. The determinants relationship with the short- and long term debt were the basis to study possible changes during economic crisis. The total debts were used to give support to the analysis. The determinates that were included in this study was: liquidity, profitability, asset structure, growth opportunities, size, the non-debt tax shield, term spread and finally the primary interest of this study – economic crisis. To test this empiricly, models were created using two different methods of linear regression, and one of these had fixed effects. The models with the fixed effects was the decisive models for the outcome. The study empirically shows that the crisis affected the capital structure of SME’s in regards to that they exhibited a higher debt ratio though the crisis. More specific, the results indicated that SME’s had a higher short-term debt ratio during the crisis than the rest of the macroeconomic periods. Furthermore, the results shows that several of the capital structure determinants had an effect on both short- and long-term debt. / <p>Betyg B, 170619</p>
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