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One of today’s financial trends is securitization. Evaluating Securitization risk requires some strong quantitative skills and a deep understanding of both credit and market risk. For international securitization programs it is mandatory to take into account the exchange-rates-related risks. We will see the di˙erent methods to evaluate extreme variations of the exchange rates using the Extreme Value Theory and Monte Carlo simulations. / Värdepapperisering är en av dagens finansiella trender. Att utvärdera vär-depapperisering risk kräver starka kvantitativa kunskaper och en förståelseför både kredit- och marknadsrisk. För internationell värdepapperisering ärdet obligatoriskt att hänsyn tas till valutarisker. Vi kommer att se de olika metoder för att utvärdera extrema variationer i valutakurser med hjälp av extremvärdesteori och Monte Carlo-simuleringar.

Semiconductors (commonly referred to as “chips”) are small electronic components that are essential in all digital devices such as smartphones, computers, and even cars. The European Union has labeled semiconductors as a security threat due to the EU’s dependency on foreign producers to get access to advanced semiconductors. The thesis examines if the securitization theory can identify a securitizing move made from speech acts released by the EU regarding semiconductors and describe the characteristics of the said move. This securitizing move is identified by examining four criteria; referent object, referent subject, existential threat, and extraordinary measures which are based on the criteria outlined by the securitization theory. This is done through a qualitative content analysis of 17 speech acts from the European Commission, Council of the European Union, European Council, and European Parliament covering a time period from 01-01-2021 to 31-12-2023. The results show findings in each of the criteria and a securitizing move can therefore be identified. The move can be described as multifaceted, covering several different areas but the primary theme of the move is based on a presented threat to the economic sector of the EU. The results provide evidence of the possibility of securitizing high-technological multipurpose products like semiconductors. Further research is encouraged to determine whether the targeted audience has accepted or rejected the securitizing move which would conclude if semiconductors can be viewed as securitized.

This thesis engages with perception, interpretation, consequences, and management of critique as experienced by members of the Swedish Peace and Arbitration Society (SFSF), in the context following the Russian invasion of Ukraine and Sweden’s choice to accede to NATO. The aim is to get an inside perspective in to how the members experience this phenomenon. It does so by employing qualitative interviews, participant observations, and analysis of relevant literature. The grounds for criticism against peace organisations are believed to stem from differing understandings on what peace is, and how it could be achieved, the critique is then made salient through different processes, congruent with securitization of issues. The study contributes to the field of peace and conflict studies as it highlights discrepancies in the understandings of peace and the friction that it creates. The study finds that the members of SFSF finds their opinions and non-violent values are being marginalized as they attempt to problematise the causes and potential solutions to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and their resistance to NATO-membership. They interpret the criticism as stemming from lacking opportunities for public engagement, suspicion and fear, and non-critical and biased media representations. This leads to the risk of self-censorship, difficulties in transmitting their messages, but also an increase in organisational memberships. The members realise the particularity of the situation and how it affects their opportunities, yet they find solace in beliefs of their current and future importance concerning the ambitions for international peace.

Wetter stellt für die Landwirtschaft einen Hauptunsicherheitsfaktor dar. Angesichts der Kli-maveränderung gilt es als wahrscheinlich, dass Wetterschwankungen und die Häufigkeit extremer Wetterereignisse in Zukunft zunehmen werden. Vor diesem Hintergrund spielt die Entwicklung von Wetterrisikomanagementinstrumenten eine wichtige Rolle zur Einkom-mensstabilisierung in der Landwirtschaft sowohl in entwickelten Volkswirtschaften als auch in Entwicklungsländern. Seit Mitte der neunziger Jahre werden auf Finanzmärkten sogenannte Wetterderivate angebo-ten, die den Austausch von Wetterrisiken zwischen Marktteilnehmern ermöglichen. Zielsetzung der vorliegenden Arbeits ist es, die Einsatzmöglichkeiten von Wetterderivaten in der Landwirtschaft zu untersuchen. Dazu sind verschiedene methodische Vorarbeiten zu leisten. Erstens, wird ein statistisches Modell benötigt, das die Unsicherheit des betrachteten Wetterereignisses (z.B. Temperatur oder Niederschlag) beschreibt. Zweitens, muss der Zusammenhang zwischen Wetter und landwirtschaftlicher Produkti-on abgebildet werden. Drittens, schließlich bedarf es eines theoretischen Modells, um das Wetterderivat zu bepreisen. Liegen die genannten Modellkomponenten vor, kann die Hedgingeffektivität eines Wetterde-rivats aus Sicht eines landwirtschaftlichen Produzenten bestimmt werden. Dies geschieht in der vorliegenden Arbeit beispielhaft für Getreideproduzenten in Deutschland. Es zeigt sich, dass die Hedgigeffektivität und damit die Zahlungsbereitschaft für Wetterderivate produkt- und regionsspezifisch ist. Angesichts eines ausgeprägten Basisrisikos ist es unwahrscheinlich, dass Wetterderivate in Deutschland eine breite Anwendung durch Landwirte erfahren werden. Ihr Anwendungspotenzial bei landwirtschaftlichen Versicherern und Rückversicheren er-scheint dagegen höher, da diese mit Hilfe von Wetterderivaten einen Teil ihres systematischen Risikos aus landwirtschaftlichen Ertragsversicherungen auf den Kapitalmarkt transferieren können. / Weather is a major factor of uncertainty for agriculture. The effects of climate change means that it is likely that in the future there will be increased fluctuations in weather patterns and extreme meteorological events will become more regular. In this context, the development of weather risk management instruments plays an important role in the stabilising of incomes in the agricultural sector, both in developed economies as well as in developing countries. Since the mid-nineties, so-called weather derivatives have been emerged on the market which enables participants in the market to exchange weather risks. This work aims to investigate the implementation possibilities of weather derivatives in agriculture. A range of methodological preliminary investigations will be carried out. First of all it is necessary to find a statistical model which describes the uncertainty of observed weather events (e.g. temperature or precipitation). Secondly, the relationship between weather and agricultural production needs to be mapped. Thirdly, a theoretical model needs to be devised which is capable of pricing the weather derivatives. The hedging effectiveness of a weather derivative can be determined from the point of view of an agricultural producer using the model components described above. This study will use the example of grain producers in Germany. It will demonstrate that hedging effectiveness and with it willingness to pay for weather derivatives depends on the product and region. A pronounced basis risk means that it is unlikely that weather derivatives will be widely used by farmers in Germany. Their application potential for agricultural insurers and reinsurers, however, seems greater, since they can use weather derivatives to transfer a part of their systematic risk from agricultural income insurance onto the capital market.

This dissertation examines the impacts of the 1973 Arab petrostate oil embargo on U.S. energy politics. I argue that the embargo was the moment that transformed oil from a domestic and highly regulated commodity into a matter of national security and competitive geopolitics. While its likelihood was foreseen by the Nixon Administration, the embargo did exacerbate an existing energy crisis that was caused by pre-embargo federal energy policies. Following the embargo, a dominant narrative emerged that viewed dependence on foreign oil supplies as an existential threat that merited extraordinary government measures. The securitization of the energy crisis allowed the Nixon Administration to implement many of its pre-embargo energy policies, including the launch of a national energy program to bring the U.S. to energy self-sufficiency by 1980. The embargo was the trigger for the creation of new governmental entities, such as the Department of Energy and U.S. Central Command, that endure to this day. It also shaped the U.S.'s close relationship with Saudi Arabia as an essential oil supplier and a key ally in the Arab world. The dissertation contests the revisionist accounts that argue that the embargo was a non-event, arguing that its impacts on U.S. domestic and foreign policies are still tangible and relevant. / Doctor of Philosophy / For most countries, ensuring energy security and uninterrupted oil supplies is a matter of national security and economic survival. However, for the U.S., long a major oil exporter, access to energy resources only rose to the status of a national security issue in the early 1970s. This dissertation examines the impacts of the 1973 Arab petrostate oil embargo on U.S. energy politics. I argue that the embargo was the moment that transformed oil from a domestic and highly regulated commodity into a matter of national security and competitive geopolitics. Pre-embargo rising domestic demand for oil, insufficient domestic supplies, and misdirected federal regulations had already weakened the resilience of the U.S. oil market and caused shortages. Following the embargo, the Nixon Administration launched a national program to achieve energy self-sufficiency by 1980. I argue that the value of committing the U.S. to energy autarky was essential for conveying to foes and allies that the Nixon Administration was willing to invest in a very costly national program so that it can maintain the autonomy of both its foreign policy and of the economy. I also argue that racial and cultural prejudices influenced the Nixon Administration's reaction to the embargo, in that throughout the ramp-up and during the post-embargo period, both the media and the Nixon Administration expressed disbelief at the effrontery of underdeveloped countries that were until recently Western possessions to challenge a global superpower. Following the embargo, a dominant narrative emerged that viewed dependence on foreign oil supplies as an existential threat that merited extraordinary government measures. The securitization of the energy crisis allowed the Nixon Administration to implement many of its pre-embargo energy policies. The embargo was the trigger for the creation of new governmental entities, such as the Department of Energy and U.S. Central Command, that endure to this day. It also shaped the U.S.'s close relationship with Saudi Arabia as an essential oil supplier and a key ally in the Arab world.

我國為重建金融環境，引進源自美國的資產證券化（asset securitization），近二年制訂金融資產證券化條例與不動產證券化條例，至今已成功發行八件案例。若能將資產證券化範圍擴大適用於智慧財產權與相關債權，或可解決目前企業以智慧財產權融資擔保所面臨的困境，不但有助於我國產業籌措營運資金和提升發展，亦能增加投資人金融商品之選擇與效益。 智慧財產權證券化（IP securitization）是近年國外重點發展之產物，其涉及財務、會計、賦稅、法律等多重領域。本文研究範圍與焦點，首先是國外文獻與實際案例（美國與日本）之整理與介紹，探求智慧財產權證券化可行性的成功要素與風險。其次是我國現行法如何針對智慧財產權證券化進行修正，包括基礎法制的真實買賣與特殊目的機構之獨立性問題，以及有關智慧財產權的特殊議題，例如適格資產範圍、權利瑕疵與衝突、特殊保證機制、智慧財產權鑑價等。本文目的，希冀提供未來我國制訂相關法規和實務配套措施之參考，能使金融機構與企業能瞭解智慧財產權證券化之可行性。 智慧財產權證券化成功因素，關鍵在於現金流量之估算與掌握，我國若要發展智慧財產權證券化，除了建立具有公信力的智慧財產權鑑價機制外，初期仍需倚靠外部信用增強機制，例如美國電影業的完工保證、智慧財產權訴訟保險與韓國信用保證基金的運作模式，以加強投資人對於此種商品之信心，此外財務規劃、風險管理與專業人才責任，亦是整備基本環境之重點。 藉由外國經驗與檢討，我國要進行智慧財產權證券化實須待一段時間建設，然而隨著金融商品推陳出新、金融市場快速變遷、智慧財產權產業擴充整合，以及智慧財產權融資擔保等發展，未來主管機關和立法機構勢必需修正有關真實買賣之法律要件、特殊目的機構獨立性、將來債權轉讓移轉時點等問題，並放寬開發型案件得證券化、加強著作權公示與對抗制度、建立基礎資產公告與交易資料庫等，是時，將為資產證券化議題再次注入活水，開創一番新局。

開發型不動產證券化制度，定義上係以未開發完成之不動產之權利，透過特殊目的機構，在破產隔離之法律關係下，加以小口化、規格化，並發行有價證券表彰該權利且對外募集或私募有價證券之行為。在我國法規範之下，制度上則可包括「不動產投資信託基金投資於開發型不動產」以及「不動產資產信託以開發型不動產作為信託財產私募有價證券」二種型態。證券化對於不動產之開發而言，係一相當有利之融資管道，且同時亦提供了小額投資人投資大型不動產開發案共享獲利之機會。一般均認為開發型不動產係對於證券化需求最大之標的，然而，因開發性不動產本質上具有較已開發不動產更高之風險，故學說、實務及立法上之討論亦有眾多見解主張對於開發型不動產之證券化應予禁止或限制。 我國不動產證券化條例於民國92年公布施行時，對於開發型不動產納入規範係採所謂「分階段立法」之模式，而在民國98年1月6日始由立法院三讀通過不動產證券化條例之修正案，正式將開發型不動產納入我國不動產證券化之法制，惟現行法基於道德危險之防止、風險控管與投資人保護等考量，對於開發型不動產之證券化仍設有多數禁止或限制規範。然而，本文認為風險控管與投資人保護之並非不動產證券化制度唯一或絕對之考量；並且，制度上之限制或禁止應屬投資人保護之最後手段，若尚可透過主管機關之有效監理降低投資風險並保障投資人時，仍應儘量朝「興利同時防弊」之方向運作，不應過度限制該制度之適用範圍，否則反而將使制度之立法目的無法達成。 綜上所述，本文嘗試從開發型不動產證券化之本質、特性與優缺點出發，參酌國外相關立法例，並考量我國民情與資本市場之特色後，分析提出我國開發型不動產證券化制度之走向，主張應修法開放募集之不動產投 資信託基金得投資於一般開發型不動產。另外，針對都市更新及BOT等開發案適用不動產證券化條例之議題，本研究採取否定見解，認為應於各該法律另行立法規範此種特別法上之開發型不動產證券化，而不應以不動產證券化條例規範之。故本研究尚針對現行不動產證券化條例、都市更新條例、促進民間參與公共建設法等法律規範提出修正建議。期能提供開發型不動產證券化制度將來修法及運作上之參考。 / The “development-oriented real estate securitization” could be defined as an arrangement that subdivides and standardizes the right of real estate which is undeveloped or under development, into separate shares through a special purpose vehicle and the bankruptcy-remoteness structure, and the public offering or private placement of the real estate securities representing ownership of such shares. Under the Real Estate Securitization Act of Taiwan, R.O.C. (the “Act”), so called development-oriented real estate securitization could also be construed as either 1) fund investment of REIT into real estate(s) under development, or 2) entrusting real estate(s) under development or to be developed to a REAT. Securitization is a favorable way to finance the development project, also it provides opportunities for investors with limited fund to invest in and profit from the same. Generally, development projects have the strongest needs for securitization financing. However, due to the risks accompanied with development, there are opinions from researchers and legislators for the restriction of their securitization. Upon the Act’s promulgation in 2003, the Legislative Yuan also resolved the guidelines for future amendment that the real estate under development or to be developed shall be included upon the maturity of real estate securitization operation. However, due to legislators’ concerns on moral hazard, risk control and investor protection, the amendment promulgated in 2009 formally adapting the development-oriented real estate securitization was still quite restricted. It is held by this thesis that risk control and investor protection are not the only or supreme purposes of the Act. Meanwhile, the restriction shall be deemed the last resort of investor protection, it is to say, if the monitoring and supervision of competent authority is operable, we shall use them to protect investors instead of legislative restriction. Or some objectives of the Act would be therefore hindered. Based on the analysis of the nature, advantages, disadvantages, comparative law study of development-oriented real estate securitization, and also referring to the customs and capital market structure of Taiwan, this thesis has provided some thoughts and suggestions for other researchers and legislators’ reference. Firstly, it is held that the restriction on publicly offered REIT’s investment in development project shall be removed. Also, the urban renewal and BOT project shall not be applicable under the Act as which shall be exceptional types respectively legislated in Urban Renewal Act and the Law for Promotion of Private Participation in Infrastructure Projects. It is expected that the issues, thoughts and opinions raised or provided by this thesis could encourage further discussions toward the subject to ensure the sound and stable development of real estate securitization in Taiwan.

U.S. Arctic foreign policy and the U.S. influence on Greenland has been studied predominantly regarding U.S. military and defence concerns. However, during the Trump Administration, the U.S. Arctic foreign policy agenda significantly shifted, placing Greenland as an integral component of the 2017-2021 Republican administration’s Arctic geopolitical aspirations, and not only for defence purposes. I argue that U.S-Greenland relations were significantly impacted when President Trump offered to purchase Greenland from the Kingdom of Denmark in the summer of 2019. Following the offer, Greenland emerged as a focal point of the Trump Administration’s geopolitical and economic security interests in the Arctic. Consequently, Greenland finds itself at the centre of a complex Arctic arena, with vastly larger and more powerful states taking an interest in Greenland’s economic potential due to its natural resources. Nevertheless, Trump’s offer was highly problematic as Greenland is an Inuit nation with the political goal to become independent from their colonial ties with Denmark. Despite the offer causing initial outrage, U.S.-Greenland collaborative relations have only developed since. I analyze why this has occurred, conveying that the similar approaches of Trump and Greenland towards climate change created the possibility for the strengthening of U.S.-Greenland bilateral relations. Climate change threatens the Arctic, yet the melting ice also provides more accessibility to rich natural resources. Climate change therefore presents not only threats, but opportunities. Greenland has a right and desire to pursue economic development for a financially viable independence through utilizing carboniferous, extractive industries. The U.S. has also sought to utilize the economic opportunity that Arctic climate change presents but with different motives. The U.S. and Greenland have subsequently become interlinked in a complex Arctic constellation of foreign policy and economic opportunity. Regardless of changing approaches to climate change, the Trump Administration has significantly impacted the future of U.S.-Greenland relations and Greenland’s political future. / Graduate

近年來有關保險證券化（Insurance Securitization）之發展可謂為國際金融市場上之一項革命，而巨災債券乃為保險連結型證券之大宗，此一分散、消化巨災損失之新興金融技術，對於日益捉襟見肘的巨災風險再保險人而言，無疑成為了新的活水源頭。回顧我國，自從於八十八年九月歷經九二一大地震摧殘後，驚覺天然巨災之可怕，亟思研擬分散巨災損失之對策。就風險移轉之技術層面而言，引進巨災債券制度不失為一可行之良方。然巨災債券並無法直接適用於我國去年七月新通過之「金融資產證券化條例」，因此遂滋生若欲引進巨災債券制度時，我國現行法規架構應如何加以調整此一重大問題。又特殊目的再保險人（Special Purpose Reinsurer, SPR）所發行之巨災債券究為保險商品，抑或純粹為一種證券？監理機關對其又應採如何之監理架構，始能有效率地加以監理？而我國相關之稅制對此亦應採取如何之態度，方能吸引外資於我國進行巨災債券交易？此等皆國際保險監理上亦迭生爭議之議題，殊值研究。 因此，本文以下希望能借助比較法等研究方式，指出我國未來如欲繼受巨災債券此一制度時，應如何調整現存的法規架構與監理制度以符需求。希冀能對將來催生巨災債券制度提供一參考的方向。本文架構，安排如下： 第一章為緒論。闡述本文之研究動機與研究目的、研究範圍、研究方法，以及研究架構。 第二章討論國際金融市場上日益興起的「證券化」趨勢。本文先行整理各家學說見解對「證券化」之定義，再提出自身看法，並將巨災債券融入「證券化」的體系中，俾使其定位清晰，以利日後之理解推論。最後，再簡單介紹美、英兩國之證券化歷程，以使證券化之說明能更加完整。 第三章討論保險證券化於保險市場之崛起因素及該市場未來之展望。按保險證券化之興起背景，乃因傳統再保險市場之承保能量不足，保險業者用之因應頻繁之巨災及萎縮之再保險市場承保能量的替代方案，其主要類型有保險連結型固定收益證券、交易所的巨災選擇權及保險連結型資本融資證券三種。展望未來，雖然保險證券化商品有保險風險之不同質性等諸多挑戰，但無庸置疑的，保險證券化已是未來保險及再保險產業發展的新趨勢。 第四章討論巨災債券之交易架構及發展現況。按巨災債券交易架構者，簡單來說，係以欲進行風險移轉的分保人或一般企業所設立之特殊目的再保險人（或特殊目的保險人）為核心，向外放射出四個交易關係所架構而成。該四個交易關係乃：（一）為與分保人之間的再保險交易（或保險交易）；（二）為與利率市場上其他交易者間進行利率交換交易；（三）為與投資人之間的債券交易；（四）為與信託業之間的信託交易。另外，東京海上火災保險公司的地震風險證券化等等著名的巨災債券交易案例，均將於本章內作詳細之介紹。 第五章討論巨災債券之法規架構。由於巨災債券交易所涉之法規眾多，未免紛雜，本章乃將此大致區分為二大種類而加以討論：第一，為當事人間之法律關係：主要涉及美國商品交易法、期貨交易實務法、證券法、證券交易法、投資公司法、信託法及保險法；第二，為相關稅捐法制：主要為我國之證券交易稅條例、加值型與非加值型營業稅法及所得稅法。 第六章討論巨災債券交易之相關監理議題。按巨災債券交易之相關監理議題，通常涉及監理權限就應歸屬於何一機關？投資人是否應接受保險業監理法令之拘束？等等問題。最後，本章亦將提及新進的監理立法例－即美國伊利諾州保險交易所（Illinois Insurance Exchange）與美國保險監理官委員會（National Association of Insurance Commissioners, NAIC）之受保護帳戶公司模範法（Protected Cell Company Model Act）、NAIC特殊目的再保險機制模範法（Special Purpose Reinsurance Vehicle Model Act）及百慕達一九九八年保險修正法，以便完整呈現整個巨災債券監理之全貌。 第七章討論我國於引進巨災債券制度時所可能面臨之法規與監理制度相關議題。就我國現行法規制度而言，如欲引進巨災債券此一新興風險移轉方法，將面臨到許多挑戰與衝擊。諸如金融資產證券化條例並無法直接適用於巨災債券、我國是否可以於國內設置特殊目的再保險人，以及如何在國內外公開發行或私募巨災債券等等問題均是。其次，再就我國保險監理制度而言，如欲引進巨災債券制度則勢必亦需對整套保險監理制度作出適度之調整，方能竟全功，本章亦將詳究之。 第八章為結論。本章將擷取前揭各章討論之結果加以彙整，俾供將來我國引進巨災債券制度之參考。