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影響天津吸引外來投資的決定因素 / Determinants of foreign direct investment in Tianjin, China謝忠國 Unknown Date (has links)
中國大陸自1978年確定改革開放政策,天津自改革開放初期的經濟發展面對資金和技術不足的問題。1990年末期,因為外商企業在天津長期投資,對天津產業技術提升及企業管理發揮積極作用,使天津市擠身中國大陸最吸引外來投資之地區之一。1992年鄧小平南巡再次確認中國大陸積極對外開放政策後,天津之外來投資呈現倍數之高度成長。2010年度,天津之外來投資金額更是突破百億美元大關。本文之研究目的冀討論天津在1990年第至2010年,影響各國家地區對天津投資之決定因素。本文採用天津此1990年至2010年累計最高投資金額之前九個國家地區之資料,利用固定效果模型估計,結果顯示決定因素有相對實質匯率、相對每人國內生產毛額、工資率及時間趨勢,另外各國家地區對於天津之地理距離透過分析亦可知其自發性投資呈現負相關。為降低實證模型發生錯誤,將各種統計量之檢定方法加以檢定,皆獲得通過。 / China has adopted and confirmed the so-called Open Door Policy since 1978. Tianjin faced the shortage of capital and technology in the early period of the implement of the Policy. However, in the end of 1990, Tianjin became one of the most attracting foreign investment cities in China because the foreign direct investment had played an important role and positively influenced industries upgrade and business management in the city. The amount of foreign direct investment in Tianjin has a high speed growth after Deng Xiaoping’s southern trip in 1992 to confirm the determination of China’s open door policy again. In 2010, the amount of foreign direct investment in Tianjin was impressively over ten billion US dollars. The purpose of this study is to investigate the determinants of foreign direct investment from different countries and districts in Tianjin from 1990 to 2010. The study adopted fixed-effect model to investigate the determinants of foreign direct investment in Tianjin with the top nine countries and districts in the period of 1990 to 2010. The results revealed relative currency rate, relative GDP per capita, relative wage rate and time trend are the most important factor in attracting foreign direct investment in Tianjin in the period. Another result showed the geographical distance has a negative relationship to foreign direct investment in Tianjin by fixed effect analysis. In order to reduce the occurrence of mistakes, the model and result results also have been tested through related tests methods.
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世界各國對中國大陸直接投資差異之決定因素歐陽宏 Unknown Date (has links)
中國在經濟發展的過程中,由於面臨著資金不足和技術落後的問題,以致於在1978年確立改革開放政策後,企圖透過外商直接投資來加速工業化及促進產業升級。然而一直到1992年鄧小平南巡,宣布將堅持中國的改革開放政策後,外商直接投資才開始大量流入中國。本文的研究目的即是鎖定外商直接投資開始大量進入中國後,影響世界各國對中國直接投資的因素。
本文利用24個國家(地區)在1993年至2003年期間的資料,採固定效果模型研究外商對中國直接投資的原因為何。結果顯示在1993到1996年間,顯著的決定因素為相對國內生產毛額、相對每人國內生產毛額,以及相對工資率。而在1997到2003年間,顯著的變項轉變為相對國內生產毛額、相對借貸成本、以及相對國家風險。此外,兩階段的外商直接投資都有增加的趨勢,但1997到2003年間增加的速度有趨緩的現象。另由固定效果的分析中得知,地理距離與對中國的自發性直接投資具有負相關的關係,此可由引力模型和地理距離影響文化的擴散和交流解釋之。最後,為了降低實證模型發生錯誤的機會,並使研究過程更為嚴謹,於是對本文模型和估計結果使用更多的方法加以檢定。 / Since 1978, China has adopted the so-called “open door policy”, attracting foreign direct investment(FDI) has become one of the most important methods to facilitate its economic growth. However, foreign countries didn’t invest large amount toward China until Deng Xiaoping’s southern trip in 1992. The purpose of this study is thus to investigate the determinants of FDI from different foreign countries in China after foreign countries started to invest tremendous amount toward China.
This study adopts fixed-effect model to investigate the determinants of FDI in China with 24 countries’ (regions’) data during the period of 1993-2003. The result shows relative GDP, relative GDP per capita, and relative wage are the most important factor in attracting FDI in China during 1993-1996. However, during 1997- 2003, the important factors change into relative GDP, relative borrowing cost, and relative country risk. In addition, the FDI at two periods both have a increasing trend, but the increasing speed during 1997-2003 isn’t increase so quickly as 1993-1996. Furthermore, from the analysis of the fixed effect knows the geographical distance has a negative relationship to FDI in China, and it can be explained by gravity equation and geographical distance influences the diffusion and exchange of culture.
Finally, in order to reduce the mistakes occurred in positive models and enable the study more rigorous, then uses more methods to test the models and the result.
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台灣地區大學學雜費調漲對生育率的影響洪文娟 Unknown Date (has links)
台灣地區在2002年時總生育率已降至1.33,而淨繁殖率為0.63,此種低於替代水準的生育率如果繼續下去,台灣地區的人口成長將於20-30年後,達成人口零成長並轉為負成長;生育率持續降低將造成人口老化,對國家經濟造成負面影響。
而影響生育率的因素很多,鑑於現代家庭在子女養育費用上的支出日益增加,尤以教育費用佔養育成本之比例最大,中低收入的家庭籌措教育費用的負擔,可能比生活開支更為沉重;尤其近年來政府廣開大學之門,但高等教育的經費並沒有比例的提升,因此不論公立或私立學校,從政府所得的補助相形減少;而大學學歷已成為基本的學位,可以預期未來幾乎每個人都會念大學,因此當大學學雜費調漲,將使父母養育子女成本增加,所以要思考是否因為養育成本的提高,而降低了生育子女的意願,使得台灣地區生育率年年下降。
本文的研究目的,主要在探討佔教育費用相當大比重的大學學雜費調漲,對台灣地區生育率的影響,並就其他影響台灣地區生育率的主要因素加以分析。以下為本論文之主要內容:第一章緒論,介紹本文研究背景與動機、研究目的與研究架構及研究限制。第二章文獻回顧,探討影響生育率因素的相關文獻,並就大學學雜費之文獻加以分別整理並予以說明。第三章,分析台灣地區生育率與大學學雜費調漲之變化;為了研究大學學雜費調漲對台灣地區生育率之影響,必須對近年來台灣地區生育率之變化及大學學雜費制度之變化作進一步之了解。第四章是研究方法,在本章中,將介紹本論文的資料來源、研究方法與實證模型及變數說明,以檢視大學學雜費調漲對台灣地區生育率的影響。第五章,就實證結果加以分析說明,第六章是本研究之結論與政策建議。
本文以1991年至2002年台灣地區23個縣市之追蹤資料為研究對象,經由固定效果模型的估計結果發現,大學學雜費對台灣地區生育率的影響有顯著的負相關;而其他影響台灣地區生育率的主要因素,如台灣地區各縣市家庭所得、失業率(尤以男性失業率為顯著)、婦女教育程度等均呈現顯著的負向影響,台灣地區嬰兒死亡率亦呈現負向影響但並不顯著,而婦女25 – 39歲年齡組群佔該縣市15歲以上婦女總人數比例,對台灣地區生育率的影響,呈現顯著的正向關係。
依本研究結果顯示,大學學學雜費是影響台灣地區生育率相當重要的因素,且教育學費與提升生育率皆屬於政府的政策,政府應該高度正視此問題並有所作為。至於控制其他因素後之地區特質效果,`顯示台灣地區之生育率,以東部地區為最高,南部地區最低;各縣市之特質效果則以新竹縣為最高、高雄市最低,可能與原住民比例、人口外移、城鄉差距或其他人文因素有關。因此,如何縮小城鄉差距,平衡人口分佈,使經濟均衡發展,也是值得政府思考與正視的問題。
關鍵詞:大學學雜費、生育率、固定效果模型、台灣地區
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外籍勞動力在臺縣市分布的影響因素探討 ─長期追蹤資料分析法 / The Study on the Factors Influencing the Foreign Workforce in Taiwan among cities and counties ─Panel Data Analysis謝沛穎 Unknown Date (has links)
臺灣隨著戰後嬰兒潮步入高齡,加上生育率為世界最低國家之一,刻正面臨嚴重的少子化及高齡化問題,除提升生育率、減少本國勞動力外流、並爭取海外留學生、僑民回國就業外,補充外籍勞動力,以減緩工作世代壓力,實為我國的當務之急。
為了解外國勞動力在臺工作縣市分布的影響因素,不同於以往的研究,本文從縣市別角度出發,採用2006年至2015年臺灣21個縣市的追蹤調查資料,以外籍專業人員、外籍勞工、全部外籍勞動力為被解釋變數建立3個模型,並分別以最小平方法、固定效果模型以及隨機效果模型進行迴歸分析,結果顯示,影響外國專業人才來臺工作縣市分布之重要因素為產業因素與教育資源因素,而失業率、產業因素以及教育資源因素則為外籍勞工與全部外籍勞動力的重要影響因素。 / Taiwan, with the post-war baby boom turning into the elderly boom by time, coupled with being one of the lowest birth rate in the world, is currently facing serious population aging problems. In order to deal with this situation, Taiwan government needs to encourage fertility, reduce domestic workforce outflows, and attract overseas students and nationals to return home. In addition, it is also urgent to recruit foreign workforce to ease the pressure of domestic working generation.
Different from the previous studies, this study attempted to understand the influencing factors of foreign workforce’s distribution in Taiwan by adopting a new perspective of observing each city and county respectively. This study used the data of 21 cities and counties in Taiwan from year 2006 to 2015, choosing the data of foreign workforce, foreign professionals and foreign labors as the dependent variables. Afterwards, the OLS model, the fixed effect model and the random effect model were conducted to estimate those variables separately. The results indicated that the industrial factors and educational resources factors were the main important factors influencing the distribution of foreign professionals in Taiwan, while the unemployment rate, industrial factors and educational resources factors were the important factors influencing the distribution of foreign labors and all the foreign workforce.
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The effects of immigration on the income of native born workers: Evidence from SwedenSchanzer-Larsen, Arnold January 2021 (has links)
Abstract Course: NAA305 Bachelor Thesis in Economics 15 ECTS University: Mälardalen University, School of Business, Society and Engineering, Västerås Title: The effects of immigration on the income of native-born workers: Evidence from Sweden Author: Arnold Schanzer-Larsen Supervisor: Johan Lindén Problem: Sweden has experienced a lot of immigration, and the phenomenon has received a great deal of attention in the public and political debate. There is, among other things, fear that immigration could be harmful for the labor market outcome of the receiving country. Researchers from a variety of countries have tried to address this issue by estimating the effect of immigration on the native wage of the receiving country. The results have varied strongly and no universal conclusion can be drawn. For what can be said about Sweden, there is no paper (of our knowledge) that has done any similar estimates. For that reason, it is of great importance that there is some research which could bring empirical evidence and shed light on the debate. Purpose of the Research: The aim of the thesis is to quantitatively measure immigrations effect on the wage of native workers in Sweden. Methodology: Conducting a panel study, observation of the average native income from 290 municipalities over 2011-2019 was collected. The effect was estimated using OLS regression technique and a fixed effect model. Conclusion: From a 10% increase in the share of foreign-born within a municipality, led on average to a 2.89% increase in the native average income in that municipality. Keywords: Immigration, Income, Wage, Unemployment rate, Panel study, Fixed effect model, Native, Labor market, The equilibrium model, Human capital, Skill-composition
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COVID-19 and the Academic Performance in Sweden´s Elementary Schools : Investigating the change in schools´ average merit scores in upper level of elementary education due to the COVID-19 outbreakMusic, Jasmin, Sporn, Zachary January 2022 (has links)
Sweden was one of the few countries in the EU that in most cases decided to keep their elementary schools open during the COVID-19 pandemic. The purpose of this study was to investigate potential outcomes COVID-19 has had on students´ average merit scores as well as group-specific effects across genders and school types. To further estimate which factors might have also influenced students´ success, we decided to consider the share of higher educated parents and the municipality income for compulsory schools in our research. Using the fixed effects method, a few models were constructed to analyze the different effects. We found that in general, COVID-19 had a significant and positive effect on the average merit score of students across all elementary schools in Sweden, suggesting that there have been other factors influencing their academic performance. Furthermore, it was found that gender disparities and the share of higher educated parents have affected the average academic performance, whereas the municipality income for compulsory schools did not. Lastly, private schools were found to perform less positively compared to public schools.
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中國大陸西部地區吸引外來投資的決定因素 / The Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in West China黃霈芝 Unknown Date (has links)
1978年中國大陸在經濟上採取改革開放政策後,中國大陸克服資金不足、技術落後等問題,經濟快速成長、人民生活水準和人均生產總值皆大幅提升。但中國大陸內部卻面臨各地區經濟發展的程度有極大落差的困局。為此,中國大陸政府提出多項區域發展政策,期能撫平區域發展不均衡的差距,「西部大開發」即為其中之一,希望能藉此一舉改善西部目前發展上的弱勢。但是西部地區要脫離落後狀態朝向發展所需要之條件究竟為何?西部大開發政策所切入之角度是否正中西部所需?本文將由影響外商投資西部的決定性因素,來評估西部大開發政策之成效。透過1997至2005年外商對中國西部地區投資的追蹤資料,搭配固定效果模型的估計,分析影響外商至西部進行投資的趨勢及決定性因素為何,並以估計之結果檢視「西部大開發」政策是否切中西部發展所需,確實改善西部投資環境。
根據實證結果顯示,吸引外商至西部進行投資的決定性因素有四,分別為相對工資率、基礎建設、礦產資源,以及外資開放程度。其他的變數如市場大小、勞動力素質、國營企業比重、中央移轉性支付比例以及優惠政策等,皆未有顯著影響。
關鍵詞:西部大開發、外來直接投資、固定效果模型、決定因素
分類號:B23、C33、F21、R58 / Since China has adopted the so-called “open door policy” in 1978, it has overcame its shortage of economic investment and lagged technology by accepting foreign direct investment(FDI) and the “east-tilted” policy. Two decades later, while China enjoys its high economic growth rate, it has to solve the dilemma of keeping economy growing or balancing the regional disparity. Hence the China government has proposed the “Western Region Development” policy to facilitate the slow-growing economy in west China.
Since FDI has played an important role in China economical development, the purpose of this study is to investigate the foreign direct investment in West China, and the flowing issue is using the results to evaluate the efficiency of Western Region Development policy, to see if the policy meet the need of western regional development. This study has based upon the panel data for western region during the period of 1997-2005 and fixed-effect model to investigate the determinants of FDI in West China. The result shows relative wage rate, infrastructure, mine resource, and openness to the rest of the world.
Finally, in order to reduce the mistakes occurred in models and enable the study more rigorous, uses more methods to test the models and the result.
Keywords: Western Region Development, Fixed-Effect Model, Foreign Direct Investment, Determinants
JEL Classification: B23、C33、F21、R58
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台灣地區各縣市老人安養機構設立之影響因素 / Determinants of long-term care facilities in Taiwan陳靜怡, Chen, Ching Yi Unknown Date (has links)
本文係針對台灣地區各縣市1999至2008年之老人安養機構設立之床位數進行分析,利用雙因子固定效果模型(two-factor fixed effects model)探討台灣地區各縣市老人安養機構設立之重要影響變數,以及這些變數對於老人安養機構設立床位數影響程度之強弱。本文首先將文獻之檢閱做整理介紹,先概述至今國內外討論老人安養機構設立及使用之相關文章重要觀點,了解這些文章作者的研究時間與空間範圍、所使用分析方法、論點及其變數設定,在最後與本研究之結論相互比較,觀察文獻與本研究之間是否具有一致性。
由於本論文重視各地區變數之影響,故本研究使用具地域性之各縣市數據資料作為變數,經由資料蒐集,將合適之變數納入研究考量,參閱文獻資料,加上能夠取得之數據資料為考量。本文將討論下列變數:台灣地區實質薪資、各縣市老年人口數、各縣市人口密度、各縣市教育程度為大專及以上人口之比率、各縣市失業率、各縣市女性勞動參與率、各縣市15歲以上人口婚姻狀況有偶人數比率、各縣市出生率、各縣市外籍與大陸配偶人數、各縣市社福外籍勞工人數以及各縣市每萬老人接受居家服務人次等十一個變數。對於老人安養機構設立數之關係,觀察其影響程度,了解各地區差異,期能對政府提供具體的政策建議,並對未來各縣市公私立老人安養機構之設立提供參考。 / This study analyses the number of the beds established of the long-term care (LTC) facilities of each city and county in Taiwan between 1999 and 2008, using “two-factor fixed effects model” to explore some of the important influential variables of the long-term care facilities of each city and county, and the strength of the relation of these variables of the hospital beds. This article firstly introduces and reviews some articles and studies that are basically related, and overview the important points of view of the establishment of the long-term care facilities, to understand the analytical methods and the arguments of these articles and authors.
As the importance of this thesis, the effect of regional variables, the study uses cities and counties level variables. Through data collection, using the variables in the study that are considered appropriate. Refer to the literature, adding with data obtained for the considerations. This article will discuss the following variables: the real wage of Taiwan each year, the number of counties and cities in the elderly population, the population density, the population with tertiary education level, the unemployment rate, the female labor force participation rate, the population over the age 15 that have marital status, the proportion of birth rate, the number of foreign and mainland spouses, the number of the welfare of foreign workers per 10,000 of the elderly receiving home care people, totally 11 variables. To establish the relationship between the number of observed effect level of long-term care facilities of each city and county, to understand the regional differences, to provide the government on specific policy recommendations. In the future, we expect to provide the public and private sectors the reference establishment of nursing agencies of each city and county.
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台灣各縣市社會福利支出對其犯罪率之影響 / The impact of regional social welfare spending on crime rate in Taiwan林倖妤, Lin, Xing Yu Unknown Date (has links)
區域間由於發展背景與功能取向不同,以致各地區社會福利支出比例有所差異,對治安與生活品質亦造成不同的影響。社會福利制度是促進整體社會平等、維持人民生存的重要體制;犯罪人口的多寡,則是影響國家成長與進步的重要社會問題之一。本研究主要目的為探討台灣地區社會福利支出對總犯罪率、各年齡層(少年、青年與成年)及失業者犯罪人口率之影響程度,並進一步分析不同社會福利補助支出對總體犯罪率及上述不同群體的個別影響方向。研究範圍為1999-2009年台灣地區23個縣市別的追蹤資料(panel data),利用雙因子固定效果模型(two-way fixed-effect model)同時分析各縣市之個別特質與時間趨勢效果,可對討論議題提供精確的估計結果。研究結果顯示,台灣各縣市社會福利支出與總體犯罪率間不存有顯著關係。進一步分析五種社會福利補助支出,發現家庭生活扶助對於改善整體及各年齡層的犯罪問題皆具有良好效果;其他如就學生活補助、醫療補助與急難救助對部分族群之犯罪問題亦有正面幫助。唯失業給付對犯罪問題並無正面影響。因此建議可藉由調整社會福利支出的比例以降低犯罪問題的發生。 / As the mode of growth and orientation policy in various area are different, resulting in proportion of social welfare spending and influence on public security and quality of life are also different. This study aims to investigate the influence of social welfare spending as well as different social welfare assistance on the total crime rate and crime rate of population of specific age groups and unemployed in Taiwan.
Using the cross-regional panel data of 23 counties during the period 1999-2009 in Taiwan. The empirical results from two-way fixed-effect model found that there is no significant relationship between social welfare spending and crime rate. However, analyzing the further five social welfare assistances with regard to improve crime problem has been proved, especially living support assistance. Therefore, this study suggests that the criminal coping strategy is proposed to adjust proportion social welfare spending to reduce criminal problems.
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地方財政分權對中國省市競爭力的影響 / The effect of fiscal decentralization on China’s provincial competitiveness林士傑 Unknown Date (has links)
中國大陸自改革開放之後,其經濟成長之快速,使得全球眾多的學者投入中國大陸議題的研究。隨著世界的開發,有限的資源不斷被使用,造成資源愈來愈少,也由於資源的稀少性,因此市場經濟方為競爭的經濟。參與競爭必須首先具備競爭力,作為國民經濟重要組成單元的區域經濟,如何應對日趨激烈的競爭,如何培育構建、提升保持具有區域特色的競爭力,就成為迫在眉睫的問題
本研究之研究目的主要有以下幾點:第一,希望能藉由相關理論文獻,解釋財政地方分權對中國省、市之間競爭力是否會有所影響或是關聯,將以此為本研究之理論基礎,並且進行實證的檢驗;第二,將以1994年中國財政改革以後之財政相關資料,利用中國31個省、市的追蹤資料,資料蒐集期間涵蓋2000年至2008年,以各年各省、市的綜合競爭力作為衡量該省、市的競爭力指標,以期能夠了解各地區競爭力的影響情形; 第三,本研究建立一個二階段固定效果模型,來檢視中國31個省市財政分權對其綜合競爭力的影響,並將各省市的情形做歸納;第四,從實證模型中發現,財政地方分權與區域綜合競爭力間的關聯性為一非線性關係且具有U型曲線關係;最後,利用實證結果來提供具體的政策建議。
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